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huskyhater75

Consistency key to winning.....................

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I've been doing this-in the same league with 7 of the 10 original guys-for 25 years now, and y'know what has gotten me to the playoffs (despite "this is the QB year, this is the WR year" BS) 80% of the time (with savvy-smart guys in my league) is the fact that my first 2 picks have ALWAYS concentrated on the best 2 RB's.....RB's get the most touches-and if you are in a PPR league and get the right ones, you are in that square that is what it's all about-CONSISTENCY! I really can't believe my team made playoffs this year but my most consistent attribute was my RBs (Zeke and Hunt were my first 2 picks). I lucked out and got A Jones later on (to make up for Hunt-loss) but having the RBs is the best way to draft-hope none of my league guys are reading this!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!?????????????

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The draft and luck.

 

I disageee when I see it posted that you can’t win your league with the first few draft picks.

 

I do agree you can lose with bad early picks.

 

But I think you win with those first early round picks.

 

And with lots of good luck.

 

Just like you said you got lucky picking up Jones.

 

And streaming the right def and kickers and even tes.

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So my work league, i'm the highest scoring team despite a shady trade that happened. In that 12 team league I went RB-RB-RB (Barkley @ 5th, McCaffrey and Mixon) then grabbed Conner off the WW before the season started. I'm only 8-5 (tied for 2nd best record overall) but even with that in mind, it's less about WHAT I drafted than WHO I drafted (or picked up). Yes, having Saquon and McCaffrey and mixing in Conner and Mixon has powered me, but if I had drafted different players in the same positions I don't think I would have had the same results. Hitting on Kittle off WW has helped as well. FitzWinston has also helped.

 

There is no formula. While it is still wise to have an abundance of RB's, who you have is more important than just having them.

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Select and Hunt with the first two picks, what is it a 4 man league? I play in three competitive leagues and both were gone by the seventh or eighth pick.

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The 2nd place team in big money league didn't draft a rb till the 4th or 5th round.

 

I am the 1 seed, but my first pick was a waste with Fournette. I got lucky that Barkley fell to me in the 2nd.

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People have a peculiar definition of luck imo. It's not luck if Barkley falls to you in the second or if you get Hunt in the second or if Mahomes is playing Baltimore in the playoffs or if you got Aaron Jones off the WW.

 

I don't think you can point to RB/RB drafts as a reason for being good either. Sure Elliott and Hunt were a great foundation, but what about the guy that went Fournette/Cook?

 

There's so much that goes into building a good FF squad. It starts with your predraft preparation, evaluating the talent pool and where there is a surplus or deficit, or a sharp dropoff in either talent or reliability.

 

This research allows you to develop a plan, and from that plan you go into your draft which is the next important stage b/c your pre draft plan probably isn't going to work out the way you had hoped. And you need to be flexible enough in your plan to adapt to the actual situation.

 

The first couple of weeks you evaluate the undrafted players and see who's got a chance to do things you didn't expect before the season started (I'm looking at you Philip Lindsay). You're trying not to chase the guy who had 2 TDs last week, you want to find the guy that will have 2 TDs THIS week.

 

After four weeks or so you have a reasonable idea of your teams strengths/weaknesses and the strengths/weaknesses of the other teams in your league. Maybe you make a trade to shore up a position or some bye week issues, maybe you buy low or sell high, but somewhere in there there's a chance to improve your team.

 

Halfway through the season you have a solid grasp on your team and league and you can turn an eye to playoff matchups. Maybe someone has a super awesome playoff schedule and it's worth it to try and acquire them (looking at you Cam).

 

And then at the end of the year you're trying to make the right start/sit decisions to push you over the edge and lamenting the fact that your star got hurt now of all times.

 

There's so much more than luck that goes into a team's success, I think it's extremely lazy to blame things on luck (good or bad). If you do that you're not going to look at things critically and learn from your mistakes for next year.

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So, there is a % of good luck and bad luck, just like NFL teams have. If you put your team in a position to win your league, good and bad breaks even out over time, and you will usually compete at the top level of your league consistently over the years. There is no logic out there for anyone to say FF is 100% luck. Not even 70% luck.

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With all this being said, I'd like to wish everyone the best of luck this week + or - 30%.

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The 2nd place team in big money league didn't draft a rb till the 4th or 5th round.

 

I am the 1 seed, but my first pick was a waste with Fournette. I got lucky that Barkley fell to me in the 2nd.

Its a crapshoot. You can win with almost any gameplan if the guys you pick pan out.

 

Guys staying healthy is the biggest factor and we cant predict that very well.

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I usually win all of my leagues with luck. That's why I only play in one team big money leagues.

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The draft and luck.

 

I disageee when I see it posted that you can’t win your league with the first few draft picks.

 

I do agree you can lose with bad early picks.

 

But I think you win with those first early round picks.

 

And with lots of good luck.

 

Just like you said you got lucky picking up Jones.

 

And streaming the right def and kickers and even tes.

WOW, the TEs, haven't they been terrible (except for a few) this year?

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Its a crapshoot. You can win with almost any gameplan if the guys you pick pan out.

 

Guys staying healthy is the biggest factor and we cant predict that very well.

 

HAHA and I'm rated the 9th worse coach for picking lineups this year.

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Select and Hunt with the first two picks, what is it a 4 man league? I play in three competitive leagues and both were gone by the seventh or eighth pick.

 

10 teams, QBs get PPR and ALL TDs count 6 points......10 teams. Top WRs usually fly off the board early too.

