MTSkiBum 1,594 Posted November 1, 2020 4 hours ago, posty said: Biden 339 I was expecting this from Voltaire, but not from you. I purposely went big on biden when this thread was started to scare everyone else away from that strategy. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,556 Posted November 1, 2020 Trump 328 (I would have gone with 326 but Utilit parked his ass on 326 already, so I wanted to drop Nevada 6 but Kopy has 320 as well. Those were the two best options so, as a third option, I had to drop Minnesota or New Hampshire or add Maine and I dont see Trump losing those two in my calculation so I added Maine 2 as the least bad option. I think Virgina, Colorado, and New Mexico are trending too far blue and the others are also out of reach. The other option was beleive the polls and go parse Georgia and such for Biden numbers, but Biden can slurp my Rust Belt butthole.) --------- Texas 38 Florida 29 Pennsylvania 20 Ohio 18 Georgia 16 Michigan 16 North Carolina 15 Arizona 11 Tennessee 11 Indiana 11 Minnesota 11 Wisconsin 11 Missouri 10 Alabama 9 South Carolina 9 Kentucky 8 Oklahoma 7 Nevada 6 Utah 6 Kansas 6 Iowa 6 Arkansas 6 Louisiana 6 Mississippi 6 Nebraska 5 (of 5) West Virginia 5 Idaho 4 New Hampshire 4 Montana 3 Wyoming 3 South Dakota 3 North Dakota 3 Alaska 3 Maine 3 ( of 4) 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 1, 2020 So Far: Biden Jerryskids 281 Fandaddy 285 SuperMike 302 Fireballer 324 Mike Honcho 334 Posty 339 mtskibum 347 Taco 10000 Trump Biff 275 BufordT 283 Nospk 300 TimmySmith 304 DonS 306 TBAYXXXVII 307 Shore Patrol 312 Reality 313 Kopy 320 Util99 326 Voltaire 328 Googins 333 Cdub100 334 RsderHatersRev 362 Dizkneelande 370 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The PosterFormerlyKnownAs 61 Posted November 1, 2020 Biden 271 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
posty 2,296 Posted November 1, 2020 16 hours ago, MTSkiBum said: I was expecting this from Voltaire, but not from you. I purposely went big on biden when this thread was started to scare everyone else away from that strategy. I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike Honcho 4,014 Posted November 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, posty said: I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man... No need to explain, man. Political loyalty is one thing, but we're talk prehistoric shark teef on the line. Got to do what you got to do. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HTH 67 Posted November 1, 2020 Biden wins with 351 electoral college votes Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HTH 67 Posted November 1, 2020 Hey! What happens if more than one person has the same correct prediction? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
5-Points 2,726 Posted November 1, 2020 15 minutes ago, HTH said: Hey! What happens if more than one person has the same correct prediction? That won't happen. The first person to pick gets that pick. If you pick after that person you have to pick different winner or a different EC total. You can't pick the same thing somebody else already picked. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RaiderHaters Revenge 3,575 Posted November 1, 2020 1 hour ago, posty said: I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man... millions at rallys/parades to day say otherwise 12 out there for biden, my mom hosted an Biden/Harris event in LA last night and proudly posted pics, I counted 12+ the person taking the picture, meanwhile 5000 marched in Beverly hills for Trump 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted November 1, 2020 Trump 308 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 1, 2020 Biden Poster FKA 271 Jerryskids 281 Fandaddy 285 SuperMike 302 Fireballer 324 Mike Honcho 334 HTH 335 Posty 339 mtskibum 347 Herbivore 351 Taco 10000 Trump Biff 275 BufordT 283 Nospk 300 TimmySmith 304 DonS 306 TBAYXXXVII 307 MookZ 310 Shore Patrol 312 Reality 313 Alias 318 Kopy 320 Util99 326 Voltaire 328 Cdub100 334 RsderHatersRev 362 Dizkneelande 370 Googins 405 These three came in late but I was not around last night to call it so if one of them would have won I will give one tooth to the real winner above and a second one to the late guess. Latecomers Riversco Trump 270 OldSchool Trump 278 Drobs Trump 381 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike Honcho 4,014 Posted November 1, 2020 Surprised by the lack of support for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RaiderHaters Revenge 3,575 Posted November 1, 2020 Just now, Mike Honcho said: Surprised by the lack of support for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen. she supports BLM fock her Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HTH 67 Posted November 1, 2020 Thanks for doing this Bill! Very generous of you. