Jump to content


The Football Guru

Member Since 05 Feb 2005
Online Last Active Today, 08:36 PM
-----

#6327037 Coutee

Posted by The Football Guru on 04 October 2018 - 01:01 AM

I'll touch on this topic in the Blitz, which should be posted sometime this afternoon.




#6300759 Jamaal Williams for Fitzgerald? WRs lacking on 11th pick team..

Posted by The Football Guru on 05 September 2018 - 07:55 PM

Well written post....however last year was last year, pass blocking has improved already. Jones will start at one point .

 

Thanks. Where's the proof on the pass-blocking improvement? I don't deny Jones will probably start at one point or another, but I'm getting the sense it will be due to injury.

 

 

When Jones returns he will be the rb1.

If you own J Williams I’ll be praying for early success, his value would go up and then trade him.

Thanks.

 

Why speak in absolutes? If Jones was such a slam-dunk to start upon his return, wouldn't he be going around the same time Mark Ingram is?

 

Just out of curiosity, what happens if Williams goes for 100 total yards and a touchdown this week in a game GB is favored to win and Chicago has two key defensive guys (Roquan Smith and Mack) still learning the system? Still think the job is just going to get handed over? Jones' truthers better hope JW falls flat on his face in each of the first two games, because if Williams does well in either one, he's probably going to get a heavy workload against WAS-BUF-DET-SF leading up to the bye.




#6297037 Le’Veon Bell - The hold out continues!

Posted by The Football Guru on 31 August 2018 - 12:46 PM

Anyone who drafted Bell over the other top 3 consensus rbs made a big mistake. If he was the 4th pick, well I wouldn't have wanted to be in that position, but I get why someone would make it. If people passed on David Johnson for Bell because of some ridiculous notion that Bell was somehow safer and has higher upside, I am going to laugh pretty hard.

 

If you drafted Bell, I hope you reached a little for Connor. I will be starting Connor in my flex if Bell doesn't play over the likes of Royce Freeman or Carlos Hyde.

 

I am 2-for-2 :thumbsup: your posts today. I've seen Bell go #1 so often that it makes me laugh (and cry).

 

I don't understand how everyone is so convinced that Bell will: 1) report, 2) hit the ground running, 3) won't lose some work this season to a much-improved Conner, 4) ignore the history of recent 400-touch backs, 5) not try to preserve himself if he does get dinged or 6) adjust seamlessly to a new OC.

 

Did I miss anything?




#6292568 Doug Orth's Big Boards 2.0 - Top 200

Posted by The Football Guru on 25 August 2018 - 01:56 AM

For anyone that can't get the boards to print, try this:

 

Go to print preview, find page setup and then check the box that asks "Print Background Colors and Images". If the problem is a matter of width, switching from portrait to landscape will probably do the trick.



#6292277 Doug Orth's Big Boards 2.0 - Top 200

Posted by The Football Guru on 24 August 2018 - 01:35 PM

Doug!  In the good name of Capt Kirk of the USS Enterprise to Scotty--'I need that POWER'!

 

Beam down those kickers and defensive rankings.....I'm in trouble tomorrow.

 

Energize! 

 

Nice.

 

Send me an e-mail using the link at the top of any one of my articles. I'll make sure you have them before I go to sleep tonight.




#6291754 Anyone grabbing ADP?

Posted by The Football Guru on 23 August 2018 - 10:12 PM

I'm treating him like Gore, but folks need to stop pretending he is 100 percent done. Do you remember the mad rush people made to the waiver wire last season when Arizona actually blocked for him? We all know he's not 20-something AD anymore, but Washington has a good o-line when it is healthy and should give him better game scripts.

 

If folks don't believe he can stay healthy and want to avoid him b/c of that, I'm OK with that. But to say the likely early-down back in Washington - behind essentially the same line that made Fat Rob worth starting two years ago - won't be at least a decent flex option on occasion is hard for me to believe. Think RB4 and a decent bye-week filler, albeit one with a difficult schedule.




#6291339 Instant Fantasy Analysis - TE Mike Gesicki, Dolphins

Posted by The Football Guru on 23 August 2018 - 12:11 PM

So a lot of hype around him has died down as he has had a very quiet preseason through two games. But practice reports are still glowing with news he's working after practice with Tanny in the redzone and Kenny Stills saying he catches the ball like Jimmy Graham. The Miami D is also apparently raving about him. So why has he not flashed in the preseason yet? Are they keeping him underwraps for the regular season? Are they purposely keeping him in to block to work on that during the preseason? Is he still the best late dart throw at TE over guys like Austin Hooper, Ben Watson and Ricky Seals Jones? I still want to believe. 

 

No reason for Miami to unleash its super-secret weapon on the league until it has to, right?  :first:




#6284207 Doug Orth's Big Boards 2.0 - Top 200

Posted by The Football Guru on 11 August 2018 - 11:17 PM

It's completely silly and almost irresponsible, as a supposed "expert", to rank Fournette #2 in PPR (or in any league).  I understand wanting to be "different" and perhaps "bold", but come on.  And then to say you probably wouldn't draft him #2 if given the option, seems like a complete waste of time, regardless how you spin it.  I've followed you over the years and have used your big board in the past, but once I saw Fournette #2, I almost stopped, until I saw Bell at 11?????  If Bell were there at 8, and you were on the board, would you not take Bell?  I would think your BOARD would represent what you would pick if given the choice, no way Bell last until 11, even if you are drafting...makes ZERO sense.

