Can SJax fall into the end zone as well as Turner?

[mgs316]

In a non-ppr league Turner was still almost a top ten back last season with absolutely nothing left in the tank and he fell into the end zone 10 times.

[swirvenirvin]

One would hope, but he never looked that great the last few years in Stl. I remember Fisher actually pulling him, or maybe he was made for his celebreation or something

[jalen2115]

Conservative projections have SJax at 225 carries for 900 yards (4.0 ypc) and 40 receptions for 300 yards. If he "falls" into the end zone 10 times, that equates to 180 points in non-ppr formats. That would have made him the 13th running back last year.

 

Honestly, I am not concerned about SJax's ability, instead I am concerned about his offensive line's ability to open lanes. Last year, Atlanta's offensive line was 24th in run blocking efficiency. In addition, 23% of their running plays resulted in their RB being tackled at the line of scrimmage or behind the line of scrimmage, which was the 27th worst percentage in the league.

 

Yes, I understand that part of that had to do with Turner's ability but I am concerned that SJax's upside will be limited if he is consistently getting hit behind the line of scrimmage.

 

I don't participate in any snake draft leagues, so I can't speak to those. In auction leagues, I have drafted him as a RB2 in the $30-$35 range and I am confident with his ability to finish in the top 15 but I am not expecting him to finish in the the top 8.

 

So if you are looking for a high upside RB, I would not recommend him as I think his upside will be limited by his offensive line. If you are looking for a consistent player for your RB2, I would have no issues recommending him.

[The Football Guru]

Conservative projections have SJax at 225 carries for 900 yards (4.0 ypc) and 40 receptions for 300 yards. If he "falls" into the end zone 10 times, that equates to 180 points in non-ppr formats. That would have made him the 13th running back last year.

 

Honestly, I am not concerned about SJax's ability, instead I am concerned about his offensive line's ability to open lanes. Last year, Atlanta's offensive line was 24th in run blocking efficiency. In addition, 23% of their running plays resulted in their RB being tackled at the line of scrimmage or behind the line of scrimmage, which was the 27th worst percentage in the league.

 

Yes, I understand that part of that had to do with Turner's ability but I am concerned that SJax's upside will be limited if he is consistently getting hit behind the line of scrimmage.

 

I don't participate in any snake draft leagues, so I can't speak to those. In auction leagues, I have drafted him as a RB2 in the $30-$35 range and I am confident with his ability to finish in the top 15 but I am not expecting him to finish in the the top 8.

 

So if you are looking for a high upside RB, I would not recommend him as I think his upside will be limited by his offensive line. If you are looking for a consistent player for your RB2, I would have no issues recommending him.

Very well said and nice stats on the RB efficiency and tackles behind the line of scrimmage. I pretty much agree with everything here, so I'll just add that Turner averaged 59 red-zone rushes over his last three seasons (including 50 last year). Assuming he can maintain Turner's 16% conversion rate on Turner's three-year average, Jackson is a strong bet for at least 10 scores. The fact he should be able to assume Turner's rushing workload and push 40-50 catches - hardly a stretch in the Atlanta offense - he should be the consistent RB2 Jalen called him.