Consistency Rankings - Trends and Analysis

[Mike FF Today 607]

Doug's diving deep on the consistency subject and now has two years worth of data for his "SRS" (Simple Rating System) on the consistency of a player. You'll want to check out Doug's observations and thoughts on how consistency can/should be applied to your 2015 draft strategy.

 

Consistency Rankings Analysis

[DrG 94]

Another fine wine ... thank you again, Doug.

[Flgatorguy87 160]

Good read

[DrG 94]

I see traces of big board 2015!

[DrG 94]

Doug, I'm interested in how you incorporate the consistency rankings into your big board. As I read your rankings, I look at players who are close together in SRS, but not necessarily similarly ranked. If I understand this correctly, on one end you can identify players whose numbers are inflated by a couple of big games (a la Doug Martin from a few years ago), and on the other, players who might surprise you with their week in/week out consistency barring injury, but not necessarily a player who ever flies off the charts with a monster game here or there ....

[Frozenbeernuts 1,652]

I believe consistency plays a pretty big role in his big boards.

[The Football Guru 211]

Doug, I'm interested in how you incorporate the consistency rankings into your big board. As I read your rankings, I look at players who are close together in SRS, but not necessarily similarly ranked. If I understand this correctly, on one end you can identify players whose numbers are inflated by a couple of big games (a la Doug Martin from a few years ago), and on the other, players who might surprise you with their week in/week out consistency barring injury, but not necessarily a player who ever flies off the charts with a monster game here or there ....

I think the last part of what you said is spot-on. I didn't really work last year's findings into last year's Big Board b/c I wasn't really sure of what to make of it. I'm not sure I'm a master of it now, but I can see the value of doing the research and the analysis that has come out of the research. I'm not quite sure how the Big Boards will look yet, but they will be undergoing a change this year (as I'll allude to in tomorrow's column). As much as anything, I wanted to keep the good qualities of it (which were many ), streamline it AND make it more difficult to be swayed by offseason hype and/or a great preseason performance by handing out grades in areas that are going to hard to change once established (such as talent, job security and red-zone involvement for quarterbacks, for example). Like a real draft board, I think a fantasy draft board should undergo very few changes once the talent pool is known, with only injuries, league discipline and/or surprising depth chart changes in the preseason affecting it much from week to week. I'll try to explain it in more detail tomorrow in the column.

 

As for what FBN just said, that is very much true. It will continue to be a big factor that will be accounted for as well, even if none of the positional attributes I cite mention it specifically. Many of the attributes (I feel) are what plays into that consistency.

[DrG 94]

I think the challenge is evolving to a higher degree of difficulty as teams that emphasize the pass can move targets around much easier based on scheme and matchups than teams that emphasize the run to 'impose' their will. To me, the evolution of the passing game and RBBC makes matchups more important than they were before the rule changes.

[The Football Guru 211]

I think the challenge is evolving to a higher degree of difficulty as teams that emphasize the pass can move targets around much easier based on scheme and matchups than teams that emphasize the run to 'impose' their will. To me, the evolution of the passing game and RBBC makes matchups more important than they were before the rule changes.

Agreed.

[Chasers Dawg 9]

How much does schedule factor into this ?? To me this would make a huge difference up or down

[fifityfanzz 0]

Agreed.

 

me too.