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Anybody here think Biden is going to win?

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GC consensus seems to be that Sleepy Joe loses, possibly by a landslide. Wondering if anyone here is going to predict that Biden wins the election? 

:dunno: 

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Im think it will be closer than the polls suggest. Last time I didnt think Trump had a shot so Im hesitant to say it but....I think Biden wins.

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30 minutes ago, MDC said:

GC consensus seems to be that Sleepy Joe loses, possibly by a landslide. Wondering if anyone here is going to predict that Biden wins the election? 

:dunno: 

A couple people on this site seem confident that Trump will win. The rest, you need  to post links from within the last few weeks of those calling a Trump win by a landslide. I think it's a tossup because we don't know shlt at this point on how the dems will try to cheat the election on mail in balloting. How are there states that say they need more than a week to count the ballots? They have had many months to plan things out. But nope. They setting it up for massive uncertainty if things don't work out their way.

There are also people out there that think Biden will win in a runaway. What's your trolling point here?

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1 minute ago, nobody said:

Biden 318 

Trump 220

See? Here's one dude that knows the dems are trying to steal the election with mail in balloting. He may not be wrong in the end. Months after the election.

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21 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

A couple people on this site seem confident that Trump will win. The rest, you need  to post links from within the last few weeks of those calling a Trump win by a landslide. I think it's a tossup because we don't know shlt at this point on how the dems will try to cheat the election on mail in balloting. How are there states that say they need more than a week to count the ballots? They have had many months to plan things out. But nope. They setting it up for massive uncertainty if things don't work out their way.

There are also people out there that think Biden will win in a runaway. What's your trolling point here?

He wants to get people to say Trump for sure, so he can troll if Biden wins. He’s looked extra foolish the last few days, trying too hard. 

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37 minutes ago, MTSkiBum said:

I have no idea what will happen.

This. This is easily the weirdest election of any of our lifetimes. The mail in mess, the fact that Trump is literally Hitler to half the country.

It seems like, from what I'm reading, that early voting is seeing record numbers. That doesn't bode well for Trump I'd say.

Gun to my head, id say Biden wins, but who the knows.

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I think a lot of states switch.  Some red to blue, some blue to red.  In the end, I think Trump wins.  Then again, I may be putting too much faith in this country.

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Joe's gonna win.  He's got so much easier EC path.  I don't think Trump can win NC FL and PA which he will need to do.

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Trump will get considerable more black and hispanic votes than last time. I will own that prediction. If Biden can compensate for that loss somehow he could win but it will be close. That's a lot of votes to pull out of your azz and he doesn't know how many he will have to pull out. They learned that in Broward county and also Georgia's Gov race. Came up short. 

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26 minutes ago, FlyinHeadlock said:

Trump will get considerable more black and hispanic votes than last time. I will own that prediction. If Biden can compensate for that loss somehow he could win but it will be close. That's a lot of votes to pull out of your azz and he doesn't know how many he will have to pull out. They learned that in Broward county and also Georgia's Gov race. Came up short. 

Thing is, it will be to late for the black voters to make a difference in those democratic run shltholes. Too many of them are still on board with poverty.

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I'm interested in hearing why anyone thinks Biden has a prayer.

- senile, angry, creepy

- evidence of pay for play with Russia, Ukraine, China

- 47 year career politician, but now he will fix things

- old white male

- lost every presidential race he entered over the last 30 years

- can't draw more than a dozen to a rally

- can't remember his name, his wife's name, his opponent's name, or what state he is in half the time

- is either a Trojan horse to socialism or totally full of shite and will be Bush 3.0/Obama 2.0 and just do the bidding of Wall Street and MIC

- nobody voting for him actually likes him or wants him, he is merely "not Trump"

- failed to campaign in most swing states

- no ground game until last week

- runs negative, dishonest OMB ads during every sporting event, 2 ads/ commercial break

 

I get it that a lot of people hate Trump and will vote for whoever is opposite on the ballot. But is hatred enough to motivate people to get out and vote? During a worldwide pandemic where you are likely to die of you leave your house without a mask?

There is no metric that says Biden beats Trump.

Other than OMB and COVID hysteria can anyone explain how Biden overcomes everything listed above?

I believe Dems knew they had zero chance and that is why they forced everyone else to drop out and are sacrificing Biden.

 

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7 minutes ago, Goggins said:

I'm interested in hearing why anyone thinks Biden has a prayer.

