***Official Week 3 College Football Wagering Thread***

[Yer mom 2]

101 West Virginia -16½ 65 -850 40½ -115 -115

102 Maryland +650 -115 24½ -115

 

103 TCU -8 42 -300

104 Air Force +250

 

105 Oklahoma State -10 64 -450

106 Troy +350

 

Saturday, September 15, 2007

 

11:00 am

107 Illinois -12½ -475

108 Syracuse +375

11:00 am

109 Temple

110 Connecticut -29½

11:00 am

111 Virginia +130

112 North Carolina -3 -150

11:00 am

113 Buffalo

114 Penn State -34

11:30 am

115 Mississippi +170

116 Vanderbilt -5 -200

11:30 am

117 Mississippi State +425

118 Auburn -13 -550

12:00 pm

119 Central Michigan

120 Purdue -20½

12:00 pm

121 Cincinnati -9 -380

122 Miami Ohio +310

12:30 pm

123 Ohio

124 Virginia Tech -20½

12:30 pm (VER)

125 Iowa -17 -1000

126 Iowa State +700

1:00 pm

127 Toledo

128 Kansas -22

1:00 pm

129 Eastern Michigan +450

130 Northern Illinois -14½ -600

2:30 pm

131 Army

132 Wake Forest -20

2:30 pm (CBS)

133 Tennessee +260

134 Florida -8 -320

2:30 pm

135 Notre Dame +260

136 Michigan -7½ -320

2:30 pm

137 Utah State

138 Oklahoma -46

2:30 pm

139 Fresno State +650

140 Oregon -16½ -850

2:30 pm

141 Pittsburgh +340

142 Michigan State -10½ -440

2:30 pm (ABC)

143 Ohio State -4 -185

144 Washington +165

2:30 pm (ESPN2)

145 Texas -19

146 Central Florida

4:00 pm

147 Louisiana Tech

148 California -33½

4:00 pm (VER)

149 UCLA -13½ -600

150 Utah +450

4:00 pm (CSTV)

151 Ball State +250

152 Navy -7 -300

5:00 pm

153 Akron +400

154 Indiana -13 -500

5:00 pm

155 Southern Mississippi -1 -120

156 East Carolina +100

6:00 pm

157 Western Michigan +1300

158 Missouri -20 -2000

6:00 pm

159 Idaho

160 Washington State -26

6:00 pm

161 Houston -14½ -700

162 Tulane +500

6:30 pm

163 Louisville -7 -105 -270

164 Kentucky -115 +230

6:45 pm (ESPN)

165 Arkansas +140

166 Alabama -3 -160

7:00 pm (ABC)

167 Boston College +240

168 Georgia Tech -7 -280

7:00 pm

169 Duke +550

170 Northwestern -16½ -750

7:00 pm

171 Texas Tech -28

172 Rice

7:00 pm (ABC)

173 Southern Cal -9½ -450

174 Nebraska +350

7:00 pm

175 Texas El Paso +220

176 New Mexico State -6½ -260

7:00 pm

177 Wyoming +450

178 Boise State -12½ -600

8:00 pm (CSTV)

179 BYU -6½ -270

180 Tulsa +230

8:30 pm

181 Hawaii -17 -850

182 UNLV +650

9:00 pm (ESPN)

183 Florida State -4 -180

184 Colorado +160

9:00 pm

185 San Diego State

186 Arizona State -27½

9:00 pm

187 New Mexico +350

188 Arizona -10 -450

9:00 pm

189 San Jose State +240

190 Stanford -7 -280

2:30 pm Added Game

191 Florida International

192 Miami Florida -32½

6:00 pm Added Game

193 UL Monroe

194 Texas A&M -23½

6:00 pm Added Game

195 SMU +125

196 Arkansas State -3 -145

6:00 pm Added Game

197 Minnesota -8 -330

198 Florida Atlantic +270

7:00 pm Added Game

199 Middle Tenn State

200 LSU -40

 

 

Before I even look at the lines, im playing Louisville/Kentucky over (once its posted) so long as the line stays under 150 Also will play Mid Tenn State +40, rest to be decided later

 

Good Luck!!

