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Vern357

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About Vern357

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    FF Geek
  1. Will Dursely. Seattle TE. If he can come back from the injury will be a force to contend with.
  2. If you want good feedback, give some examples and we can debate them.
  3. Vern357

    Pass Interference Calls are now Reviewable

    Honestly, I dont think it should be coach's challenge. Should be called from new york either way.
  4. Vern357

    The Free Agency Thread

    I would love to see seattle sign Weddle. The rest of the DB's are still so green that a veteran signal caller that can keep things in front of him and direct the troops would be fantastic.
  5. Chargers and Eagles. Both because of the QB's :/
  6. Vern357

    Alex Smith gruesome leg injury

    Oh man, poor guy, that some tough sledding
  7. Vern357

    The Official Week 11 FU Thread

    Is D. Thomas even on the field?
  8. Vern357

    Amari Cooper traded to Cowboys

    Huh. I guess the last part is a little hard to read...............
  9. Vern357

    Amari Cooper traded to Cowboys

    Pro Football Reference put together a metric called “draft value” which attempts to rate the draft value of players at different positions to arrive at a measure of how well teams have drafted. It ranges from 0-160, with only 1% scoring 80 or higher. It weighs factors such as number of games started, individual stats, team performance and all-pro honors. It also does not include a player’s career after he was traded from the team that drafted him. So, for example, Jared Allen’s value to the Chiefs was much lower because it did not consider his career after he was traded to the Vikings. BREAKING DOWN NFL DRAFT SUCCESSBased on this metric, here is how all draft picks over the past 20 years (not including last year) have fared overall: 16.7% Didn’t Play for the Team that Drafted Them. Most of these are draft picks that didn’t make the team, however, there were a few draft picks that were immediately traded that were of great value- Eli Manning and Philip Rivers for example. But generally these were few and far between so it is safe to say that most in this category (let’s say 16% of the 16.7%) were busts. 37% Were Considered “Useless” Also known as busts. These are players that had a draft metric of between 0-4, and rarely or never saw the field. Guys like Ryan Leaf, Ryan Mallet and the Vikings’ 1999 1st round pick Dimitrius Underwood, to name a few. These are players that basically did nothing to help the team at all - and represent over a third of all draft picks over the past 20 years. 15.3% Were Considered “Poor” Still pretty clearly in bust territory. These are players that had underwhelming careers with a draft metric between 5-10, and include some pretty well known busts such as Jamarcus Russell (who scored a 6). So, if you add up these first three categories of bust (excluding a few draft pick trades that worked out), you come up with just over 68% of all draft picks over the past 20 years have been busts- over two-thirds of all draft picks. I would rate coop better than all of those. But to answer my own question: Round Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 1 99.7% 93.5% 83.9% 77.4% 71.0% 2 96.8% 96.1% 83.9% 74.2% 41.9% 3 96.9% 75.1% 62.5% 37.5% 18.8% 4 91.4% 74.3% 54.3% 34.3% 17.2% 5 81.1% 56.8% 37.8% 24.3% 16.2% 6 70.2% 57.5% 35.3% 20.9% 10.6% 7 58.3% 45.8% 31.3% 21.7% 16.7% Thanks to Joe Mahoney for creating this visual chart.
  10. Vern357

    Amari Cooper traded to Cowboys

    Honestly I kind of like it. Whats the percentage of 1st round picks still on a team at the end the first season? Not that high. So they traded at best a 50/50 roll of the dice for a guy that could prove to be better odds than 50/50. I think dallas did alright.
  11. Vern357

    Josh Gordon is getting released. He is done.

    Seattle needs WR, and pots legal here too............
  12. Vern357

    Cobb being shopped

    Seattle lost Baldwin, and likes trading with GB, might be an option.
  13. Vern357

    Sleeper RB......

    In no great order: Dion Lewis Austin Eckler Jalen Richard
  14. Vern357

    Brandon Marshall signs with Seattle

    No disagreement there.
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