this is probably a decent starting point, however White receptions and TDs have been declining the past 3 years (granted they are still great with his lowest total last year being 92.) You can attribute this to Julio (whose receptions and TDs have increased the past two years), the reemergence of gonzo, or some other phenomena...
The GOOD thing is that White's YPC went up to 14.7 last year (his highest total in the past 5 years) so while i think that White will be losing targets to Julio, his yardage production should remain about the same.
I see another slight decline in receptions, but with defenses giving him a little more room i think he'll improve on last years YPC #s...
i'm thinking something like 80-85 receptions 1250ish yds 6-9 TDs...
So i guess i'm basing Fitzy outperforming Roddy on the trend of % WR efficiency and Roddy's and Julio's Trend. When you compare Targets to catch% you had Larry at a huge disadvantage to White (which for the sake of the argument i'm hoping is QB play)
Fitzy 147Targets at 45.6% Comp Pct.
Roddy 131Targets at 65.6% Comp Pct.
Julio 120Targets at 64.2% Comp Pct.
Maybe this is flawed logic, but I believe (both players healthy) Fitz continues to get more targets than Roddy. If Palmer plays well Fitz's completion percentage goes up (if it gets near Roddy's level he'd get about 96 catches) 96 catches at his career avg. for YPC gives you 1305 yards... (assuming he can't improve on that with a strong armed palmer)
I think it will be close (and probably come down to TDs which often times is a crap shoot) but the potential for Fitz has me drooling, and Roddy's slight downward trend with the emergence of Julio and potentially Jackson in the passing game has me a little worried.
12 Team Redraft
M. Ingram, J. Stewart, J. Bell, D. McFadden, K. Davis
J. Jones, A. Johnson, M. Evans, T. Williams, E. Royal