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I would agree.....consistency and having the best team are key to winning.

Thanks, thanks a lot...………………………………….

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WOW, the TEs, haven't they been terrible (except for a few) this year?

That’s why you stream them.

 

And then you might land a winner.

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People have a peculiar definition of luck imo. It's not luck if Barkley falls to you in the second or if you get Hunt in the second or if Mahomes is playing Baltimore in the playoffs or if you got Aaron Jones off the WW.

 

I don't think you can point to RB/RB drafts as a reason for being good either. Sure Elliott and Hunt were a great foundation, but what about the guy that went Fournette/Cook?

 

There's so much that goes into building a good FF squad. It starts with your predraft preparation, evaluating the talent pool and where there is a surplus or deficit, or a sharp dropoff in either talent or reliability.

 

This research allows you to develop a plan, and from that plan you go into your draft which is the next important stage b/c your pre draft plan probably isn't going to work out the way you had hoped. And you need to be flexible enough in your plan to adapt to the actual situation.

 

The first couple of weeks you evaluate the undrafted players and see who's got a chance to do things you didn't expect before the season started (I'm looking at you Philip Lindsay). You're trying not to chase the guy who had 2 TDs last week, you want to find the guy that will have 2 TDs THIS week.

 

After four weeks or so you have a reasonable idea of your teams strengths/weaknesses and the strengths/weaknesses of the other teams in your league. Maybe you make a trade to shore up a position or some bye week issues, maybe you buy low or sell high, but somewhere in there there's a chance to improve your team.

 

Halfway through the season you have a solid grasp on your team and league and you can turn an eye to playoff matchups. Maybe someone has a super awesome playoff schedule and it's worth it to try and acquire them (looking at you Cam).

 

And then at the end of the year you're trying to make the right start/sit decisions to push you over the edge and lamenting the fact that your star got hurt now of all times.

 

There's so much more than luck that goes into a team's success, I think it's extremely lazy to blame things on luck (good or bad). If you do that you're not going to look at things critically and learn from your mistakes for next year.

Great post, very nice.

 

But you forgot one thing, after one does all that stuff you pray that you get lucky and those players perform the way you think they will.

 

Awesome job thanks. Hey good luck today.

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Wrong, the key to winning is having the guy that goes for 200yds 2 tds randomly during the week you need him to and not having your guys get injured or randomly kicked out of the league for beating up women. As long as you can predict all that, your good. Enjoy.

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Wrong, the key to winning is having the guy that goes for 200yds 2 tds randomly during the week you need him to and not having your guys get injured or randomly kicked out of the league for beating up women. As long as you can predict all that, your good. Enjoy.

I didn't think about the domestic violence thing when drafting, but my main 2 RBs were Zeke and Hunt, both with history relating to that-ugh.

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So when someone needs a curtain amount of points going into Monday night to win, do we wish them good luck or good skill? M

 

But we see Jesus, who was made a little lower than the angels for the suffering of death, crowned with glory and honor; that He by the grace of God should taste death for every man.

Amen

Hebrews 2:9.

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All you can do is draft logically with value in mind. After that, you have to hope to evade usage shenanigans and rolled ankles/twisted knees/tmz vids.

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The most reliable strategy is to overpay to grab a second 1st round pick in your fantasy draft. The reason why it works is most people are very well-researched in the first couple of rounds so you need an edge there. In later rounds, people get sloppy and just being prepared is enough to gain an edge.

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I digest a lot of draft information in pre-season, but I do so with my twist on things. I was all-in on players like McCaffrey and Kittle, After going back and watching some footage, i was all in Saquon and took him ahead of Kamara, Hunt, Cook, Fournette and Gordon in my work league Then I started praying that McCaffrey would fall to me in the 2nd and sure enough he did. But for hitting on those two, I delayed at WR and missed badly on Baldwin this year in multiple leagues. I missed Theilen by 1 pick (taken just ahead of Baldwin) and stupidly took Baldwin with Cooks, Woods and JuJu (who I criminally underrated) still on the board. There's no rhyme or reason, just things I read and gut instinct. If I take Cooks or Woods instead of Baldwin I'm likely having a MUCH better season. Bottom line...

 

It's a good part educated guessing and lots of luck.

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You won't win the league on draft day, but you sure can lose it.

I'm a firm believer you take no chances with your first 2 picks, and then always go BPA with your 3rd. After that, do whatever you want and swing for the fences.

But, rookies, new teams, injury history, legal trouble. The only good player on a flat out crappy team. I try to stay away from all of that with the first 2 picks.

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I have found the best way to build consistency is with depth, by playoff time, you should know who your best players are

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You won't win the league on draft day, but you sure can lose it.

I'm a firm believer you take no chances with your first 2 picks, and then always go BPA with your 3rd. After that, do whatever you want and swing for the fences.

But, rookies, new teams, injury history, legal trouble. The only good player on a flat out crappy team. I try to stay away from all of that with the first 2 picks.

 

 

I have found the best way to build consistency is with depth, by playoff time, you should know who your best players are

Agree with both of you, but was it well known that Hunt had been in trouble from February? I hadn't heard about it if so-my bad. And yes, my depth is usually so good (play wrong players sometime) I'm gonna have to try and talk my old stubborn league-mates into including a flex player into our lineups.

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I never heard anything about Hunt either.

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I believe I do remember hearing a blurb about it back then, because I have Hunt on a dynasty team.

It was during the off season and they didn't say much about it so I pretty much forgot.

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