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Trump starting to rise in polls again - media silent

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https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

He's getting mid 40% again in about 6 different polls.  Media won't comment obviously.  I'd say Operation Legend is working well.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html#!

Biden's lead is narrowing as well.  Instead of double digits, we are seeing Biden up by 6 or 7 in 3 different polls.

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Biden can't get 10 people into a high school gym to listen to his ramblings.

Trump's supporters are rabidly enthusiastic.

I can't see how Biden can be ahead in any polls. I guess the same way Hillary was ahead in the polls?

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I must be missing something. I see one good poll from Rasmussen and that’s it :dunno:

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43 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

I must be missing something. I see one good poll from Rasmussen and that’s it :dunno:

The only pole you see is the one that your mom is dancing on.

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16 minutes ago, EternalShinyAndChrome said:

The only pole you see is the one that your mom is dancing on.

Considering she’s over 70, I’d say that’s a compliment :cheers:

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He already won. He embarrassed the living crap out of all of them. Biggest political upset of all time. Nothing is ever going to change that fact. All the videos of their spade tight  predictions, laughing at him, then crying, cold openings on comedy shows. All their failed investigations. He blew the fvcking top floor off the FBI.

He won. If he wins again icing on the cake.

 

 

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liberals are retarded. thats all we need to know. 

retard nikole jones just said smashing property that can be replaced is not violence. 

anyone with half a brain can't possibly vote for these freaks. they are gone!! anyone still voting democrat is either lgbtqmnyqt, in a union, family was union and cant turn the page, brain damaged, hates america or dead. 

could you imagine walking into a voting booth as an american male and pulling lever for AOC 😆😆😆??

do you have a pulse??? 

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Polls schmolls.   Vegas odds - July 30, 2020  (5Dimes.com)

Joe Biden -160

Donald Trump +140

...............................................................

It's been right every election I've seen dating back to early 2000's.  EXCEPT the last election where Clinton was a monster favorite even on election night.  She won the popular vote, so they got that right.   I foresee Trump winning again, so I'm kind of surprised to see him as an underdog. We shall see.

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50 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

Considering she’s over 70, I’d say that’s a compliment :cheers:

Bill Clinton approves of this message.

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21 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Well certainly leads can evaporate but that guy’s model doesn’t make a lot of sense. Based on primaries but the republicans didn’t even have a real primary this time around :dunno:

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9 hours ago, riversco said:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

He's getting mid 40% again in about 6 different polls.  Media won't comment obviously.  I'd say Operation Legend is working well.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html#!

Biden's lead is narrowing as well.  Instead of double digits, we are seeing Biden up by 6 or 7 in 3 different polls.

Do we have enough time to make this comeback or are we screwed? Man I would love to watch the snowflake heads explode but I think we are toast from covid. 

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10 minutes ago, BirdGang said:

Do we have enough time to make this comeback or are we screwed? Man I would love to watch the snowflake heads explode but I think we are toast from covid. 

The polls are outright lies.  They way underrepresent Trump support.  If the democrat poll lead is double digits, then the democrat maybe has a slight lead.  If the democrat has a slight poll lead, then the democrat is losing.

Fun fact:  the last time a republican won the summer polling period was Reagan in 1984.  Ever since then, the media has chronically underreported GOP support every summer.  Infamous cases were Dukakis up by 15% over Bush in summer 88, Gore up by double digits in summer 2000, and Hillary up by 15-20% over Trump in 2016.

https://i.imgur.com/rYDtYek.gif

If you want to break down each year the republican won by summer polling:

1988:  Dukakis up 15%
2000:  Gore up 10+%
2004:  Kerry up 5-10%
2016:  Hillary up 15-20%

The media will tell you that Biden is up 10-15% this summer but, remember, its all about lies of omission with them.  The first question you must ask is "What are they NOT telling me?"  In this case, they are not telling you that in recent republican victories, the democrat was up by double digits 3 out of 4 times in the summer.  So Biden up by this much in the summer is actually normal even in years republicans win.

 

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6 hours ago, IGotWorms said:

Based on primaries but the republicans didn’t even have a real primary this time around :dunno:

Neither do any of the incumbents parties usually.  Im guessing his projections are based on some high turnouts for Trump even though he didnt need it.  2020, though, seems to be another outlier and you can throw trends out the window.

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8 hours ago, GobbleDog said:

Polls schmolls.   Vegas odds - July 30, 2020  (5Dimes.com)

Joe Biden -160

Donald Trump +140

...............................................................

It's been right every election I've seen dating back to early 2000's.  EXCEPT the last election where Clinton was a monster favorite even on election night.  She won the popular vote, so they got that right.   I foresee Trump winning again, so I'm kind of surprised to see him as an underdog. We shall see.

Those odds can shift quick.  I believe Trump was a big favorite at the start of the year.  

But I do agree.  Vegas odds are a good indication.

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does that make your pole rise?

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I just don't see that many people turning on him. If someone voted for him last time highly unlikely they switch teams. What I think might burn him though, without a Jill Stein or  Gary Johnson in the mix where is the 4.4% of the vote going from last time. From their policies it looks like Biden, not all of it but a good chunk IMO.

On the other hand, Democrats are not doing themselves any favors with hispanics and blacks. They still get almost all of it but bashing religion not a good idea. Then Biden's record with blacks and that one smug comment...it's going to hurt them. Trump doesn't even need that much of it, just a slight bump from last time and he could edge it out.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Not sure how a single person in law enforcement could vote Democrat this time around. That would be a slight bump for Trump.

