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Matt's Eagles

Who you Buying and who you selling?

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1 hour ago, AintNoStoppinMeNow said:

I love Gurley. It was an absolute pleasure owning him this season. The thing with Gurley is I think McVay took notice of how Gurley's touches affected him towards the end of the season when they needed him most. That combined with CJA coming in and thriving leads me to believe we will see Gurley get a lot less touches and pulled a lot earlier in games next season to keep him fresh for the postseason run. He'll still be a stud but will probably drop from being an automatic 20+ pointer every week to a still very solid double digit scorer with the occasional 20+ game. 

Bolded IMO is an accurate assessment, but of the best case scenario................which is to say I think Gurley's high end projection without consideration of other risk factors is below, or at very best in line, with the capital spent to acquire him. He is not going to win leagues this year at his ADP, the best those who choose him with a top pick can hope for he can return top 6 RB value, but the thing is the risk factors are significant and higher probability than is recognized so deserve a significant discount of his high end projection.

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Actually if you look back I said he DJ would be over ranked going into last season, and that was a easy assessment.  I don’t care about everyone else’s adp I have and have done my own rankings thanks for the past rankings   

 Gurley won’t be. 

I think he will once again be a top three rb, and be a big asset to anyone’s.  ff team. If he’s healthy  

Appreciate your opinion about Gurley, I know it won’t be right. 

Thanks. 

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13 minutes ago, weepaws said:

I don’t care about everyone else’s adp I have and have done my own rankings thanks for the past rankings 

Appreciate your opinion about Gurley, I know it won’t be right. 

Thanks. 

Yeah!  So there Les!

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29 minutes ago, weepaws said:

Actually if you look back I said he DJ would be over ranked going into last season, and that was a easy assessment.  I don’t care about everyone else’s adp I have and have done my own rankings thanks for the past rankings   

 Gurley won’t be. 

I think he will once again be a top three rb, and be a big asset to anyone’s.  ff team. If he’s healthy  

Appreciate your opinion about Gurley, I know it won’t be right. 

Thanks. 

 

I'm not the looking back through posts type. We all get some right and some wrong. Kudos to you if you were on the right side of DJ and I believe you but I was referring to your quoted comment.

It was only an "easy choice" in retrospect. The fact that DJ was 1.03 in the average draft makes it clear that his underperformance of previous years was far less than "easy" to envision.

Just out of curiosity WP, since you have a high degree of confidence Gurley will be worth that top choice, I'm assuming you must have clarity on why he wasn't on the field regularly toward the end of the year? (And presumably that it will not carry over?)

I do a fair amount of research but I still do not have what I'd consider clarity so I would appreciate if you could relay a clear and accurate picture. It could help clear up one of my risk factors anyway.

 

 

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The point is Gurley is not healthy.  He may never be healthy again.  He has arthritis in the same knee he injured and had repaired in college.  

It is often portrayed that an acl knee injury is always repaired to a level of healed completely.  That is false.

In a redraft I would not take Todd Gurley in the first 25 picks.  Someone else will draft him on draft day.

In this thread of dynasty/keeper leagues I am selling Gurley for the most I can get asap.  I will not be a buyer that's for sure.

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What are you going to get though?  Right now nothing much. Best to hold and wait for an early season blow up game and move him then.

Or just maybe this is all offseason speculation and he'll be back to dominance next spring after he's had a chance to heal. 

Bottom line - Gurley is a hold right now.

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WeePaws, I think you should spend the summer trying to bring Christianity to a remote island tribe.  

 

My buys:  

QB:  Darnold

RB:  Keith Ford Buf

WR:  Keke Coutee Texans

TE:  Chris Herndon Jets

 

My sells:

QB:  Big Ben

RB:   Fournette  

WR:  AJ Green

TE:   Kelce

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