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Going Forward - PPR Keeper Question


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#1 cousinal111

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Posted 02 January 2017 - 03:54 AM

I have to keep either AJ or TY. I know AJ is obvious choice but I can't get much back in trade value for TY, maybe an 8th Rd pick. However I could probably land a 2nd or 3rd for AJ.

Stupid to gamble or is this something I should consider?

Keepers for 2017

TY Hilton

Devonta Freeman

Jarvis Landry

Dante Moncrief


#2 Loaded Box

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Posted 05 January 2017 - 06:50 PM

I wouldn't risk it.  AJ Green has eclipsed 1,000 yards each year of his career until this year (and he clearly would have if it wasn't for the injury/team holding him out).  He also makes the Bengals' offense go, and will typically be a really consistent option at WR because of this.

 

His size/speed combination is pretty rare, so he'll always be a good option.  Take advantage of having one of the best WR's in the game and keep him


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#3 scottsind

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Posted 05 January 2017 - 10:16 PM

Agreed. AJ Green is a monster. I had him this year and he exploded 3 games. Wish he was a little more consistent, but he is a target monster. Maybe the injury hindered his consistency this year.
QB: Carson Palmer
QB: Cam Newton
RB: LeVeon Bell
RB: Dion Lewis
RB: Matt Forte
RB: Bilal Powell
RB: Spencer Ware
WR: Amari Cooper
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
WR: Odell Beckham Jr.
WR: Sammie Watkins
WR: Dontrelle Inman
WR: Michael Floyd
TE:  Greg Olsen
Def: Cardinals
K: Matt Bryant

#4 Ray_T

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Posted 03 March 2017 - 04:39 AM

Dont over think this.

 

AJ green is the package as far as WR goes.  He gets yards, he makes lots of catches (good for PPR) and most importantly, he gets TDS.

 

This guy is good in all formats.

 

TY Hilton is good too.  He makes lots of catches, and gets yards, but he just does not get the TD you want.   Sure, he gets a few, but that's not really the best part of his game.

 

also, Hiltons game is based on speed.  He is a small, but very speedy WR. He wont outmuscle players for the ball, and he wont outjump them.  once he gets older and loses a half step, his production will quickly drop.

 

AJ is a big physical receiver who is also fast and can outjump defenders for the ball.   If he loses a step, he can still beat guys based on his physical play and he can still be a possession WR because he can use that big body to shield defenders from the ball.   Not all of these skills are based on speed, so when he loses a half step(in terms of speed), he will still be a top WR but his game will change a bit.

 

AJ should have the longer career as a WR1.   And I think that (as well as present production)is a valid consideration


3 keeper, 12 team league Standard scoring with QB getting -1 pt for an interception & fumbles 5 points for a defensive safety & 6 points for a defensive TD.

Start 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Kicker, one Def/Sp Tms

 

 

 

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#5 weepaws

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Posted 03 March 2017 - 09:52 AM

Agree.

Great post Ray thank you.

#6 cousinal111

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Posted 05 March 2017 - 09:13 AM

Our league voted that would go away from a keeper league in 2018 so I traded AJ for Landry & a pick. My returners will look something like this - TY, Freeman, Landry, Moncrief or Tyrell, Rawls or Prosise.

I now have 4 of the first 27 picks.

Keepers for 2017

TY Hilton

Devonta Freeman

Jarvis Landry

Dante Moncrief


#7 gilbertfl6

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Posted 07 April 2017 - 11:17 AM

Hope it works out. If you were in my league I would give you Landry and a pick in a heartbeat. Hope your pick hits but that is a bit of a dice roll for my taste