Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Ray_T

Comparable analyisis

Recommended Posts

Hey guys,

 

one thing I do often like to do is to compare different fantasy websites.

 

I like to get more than one opinion on most things and I really enjoy a good debate regarding certain players.

 

one of the things I also like to do is I like to compare rankings of competing websites.

 

now, I dont go to websites and promote or give exposure to other websites (its just bad manners) so I will refer to the website I used as 'Website A'

 

there are many ways to use this kind of analysis, but I use it to identify potential areas of research.

 

so for example:

 

FFtoday ranks Gore and Powell at #15 and #16 respectively.

 

Website A ranks them at 34 and 33 Respectively.

 

now it does not surprise me to see a wide range of values surrounding Gore due largely to his age. clearly fftoday thinks he has one good year left and website A does not.

 

Powell is listed behind Forte on the team depth chart, but clearly this is a case where it is possible that Powell is going to replace Forte at some point during the season. so both websites differ on when this is likely to happen.

 

the interesting thing about these analysis is that the issues are largely the same.

 

In one case, fftoday thinks gore (the old guy) has one more year left, but thinks Forte does not.

 

Now I am not doing this to say one website is right and one is wrong. the purpose of this exercise is to identify areas where additional research may be warranted or areas where there may be significant risk with the player.

 

another example: Perkins is ranked #14 by fftoday. Website A ranks him at #31. clearly fftoday thinks he is a high end RB2 and Website A thinks he's a middling RB3. Interestingly enough both websites think he will lead his team in rushing. when you see a difference this large, thats not often the case.

 

This is an area that may be worthy of more research. My belief is that Perkins will be the starter, and generally I like starting RB's on teams that I think will have a win percentage that is better than .500. While I think a ranking of #14 may be overly optomistic, I dont think its far from where I would rank him. I think he will definitely be a RB2 if he remains healthy and based on the info I have found I think he's probably should be in the top 24 RB's. I'm still doing more research and will watch the camp reports with great interest, and will adjust my ranking on this guy based on what I find out.

 

There are other examples, and I generally recommend using 2-3 sources. when I see large differences in rankings, I usually try to find out why. It allows me to better understand the risks associated with drafting the player in question, and I think this type of analysis has made me a better fantasy footballer.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Giants seem in line to pass, but I do see there at 8 for defense. Hard to ignore a 1 back system so maybe he will get a lot of trash yards.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Giants seem in line to pass, but I do see there at 8 for defense. Hard to ignore a 1 back system so maybe he will get a lot of trash yards.

If the Giants are defending a lead in the 4th quarter, the Run% will go up in a huge way.

 

lots of times in the last 2 years, the Giants were playing from behind in the 4th quarter (which meant the run game mostly disappeared)

 

so I think if this is the situation, the Giants RB's will receive much of the benefit. I like perkins as an RB2.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

×