12 replies to this topic

[swirvenirvin]

NFL 1-1-1 -.23 units.

All prop picks are tracked at http://ffslickpicks.com

Looks like just one play for tomorrow night. I rarely play Packers receivers because Rodgers just throws the ball to the open guy so it's really hard to predict. James Jones over 3.5 is pretty tempting especially with Jennings listed as doubtful, but I have learned from the past not to make a play on these guys unless I see some real value. If Jennings is out and prop is still at 3.5 I may make it a play.



Last year during every Bears loss Forte (not counting game he got injured) had at least 4 catches. Obviously don't know the outcome but Packers are favored by 6-7 points. Plus his last 3 games vs the Packers he has gone 7, 10 and 8 receptions vs them.



Forte over 3.5 receptions (-115)- Sportsbook

[bjsteel]

NE -13.5 vs Arz (perhaps this is a trap game, but NE should be favored by 18+) The 13.5 seems way to obvious and scares me...
Bears +6 @ GB
Jets +6 @ Pitt
Oak -2.5 @ Miami
SD -6 vs Tenn
Balt +2.5 @ Philly

[phillybear]

NCAA: 21-17-1; +2.48 units
NFL: 5-9; -4.15 units
CFL: 1-1; +1.7 units

Thursday. Another golden opportunity to lose money on some meaningless games just because they are on TV.

NCAA
South Florida (-7)@-130 for 3 units

South Florida is putting up some impressive offensive numbers, which is the opposite of what we have come to expect. Last week they knocked off a decent Nevada team which is a very, very tough team at home in Nevada. Rutgers hasn't played anyone that is worth a sh!t yet, really seemed to struggle with a bad Tulane team and Div 1-AA Howard. Rutgers has a new head coach and a new QB that is struggling badly so far against bad teams so I don't think they can trade scores with So Flor.

NFL
Edit upgraded: Chicago (+5.5) for 3 units

I'll throw this in when I get home from work, so I don't have a line yet. Green Bay had the worst defense in the league last year, and it doesn't look any better. Chicago put up some impressive offensive numbers last week, although the Colts aren't all that great defensively. Still, all those new offensive weapons should improve the Bears. The logical play is to take Green Bay to bounce back from a loss, and they beat Chicago twice last year by double digits, but contrarian is the way to go in the NFL over the long haul.

Good luck to all.

[swirvenirvin]

Not sure I believe all the talk about Cobb lining up in the backfield, but worth a half unit

Randell Cobb over 4 receptions (-145) .5 units - 5dimes

[swirvenirvin]

I think I'm done with 5dimes. They post their crap 3 hours before kickoff I think I get all giddy because there is a prop sportsbook doesn't have and I bet on it. 0-2 on 5dimes bets now. Plus in the Forte bet I just said I hate betting on Green Bay WR's and then bet on them. Oh well 1-1 for the night but in the green.

[swirvenirvin]

All plays are 1 unit unless noted and found on sportsbook

- Last year Cam went over 5 rushes every single game, last week he only went for 5 but they got kind of dominated.

Cam Newton (Panthers) Total Rushing Attempts - Must Play
Over 5.5 (-140)Winner

- Devery Henderson has been ruled out, should be increased target for Moore. Graham has gone for 8 catches a game his last two games vs Carolina

Jimmy Graham (Saints) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 5.5 (-140)Winner

Lance Moore (Saints) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-115)Loser

- Only gone over 22 once vs the Jets, don't think Revis being out should matter too much.

Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers) Total Completions - Must Play
Under 21.5 (-115)Loser

Andre Roberts (Cardinals) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4 (-115)Loser

Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 5 (-115)Loser

Victor Cruz (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 5.5 (-150)Winner

Matt Schaub (Texans) Total Completions - Must Play
Under 21.5 (-125) 1.2Loser

Danny Amendola (Rams) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-140)Winner

Sam Bradford (Rams) Total Passing Yards - Must Play
Under 235.5 (-115) 1.25Loser

- He should be the Lions "running game"
Brandon Pettigrew (Lions) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-130)

-Britt on limited snap count, Nate Washington doubtful
Jared Cook (Titans) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 3 (-120) 1.5Push

[phillybear]

NCAA: 30-26-2; -2.11 units
NFL: 5-10; -7.45 units
CFL: 1-1; +1.7 units

Sunday. Will probably add more. Good luck to all.

NFL for 3 units
San Francisco (-6.5) WINNER

NFL for 2 units
Minnesota (-2.5)@-120 LOSER
Kansas City (+3.5)@-120 LOSER
Baltimore (+3)@-120 WINNER
Oakland (-1.5) LOSER
Cincinnati (-6.5)@-130 WINNER
Jacksonville (+7.5)@-130 LOSER

Dallas (-3)@-125 LOSER
San Diego (-6.5) WINNER
Pittsburgh (-4.5 WINNER

[tikigods]

Tikigods 2012 Season: 3-0

Early games 9/16/12

Baltimore +1
New Orleans -1

Late games 9/16/12

NYJets +5

[bjsteel]

SF -7

[swirvenirvin]

Adding half unii to Pettigrew bet

[swirvenirvin]

Atlanta -2.5

[swirvenirvin]

Manning under 25.5 completions -135

[phillybear]

NCAA: 30-26-2; -2.11 units
NFL: 10-15; -8.55 units
CFL: 1-1; +1.7 units

Monday

NFL for 3 units

Atlanta (-2.5)@-120 WINNER

Edit:
NCAA: 30-26-2; -2.11 units
NFL: 11-15; -5.55 units
CFL: 1-1; +1.7 units