2016 Earlybird Fantasy Draft *****UPDATED to 9-10****

[tubby_mcgee 686]

12 team, snake draft

PPR + Performance. 6pts all TDs.

Must start:

1 QB

5 WR/RB (must have at least one of each)

1 TE

1 DST

1 K

 

This is an actual, not a mock draft.

 

Round 1

1.1 Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh (Chad)
1.2 Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh (Tim)
1.3 Cam Newton, QB, Carolina (Trevor)
1.4 Todd Gurley II, RB, Los Angeles (Trent)
1.5 Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England (Brandon)
1.6 Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta (Kirk)
1.7 Odell Beckham Jr, WR, New York (Robert)
1.8 Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas (Aaron W)
1.9 DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston (Oakly)
1.10 Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota (Bob)
1.11 David Johnson, RB, Arizona (Jim)
1.12 Devonta Freeman RB Atlanta (Aaron L)

 

Round 2
2.1 Allen Robinson WR Jacksonville (Aaron L)
2.2 A.J Green, WR, Cincinnati (Jim)
2.3 Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay (Bob)
2.4 Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay (Oakly)
2.5 Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago (Aaron W)
2.6 Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs (Robert)
2.7 Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego (Kirk)
2.8 Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle (Brandon)
2.9 Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver (Trent)
2.10 Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay (Trevor)
2.11 Matt Forte, RB, ? (Tim)
2.12 Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Panthers (Chad)

 

Round 3
3.1 Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots (Chad)
3.2 Brandon Marshall, WR, Jets (Tim)
3.3 Eric Decker, WR, Jets (Trevor)
3.4 Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis (Trent)
3.5 Doug Martin, RB, Tampa (Brandon)
3.6 Jarvis Landry, WR, Miami (Oakly)
3.7 Sammy Watkins, WR, Buffalo (Robert)
3.8 LeSean McCoy, RB, Bills (Aaron W)
3.9 Amari Cooper, WR, Raiders (Kirk)

3.10 Ty Hilton, WR, Colts (Bob)

3.11 Jordan Reed, TE, Washington (Jim)
3.12 Brandon Cooks WR New Orleans Saints(Aaron L)

 

Round 4
4.1 Doug Baldwin WR Seatle (Aaron L)
4.2 Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay (Jim)
4.3 Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans (Bob)
4.4 Lamar Miller, RB, ?? (Oakly)
4.5 Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay (Aaron W)
4.6 Carlos Hyde, RB, San Fransisco (Robert)
4.7 Jeremy Langford, RB, Chicago (Kirk)
4.8 Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland (Brandon)
4.9 Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh (Trent)

4.10 Demarco Murray, RB, Cowboys (Trevor)

4.11 Jeremy Maclin, WR, Chiefs (Tim)

4.12 Tom Brady, QB, New England (Chad)

 

Round 5
5.1 Manny Sanders, WR, Denver (Chad)

5.2 Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina (Tim)
5.3 Jordan Matthews, WR, Philly (Trevor)
5.4 Josh Gordon, WR, Cleveland (Trent)
5.5 Golden Tate, WR, Detroit (Brandon)
5.6 Tyler Eifert, TE Cincinnati, Kirk)
5.7 Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Rookie, (Robert)
5.8 Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle (Aaron W)
5.9 Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona (Oakly)
5.10 Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina (Bob)
5.11 T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville (Jim)
5.12 Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego (Aaron L)

 

Round 6
6.1 Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati (Aaron L )
6.2 Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh (Jim)
6.3 Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans (Bob)
6.4 Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle (Oakly)
6.5 Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona (Aaron W)
6.6 Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee (Robert)
6.7 CJ Anderson, RB, ?? (Kirk)
6.8 DaVante Parker, WR, Dolphins (Brandon)
6.9 Dion Lewis, RB, New England (Trent)

6.10 DeSean Jackson, WR, Washington (Trevor)

6.11 Allen Hurns, WR, Jaguars (Tim)
>> 6.12 Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (Chad)

Round 7
7.1 Donte Moncrief, WR, Colts (Chad)
7.2 Broncos Defense, (Tim)
7.3 Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles (Trevor)

7.4 Panthers Defense (Trent)
7.5 John Brown, WR, Arizona (Brandon)
7.6 Seattle DEF (Kirk)
7.7 Blake Bortles, QB, Jaguars (Robert)
7.8 Ryan Mathews, RB, Eagles (Aaron W)
7.9 Carson Palmer, QB, Cardinals (Kirk)
7.10 Derrick Henry, RB, tbd (Bob)
7.11 Stefon Diggs, WR, Vikings (Jim)
7.12 Kirk Cousins, QB, Washington (Aaron L)