[cyclone24 1,814]

Id look at taking Iowa State +17.

 

We really only get up for game a year and this is it....at home. And Iowas offense is horrible. This game really doesnt get far into the 20's. So to beat ISU by 17...might be a stretch

[The.Damned 0]

OK, I am no great handicapper, but I want to put forth games I am looking at for your amusement.

 

WV -16.5 Maryland - I think WV has to make a statement the rest of the season, I see them loading up on all competition

 

Buffalo Penn ST -34 - see WV

 

Fresno St Oregon -16.5 - watched the ducks beat my coogs and Mich, know nothing about Fresno, but think they can handle them easily, especially at home.

 

Houston -15 Tulane - Homer pick first off, but I think the coaches get them back up after the way they faded against the ducks and make this the "first game of season"

 

Louisville -6.5 Kentucky - its freaking Louisville, oh and the over as already stated

 

BC GT -7 - Wreck wants to prove the first 2 wins weren't luck, especially after ND lost game 2. I like GT, but I can see BC teaching them the error of their ways also (if I play this it will be after more info

 

Texas Tech -28 Rice - buddy went to Rice and all I can say is they are Rice

 

Hawaii -17.5 UNLV - they will want to kill their opponents after playing on the mainland 2 weeks in a row, especially after close win prior week.

 

 

Gentleman, enjoy my picks. Whether for amusement or information.

[Day Old Doughnut 0]

101 West Virginia -16½ 65 -850 40½ -115 -115

102 Maryland +650 -115 24½ -115

 

103 TCU -8 42 -300

104 Air Force +250

 

105 Oklahoma State -10 64 -450

106 Troy +350

 

Saturday, September 15, 2007

 

11:00 am

107 Illinois -12½ -475

108 Syracuse +375

11:00 am

109 Temple

110 Connecticut -29½

11:00 am

111 Virginia +130

112 North Carolina -3 -150

11:00 am

113 Buffalo

114 Penn State -34

11:30 am

115 Mississippi +170

116 Vanderbilt -5 -200

11:30 am

117 Mississippi State +425

118 Auburn -13 -550

12:00 pm

119 Central Michigan

120 Purdue -20½

12:00 pm

121 Cincinnati -9 -380

122 Miami Ohio +310

12:30 pm

123 Ohio

124 Virginia Tech -20½

12:30 pm (VER)

125 Iowa -17 -1000

126 Iowa State +700

1:00 pm

127 Toledo

128 Kansas -22

1:00 pm

129 Eastern Michigan +450

130 Northern Illinois -14½ -600

2:30 pm

131 Army

132 Wake Forest -20

2:30 pm (CBS)

133 Tennessee +260

134 Florida -8 -320

2:30 pm

135 Notre Dame +260

136 Michigan -7½ -320

2:30 pm

137 Utah State

138 Oklahoma -46

2:30 pm

139 Fresno State +650

140 Oregon -16½ -850

2:30 pm

141 Pittsburgh +340

142 Michigan State -10½ -440

2:30 pm (ABC)

143 Ohio State -4 -185

144 Washington +165

2:30 pm (ESPN2)

145 Texas -19

146 Central Florida

4:00 pm

147 Louisiana Tech

148 California -33½

4:00 pm (VER)

149 UCLA -13½ -600

150 Utah +450

4:00 pm (CSTV)

151 Ball State +250

152 Navy -7 -300

5:00 pm

153 Akron +400

154 Indiana -13 -500

5:00 pm

155 Southern Mississippi -1 -120

156 East Carolina +100

6:00 pm

157 Western Michigan +1300

158 Missouri -20 -2000

6:00 pm

159 Idaho

160 Washington State -26

6:00 pm

161 Houston -14½ -700

162 Tulane +500

6:30 pm

163 Louisville -7 -105 -270

164 Kentucky -115 +230

6:45 pm (ESPN)

165 Arkansas +140

166 Alabama -3 -160

7:00 pm (ABC)