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MTSkiBum 1,594 Posted November 1, 2020 2 hours ago, posty said: I don't want Biden to win at all and I hope Trump pulls the upset again, but I just don't have any faith at the moment and my gut feeling is that even though he has done a lot of he promised, people are just sick of Trump the man... I meant I was hoping to be the only one big on biden. I do not care who wins the election other than for a sharks tooth. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Utilit99 4,099 Posted November 1, 2020 1 hour ago, MTSkiBum said: I meant I was hoping to be the only one big on biden. I do not care who wins the election other than for a sharks tooth. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Utilit99 4,099 Posted November 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Mike Honcho said: Surprised by the lack of support for Libertarian Jo Jorgensen. MDC voted for her because he's "neutral" and really wants his vote to count. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mookz 1,287 Posted November 1, 2020 Trump 310 #MAGA-lo-DON-teef 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,556 Posted November 2, 2020 4 hours ago, MTSkiBum said: I meant I was hoping to be the only one big on biden. I do not care who wins the election other than for a sharks tooth. There's a lot more room for error on the Biden side and you have the polls backing that up. I just figure there's no way after the USMCA and the rioting that Trump loses support in the Rust Belt. It makes zero sense to me that Biden could beat Trump there. So then I added Minnesota because of the riots, they should have never voted for Hillary last time but the rioting will put them over. Nevada and New Hampshire are states that I don't understand all that well but they got a good look at Biden in the primary, did not want him at all, and are polling better for Trump than Michigan, which I understand better than anywhere. Then that was Utlit's number, so I was going to take Nevada out and got Kopy's number, so I added Maine. Colorado and Virginia are effectively blue. North Carolina and Arizona are purple-ing and seem destined to join them at some point but I dunno when. I also don't understand upper New England so New Hampshire and Maine so whatever. But the Midwest, I like to think that I understand how we think. We should get redder. Trump should hold there and add Minnesota. I mean how in the fock do we vote for Biden? I hear Trump is coming back to my old stomping grounds: Macomb County, Michigan, he may be there now as I type this. We're usually the key to the state. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DonS 3,066 Posted November 2, 2020 5 hours ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said: millions at rallys/parades to day say otherwise 12 out there for biden, my mom hosted an Biden/Harris event in LA last night and proudly posted pics, I counted 12+ the person taking the picture, meanwhile 5000 marched in Beverly hills for Trump I guess I won't be as gentle next time I'm with your mom, then. B1tch needs to learn. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Goggins 146 Posted November 2, 2020 14 hours ago, Bill E. said: So Far: Biden Jerryskids 281 Fandaddy 285 SuperMike 302 Fireballer 324 Mike Honcho 334 Posty 339 mtskibum 347 Taco 10000 Trump Biff 275 BufordT 283 Nospk 300 TimmySmith 304 DonS 306 TBAYXXXVII 307 Shore Patrol 312 Reality 313 Kopy 320 Util99 326 Voltaire 328 Googins 333 Cdub100 334 RsderHatersRev 362 Dizkneelande 370 Since I was boxed in by Voltaire and Cdub, and after seeing the momentum of the MAGA Train, I would like to bump mine up to 405 for Trump (really 438 but we'll go with 405 since nobody else is over 400) 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JustinCharge 2,397 Posted November 2, 2020 Oh I didn't even see this thread. I know my pick doesn't count. Best choice is Trump 270. Its not that I predict it will be 270, its just that there are several scenarios where we hit 270. Also, please note that faithless electors are real. We won't know the true tally until the electors actually vote in December. In 2016, Hillary suffered 5 faithless electors and Trump had 0. Biden could reach 274 on election nite, but suffer 5 faithless electors and actually not reach 270. That would mean congress picks. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JustinCharge 2,397 Posted November 2, 2020 2016 maps where small changes means Trump ends at 270: 1. Trump wins MN and NV and Biden wins MI, PA and GA 2. Biden wins PA and MI 3. Trump wins MN and Biden wins WI, MI and PA 4. Trump wins NV and MN and Biden wins MI, PA, ME-2 and NC 5. Trump wins NV and PA and Biden wins WI, MI, ME-2 and NC 6. Trump wins NV, PA and MI and Biden wins WI, NC, ME-2 and GA 7. Trump wins MN and Biden wins FL, GA and ME-2 8. Trump wins NV and Biden wins AZ, MI and NC 9. Trump wins NV and MN and Biden wins AZ, WI, MI and NC 10. Trump wins MN and Biden wins AZ, PA and NC Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 2, 2020 8 hours ago, drobeski said: Trump 381 See below Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 2, 2020 6 hours ago, Old School said: Trump 278 See below Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
posty 2,296 Posted November 2, 2020 Thanks for offering up this contest @Bill E.... Just another contest that I will lose and hopefully for sure on this one... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 2, 2020 12 hours ago, riversco said: Oh I didn't even see this thread. I know my pick doesn't count. Best choice is Trump 270. Its not that I predict it will be 270, its just that there are several scenarios where we hit 270. Also, please note that faithless electors are real. We won't know the true tally until the electors actually vote in December. In 2016, Hillary suffered 5 faithless electors and Trump had 0. Biden could reach 274 on election nite, but suffer 5 faithless electors and actually not reach 270. That would mean congress picks. See below Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 2, 2020 Final Biden Poster FKA 271 Jerryskids 281 Fandaddy 285 SuperMike 302 Fireballer 324 Mike Honcho 334 HTH 335 Posty 339 mtskibum 347 Herbivore 351 Taco 10000 Trump Biff 275 BufordT 283 Nospk 300 TimmySmith 304 DonS 306 TBAYXXXVII 307 MookZ 310 Shore Patrol 312 Reality 313 Alias 318 Kopy 320 Util99 326 Voltaire 328 Cdub100 334 RsderHatersRev 362 Dizkneelande 370 Googins 405 These three came in late but I was not around last night to call it so if one of them would have won I will give one tooth to the real winner above and a second one to the late guess that was closer. Latecomers Riversco Trump 270 OldSchool Trump 278 Drobs Trump 381 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Old School 360 Posted November 2, 2020 I guess RIF- reading is fundamental and I should have read the due date. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
joneo 529 Posted November 2, 2020 316 thanks to Minnesota Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 2, 2020 51 minutes ago, joneo said: 316 thanks to Minnesota Way late. Sorry Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 9, 2020 It looks like Biden has 290 now with 34 to go. So it is between Fandaddy, SuperMike, and Fireballer. I will figure it out once AK, NC and GA declares. Poster FKA 271 Jerryskids 281 Fandaddy 285 SuperMike 302 Fireballer 324 Mike Honcho 334 HTH 335 Posty 339 mtskibum 347 Herbivore 351 Taco 10000 Trump Biff 275 BufordT 283 Nospk 300 TimmySmith 304 DonS 306 TBAYXXXVII 307 MookZ 310 Shore Patrol 312 Reality 313 Alias 318 Kopy 320 Util99 326 Voltaire 328 Cdub100 334 RsderHatersRev 362 Dizkneelande 370 Googins 405 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill E. 666 Posted November 20, 2020 Looking like 306. Congrats to Supermike!!! PM me your address. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites