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defectivesupport

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About defectivesupport

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  1. defectivesupport

    Top 5 Fantasy Football RBs for 2024

    CMC, Hall, Henry, James Cook, Taylor. Whomever ends up the RB for TN or TAM is a potential good pick as well. Obviously chubb should be good if he's healthy - but i'm going to say he's just outside the top 5 this year. Keaton mitchell also has some upside still, depending what the room looks like.
  2. defectivesupport

    Top 5 Fantasy Football QBs for 2024

    Top 5: Josh Allen. That's it for now. Hurts has been a TD machine - but if NFL rules against the play, or the eagle suck like the last few games, he will drop out. Jackson is in the afc north and has injury history. Fields would be interesting depending where he ends up. I like the potential of most of the AFC south QBs, as the division has been subpar defenses the past few years. In order, Richardson, Stroud, Lawrence, Levis. Stroud falls too much into the passer only category for me to be comfortable with him as a lock top 5. Honestly, There are a bunch of QBs very similar situations as stroud to me - if the running QBs get hurt, they probably break the top 5 - if not they are lower top 10. These would be Cousins, Mahomes, Prescott, Stroud, Burrow, Herbert, Love, Stafford, and Goff - in that order. If I had to place 4 more after allen, I'd currently say Jackson, Hurts, Cousins, and Richardson
  3. defectivesupport

    Top 5 Fantasy Football WRs for 2024

    @weepawsI think amon will drop off a bit yardage wise - 105 rec and 1300 yards. Still good but a bit out of the top 5.
  4. defectivesupport

    Top 5 Fantasy Football WRs for 2024

    I think my top 5 currently are: tyreek, jefferson, ceedee - plus 2 early gut feelings for tank dell and drake london. As for other popular choices: I think amon will have too much competition from leporta to be top 5. Puka was good this year but Stafford seems to pick one guy per year, I dont trust that kupp wont take over too much of the role again. Chase is good, but AFC north is too good right now to allow for a top5 WR imo. Olave - the saints just never seem to use him as a WR1 when it matters plus a lot of TD's get vultured within the 20. Same argument for AJ brown - Tds are hard to come by on the eagles and they don't throw the ball enough to make him a top 5 guy. We'll see how much this changes as we see landing spots of FA and drafted players.
  5. defectivesupport

    Axe Elf - A Retrospective

    As mostly a lurker for the past 5-10 years here, your posts will be missed. Its always great to see some differing opinions - even if they caused some bickering over the years. Be in good health and all the best.
  6. defectivesupport

    WR dilemma

    Here's my take Highest ceiling: Mike Williams Highest Floor: Jerry Jeudy The other 2 will be TD dependent.
  7. defectivesupport

    Do Not Draft List?

    Repeat after me: Do. Not. Draft. Shanahan. RB.
  8. defectivesupport

    You make the call I made a Trade it’s Pending /

    I could see both sides of this trade, especially in a PPR scoring - Brees/Diggs is trading for the hot hand and the higher ceiling - Murray/Locket trading for the more consistent week to week points. Diggs vs Locket: is about even , with locket alternating weeks of amazing vs nothing. Diggs has a high floor with bonus weeks possible. Murray vs Brees: Brees has been declining recently, but also hasn't had Michael Thomas most of the year. Murray is currently top 3 but only avgs 1-2 points more than Brees a week. Brees also plays the falcons twice, Min, KC, etc for high chance of shootouts near the end of the season. Murray plays SEA and NYG before the playoffs but that's about it. I wouldn't veto this trade.
  9. defectivesupport

    Week1 ACTUAL Observations

    Mclaurin seems to be a very real WR2. Constantly getting behind the eagles DEF. Should have added another 70+ TD (had a large lead) onto his totals but Keenum just missed his throw. It's apparent WAS isn't afraid to throw it down field, and Mclaurin was the one constantly there for those attempts. I'll glady take him where I can as a very high upside WR2/3.
  10. defectivesupport

    Axe Elf's Matchup Lineup Contest - Week 1

    QB: Kirk Cousins RB1: Ezekiel Elliott RB2: Chris Carson WR1: DeAndre Hopkins WR2: D.J. Moore WR3: John Brown Flex: --Only 1 is playing. TE: Delanie Walker K: Only 1 is playing DST: Pittsburgh
  11. defectivesupport

    Fantasy MVP for 2019

    Jared Cook. That division is setup for shootouts. TB, ATL, NO, and CAR all have lower tier defenses and decently pass heavy offenses [maybe barring CAR] - keeping the games long (more plays) and the points high. All it takes is the saints to send 80/120 targets missing from last years players and a 800 yard/10 TD season is not an unreasonable ceiling for him. If he pilfers a few of kamara's targets to keep him fresh, he could become the top TE in the league.
  12. defectivesupport

    Le'Veon Bell or James Connor??