167 Boston College +240

168 Georgia Tech -7 -280

7:00 pm

169 Duke +550

170 Northwestern -16½ -750

7:00 pm

171 Texas Tech -28

172 Rice

7:00 pm (ABC)

173 Southern Cal -9½ -450

174 Nebraska +350

7:00 pm

175 Texas El Paso +220

176 New Mexico State -6½ -260

7:00 pm

177 Wyoming +450

178 Boise State -12½ -600

8:00 pm (CSTV)

179 BYU -6½ -270

180 Tulsa +230

8:30 pm

181 Hawaii -17 -850

182 UNLV +650

9:00 pm (ESPN)

183 Florida State -4 -180

184 Colorado +160

9:00 pm

185 San Diego State

186 Arizona State -27½

9:00 pm

187 New Mexico +350

188 Arizona -10 -450

9:00 pm

189 San Jose State +240

190 Stanford -7 -280

2:30 pm Added Game

191 Florida International

192 Miami Florida -32½

6:00 pm Added Game

193 UL Monroe

194 Texas A&M -23½

6:00 pm Added Game

195 SMU +125

196 Arkansas State -3 -145

6:00 pm Added Game

197 Minnesota -8 -330

198 Florida Atlantic +270

7:00 pm Added Game

199 Middle Tenn State

200 LSU -40

 

 

Before I even look at the lines, im playing Louisville/Kentucky over (once its posted) so long as the line stays under 150 Also will play Mid Tenn State +40, rest to be decided later

 

Good Luck!!

 

Unless the game is on TV somewhere I don't think Sportsbook has totals. I'll probably ride your coattails for college. I know you, Hurricane Ditka, and philly are 3 solid cappers. I know some college, but not as much as you all.

[Yer mom 2]

Id look at taking Iowa State +17.

 

We really only get up for game a year and this is it....at home. And Iowas offense is horrible. This game really doesnt get far into the 20's. So to beat ISU by 17...might be a stretch

 

 

Seems about right, looking into that. Also leaning early towards Arizona State and Washington State. Arizona States D and Rudy Carpenter came alive in the 2nd half of last week and now face a team in SDSU that just got murdered at Wazoo, back to back road games against much better competition. Washington State should have their way comfortably with Idaho, lots of time until then though.

 

Good Luck!!

[Yer mom 2]

Unless the game is on TV somewhere I don't think Sportsbook has totals.

 

 

Olympic Sportsbook (The Greek) has totals for all games, Im sure Giants Rule will appear sooner than later with that information for you. Also Sportsbook.com is now on board with all the totals as well, not sure who else.

 

Good Luck!!

[Day Old Doughnut 0]

Olympic Sportsbook (The Greek) has totals for all games, Im sure Giants Rule will appear sooner than later with that information for you. Also Sportsbook.com is now on board with all the totals as well, not sure who else.

 

Good Luck!!

 

I thought Sportsbook wasn't giving totals for all games. If they are then sweet because that's the book I use.

 

One game someone posted earlier that I kinda disagree on is WVU/Maryland. I'm not sure WVU should be favored by that much. I'll wait to see what the masses think.

[mikeso 0]

for thursday games...i like WV -16.5 and navy +8

 

where is DITKA?

[Grind 0]

I’ll throw a couple games out that I like even though I tend to just ride the coattails of Ditka and friends.

 

USC –10 … LSU made their statement on national TV last week and closed the gap in the polls. USC’s turn on national TV this week. Carroll had a extra week of preparation, which seems like would work in USC’s favor. Make it USC 45 Nebraska 17

 

Cinci –9 … Don’t think the lines are keeping up with Brian Kelly and Cinci. Think Cinci is still benefiting from the defense established by Dantonia before he left to take the job at MSU while also benefiting from the offense Brian Kelly is establishing. Brian Kelly is a great coach (reference CMU’s record and line against the spread last year). Make it Cinci 38 Miami (OH) 10

 

Western Michigan +20 … WMU was favored to win the MAC and already has played a tough road game at West Virginia. They are battle tested. Going to Missouri won’t compare. Make it Missouri 35 WMU 24

[dmaidlow73 0]

I’ll throw a couple games out that I like even though I tend to just ride the coattails of Ditka and friends.

 

USC –10 … LSU made their statement on national TV last week and closed the gap in the polls. USC’s turn on national TV this week. Carroll had a extra week of preparation, which seems like would work in USC’s favor. Make it USC 45 Nebraska 17

 

Cinci –9 … Don’t think the lines are keeping up with Brian Kelly and Cinci. Think Cinci is still benefiting from the defense established by Dantonia before he left to take the job at MSU while also benefiting from the offense Brian Kelly is establishing. Brian Kelly is a great coach (reference CMU’s record and line against the spread last year). Make it Cinci 38 Miami (OH) 10

 

Western Michigan +20 … WMU was favored to win the MAC and already has played a tough road game at West Virginia. They are battle tested. Going to Missouri won’t compare. Make it Missouri 35 WMU 24

 

 

Grind:

I like your plays here. I haven't been impressed with what were supposed to be the strengths of NU (QB and LB). I feel like they both struggled against Wake. It is a matter of time before Keller improves, but it won't be against a defense like USC.

 

I worry about Cincinnati. I love their defense and their ability to create turnovers. However, their offense was not good last week. That game was much closer than the score. But for the turnovers the D got, I think OSU would have won the game. With that being said, turnovers are part of the game. I love the attitude that Dantonio has brought. I do think that this line is off though. I feel like people are remembering the past Miami teams and not looking closely enough at the current one. This one is not that good. Sure, they played Minnesota close, but they are HORRIBLE!! Also, keep in mind that Miami is without two offensive linemen. I think Cincy's D will have a very good day. Also, Cincy is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11. I would lay the points here.

 

WMU is a nice play. Missouri has looked decent, but they are far from dominant. WMU is better than their recent scores have indicated. The only thing that worries me is that this game is at Missouri, where the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8.

 

Good Luck!

[GobbleDog 816]

Louisville -6.5 Kentucky - its freaking Louisville...

 

My thoughts exactly.

[jkg31885 0]

Hey philli just wondering your thoughts on the games thursday...... Both home dogs figured u would be on atleast one of these.

[PackYourNut 47]

WV crushes easily as MD is terrible. MD only scored 25 on Fla Intl and 19 of those were off of turn overs.

 

I like Air Force plus the points at home though.

[DankNuggs 305]

BC will beat GaTech straight up.... take the 7 points and run.

[cribdog 0]

BC will beat GaTech straight up.... take the 7 points and run.

 

I concur...best bet on the board this week.

[PackYourNut 47]

I'll be at the GT/BC game and I am betting its a close game. GT can run well and their defense is very good. Could go either way, but in the end you gotta take the points.

[Bouve 0]

Can someone post Dr Bobs picks when they become available?

 

TIA

[Bouve 0]

NCAA: 11-8 +2.028

 

My plays so far.

 

Louisville -6.5 1 unit to win .944 units LOSE

Georgia Tech -6.5 1 unit to win .944 units LOSE

USC -9.5 1 unit to win .926 units WINNER

Tennessee +7 1 unit to win 1.02 units LOSE

Notre Dame +7.5 1 unit to win .918 units LOSE

Washington +4 1 unit to win .97 units LOSE

Alabama -3 1 unit to win .884 units PUSH

Mississippi +6 1 unit to win 1 unit LOSE

Miami Ohio +7 1 unit to win .952 units LOSE

Southern Mississippi -1 1 unit to win .9 units WINNER

Pittsburgh +10.5 1 unit to win .98 units WINNER

Hawaii -16.5 1 unit to win .944 units WINNER

[dleake8806 0]

for thursday games...i like WV -16.5 and navy +8

 

where is DITKA?

 

Do you mean Air Force +8, navy doesn't play thursday?

[Guest _my_2_cents_]

By the way - you're all welcome for Oregon over Michigan. I got them +8 in Vegas and put $100 semolians on it. I should have bet $1000 instead.