 

I would love for you to join a big $ PPR league, have the #2 pick, and draft Fournette (put your money where your mouth is). Don't rank him #2 and not pick him.  Otherwise, put him where you would actually take him if given the choice!

 

And Kamara at 17 with Ingram out the first 4-weeks?  This guy is a PPR machine, crazy where you have him ranked.

 

I think you mostly misinterpreted what I said. It's not about me being bold or different, it's about readers saying they want it and criticizing those analysts when they do it. I knew I was going to ruffle a few feathers doing it. That either makes me crazy (possible) or someone who very much believes in what he is saying.

 

If you want to ignore the warning signs with Bell and Kamara, that's your call. The overriding point was I would take Bell once if I was given a multitude of high picks in drafts, which almost never happens. I want almost no shares of Bell this year and I'll stick by that even if he proves me wrong. I only want one share so I can diversify my portfolio.

 

Kamara was historically efficient from a yardage and touchdown standpoint. Payton has already said he doesn't want to put much more on his plate. I tend to believe him b/c Payton has been an RBBC guy since he arrived.

 

I will take Fournette if/when the time comes, although I doubt I'll get a top three pick. I can't remember getting such a pick in the last 3-4 years and I've been in an average of about 12 leagues (so around 50 drafts).

 

I'm dropping roughly $5-6 K into money leagues this year (most of which is house money) and my Big Boards are what I use. I play 1.5 K leagues on Fuzzy's and a handful of RTS leagues. Come join me.




#6282928 Doug Orth's Big Boards 2.0 - Top 200

Posted by The Football Guru on 09 August 2018 - 11:07 PM

Is anyone out there worried about D. Cook's TDs being vultured by Murray? 

 

That Cook is coming back from injury and the team won't have any reason to overwork him?  

 

Doug has him ranked pretty high over some stud WRs (Thomas, Adams Julio, for example).

 

I think it is more of a concern than most seem to think. With that said, everything I hear coming out of Minnesota is the Vikings will let Cook hit the ground running.




#6276356 Rookie Draft Rankings - Top 50

Posted by The Football Guru on 30 July 2018 - 09:23 PM

Updated Doug's top 50 overall for rookies. I also added some ADP data so you can see where Doug is higher or lower than concensus.

 

Nice touch, boss.  :thumbsup:




#6272475 RB Wisdom

Posted by The Football Guru on 24 July 2018 - 10:15 PM

I have a hard time seeing McKinnon as "the guy".   He just seems to be better suited as a complimentary back.  McKinnon had his opportunities in Minnesota in more than one season when he was thrust into an unexpectedly  prominent role due to circumstances. He could not even keep a plodder like Asiata off of the field.  

 

I hear this over and over about McKinnon. It never seemed as though he lost the job to Asiata, rather the Vikings deciding he couldn't handle the full load. I'll bet on a superior athlete and Kyle Shanahan's eye for RB talent over the whims of Norv Turner and Pat Shurmur.

 

With that said, Mixon is the better keeper candidate IMO, so I agree with you there.




#6265473 Sleeper RB......

Posted by The Football Guru on 15 July 2018 - 03:34 PM

Joe Williams is a good call. McKinnon won't last.

 

Just saw this on Twitter and didn't want to create another thread. Are we sure he's too small?

 

https://twitter.com/...322566841171969




#6262395 ** Rounds 4-6 Commentary - July PPR Mock 2018 **

Posted by The Football Guru on 11 July 2018 - 02:34 PM

Happy with my RB/WR core and felt I could draft a solid QB without playing catchup.  He was last years #1 and he will still be throwing a ton.

 

Your team in this draft is built similar to the team I'm drafting in the Scott Fish Bowl at the moment out of the 12 spot. (It's a compliment.) Scoring is considerably different, but I snagged Collins as my RB2 at 4.01 and Fitz as my WR2 at 6.01.

 

My RB1 is similar to your RB1 (Hunt, Gordon) and the WR1s are similar as well (OBJ, Allen). While Brees and Wilson are considerably different QBs, both have huge ceilings and safe floors.




#6240512 Question for Mike

Posted by The Football Guru on 10 June 2018 - 03:14 PM

Live look at FF Today headquarters at the start of the season.  :lol: 




#6218009 Dynasty Rankings - Update

Posted by The Football Guru on 08 May 2018 - 02:25 PM

Overall the rankings are great with a few minor things I don't agree 100% with. If we ranked players the same and agreed on everything it would take a lot of fun out playing fantasy football.

 

Thanks. I'm not taking your remarks as criticism. It's good to have differing opinions.

 

Believe me, I don't lose sleep over worrying about what potential criticism when I do rankings/analysis. This isn't the right business for people with thin skin  :P