    Depends how you like to play fantasy. Conner is in a known system that has pretty much only lost AB from last year. He is much more likely to be stable and produce - even if its a bit lower than last year. "Safely" a top 20 back. 50% chance to be a top 10. Lev Bell on the other hand is going from not playing football for a year into a system that is headed by Adam Gase. Gase was Miami's coach since 2016, and saw Ajayi run for 1300 and 30 receptions, then saw drake only get 150 rushes a year for the next two. The problem is, Bell could easily end up like either of those. He could become the checkdown for the inexperienced darnold and be very active, or he could be put in a RBBC where he's eased back into football. Lev Bell has the much higher ceiling, but also the much lower floor.
  13. defectivesupport

    Do and do not draft (based on real draft experiences)

    I fully agree with all of these...I have no idea how people are confidently drafting these guys rounds 1-2. Those are supposed to be your safe point rounds. I'll even add Chubb to this list. He was only averaging 50 yards rushing and 2 catches for 20 yards over the final 6 games against teams not the bengals (with backup QB and no green/boyd). And even those games were barely RB1 worthy games. I don't see the hype here at all, especially because hunt should vulture at least 5 carries and 1 rec per game when he comes back...this could put chubb around 15 rushes and 1-2 receptions a game. I have no idea how people can confidently take this guy round 1. I feel like all they remember is the one game he had 173 yards because of a 92 yard TD.
  14. defectivesupport

    Chubb?

    I honestly have no idea where the Cleveland offense is the best in the league thing came from. They added OBJ and suddenly they are amazing? This assumes the offense will throw more...and well. If the consensus is that OBJ and Mayfield will do well - why is chubb still being rated as a top round pick. With similar offense last year Chubbs last 6 games went: [RUSH-TD/Rec yds - TD] 81-0 / 44-1 -bengals with backup QB and missing green. 34-1/ 34-0 - texans 66-1 /17-0 - Panthers 100-0 / 0-0 - Broncos 112-0/ 3-0 - Bengals with backup QB, no green or boyd. 24-0/(-4)-0 - Ravens So literally every game they faced a decent team, chubb had a RB2-3 game. Without the bengals games, chubb averages 50 yards rushing with 2 catches for 20 yards. This is barely an RB2. The moment they decide to keep chubb fresh or mayfield rushes 5 times a game, he is around the territory of the 4th round. Then hunt comes back and probably steals 5-10 carries a game? Chubb's ceiling is probably 100 rushing and 4-30 per game, but given last year, the TD's don't go to him unless he breaks a long run. I'm avoiding chubb rounds 1-2 as I do not feel he is anywhere near as safe as his ranking lets on.
  15. defectivesupport

    Drafting from the 12 spot

    Drafting in the 12 spot you need to be flexible. It really depends who drops to you. As a general thought - many point to going RB early with the argument that the position is scarce. Well, here's a chart of position scarcity Vs points they give to your team (PPR): Positon and amount Rank Point / Game Round Picked QB Rank 1 26 2-3 8 Rank 2-10 20-22 5-12 9 Rank 11-20 17-19 12+ WR Rank 1 22 1 4 Rank 2-5 20-22 1-2 9 Rank 6-15 17-19 2-3 7 Rank 16-23 15-17 3-4 8 Rank 24-32 13-15 4-10 30 Rank 24-32 10-13 12+ 31 Rank 33-64 7-10 12+ RB Rank 1 27 1 6 Rank 2-8 20-24 1 0 None 17-19 - 5 Rank 9-14 15-17 2 6 Rank 15-20 13-15 3-4 21 Rank 21-42 10-13 4-10 23 Rank 43-66 7-10 12+ TE Rank 1 18 2 2 Rank 2-3 15-17 3-4 1 Rank 4 13-15 4 6 Rank 5-11 10-13 5-10 11 Rank 11-22 7-10 12+ As you can see - There is a big advantage to take the best available in the first 2 rounds. Most positions fall off - RB especially hard. These are just last years numbers as well, so outside those you know will perform, is there a need to force pick a question mark RB early when you can safely pick a RB rounds 4-10 that will get you 10-13 points and "guarantee" your top tier of points at WR. As you can see, most of the combos end up close in theory. WR-WR [20]+ [22,22,13]+[10,10]+[7] = 104 WR-RB [20] + [22,13,10]+[17,15] +[7] = 104 RB-RB [20]+ [15,15,10]+[17,17]+[7] = 101 RB-TE [20]+ [13,13,10]+[17,15]+[18]= 106
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