 

 

 

People in the book were shocked - SHOCKED by that game. Eeeeeeeeverryone loved Michigan coming off a loss at home. "No way they lose in the Big House 2 weeks straight to another low brow team like Oregon!" - Eeeeeeeeeeeeeveryone in there looked like they got kicked in the teef that whole game. I sat there smirking like the cat that done and swallowed the canary....I wanted to whoop it up but I was a'skeer'd that I'd get my ass kicked by 400 angry losers.

 

But it should have been obious - I mean, Michigan didn't get faster in a week.

[greyhounds 0]

Can someone post Dr Bobs picks when they become available?

 

TIA

 

I will be posting them on Thursday around 6.00 PM when he releases them...shortly around that time Philly Bear will announce his picks and MOST if NOT ALL will be Dr. Bob's. By the way Philly, You told me last week that on Wednesday you would post your leans for the weekend....or was I right about waiting for BOB??? Lets see if I were right and there should be no excusr why you don't post your leans Tonight ( Wednesday )

[Yer mom 2]

:collegefootballTVtimeout:

 

I bet on the Angels tonight, so I got that goin for me

 

:returntoregularlyscheduledprogramming:

[Yer mom 2]

I will be posting them on Thursday around 6.00 PM when he releases them...shortly around that time Philly Bear will announce his picks and MOST if NOT ALL will be Dr. Bob's. By the way Philly, You told me last week that on Wednesday you would post your leans for the weekend....or was I right about waiting for BOB??? Lets see if I were right and there should be no excusr why you don't post your leans Tonight ( Wednesday )

 

 

This is a positive vibe thread, dont ruin the flow

[Day Old Doughnut 0]

I will be posting them on Thursday around 6.00 PM when he releases them...shortly around that time Philly Bear will announce his picks and MOST if NOT ALL will be Dr. Bob's. By the way Philly, You told me last week that on Wednesday you would post your leans for the weekend....or was I right about waiting for BOB??? Lets see if I were right and there should be no excusr why you don't post your leans Tonight ( Wednesday )

 

You really have no life, do you? Why do you care so much about philly? Did he kick your dog or something?

[teddytime 0]

You really have no life, do you? Why do you care so much about philly? Did he kick your dog or something?

Greyhound, why do you have to be such a jerk who cares when he posts! Philly has been around this forum for a long while and he helps a lot of people stay in the positive if you don't like him then don't post but the rest of us happen to enjoy Philly and his writeups. if he has a lot of Dr Bobs picks then that is fine Dr Bob has been proven over the last few years! So get a clue and stop talking ###### about philly. We don't care what you think or have to say!

[UNCDave 0]

Greyhound, why do you have to be such a jerk who cares when he posts! Philly has been around this forum for a long while and he helps a lot of people stay in the positive if you don't like him then don't post but the rest of us happen to enjoy Philly and his writeups. if he has a lot of Dr Bobs picks then that is fine Dr Bob has been proven over the last few years! So get a clue and stop talking ###### about philly. We don't care what you think or have to say!

 

 

Amen to that, last weekend taught me about betting against philly , i don't care where his picks come from, cuz he explains them well, and stands by them, so good enough for me.

[JT 137]

By the way - you're all welcome for Oregon over Michigan. I got them +8 in Vegas and put $100 semolians on it. I should have bet $1000 instead.

 

People in the book were shocked - SHOCKED by that game. Eeeeeeeeverryone loved Michigan coming off a loss at home. "No way they lose in the Big House 2 weeks straight to another low brow team like Oregon!" - Eeeeeeeeeeeeeveryone in there looked like they got kicked in the teef that whole game. I sat there smirking like the cat that done and swallowed the canary....I wanted to whoop it up but I was a'skeer'd that I'd get my ass kicked by 400 angry losers.

 

But it should have been obious - I mean, Michigan didn't get faster in a week.

 

You working out with Eli, trying to heal that shoulder strained from patting yourself on the back?

