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sirensong

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sirensong last won the day on April 7 2014

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About sirensong

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  1. sirensong

    OBJ

    passer rating differential is the stat that is the most closely correlated with winning. there are different ways to get there. having a great QB is one way. having a transcendent pass rush or coverage unit is another. a strong run game influences the stat, as does receiver quality. but you can't have gold-plated everything, so a team has to make strategic choices as to how to pursue a positive passer rating differential. IMO, the giants have the least important pieces. if they could swap OBJ for a top pass rusher like mack, they would instantly get closer to playoff caliber. but i don't think they're going to be capable of doing it with eli. he was good enough to ride brilliant defensive play to 2 rings when he was in his prime, but he's too decrepit now to stay in the saddle.
  2. sirensong

    Will you take mahomes #1 overall next year

    as a quantitative analyst, it irritates me that positional draft value question hasn't been deeply modeled. yes there are variables, but there should be strong, reliable correlations. if i could find the time, like to sit down in R and do a monte carlo simulation of the last few seasons for positional value maximization.
  3. IMO total points work best as side action to the real league. the interpersonal energy of H2H is part of what keeps FF engaging throughout the entire season.
  4. sirensong

    Cooper looks good.

    yep. it's even questionable whether jerry is paying a premium--a top-5 pick next year will average $8M-$9M for 4 years in exchange for probably 2 years of WR1 production. over the next 5, coop will probably average $17M for 5 years of WR1 production. and DAL didn't have to tank the season to get him. best of all, he's elevating a fundamentally unsound QB into a serious downfield passing threat.
  5. sirensong

    Saints at Cowboys: In-Game Discussion

    you weren't paying attention. elliott was doing great in the first half, when he was being employed as a receiver in creative ways. then halftime happened, linehan went back to boring, predictable playcalling, and the cowboys racked up 20 yards of offense in the entire 3rd quarter and into the 4th.
  6. sirensong

    Saints at Cowboys: In-Game Discussion

    this is seeming more and more prophetic as the 2nd half wears on.
  7. sirensong

    Saints at Cowboys: In-Game Discussion

    agreed. those 8 points left on the field might come up big. one way or another, this demonstrates that the DAL defense is for real, and capable of competing at a playoff level.
  8. sirensong

    Saints at Cowboys: In-Game Discussion

    holy . cowboys came to play!
  9. sirensong

    Saints at Cowboys: In-Game Discussion

    can't waste possessions
  10. sirensong

    Mahomes

    made some wrong calls and dumb decisions last night, but this kid is just a joy to watch.
  11. sirensong

    Jerry Rice says no to Eli

    he was present when the giants defense won 2 rings, and even made a couple of quality throws along the way. but it ain't the hall of skill--he's making it in.
  12. sirensong

    Cowboys at Eagles: In-Game Discussion

    why am i not allowed to post images?
  13. sirensong

    Cowboys talk

    dak's weaknesses all showed up last night: failure to anticipate, inaccurate throws, locking in on primary reads, not seeing the whole field, holding onto the ball too long, antsy in the pocket, but but it was compensated for by the zekesplosion and cooper's ability to just clown DBs.
  14. sirensong

    Cowboys at Eagles: In-Game Discussion

    I absolutely cannot root for a cowboys loss, even knowing that it would help in the long run. but it would be the most jason garrett thing ever to beat phi in their house out of desperation, resulting in no one getting fired and an even worse draft pick.
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