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Ray_T

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Everything posted by Ray_T

  1. Ray_T

    CJ?K Back with the Cardinals

    Agreed. He will get one series each half. Maybe two. No more than 10-12 carries per game.
  2. Ray_T

    Joe Mixon - What round?

    for redraft that's way high. Keeper leagues are maybe another matter, because there is potentially more future value to a guy like him.
  3. Ray_T

    Joe Mixon - What round?

    Yeah, the line does not excite me.... that's for sure. and I'd be surprised if they didnt address this issue in next year's draft. I suspect they wanted to tackle the issue this year, but felt the talent was too strong in other areas to ignore. That's fine, but you should not expect a top year from anyone in that offense.
  4. Ray_T

    Best ball league with superflex

    I was not questioning the picking of Rodgers. I was questioning the picking of the second QB in round 2 in that scenario. To be Frank, given what is likely left at the end of round 2, I'd say that unless you are drafting late in the first half of round 1 you may be better off drafting a QB in round 1 and 3 with a top WR or RB in round 2 as compared to QB-QB.
  5. Ray_T

    Offensive Coordinator Study

    I see what you are saying. a dominant player is a dominant player. but this kind of info is more useful for those questionable players. case in point Cecil Shorts. solid receiver, and there was one year, where based strictly on stats, he was a high end #2 WR. But the reality is he was a garbage time champ. Really good at finding the soft spot in the zone and made a lot of fantasy owners very happy in the second half of the fourth Quarter. His red zone numbers were not great because lots of teams would switch from zone to man in the red zone and this type of stat tells you that he's not as good a WR as the numbers that year indicated. And truth be told, he was not able to duplicate those numbers and was never much more than a WR3 after that. My rationale is that it is tougher to make plays in the red zone because the field is shorter and there are more defenders per square foot of playing field. While there are many ways to use this data, one thing the red zone stats tell us is who has the ability to overcome these obstacles. sometimes it's a good way to tell if a WR is likely to break out or if he has hit his peak statistically.
  6. Ray_T

    Best ball league with superflex

    okay, but here is the situation. If you are getting Aaron Rodgers, chances are, you used a top 3 pick to get him. Meaning you will be spending a bottom 3 pick in round 2 to potentially acquire another QB.(assuming this is a snake draft) Keeping that in mind, you have to ask yourself, how many of the teams out there go QB-QB? or further to that.... how many dont? Going on the assumption that a handful of teams grab a non QB with one of their first 2 picks, you are looking at: Eli Bortles Tyrod Palmer Bradford Flacco Dak Prescott Glennon some of these names will be left, some wont. If I'm picking near the bottom of round 2 why wouldnt you just take the top RB or WR off the board and take a QB near the top of round 3?
  7. Ray_T

    Joe Mixon - What round?

    I hadn't heard about this. Are there any links out there? or is this mostly rumour?
  8. Ray_T

    Joe Mixon - What round?

    It is a tough call. I suspect training camp may answer some of the questions I have. but I think the right value would be a middling RB2 if Gio cannot start the season and a low end RB2 if he can. of course there is RB1 upside in both scenarios, but the potential to be part of a 3 headed committee is hard to ignore so you cannot value him THAT high.
  9. Ray_T

    Offensive Coordinator Study

    Well, it is a nice read. and the info is helpful to those who know how to use it.
  10. Ray_T

    2017 Off-Season Dynasty Trades

    That depends. This is a scenario where the old guy will produce more than the young guy for at least 1-2 years. so if this deal puts you over the top in terms of your quest to win a championship, you make it knowing that your future may be somewhat compromised.
  11. Ray_T

    Best ball league with superflex

    Pertinent league rules/scoring are below: Best ball - Your best lineup is automatically started, no setting lineups each week. Start: 1qb 1rb 1wr 1te 1 superflex (qb/rb/wr/te) 5 normal flex (rb/wr/te) No kicker, no def This was cut from the original post. I didnt really question it and I assumed 1 QB was scored only. so it would appear our differences are not as a result of a difference of opinion, but interpretation of the original posting.
  12. Ray_T

    Defense/ST sleepers

    No. Even if the D is top 5, if the offense cannot stay on the field, the D will wear down and give up points late in games (or when the offense turns the ball over) I think I said earlier that they need one more playmaker to truly be a good D as well. Garrett is a beast, but one guy will not make all of the difference.
  13. Ray_T