 

Taking Oregon and the points wasn't that big a deal. I saw several pundits, here and elsewhere, do just that.

 

Two things that I've found aren't very welcome here are those gloating over their success...especially when limited to one pick of a team from a power conference vs another...and those gloating over another's misfortune. Both equally worthless.

[dleake8806 0]

In agreement with everyone else, we all enjoy reading philly's insight on the games, idk what the problem is greyhound but you need to relax because no one gives two sh*ts what you say!!

[phillybear 364]

I will be posting them on Thursday around 6.00 PM when he releases them...shortly around that time Philly Bear will announce his picks and MOST if NOT ALL will be Dr. Bob's. By the way Philly, You told me last week that on Wednesday you would post your leans for the weekend....or was I right about waiting for BOB??? Lets see if I were right and there should be no excusr why you don't post your leans Tonight ( Wednesday )

 

I spend most of my time posting at this site wearing several hats. One minute I'm a sociopath going on furious rants. Another minute I'm a sarcastic ass. Another minute, I go for the joke. Believe me, the Geek Bored is a cauldron of interesting personalities, and I have several different personas. If you are trying to get to me, good luck. I feel nothing is off limits for humor or ball busting, so you have your work cut out. But the exception to the rule are the gambling threads. These are typically the only threads were I try to act like a human being. But in all sincerity, good luck with whatever you are doing. You obviously haven't read too many of my posts at this site.

 

So, let's reviews some of my techniques in picking games, which I've posted in the past few years in bits and pieces. Typically, on Tuesday and Wednesday, I'll make a full list of games, opening lines, current lines, and % of where the betting public is going with their action. I'll start going over last weekend's box scores, current statistics, trends, intangible game situations, revenge angles, look ahead games, scheduling, etc. I use several different colored markers, and identify games that I like and how much I like a side by color. I'll cross games off with a black Sharpie. And I wait, everyday reading as much as I can on every single game on the board. Every game, every week. Hours and hours and hours of work.

 

Now, how does Dr Bob enter the picture? I've said over and over again, the last two years, I respect his handicapping, and have for many years now, and based on his writeups and one of my gambling buddies semi-regular phone conversations with him, I came to realize a few years ago that he looks at games in a very similar fashion. I have nothing to apologize for, because it's like having a second opinion by someone that is looking at the exact same things. Sure, I end up on the same sides as him quite frequently. But you have to understand, I've already decided on games that I like. I will wait on his picks, to see if he agrees. If he does, the games a play. If he disagrees, I go back, and try to figure out what I missed. Maybe I'll still play the game, maybe I won't. And since I don't want to go out on that ledge early without that second opinion, basically there is no reason for me to post early and go against one of his picks. He is the only handicapper that makes me second guess my picks. And I suspect that some of the folks reading these threads week to week are doing something similar. They wait to see what I'm playing, what Hurricane Ditka is playing, what Yer Mom is playing, or any of the other guys that are doing well. They will compare those picks to their own picks, and put in their games, or take another look if they are on an opposite side. That's called being smart. Comparing notes.

 

Last week, I had a nice turn around week in the NCAA, and am currently in the plus numbers. A big part of the that turn around was going 7-2 on my 3 units plays, my top plays of the week:

Cincinnati(W)

Middle Tenn St(W)

Washington(W)

Air Force(W)

Central Michigan(W)

Hawaii(L)

2nd H Air Force(W)

2nd H Central Mich(W)

2nd H Hawaii(L)

 

Now, lets examine these games. The ONLY game that Dr Bob had as pick was Cincinnati. One. Just one. Which I posted Wednesday night. Dr Bob released his plays on Thursday night. So, realistically, they were all my plays. Now that doesn't mean that I won't have larger plays on Bob games in the future. Hell, if one of my picks agrees with Hurricane Ditka, I might bump it to 3 units too. But there is a method to my madness.

