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Frozenbeernuts

2018 Week 3 Gambling Thread

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This week has the potential for a lot of positive results. I am up each of the first two weeks

 

Dallas +1 @ the Seattle. Dallas D will do the same thing the Bears D did. I expect Elliot to have one of his best weeks of the season here. I love the outright win

 

Chicago - 6 @ Arizona. The Chicago D is going to have another field day here.

 

Pit - 1 @ Tampa. I just cannot see the Steelers starting off 0-2-1 and losing to the bucks. Hayden comes back Monday night.

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Jags -7.5

Eagles - 6.5

Dolphins -3.5.

 

Lions money line.

Skins money line

Zona money line.

 

Thanks.

 

Good luck this weekend.

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Jags -7.5

Eagles - 6.5

Dolphins -3.5.

 

Lions money line.

Skins money line

Zona money line.

 

Thanks.

 

Good luck this weekend.

Zona money line? If the Bears don't cover I will be surprised. I don't see how the offense can possibly move the ball against them with Fitz banged up. Is Rosen starting?

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Zona money line? If the Bears don't cover I will be surprised. I don't see how the offense can possibly move the ball against them with Fitz banged up. Is Rosen starting?

Sam is starting. I agree its shaky, but I cant even count the number of times Ive lost betting on sure thing lead pipe lock nfl games.

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Sam is starting. I agree its shaky, but I cant even count the number of times Ive lost betting on sure thing lead pipe lock nfl games.

Well yeah anything is possible. It's about odds. The odds that Zona wins are pretty flimsy. I took Cincy on the money line week 1 because the odds of them actually winning were pretty good. Same thing with KC last week. Zona beating the Bears though? Only way that is possible is with some serious fluky shlt happening and DJ putting the team on his back

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I like:

 

Chi -6.5

New Orleans Moneyline

Cincinnati Moneyline

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49ers will cover against KC, I won't be surprise if they win straight up.

I agree.

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49ers will cover against KC, I won't be surprise if they win straight up.

Steelers O > Niners 0

Steelers D > Niners D

 

Mahomes didn't just look lucky. I wouldnt bet against KC O with a team that hasn't looked all that good

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this chiefs game feels like a major letdown spot. after two tough roadies against what were thought to be playoff teams you come home and face the rather meh niners while soaking in the love from the home fans. wouldnt shock me at all to the the niners competitive with a shot to win late. kinda like under 55.5 too.

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I won the Cle game, but turns out it was a bad bet saved by the QB switch.

 

I did lose my player prop on Callaway though.

I lost that game with +3.5 on the jets. Crazy game.

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this chiefs game feels like a major letdown spot. after two tough roadies against what were thought to be playoff teams you come home and face the rather meh niners while soaking in the love from the home fans. wouldnt shock me at all to the the niners competitive with a shot to win late. kinda like under 55.5 too.

This offense is the real deal. I'm going to say they keep rolling against what will be the worst defense they have faced yet.

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Didnt bet first 2 weeks. This week I have 2 6pt teasers.

 

Saints +2 teased to +8

Bears -6 teased to even

 

Skins +2.5 teased to +8.5

Vikings -16.5 teased to -10.5

 

Good luck

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Kicked around SF teased up to 12. Like it. But a team like the chiefs can just get a random late bomb or Hill catch and run that covers. Pts can add up quick with them. Didnt like that aspect.

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What happened to Bills cant win, Bills cant score, Vikes are a lock? Welcome to the nfl, theres an old phrase we use....Any given Sunday.

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What happened to Bills cant win, Bills cant score, Vikes are a lock? Welcome to the nfl, theres an old phrase we use....Any given Sunday.

So true. There are no locks. People underrate that QB in Buffalo.

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I have a few 2 and 3 team parlays out this week.

 

Lost on Bengals-Niners

 

Colts +7 (won this part) and Cardinals +6

 

Also have:

 

Cowboys +1.5 and Chargers +7 and Pats -7

 

Steelers -1 and Pats -7

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Crap day so far.

 

Vikings really shitted it. I bet them on an alternate spread, assuming they win but not a blowout.

 

Made a nice chunk making Live bet on the Saints when Atl had the ball with a minute left.

 

I bet on ARI and SEA for the afternoon games.

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49ers will cover against KC, I won't be surprise if they win straight up.

They should've covered. The refs stepped in to make sure they didn't a few times.

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I made a call. Sorry brahski

Sorry, I don't know what you mean.

 

Also I bet Indy +6.5 and Den +5.5, so no need to apologize.

 

I just watched the KC/49er game and the refs were... Let's call it suspicious. I don't know if you watched it, but the 49ers pulled within 7 late and the they took it off the board with the worst offensive pass interference call in history. Not to mention 150 yards in penalties on the 49ers.

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What happened to Bills cant win, Bills cant score, Vikes are a lock? Welcome to the nfl, theres an old phrase we use....Any given Sunday.