- senile, angry, creepy

- evidence of pay for play with Russia, Ukraine, China

- 47 year career politician, but now he will fix things

- old white male

- lost every presidential race he entered over the last 30 years

- can't draw more than a dozen to a rally

- can't remember his name, his wife's name, his opponent's name, or what state he is in half the time

- is either a Trojan horse to socialism or totally full of shite and will be Bush 3.0/Obama 2.0 and just do the bidding of Wall Street and MIC

- nobody voting for him actually likes him or wants him, he is merely "not Trump"

- failed to campaign in most swing states

- no ground game until last week

- runs negative, dishonest OMB ads during every sporting event, 2 ads/ commercial break

 

I get it that a lot of people hate Trump and will vote for whoever is opposite on the ballot. But is hatred enough to motivate people to get out and vote? During a worldwide pandemic where you are likely to die of you leave your house without a mask?

There is no metric that says Biden beats Trump.

Other than OMB and COVID hysteria can anyone explain how Biden overcomes everything listed above?

I believe Dems knew they had zero chance and that is why they forced everyone else to drop out and are sacrificing Biden.

 

There are a lot of liberal democrats out there that are going to vote. That's all I got....:dunno:

Unfortunately it may be enough. :mellow:

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4 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

Thing is, it will to late for the black voters to make a difference in those democratic run shltholes. Too many of them are still on board with poverty.

Trump doesn't need a lot though. He won with 8% black. Some polls are saying 15, 20 even outliners of 30%. That's a long bridge for Joe if it gets over 15%. The ballot harvesting operation is only designed to compensate for maybe 5-10%. If they push harder Federal election commission is going to step in and start auditing, something they absolutely do not want. Remember when Jill Stein was pushing for an audit and they started finding stuff. Democrats wanted it shutdown immediately. 

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12 minutes ago, FlyinHeadlock said:

Trump doesn't need a lot though. He won with 8% black. Some polls are saying 15, 20 even outliners of 30%. That's a long bridge for Joe if it gets over 15%. The ballot harvesting operation is only designed to compensate for maybe 5-10%. If they push harder Federal election commission is going to step in and start auditing, something they absolutely do not want. Remember when Jill Stein was pushing for an audit and they started finding stuff. Democrats wanted it shutdown immediately. 

You know what I would trade out for a Trump victory? All blacks voting against democrats for mayor, governor, congress, senate, etc...and stopping committing crimes. 

That may be worth it. Even that I'm not sure honestly.  But I'm just throwing it out there.

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I’d say Biden is the favorite right now so yea he will prob win by hook or by crook. I anticipate a non peaceful transition of power as well. 

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I was gladly wrong last time and happy to pay BLS in flashlight components. I wasn't betting on Hillary to win because I wanted her to win, I bet on her because I thought "hey look, free money." The polls were wrong. Whatever these pollsters have done in the interim, their entire livelihood and reputation relies on them being accurate, they can't blow two elections in a row. They're telling us Biden will win. They know that if they blow it again, they're done.

I beleived them last time and didn't get my free money. Now i don't know what to believe, but if they can't re-calibrate their polls, I won't get fooled a third time.

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3 minutes ago, Voltaire said:

I was gladly wrong last time and happy to pay BLS in flashlight components. I wasn't betting on Hillary to win because I wanted her to win, I bet on her because I thought "hey look, free money." The polls were wrong. Whatever these pollsters have done in the interim, their entire livelihood and reputation relies on them being accurate, they can't blow two elections in a row. They're telling us Biden will win. They know that if they blow it again, they're done.

What average US citizen pays attention to the poll's integrity? 

I don't and I'm paying attention to the crap. 

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2020 has been a year of non-stop shots to the nuts so it wouldn't surprise me if Harris (oops Biden) wins. 

This year makes me yearn for the glory days of 2018 when all I had to worry about was going through cancer treatment. 

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I really don’t think he will. Hillary had a better chance than him. Anyone even know what the platform he is running on is? I don’t think he even knows. Average, level headed Americans can see how bad the democrats are and no one wants to be a part of that party anymore 

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59 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

What average US citizen pays attention to the poll's integrity? 

I don't and I'm paying attention to the crap. 

They were right in 2012 (or was it 2008) to such an extent that Nate Silver earned his reputation by correctly calling all fifty states. Something went wrong in 2016 so we'll see if this got corrected for or not. I had full confidence that I'd be taking BLS's money last time. Happily Trump won.

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Ive held the same feeling the whole time.

Biden should win.  And I am almost expecting it.  But with what happened last time I think anything can happen.

I do think the Left has played a ton of prevent defense.  And like with the NFL I think he left the door open for Trump to gain late momentum.

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If you look at what's happening,  the enthusiasm country wide for Trump, you'd think Biden is toast, but you cannot overlook they're efforts to steal it. 

 

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1 hour ago, drobeski said:

If you look at what's happening,  the enthusiasm country wide for Trump, you'd think Biden is toast, but you cannot overlook they're efforts to steal it. 

