12 team dynasty, PPR and IDP. I'm sitting on the #4 pick in the rookie draft. I'm assuming that the top 6 will consist of Luck, RGIII, Richardson, Doug Martin, Blackmon and Floyd in some order. 1st pick will be Richardson, by my guess, since that guy is light on RB and already has Brees @ QB. 2nd pick is likely Luck/RGIII based on the fact that his QB is Joe Flacco (although he's weak at RB and WR aside from Calvin Johnson). 3rd pick is where things get interesting. He has Cam Newton and Stafford @ QB, but is painfully light @ RB. He's better @ WR with Mike Wallace, Kenny Britt, Malcolm Floyd (SD) and Jacoby Ford. My gut tells me he goes with David Nelson in Tampa. That leaves me with a difficult situation. QB's are high scoring in this league, and while Roethlisberger is borderline top 10, he's not a difference maker. I need help in every area except RB right now, which plays well with how I think the draft will unfold. I should have whoever is left from Luck/RGIII, which I'm hoping is actually RGIII. I should also have the two top WR, Blackmon and Floyd, available. It gets interesting again at 5th pick because the same team that owns #3 also owns #5. He could take the BPA @ 3, then come back and fill for need @ 5. 6th pick may be available, but would cost me.
Below is my existing roster. I have the All Injury team @ RB, but some of that was late season pickups in teh hopes of bolstering it long term. It's PPR, so a healthy lineup of McCoy, Charles and whoever is healthy from Best/Williams/Greene is pretty stout. While I don't have a true #1 WR, I've got a deep lineup of #2 guys, particularly in PPR (Nelson finished high, but I don't expect him to duplicate it this year...while he may catch more passes, there's no way he keeps up the long TD roll he was on last year).
QB Ben Roethlisberger PIT, Vince Young BUF, Kevin Kolb ARI
RB Jamaal Charles KAN, LeSean McCoy PHI, Shonn Greene NYJ, Jahvid Best DET, James Starks GNB, Ryan Williams ARI, Mikel Leshoure DET
WR Santonio Holmes NYJ, Sidney Rice SEA, Jordy Nelson GNB, Jeremy Maclin PHI, Antonio Brown PIT, Jonathan Baldwin KAN, Greg Little CLE
TE Dustin Keller NYJ
K Mike Nugent CIN
DL Andre Carter NWE, J.J. Watt HOU
LB James Harrison PIT, Kamerion Wimbley TEN, Sean Lee DAL,
DB Ronde Barber TAM, Troy Polamalu PIT
I'm figuring I can still catch a TE or WR in the 2nd round (guys like Jared Cook and Martellus Bennet are still available, and I'm hoping that Fleener may last until 2nd round). I've also considered offering a package deal to move up to #6. I might be able to offer some combination of 2nd rounder this year (I have two), pick(s) next year and/or players for a chance to move back up. Any suggestions? What's the concensus on Luck vs RGII short and long term? Feelings on Blackmon vs Floyd short and long term? Any input is welcomed.