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dain11279

Playoff Gambling Thread: Conference Championships

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NFC: GB @ SF (-7.5) O/U 45

AFC: Tenn @ KC (-7.5) O/U 52.5

 

I don't have a strong lean either way as both of these lines are about what I figured they would be. I bought San Fran down to -7 but am in no way super-confident in it. No clue in the AFC game. The total in that one seems pretty high when you have one run-oriented team and you'd expect KC to come back down to Earth a bit after the Houston thrashing. Thoughts?

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I got SF - 7 yesterday and took TEN +7.5

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The O/Us are surprising.  I figured the NFC would be higher than the AFC and the AFC is way high. 

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5 hours ago, TimmySmith said:

The O/Us are surprising.  I figured the NFC would be higher than the AFC and the AFC is way high. 

 I think when there's a same season rematch Vegas sets these O/U's within reason of the previous match-ups.In this case 38-7 San Fran and 35-32 Tenn.

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Quote

NFC: GB @ SF (-7.5) O/U 45

AFC: Tenn @ KC (-7.5) O/U 52.5

I'll take GB +7.5 and the under 45

I'll take Tenn +7.5 and the over 52.2

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Packers +7.5 over 45

Titans +7.5 Under 52.5

I'll also take the Packers Moneyline

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5 minutes ago, Mr. Hand said:

I’m taking the rushing prop bets for Mahomes 19.5 and Rodgers 12.5

Over or Under?

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Just now, Mr. Hand said:

Sorry....over

I assumed that just wanted to clarify,personally like both overs as well.

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The 49’rs have lost 5 NFC championships at home. The  Cowboys and the Giants twice, and the Packers once. 

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1 minute ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

The 49’rs have lost 5 NFC championships at home. The  Cowboys and the Giants twice, and the Packers once. 

This team has never been to a NFCCG. 

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4 minutes ago, shorepatrol said:

This team has never been to a NFCCG. 

Just pointing out that they don’t enjoy much of a home field advantage, historically. Maybe because the stands are full of fruitcakes? 

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On 1/14/2020 at 9:18 AM, TimmySmith said:

The O/Us are surprising.  I figured the NFC would be higher than the AFC and the AFC is way high. 

I agree: I like the under on the AFC, over on NFC. I wouldn’t love better either of these games but if I had to I’d take both home teams to cover. 

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3 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Just pointing out that they don’t enjoy much of a home field advantage, historically. Maybe because the stands are full of fruitcakes? 

Just pointing out this team has exactly ONE game of history in the playoffs. 

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36 minutes ago, shorepatrol said:

Niners by 25-30 points +1200

So you're betting on another 37-8 thrashing.

Not happening.

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3 minutes ago, shorepatrol said:

Just pointing out this team has exactly ONE game of history in the playoffs. 

We’re talking about the home field. It hasn’t been much of an advantage. Neither has Arrowhead, despite its reputation. 

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1 minute ago, nzoner said:

So you're betting on another 37-8 thrashing.

Not happening.

I am. 

Ok 

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On 1/14/2020 at 9:12 AM, dain11279 said:

NFC: GB @ SF (-7.5) O/U 45

AFC: Tenn @ KC (-7.5) O/U 52.5

 

I don't have a strong lean either way as both of these lines are about what I figured they would be. I bought San Fran down to -7 but am in no way super-confident in it. No clue in the AFC game. The total in that one seems pretty high when you have one run-oriented team and you'd expect KC to come back down to Earth a bit after the Houston thrashing. Thoughts?

GB - Over

Tenn - Under

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2 hours ago, shorepatrol said:

I am. 

Ok 

Good call, people are confusing GB's weak second half schedule to them being improved. I'd be stunned if it's closer than 3 TD's.

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6 hours ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Just pointing out that they don’t enjoy much of a home field advantage, historically. Maybe because the stands are full of fruitcakes? 

Aren't they in a new stadium?

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12 hours ago, shorepatrol said:

I am. 

Ok 

 

10 hours ago, Reality said:

Good call, people are confusing GB's weak second half schedule to them being improved. I'd be stunned if it's closer than 3 TD's.

I've got no stake in the game and sincerely wish you guys luck,my hands are full enough being a Chiefs fan with their playoff history.

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My hatred of Ryan Tannehill has cost my gambling account dearly the past month....    Got the farm riding on KC money-line.

Hope Tannehill is the sole reason the Titans lose. Also hope his dog gets run over by a truck.

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30 minutes ago, GobbleDog said:

My hatred of Ryan Tannehill has cost my gambling account dearly the past month....    Got the farm riding on KC money-line.

Hope Tannehill is the sole reason the Titans lose. Also hope his dog gets run over by a truck.

Jeebus.  Why don't you go over to his house and punch him in the face in front of his wife and kids?

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Taking Tenn and the under, have a feeling I'll know early how dumb that was.

Money line parlay SF & KC

Leaning SF and under later.

 

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1 minute ago, GobbleDog said:

:huh:

Tenn points and KC win outright

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21 minutes ago, nzoner said:

Tenn points and KC win outright

:thumbsup:

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1 hour ago, nzoner said:

Tenn points and KC win outright

Yeah I got it.  Just a strange way to gamble. 

Chiefs have to win by less than 7.5 points to profit.  Otherwise the juice eats ya up. 

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Took a beating on the UFC last night. KC got me some of it back. Off to make some stupid prop bets on the NFCCG. :banana:

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I sense a big game for Kittle

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