 

Round 8
8.1 Martellus Bennet, TE, Patriots (Aaron L)
8.2 Laquon Treadwell, WR, Rookie (Jim)
8.3 Kansas City Defense (Bob)
8.4 Cardinals Defense (Oakly)
8.5 Gary Barnidge, TE, Browns (Aaron W)
8.6 Texans Defense (Robert(

8.7 Kevin White, WR, Chicago (Kirk)
8.8 Tony Romo, QB, Cowboys (Brandon)
8.9 Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland (Trent)
8.10 Alfred Morris, RB Dallas, (Trevor)
8.11 Andy Dalton, QB Cincinatti (Tim)
8.12. Giovani Bernard, RB, Bengals(chad)

 

Round 9
9.1 Matt Jones, RB, Redskins(chad)
9.2 Melvin Gordon, RB, Chargers (Tim)
9.3 Bears D (Trevor)
9.4 Julius Thomas, TEN Jax (Trent)
9.5 Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Titans (Brandon)
9.6 Ameer Abdullah, RB, Lions (Kirk)
9.7 Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami (Robert)
9.8 Javorius Allen, RB, Baltimore (Aaron W)
9.9 Bilal Powell, RB, Jets (Oakly)
9.10 Coby Fleener, TE, Saints, (Bob)

 

 

 

[svtballa 8]

Way to high on Newton. Brady led all QB's with 22 or more fantasy points 11 times. Newton did it 9 times. Id much rather Brady in the 3/4th than Newton in the 1st.

[tubby_mcgee 686]

Predict the next 5 to be drafted.

[weepaws 2,459]

Any Qb picked in the first round is a bad move , and I don't care that it's a 6 point td scoring system .

[tubby_mcgee 686]

Gronk will go soon.

[weepaws 2,459]

Gronk was already picked.

[petekrum 20]

Cam at three is a travesty.

[Herbivore 905]

Jordy Nelson

Langford

Forte

Demaryius

Landry

[WhiteWonder 2,171]

tough to predict the next 5.

 

its a PPR league where you only have to start 1 RB and can start 4 WRs and somehow 5 RBs were drafted in the 1st round.... The QB scoring also is more beneficial to better passing QBs, yet Cam was the first QB drafted.... plus he went 3rd overall when there are so many very good fantasy QBs that you can wait.

 

Bob will take Dem Thomas or Brandon Marshall

Oakly will take Thomas Rawls

Aaron W will take the other WR between Thomas and Marshall

Robert will take Amari Cooper

Kirk will take Jordy Nelson (even though he should take Brandin Cooks)

Brandon will take Tom Brady

 

[tanatastic 2,061]

Cam early will be one of the great scams of 2016. This year taught me to devalue qb. I tried chasing after a sure thing in Luck and got burned. While I still think that logic is sound, and I may just reapply it and take Rodgers in rnd1, I'm wary. I watched Undrafted or late guys like cam and Palmer lead guys to title games. For me it's Rodgers, Wilson or just get guys off FA.

[Frozenbeernuts 1,652]

Why did you stop posting the results?

[tubby_mcgee 686]

Why did you stop posting the results?

 

Sorry. Got tied up. I just updated though.

[tubby_mcgee 686]

Langford

 

 

Interesting. His ADP is around 3.6. My fear...and this happens often: Veteran leaves, everyone gets high on the next in line (Langford), then by seasons start, that team has replaced their veteran (Forte) with another veteran (Murray, etc.), leaving the next in line with much lesser value.

 

Too much of a risk for me at this point.

[weepaws 2,459]

I don't like the Hilton pick , seems to high for me .

[giraldi02 470]

I don't like the Hilton pick , seems to high for me .

 

He was the 19th WR taken and his current ADP on MFL is 29.07.

 

This is what's going to happen if/when people skip the RB and other positions.

[weepaws 2,459]

Right now I've ranked him at number 32 on my wr list .

[giraldi02 470]

Right now I've ranked him at number 32 on my wr list .

 

I guess I'm missing something then. Hilton's surpassed 1,000 receiving yards and 130 targets in three consecutive seasons.

 

As far as I can tell, there's never been a season where 30 receivers have had those things going for them

[weepaws 2,459]

Will it seems so , I thought it was said his adp on Mfl is 29th . Seems like my own ranking are close to how many others see it . So I guess you are missing something .

[giraldi02 470]

Will it seems so , I thought it was said his adp on Mfl is 29th . Seems like my own ranking are close to how many others see it . So I guess you are missing something .

