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Last-second 49ers TD 'worst-case scenario' for Caesars

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The ending of the San Francisco 49ers-Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday produced a "worst-case scenario" for Caesars Sportsbook -- as well as for some Cardinals bettors.

The 49ers opened as 13.5-point favorites at Caesars Sportsbook but closed as 10-point favorites. At other Vegas sportsbooks, the spread closed at 49ers -9.5.

Down 30-26 with two seconds left at their 22-yard line, the Cardinals attempted a lateral that led to a sequence in which the 49ers recovered a fumble for a touchdown. The NFL changed its extra-point rule in 2018 (in the offseason after the Minneapolis Miracle), so the 49ers did not have to line up to potentially kick the extra point after time expired, making the final score 36-26.

For Caesars, it was a "worst-case scenario," according to director of trading Jeff Davis.

"We needed the Cardinals to lose by more than 10 since no parlays lost and Arizona backers at more than 10 didn't lose," Davis told ESPN in an email. "San Francisco by four was no good, but by 10 was worse. We needed [the 49ers] by 11 or more."

 

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I've watched this video multiple times (albeit low-res) and still can't tell entirely how the ball came flying out like that. My best guess is that #64 on the Cardinals was lying on the ground near the ball and knew if he took possession he'd be touched and the game would be over. It would be illegal to throw the ball forward, so he flung it back in the hopes that a teammate would regain possession and have room to advance the ball and keep the play alive.

As a Niners DST owner in two leagues, I'll take it!

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