Ray_T

I could see the chargers trading down, but I think it also depends who is available when they are on the clock

you might be right. but if they do pick, I suspect thats who they take

where they are drafting from he might be the best option by the time they are on the clock. personally I think he will be gone by then

fftoday profile has him at 210 lbs I think. you sure you got the right guy? if the fftoday numbers are correct hes pretty huge. 6'4 and 210 lbs. big enough to take a lot of punishment

with their skillset they are actually likely more valuable as a pocket passer behind a good line. just my opinion of course

I had my questions about Watson, but hes also been injured for a good part of the year. Sometimes injuries can prevent a player from finding his groove (so to speak) so I wouldnt go writing him off just yet. but I do think Wicks has earned more reps. to what extent I cannot be sure, but he didnt get any significant work until the midpoint of the season and he finished with 581 yards as a rookie. pro rate those last 9 games hes close to 700 yards if you double that total to pro rate over 18 games. while thats not massive, its pretty good for a rookie. and most WR do better in year 2. I'd project him for around 800 yards and 6 or 7 TD. And this is probably a conservative estimate with a low floor and high ceiling due to the small sample size.

hes on a rookie contract. As such there is no huge incentive for the team to trade him. if Green Bay doesnt think he starts, they may look around for a trading partner to try to get an asset in return for him. But this is generally a bad move for the GM's job security. if they trade him or dump him, and he goes on to light it up for another team, that could put the GMs job in jeopardy. it is more likely they keep him on the roster for at least one more year. (unless someone pays a decent price for him) the way I figure, the contract is affordable and if a team doesnt give something decent, they are more likely to bury him on the roster. at his salary, there is no urgency to get rid of him.

why do you say this?

yeah people conveniently forget this fact. last year he was catching balls from someone who doesnt seem to be able to throw the ball. that's not his fault.

Tyreek Hill

Hey I was talking to a buddy of mine who is a Green Bay homer. I know this guy was not well regarded coming out of college, but it is interesting looking at some of the analyitics on this guy: Passer rating when targeted for Packers WRs: Jayden Reed 123.1 Dontayvion Wicks 117.6 Bo Melton 114.0 Romeo Doubs 100.4 Malik Heath 89.8 Christian Watson 71.4 Samori Toure 34.0 in addition to this Wicks actually leads the league in getting open against single coverage. granted this was his rookie season so the sample size was small. the # of snaps he got in the first half of the season was rather small, but he played a decent amount in the second half. enough for us to determine his workload is likely gonna go up next year. check out this link Arjun Menon on X: "Best and worst receivers this season at being charted as open vs single man coverage. https://t.co/1kO9t6eAbY" / X (twitter.com) does anyone here want to weigh in on this? I dont think anyone is talking about him. I am not recommending you draft him high in your draft, but very late he could be a nice lotto ticket

yeah you could argue any team in the draft (other than Chicago at 1) could move up or down with their first round pick. Just brilliant deductive reasoning. but I guess if someone demands news, this gets him a few clicks. but its a nothingburger mostly

honestly the superbowls tell the tale. this is the goal of every team when they draft/sign any player on the roster. so if the team wins and that player made a significant contribution he was the right player to sign/draft. I dont see how any starting QB's contribution would ever be insignificant as they touch the ball on every offensive play so to that end, with 2 superbowl wins I'd say he was the right choice. if you consider him the wrong choice, I'd take that wrong choice to get 2 superbowl wins 100% of the time.

yeah, I gotta agree. if the QB takes you to a superbowl win, it was the right move to make.

Well, I draft players based on a number of things. production on the field is only one of them When ranking a number of players that are at roughly the same level (or we will say the same tier) the guy at the bottom of that tier for me is usually the guy least likely to stay healthy based on that players historical health. If that player falls in the draft, I consider taking that player but I do not pick him ahead of guys in the same tier who have a good history of staying healthy. while injuries are impossible to avoid completely, by doing this I minimize the odds of having my season de railed by injury. injury analysis is a big part of what I do when prepping for my draft and honestly most of the times I've had injury problems has been when I have ignored that analysis and took the player anyways. I also bump up players on my list who are playing for a contract. and I do probably a better job than most in looking at high upside 2nd and 3rd year players. Naturally I could always do better but I have found that taking risks later in the draft seems to yield more than taking risks early in the draft. and for me, doing well at the draft table is mostly about risk management. its also about picking good players, but anyone can take a list of the 100 best players and draft fromt the list and be jsomewhere between slightly below average to slightly above average. for me this other stuff I spoke about above (if you do a decent job of it) should elevate you just a little bit to put you in contention. its not a guarantee of a win but it gives you a small advantage. think about it. if you have 1 injury to a starter over the course of the year and most people have 2. thats likely a 3 to 10 point advantage you have over most everyone else (depending on position) it should be a significant part of your strategy.