Whenever everyone is so sure something is going to happen, the best bet is to go the other way. Fade the public. Always fade the public.

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Whenever everyone is so sure something is going to happen, the best bet is to go the other way. Fade the public. Always fade the public.

 

Yep. All week talk was no way the Bears wouldnt cover 6 vs Bradford. Theyd only scored 6 pts so far.

 

And the Cowboys D would maul Wilson and the Texans D would destroy Eli

 

None of those things happened today.

 

The Bills stomping Vikes came did outta nowhere.

 

That line was Bills +17. Nobody thought the Bills would do that.

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Jags -7.5

Eagles - 6.5

Dolphins -3.5.

Lions money line.

Skins money line

Zona money line.

Thanks.

Good luck this weekend.

How the heck do the Jags lose at home to the Titans who didn’t even start a Qb.

Can’t belive I took the Eagles.

Thank you Dolphins.

Thank you lions good money line winner.

 

And A Smith and the Skins thank you another money line winner

 

Zona played a heck of a game vs a good Bears, with only one talented player on offense.

 

Great weekend.

 

I took the Steelers based on today’s results, I figure if the Bills and roll into Minnesota and best the Vikings, then a team with talent could roll into Tampa and beat the Bucs. Right ?

 

Anyway.

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How the heck do the Jags lose at home to the Titans who didnt even start a Qb.

 

Because New England last week was their super bowl.

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How the heck do the Jags lose at home to the Titans who didn’t even start a Qb.

Can’t belive I took the Eagles.

Thank you Dolphins.

Thank you lions good money line winner.

 

And A Smith and the Skins thank you another money line winner

 

Zona played a heck of a game vs a good Bears, with only one talented player on offense.

 

Great weekend.

 

I took the Steelers based on today’s results, I figure if the Bills and roll into Minnesota and best the Vikings, then a team with talent could roll into Tampa and beat the Bucs. Right ?

 

Anyway.

Great job on your 3-3 weekend!!! Great weekend by your standards!!

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Because New England last week was their super bowl.

Lol I guess so.

 

Thought about that before making the bet, bu then I thought at home they should be fired up.

 

Nope.

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Was happy, than the Patriots happened.

 

I am thinking of doing a player prop with A Brown tonight.

 

Not sure I will bet the game or not.

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I like:

 

Chi -6.5

New Orleans Moneyline

Cincinnati Moneyline

I'm glad I don't put up real money.

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I'm glad I don't put up real money.

Yeah, predictions are one thing, putting up the money is another level. I normally feel like I have a better chance playing roulette in the casinos. Which I do enjoy about once a year. I put up a few guesses here and there for the NFL but so far this year only actually bet 2 games in the first 3 weeks of the season. Thankfully I'm 2-0, but it seems like when betting multiple games a week in the NFL, it is a crapshoot when it comes to the final scores. It's easier to predict player stats than it is to predict a win/loss. At least from betting against the odds that is, as far as netting a profit.

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Yeah, predictions are one thing, putting up the money is another level. I normally feel like I have a better chance playing roulette in the casinos. Which I do enjoy about once a year. I put up a few guesses here and there for the NFL but so far this year only actually bet 2 games in the first 3 weeks of the season. Thankfully I'm 2-0, but it seems like when betting multiple games a week in the NFL, it is a crapshoot when it comes to the final scores. It's easier to predict player stats than it is to predict a win/loss. At least from betting against the odds that is, as far as netting a profit.

If predicting player stats is you thing put some money there.

 

(Brown I hope has a great night)

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If predicting player stats is you thing put some money there.

 

(Brown I hope has a great night)

True. I just started jumping back into the sports betting public now that NJ is legal. Some years back I got tired of the whole offshore thing. Getting my money out was just a process I didn't like.

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Was happy, than the Patriots happened.

I am thinking of doing a player prop with A Brown tonight.

Not sure I will bet the game or not.

My gripe on player props is when someone tweaks a shoulder or gets put in the tent for evaluation then held out. But I do like AB for a huge game, lines should reflect that as well. Heck at this point juju lines might be more enticing, the guy kills it.

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My gripe on player props is when someone tweaks a shoulder or gets put in the tent for evaluation then held out. But I do like AB for a huge game, lines should reflect that as well. Heck at this point juju lines might be more enticing, the guy kills it.

And they may need both of these tonight if Tampa shows up.

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I won every bet I made at 1 and 4.

 

Giants ML - $100 won me $215

 

Eagles ML - $100 won me $40

 

Panthers -3: $25 won me $26

 

Rams -6.5: $25 won me 22

 

Rams -.5 teaser with Chiefs pk - $50 won me $43

 

Everything was coming up Millhouse!

 

Tonight I put $25 on Bucs -1. I kissed that goodbye earlier but maybe now not so much.

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