 

So that is the end of this long post. Love my picks. Hate my picks. I don't care. I am posting for my own amusement. I don't have to post at all. But I'm a superstitious fellow who seems to do well posting college football at this site, and this site only. And remember, you are focking around with a guy that has a quote from American Psycho in his sig, a comment about punching Mother Teresa in her box in "location", and has made comments/jokes about AIDS, cancer, SIDS, disembowelments, screwing dead people, killing hookers, burying people alive, chewing someone's face off....you get the idea. For fock's sake, how smart is that? So I suggest you go back to ripping on others. You are wasting your time with me. I swear, you are like the living embodiment of Mongo, the retard that Matt Dillon was talking about in There's Something About Mary. I bet you don't mind being put in a leash attached to a clothesline so you can run around a bit. And I bet you like to dig.

 

Good luck with your games this week, you goofy mongoloid. I mean that.

 

Edit: The rest of you knuckleheads, don't worry about defending me. I can handle myself. But thanks anyway.

[phillybear 364]

Hey philli just wondering your thoughts on the games thursday...... Both home dogs figured u would be on atleast one of these.

 

I'm ever so slightly leading to West Virginia and TCU right now. Just not feeling the dogs in those games. I bet against Maryland last week, and Flor Int covered easily. Air Force beat a shorthanded Utah team last week, and TCU has defended their running game decently the last few years. Plus, Air Force is going with more of a spread offense this year, an offense in transition.

 

But I am liking Troy on Friday on first glance.

 

I have off from work the next two days, so I'll post tomorrow's plays sometime early in the afternoon.

[needmoremoney 0]

NCAAF YTD: 29-15-0 +18.25 units

NFL YTD: 0-1-0 -1.05 units

 

WEST VIRGINIA -16.5 @ MARYLAND 3 units

 

West Virginia has too much speed for Maryland's front and secondary. I dont' see how this game will be even close. Maryland's QBs have yet to throw with much success and WV's run D should stop a few drives. The only chance I see Maryland cover is if their RB's Lattimore and Ball continue their success from last two games. Just not sure I can believe in Maryland's ability to keep it close with a 35% 3rd down conversion rate last week @ Florida Intl, and scoring only 26 after capitalizing on 2 turnovers. WV covers this handily.

 

TCU @ AIRFORCE +8 2 units

 

TCU no longer has the depth on offense as it used to. In fact, the only offensive player that AF has to worry about is Aaron Brown (who is questionable for the game!). QB Andy Dalton has been impressive for his first year against Baylor and somewhat against Texas, but still needs more games under his belt to build his confidence. I believe Air Force will keep it close, and perhaps even eek out a win here as they will find large holes in TCUs run D. Most importantly, AF has K Ryan Harrison who has the accuracy and distance to put up a few FGs to offset a score or two from TCU. As long as AF protects the ball when they run, I don't see a blowout so I'll take the points at home.

 

I'll lock in my bets later tonight so I would appreciate any other insight that other people may have.

[American Chewy 98]

Edit: The rest of you knuckleheads, don't worry about defending me. I can handle myself. But thanks anyway.

heh i'm mostly just pissed you had to miss out on valuable capping time replying to this moron.

[phillybear 364]

heh i'm mostly just pissed you had to miss out on valuable capping time replying to this moron.

 

Currently, it's down time anyway. I'm working my way through the 4th season of Alias.

 

No TV and no beer make phillybear go something something...

Go crazy?

Don't mind if i do!! bbrrr aaagg zzzz ohh aahh ohh ggiiiii

 

Edit: Alias is a great series. Especially if you enjoy Lost like I do. It's the series prior to Lost by creator JJ Abrams.

[phillybear 364]

For those of you on Cincy, just a word of caution. I'm not saying it's a bad pick. But Cincy and Miami OH is a big time rivalry backyard brawl. And Miami OH has been a dog of 6 and 8.5, and covered both of their games this year, in back door fashion. Miami is improved, and Cincy is improved. Weird things happen in rivalry games, especially laying almost double digits on the road. I've bet both teams in every lined game thus far this year, with very nice results, but something has to give.

 

Just some food for thought.

[Guest _my_2_cents_]

You working out with Eli, trying to heal that shoulder strained from patting yourself on the back?