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The defund the police thing really backfired on the libtards. Especially when all you see is lawlessness and violent crime going through the roof.  Nice work  AOC and company. That’s what’s so funny about these immature, no experience fools that Democrats keep electing. They never think about or even acknowledge the downside of what they advocate for. It’s all upside to them. To acknowledge it would destroy their solution, so they don’t. And idiots like the NFL and liberal suburbanites go along with it. 

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This is good news. The polls have been worrisome.

Coronavirus has been such an enormous gift for Joe Biden. It gives his campaign a wonderful excuse to hide him in his basement, send edited statements, and work the "I'm not Trump" line.

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 Counting on you Florida. 

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Damn right he is and that's not including all the Trump voters that are still telling the pollsters that they are voting for Biden in order to make it appear he is going to win...just like with hitlery last time. It such a great move.

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I’ve never been polled.  Have any of you?  Is it by phone?

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1 minute ago, KSB2424 said:

I’ve never been polled.  Have any of you?  Is it by phone?

I think typically it's by phone.  I hang up as soon as I find out it's a political survey.  Some of them are about issues, others about candidates, so i don't know if they've ever attempted to poll me about candidates but they have tried to poll me about something.

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5 minutes ago, KSB2424 said:

I’ve never been polled.  Have any of you?  Is it by phone?

Yes, busy people like us are never going to sit through one of those surveys.  There's a reason these things skew one way and are rarely accurate.  Think about the type of person that has the time and would be willing to sit through something like that...

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4 minutes ago, Reality said:

Yes, busy people like us are never going to sit through one of those surveys.  There's a reason these things skew one way and are rarely accurate.  Think about the type of person that has the time and would be willing to sit through something like that...

I like to ask them how much they're paying me.  Then, when they act confused, I ask them why I'd waste my time without getting paid.  Good times.

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Never polled but took a PT college job as a pollster for a campaign. Maybe 1% of all the calls I made took the poll. Mostly lonely old people, poor housewives and deadbeats. If anyone answered that sounded marginally intelligent they declined. Surprisingly, the results were about right within 5% of the results but it kind of makes sense if you think about it. A lot of poor stupid people in the US. Just ignorant fvckers who can barely function in society. Everyone else, elections have no impact on them. Those people create their own damn circumstances. No politician is going to create them for them.  

 

 

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I’ll say it again. The only polls that should count are likely voters in swing states. Who cares what NY or Oregon think? And if those polls show it’s close, that’s no good for the left. They are so far gone now they can’t turn back and be moderate. The only thing they have going for them is orange man bad.  Their ideas suck, and have for quite a while. They know this. 

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I was polled last week over the phone.

Before I answered each question, I gave examples of how the Democrats are batschit crazy.

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1 hour ago, Strike said:

Shoutout to Macomb County, I love when we get mentioned by name. ❤️ We flipped 50K Obama voters to Trump who won the state by 10K. We didn't do it alone, we got lots of help from Saginaw, bless them, who did the same thing. Saginaw also needed to flip from D to R in a big way to pull it off.

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1 hour ago, LOD01 said:

Damn right he is and that's not including all the Trump voters that are still telling the pollsters that they are voting for Biden in order to make it appear he is going to win...just like with hitlery last time. It such a great move.

 

56 minutes ago, KSB2424 said:

I’ve never been polled.  Have any of you?  Is it by phone?

 

54 minutes ago, Strike said:

I think typically it's by phone.  I hang up as soon as I find out it's a political survey.  Some of them are about issues, others about candidates, so i don't know if they've ever attempted to poll me about candidates but they have tried to poll me about something.

 

49 minutes ago, Reality said:

Yes, busy people like us are never going to sit through one of those surveys.  There's a reason these things skew one way and are rarely accurate.  Think about the type of person that has the time and would be willing to sit through something like that...

I live in a blue city, in a blue state.  I get calls.  I answer everyone and very pro blue and anti-red/Trump.  :thumbsup: 

That way, when Trump wins, they think it wasn't my fault.

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1 hour ago, Voltaire said:

This is good news. The polls have been worrisome.

Coronavirus has been such an enormous gift for Joe Biden. It gives his campaign a wonderful excuse to hide him in his basement, send edited statements, and work the "I'm not Trump" line.

Trump has certainly helped them in this strategy. :dunno: 

The election will be close. Biden is probably going to take one or more of PA, MI or OH. I’d call it a coin flip today.

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1 minute ago, MDC said:

Trump has certainly helped them in this strategy. :dunno: 

The election will be close. Biden is probably going to take one or more of PA, MI or OH. I’d call it a coin flip today.

Ohio seems to have moved from purple to red. Perhaps you mean Wisconsin?

 

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39 minutes ago, Voltaire said:

Ohio seems to have moved from purple to red. Perhaps you mean Wisconsin?

 

Maybe - I thought OH was in play.

Anyway Biden will win a few states that Trump won in 2016 for sure. His odds of winning overall seen 50/50 to me. Covid would have hurt Trump either way but his own behavior has hurt him much worse.

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2 hours ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

 Counting on you Florida. 

Well last time it was the pan handle that pushed us over the top. Miami is getting hit hard by Corona, so we will see how many of them actually vote. Is Biden worth them going to the booths? IDK. North Florida hasn't been hit as hard by Corona and that's Trump all the way. 

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I saw a stupid poll today that said "most Trump voters wont accept a close loss".  What the fuk does that even mean?  They gonna storm the inauguration, or what?

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2 minutes ago, The Elevator Killer said:

Well last time it was the pan handle that pushed us over the top. Miami is getting hit hard by Corona, so we will see how many of them actually vote. Is Biden worth them going to the booths? IDK. North Florida hasn't been hit as hard by Corona and that's Trump all the way. 

Hopefully any hint of Biden being a socialist puppet will eliminate the Cuban vote.

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