 

Yeah. 29th. As in the 29th pick.

[weepaws 2,459]

No that's to high for him . I've got him ranked 32 on my wr rankings so the 29 overall draft pick is awful .

[giraldi02 470]

No that's to high for him . I've got him ranked 32 on my wr rankings so the 29 overall draft pick is awful .

 

Leaving your rankings aside, here's the thing:

 

In this posted draft, he went as the 19th WR off the board with the 34th overall pick. All offseason this bored and every other one like it has been inundated with "zero RB" talk. This is going to be the result. We're going to be reduced down to WR2/3s earlier and earlier. Could Hilton been available at the 4.03? Sure. Maybe. But maybe one of the two guys is a Colts homer. Maybe this guy believes that with a healthy Andrew Luck Hilton will top 1,300 yards like in 2014.

 

Regardless of what number he's assigned in anyone's rankings, a tiered approach to ranking players likely has Hilton in the 3rd-4th tier unless one is making unbelievably small tiers. I have a top 6 tier, then about 10 more guys (the Alshons, Evans, Jordys, Cobbs), and then about 10 more guys that include the likes of Hilton, Jordan Matthews, etc.

 

The ultimate question heading into next year's drafts is going to be: when does the receiver mix and the second/third tier for RBs meet? When does Mark Ingram, Lamar Miller, Zeke Elliott, Jeremy Hill become a better option than a receiver if you're able to go BPA? Again, that's the conundrum that hasn't been available with all the zero RB talk. The lack of visualization for just how quickly these WR's are going to dry up. Because from the looks of it, even if you rank Hilton as the 32nd best WR for 2016, he's going to be drafted by the time the 5th round is concluded.

[tanatastic 2,061]

Langford should be in those first 2 rounds. I'm not taking Sammy twatkins over him, that's for sure. Langford has top 8 Rb potential and then some. I'd look at him as no different than a prime Forte as far as slotting.

[BobSanders_33 127]

Kelvin Benjamin and Eric Decker before Doug Martin and Amari Cooper? I especially don't like Benjamin that high this year. He looked like the WR version of Eddie Lacy on the sidelines at the Super Bowl. He is known to have issues with weight and I'm interested in seeing what he looks like with a year off. Martin and Cooper can be both elite at their position.

 

At the one spot a start of Antonio Brown, Doug Martin and Amari Cooper would be looking real nice. Start the 4/5 turn with Brady/Rothesburger and Randall Cobb and ask for my winnings.

[Super Cubs 132]

This draft is really making me feel god about my team.

[weepaws 2,459]

Cooks as the 20 th wr taken was a steal . That might have been the best pick in the third round .

[tubby_mcgee 686]

Who do you think should go at 4.11 ?

 

 

So far I have:

 

Le'veon Bell
Matt Forte

Brandon Marshall

 

 

I have 2 of the next 4 picks.

CJ Anderson?
QB?

Deon Lewis (in case Forte does not end up in NE)?

Emmanuel Sanders?

[weepaws 2,459]

Evans picked as the number 22 wr was a steal , I think he was the best pick up in the forth .

[Frozenbeernuts 1,652]

Who do you think should go at 4.11 ?

 

 

So far I have:

 

Le'veon Bell

Matt Forte

Brandon Marshall

 

 

I have 2 of the next 4 picks.

CJ Anderson?

QB?

Deon Lewis (in case Forte does not end up in NE)?

Emmanuel Sanders?

I would go Jordan Matthews

 

Then i would jump on Maclin for your next pick. That would be an awesome start imo.

[BobSanders_33 127]

Josh Gordon and then Eiffert or Olson.

[tiggo25 4]

Round 4
4.1 Doug Baldwin WR Seatle (Aaron L)

 

 

I just can't wrap my head around this guy going at 4.1.

 

I know what he did last season and he may deserve to be drafted here. But man......drafting him at 4.1. This is still Doug Baldwin we're talking about.

[weepaws 2,459]

Should someone tell the person that drafted D Murray he playes with the Titans now ?

[tubby_mcgee 686]

I think the Martavis Bryant pick was a bit early.

[tubby_mcgee 686]

updated. 4-1-16

[Ray_T 590]

I don't like the Hilton pick , seems to high for me .

I agree. Hilton shouldnt be going that high. I dont have him ranked as low on my WR list as you do, but I do agree third round is too early.

 

I think its a decent bet he could have been had in the 4th round. Possibly even the 5th, but if you are waiting to round 5, there is a chance you dont get him.