    Best ball league with superflex

    There is no doubt that 6 point TD's make QB's more valuable. but in a best ball format your #1 QB should be the QB scoring points for you in at least 80% of the games. your #2 QB will be an asset in a handful of games where your #1 QB does poorly or where your #2 lights it up. there is still more value in grabbing a #1 RB or WR who gives you an advantage at that position as compared to a backup QB who helps you some of the time. I still stand by my statement that you shouldnt go QB-QB unless you are starting 2 QB. You can do differently if you want, but if you have a top end #1 QB (say Aaron Rodgers) you can wait on your second QB because that QB will really only impact your team if Rodgers gets hurt or for that one week Rodgers does not play his best.
  14. Ray_T

    Favorable Value for Trades.....

    well, there is no doubt he's getting to the point where age is going to be a factor in the next 2-3 years. It does help having a top notch QB tossing him the ball. Personally, I think he has one more year at the top, and then we will start to see a decline. Whether that decline is sharp or mild remains to be seen, The fact the Pack didnt draft anyone until round 5 says to me they agree with this. but it would not surprise me if they draft somebody in next year's draft. As for Jordy.... if you dont think your team is competitive enough to win this year, you should look at possibly unloading him while the price is good. I still expect he will have good value next year, but he will be a year older and people will naturally not be willing to pay the same price for him. Your best return is now if you plan to trade him.
  15. Ray_T

    Best ball league with superflex

    The only time you should ever even Think about going QB-QB with your first 2 picks is where you actually start 2 QB In a best ball league, it's just like redraft except that there is added value in your backup QB because of the best ball format. so a QB who is somewhat stable with a decent ceiling (ie. high upside) is your ideal second QB. as for the first QB, the value is roughly the same as in redraft.
  16. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000812650/article/indianapolis-colts-add-christine-michael-to-backfield I know many do not consider this to be a significant signing, but as far as I am concerned when the starter is over 30 years old, you have to think this kid may get a chance to start at some point this year. Even if he is underwhelming, by midseason, he could be a solid RB3 or low end RB2 on many fantasy teams. right now I would draft him as a RB4. but the upside is there.
  17. Ray_T

    Colts Sign Christine Michael

    Yeah, I think it's likely a 'boy named Sue' situation.
  18. I think he will drop on peoples draft boards. the only question I have is by how much?
  19. Ray_T

    Favorable Value for Trades.....

    Most top WR's are playing til age 35 these days. some longer.... but it gets dicey at around 35 years of age.
  20. Ray_T

    Defense/ST sleepers

    if you are gonna make a bet on one player turning the cleveland D around, Garrett is where my money is gonna go. That guy is a BEAST. The reality is I think that team needs one more playmaker before the D is worth considering in Cleveland.
  21. Ray_T

    ++ Update: Zeke looking at suspension - 6 Games

    Yeah, I dont know that Manziel is a fair comparison. but Rothlisberger and Bell are maybe more on par. they definitely do some dumb azz stuff. Usually when alcohol is involved. I think what worries people is they dont know if this is the beginning of something bigger. I could care less about the traffic violations or most of the other stuff. The domestic violence thing disturbs me more than anything, but the evidence on that is somewhat questionable from what I understand. but the bar fight thing is definitely a case of not avoiding trouble when you should. the Weed dispensary thing is just stupid. He should know better than to show his face in a place like that. Even if he's not buying. so I think knucklehead is probably a fair description of his personality. Let's hope he grabs a brain and doesnt screw up his career.
  22. Well, that's what pre season is for. Obviously if Mack does not look good, it's tough to bet on him being the handcuff. But in the end, I think he was drafted to be the heir apparent. Whether it turns out that way (or not) remains to be seen.
  23. Ray_T

    2nd year WRs

    I agree. I was one of those people. There were a lot who shared my opinion too. but a year has passed and he hasnt played, so lots have soured, but the talent is still there. It would not surprise me if this kid lit it up.
  24. Yeah, they drafted a tackle in round 4. I think his name is Banner, but I'm too lazy to look it up. but from what I remember, he's a run specialist, and the pass blocking may not be good enough to get him on the field this year, so the help (if any) will be lacking.
  25. Ray_T

    rookie draft pick trade ?

    I like Mccoy for this year, but if there is a time to trade him for top dollar, this IS the time. This time next year I suspect his value will drop fairly significantly. So if you dont think you have a good shot at winning this year, I'd consider making the deal.
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