 

In a fair election Trump would crush him. But we've seen for 4 years that the Dems will do anything to get rid of him. I'm worried about them stealing this election. 

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Don't underestimate the hate for Trump.  I saw a poll the other day that over 50% of people that vote for Biden, are doing so to simply get Trump out of office.  Trump can only overcome so much MSM abuse.

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2 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Don't underestimate the hate for Trump.  I saw a poll the other day that over 50% of people that vote for Biden, are doing so to simply get Trump out of office.  Trump can only overcome so much MSM abuse.

Yep. Most people I talk to don't like Biden particularly, but absolutely HATE Trump, and have been ready to cast a ballot against him for years.

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5 hours ago, Voltaire said:

I was gladly wrong last time and happy to pay BLS in flashlight components. I wasn't betting on Hillary to win because I wanted her to win, I bet on her because I thought "hey look, free money." The polls were wrong. Whatever these pollsters have done in the interim, their entire livelihood and reputation relies on them being accurate, they can't blow two elections in a row. They're telling us Biden will win. They know that if they blow it again, they're done.

I beleived them last time and didn't get my free money. Now i don't know what to believe, but if they can't re-calibrate their polls, I won't get fooled a third time.

Well, I hope he made a lot of money selling those components, cause me and BLS are on for a grand. :banana:

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8 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

What's your trolling point here?

Lot of Geeks convinced Trump is going to win. Just wondering if any Geeks are sure Biden is going to win. I didn’t vote for either and have no horse in this race.

:dunno: 

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2 minutes ago, MDC said:

Lot of Geeks convinced Trump is going to win. Just wondering if any Geeks are sure Biden is going to win. I didn’t vote for either and have no horse in this race.

:dunno: 

Who do you predict wins and will it be close?

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There is an abundance of stupid people in this country, so there is a chance Biden wins. I think it’s a coin flip.

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Yes. He is absolutely going to win the popular vote and then lose the electoral college. 

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42 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Who do you predict wins and will it be close?

I think it's Biden and not close at all. After 4 years of hearing Trump talk about his 'historic victory', I'm look forward to hearing him commiserate on his colossal ass-kicking.  :banana:  

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Unfortunately I think Biden will be our next President, but I hope that I am completely wrong...

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9 hours ago, MTSkiBum said:

I have no idea what will happen.

Same. Can the Ds create enough fake & illegal votes to overcome the Trump train without getting busted. That's the Q.

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41 minutes ago, Gladiators said:

There is an abundance of stupid people in this country, so there is a chance Biden wins. I think it’s a coin flip.

Gotta hope the stupid are reading the poll bs and stay home.

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I have an idiot friend (Canadian) that said he is "willing to bet that Biden gets 70%+ of the electoral votes."

I asked him "ok. How much are you willing to bet on that?" and he quickly changed his mind.

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Lots of libtards stayed home in 2016 because they figured Hillary was a shoe in.  They're coming out in force with Trump hate.  I think Biden wins pretty easily, and it will be apparent on election night. I really don't see any blues flipping to red, but I'm guessing MI, WI, AZ, PA, NC flip blue. We just have to pray that the Supermike 80 types vote red in Senate races.

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8 hours ago, Goggins said:

I'm interested in hearing why anyone thinks Biden has a prayer.

- senile, angry, creepy

- evidence of pay for play with Russia, Ukraine, China

- 47 year career politician, but now he will fix things

- old white male

- lost every presidential race he entered over the last 30 years

- can't draw more than a dozen to a rally

- can't remember his name, his wife's name, his opponent's name, or what state he is in half the time

- is either a Trojan horse to socialism or totally full of shite and will be Bush 3.0/Obama 2.0 and just do the bidding of Wall Street and MIC

- nobody voting for him actually likes him or wants him, he is merely "not Trump"

- failed to campaign in most swing states

- no ground game until last week

- runs negative, dishonest OMB ads during every sporting event, 2 ads/ commercial break

 

I get it that a lot of people hate Trump and will vote for whoever is opposite on the ballot. But is hatred enough to motivate people to get out and vote? During a worldwide pandemic where you are likely to die of you leave your house without a mask?

There is no metric that says Biden beats Trump.

Other than OMB and COVID hysteria can anyone explain how Biden overcomes everything listed above?

I believe Dems knew they had zero chance and that is why they forced everyone else to drop out and are sacrificing Biden.

 

There are a LOT of people who are just sick of Trump.  I honestly think if he kept his mouth shut more, stayed off Twitter and was a little more careful with what he said that he'd win easily.

Has Trump's overall approval ever been 50% or more?

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