 

Taking Oregon and the points wasn't that big a deal. I saw several pundits, here and elsewhere, do just that.

 

Two things that I've found aren't very welcome here are those gloating over their success...especially when limited to one pick of a team from a power conference vs another...and those gloating over another's misfortune. Both equally worthless.

 

In the immortal words of Seargent Hulka, lighten up Francis.

 

I never gloated over ANYONE's misfortune. In fact I respectfully didn't jump around cheering when I hit my wager....i pulled a Barry Sanders - and walked up and handed the man my ticket without a word.

 

In a game I lost the whole book was going bananas, and I didn't want to be "that guy"

 

I wasn't gloating, but I was the only one on record in week 2. If you listened to me, you made money. There ya go. You're welcome.

[dpollaro 0]

for thursdays games at first glance i also like west virginia and tcu....but seems a little strange that both favorites will cover on national tv (or am i just over analyzing and worrying??)

 

i will look into it more and post tomorrow if i play these games..

[phillybear 364]

In the immortal words of Seargent Hulka, lighten up Francis.

 

I never gloated over ANYONE's misfortune. In fact I respectfully didn't jump around cheering when I hit my wager....i pulled a Barry Sanders - and walked up and handed the man my ticket without a word.

 

In a game I lost the whole book was going bananas, and I didn't want to be "that guy"

 

I wasn't gloating, but I was the only one on record in week 2. If you listened to me, you made money. There ya go. You're welcome.

 

Nothing to worry about. I think JT was just saying that a couple of others in this thread took Oregon this weekend too. Granted, Michigan might have been a "public" choice, but the guys in this thread are pretty sharp and are not the "betting public" Hell, I know that I had a 2 unit bet on Oregon as well. It's been established that when a highly ranked team loses for the first time, the popular opinion is that they bounce back the next week, angry, and ready to kick the sh!t out of somebody. The problem is that nearly 70% of the time, that same team doesn't cover the following week. It's the "bubble burst" theory. A team realizes that they can't win the national championship, and they simply don't have the same emotion or sense of urgency. Something to keep an eye on through the rest of the season.

 

Keep posting.

[Guest _my_2_cents_]

It's been established that when a highly ranked team loses for the first time, the popular opinion is that they bounce back the next week, angry, and ready to kick the sh!t out of somebody.

 

If I had a dollar for every time I heard this when I was in vegas. Jesus it made me sick.

 

I made money on the LSU game too...my buddy & I bet it up 100 before the game, and then when that was a lock tossed another 200 on the 2nd half. That one paid for dinner and drinks.

 

The problem is that nearly 70% of the time, that same team doesn't cover the following week. It's the "bubble burst" theory. A team realizes that they can't win the national championship, and they simply don't have the same emotion or sense of urgency. Something to keep an eye on through the rest of the season.

I agree, but within limits. I mean a cupcake isn't going to crush a team like USC if USC loses a couple. They're still a cupcake and those guys are playing for the NFL scouts. But otherwise I agree.

[dleake8806 0]

Philly, any feelings on hawaii this week do you think they will come out firing after squeeking out a win last week against La Tech?

[phillybear 364]

Philly, any feelings on hawaii this week do you think they will come out firing after squeeking out a win last week against La Tech?

 

That's a game I haven't dug into yet that deeply. UNLV is 2-0 ATS, beating a scrappy Utah St on the road, in come from behind fashion, then hung in there with Wisconsin, which cashed a 2 unit ticket for me. UNLV looks improved, and playing with urgency. The X factor is Hawaii's defense. I had high hopes for them, but they really looked awful against the below average La Tech offense last week. Granted, Hawaii has now had clunkers in La Tech two visits in a row, but I was amazed that it reached double OT. You know I am a big fan of Colt Brennan and the Hawaii team. I am not sure what I think of the game yet. If anything, the UNLV Wisky close game, and Hawaii's close call, might create a bit of line value with Hawaii, but I have to crunch some numbers. I won't have a play until Friday night at earliest. Sorry for the deflection.