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The Football Guru

Instant Fantasy Analysis - Round 4

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RB Nyheem Hines, Colts


The selection of Hines would seem to be a clear indication the new coaching staff is at least comfortable with the idea of Marlon Mack serving as the primary back, as Hines is an undersized (198 pounds) third-down back type who doesn't have the frame to add much more and certainly never figures to be a full-time back. His primary roles right away should be as a returner and as a Darren Sproles-like satellite back. If that is in fact the case, he may be worthy of a late draft pick in redraft leagues and a third- or fourth-round pick in rookie drafts.

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WR Antonio Callaway, Browns


Callaway figures to be the ultimate boom-or-bust pick, as he is a younger version of Josh Gordon - incredibly talented with no sense of how to conduct himself off the field. At the very least, the Florida product should be in the mix as a returner, although he is certainly talented enough to put some heat on Corey Coleman behind Gordon and Jarvis Landry. The reason he is included here is because Gordon remains a question mark. If he is somehow passed his off-field troubles, he could very well be the steal of the Day 3. He can be ignored in redraft for now, but dynasty leaguers can take a shot at him in the late second-round area.

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TE Chris Herndon, Jets


Herndon tore his MCL in Miami’s regular-season finale, keeping him from helping his draft stock during the draft process. The 6-4, 253-pounder operated a lot out of the slot at "The U" and was a three-year starter. Following the loss of Austin Seferian-Jenkins, the Jets have a bunch of athletic oversized slots vying for the starting job. Herndon is more talented than the rest of them, so it seems reasonable he will rise to the top of the depth chart at some point early in his career. He can be ignored in redraft, but he's worth a shot in the third- or fourth-round area of rookie drafts.

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RB Mark Walton, Bengals


Walton is a bit of a forgotten man in this deep running back draft class because his final season came to an end due to an ankle injury in early October that eventually required surgery. His change-of-direction is among the best of the backs I have evaluated in this class. Walton is dependable as well, showing soft hands as a receiver while not recording a fumble over his last two years (299 offensive touches). While short-area speed and quickness are his game, the 202-pounder has more power than one might expect and, as such, is willing and able to run inside. Joe Mixon is obviously the long-term answer in Cincinnati, but Walton is good enough to put heat on Giovani Bernard as the change-of-pace and part-time passing-down option.

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WR DaeSean Hamilton, Bronocos


Cut from the same mold as former Bill and Charger Steve Johnson, Hamilton projects as a very serviceable long-term slot and possible low-end complementary receiver. Given the fact Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders on are big contracts and 30 or over, the Penn State alum may have a quicker-than-expected path to fantasy relevancy. It would seem as though Denver is eyeing him to be the long-term complement to Courtland Sutton, and both could start seeing huge roles as soon as 2019. Hamilton figures to have minimal redraft value, but he's worth rolling the dice on in the second round of rookie drafts.

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RB Kalen Ballage, Dolphins


If someone can help Ballage ever realize his fullest potential, Miami may have landed a running back here who could force a committee with Kenyan Drake. While that seems unlikely given how much he underachieved at Arizona State, he couldn't ask for a better role model than Frank Gore if he needs to learn how to work in order to be a professional. At this point, Ballage is a 228-pounder who doesn't run with power often enough and instead is one of the best players at his position in this class as a receiver. Is unlikely to have any redraft value, but he's worth a flyer later in the second round or sometime in the third in rookie drafts.

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WR J'Mon Moore, Packers


The Packers usually invest one pick every year at receiver and they end up being right more often than they are wrong. Moore has a good shot at being another hit, starting with the fact he is a very good athlete (4.49 speed, 38-inch vertical). The Missouri product was one of the better big-play artists in college football last season, but attitude concerns and overall rawness are among the reasons he wasn't a second-round pick. Since no Green Bay receiver has a starting job of locked up opposite Davante Adams following the release of Jordy Nelson, Moore has a reasonable shot to produce as a rookie - albeit not enough to be on the redraft fantasy radar. Conversely, he's worth a look in the mid-to-late second round of rookie drafts.

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TE Dalton Schultz, Cowboys


With Jason Witten expected to become the new analyst of Monday Night Football, it is interesting the Cowboys select the one prospect in this draft that most resembles him. Schultz is the rare college tight end who can block, so he figures to see regular playing time on early downs. He's an average athlete, however, so he'll be mostly an option only in the short and intermediate passing game. Schultz could be a starter relatively early in his career if Rico Gathers can't stay healthy, but Dallas is mostly likely hoping Schultz will end up being the Dwayne Allen to Gather's Coby Fleener to use a recent example. If Gathers can't get right, Schultz could be on the low-end TE2 radar and worth a third- or fourth-round pick in rookie drafts.

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