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cyclone24

General beginner gambling…

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2 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Thoughts on Dallas game? I know this line is based on the thought that the "Chiefs are back" after beating up on the Raiders. All I've been reading this week, though, is that the Raiders didn't follow the blueprint on defense that had slowed the Chiefs in the previous weeks. The public looks to be about 50-50 on this game.  I really want to lean Dallas here.

This one looks like a coin flip. I can make a case for either side but like you, leaning Dallas. 

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3 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

This one looks like a coin flip. I can make a case for either side but like you, leaning Dallas. 

And the line has stuck on 2.5 pretty much all week. I think they're just begging people to load up on KC.  

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4 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

And the line has stuck on 2.5 pretty much all week. I think they're just begging people to load up on KC.  

It’s a great spot to tease Dallas up to 8.5 pushing them through 3 and 7

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4:00

Cincinnati - Las Vegas 

Darren Waller u 6.5 receptions

Bryan Edwards u 3 receptions

Josh Jacobs u 3 receptions

CJ Uzomah u 3 receptions

Dallas - Kansas City 

Byron Pringle u 29.5 receiving

Mecole Hardman o 2.5 receptions

Ezekiel Elliott u 21.5 receiving

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You can almost get Dallas at even money too. One of my books showing -102

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Jonathan Taylor u 77.5 and u 105.5 added 

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8 hours ago, bostonlager said:

It’s a great spot to tease Dallas up to 8.5 pushing them through 3 and 7

I took KC last minute just for something to bet on and the fact I knew Cooper was out.

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That was a bloodbath. Not even adding that sh1t up

  • Haha 1

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I had the fockiest day yesterday.  Three 4-leg parlays where I hit 3 of the 4 legs; got free bets back on them all but criminy... nailed Colts beating the Bills but they won so bigly Wentz didn't throw 200 yds... nailed Cards winning but needed 45 yds from Collins (he had 38 at half, finished with 36).  Would have won $125 on that.  In NBA, nailed Suns cruising on Nuggets but needed one Paul steal.

As a bonus, I did a separate bet with Cards -13.5.  They dominated plenty to do it but focking Prater misses 2 FGs and an XP.  SMH...

I did win a fun "boost" bet in the night game (Ekeler and Harris each 1+ TD, +260) so it was kinda a wash.  And I have both Ekeler and Taylor on my money FF keeper team so, yeah I won that game.  :cheers: 

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Anybody playing anything tonight?  I’m in the mood to wager, but not do any research. Throw me something to tail :thumbsup:

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43 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Anybody playing anything tonight?  I’m in the mood to wager, but not do any research. Throw me something to tail :thumbsup:

Game Score Status Pick Units
Phoenix 
Cleveland
- 
-
07:00 PM
Over 209.0
+500
Atlanta 
San Antonio
- 
-
08:30 PM
ATL -4.0
+500
Portland 
Sacramento
- 
-
10:00 PM
POR -2.5
+500

Top money maker on covers has these NBA picks tonight.

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8 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Big balls

Why not? Let’s gamble 

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I was going to bet the Bears at -3, but I missed putting the bet down before the start of the game and the Bears had already punted on their first drive when I checked my sportsbook. The odds changed at that point and I got a bet in on the new ML Bears at -1.5.   Jeez, lucky.   And the Bears still suck even though they won.  

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14 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Why not? Let’s gamble 

Also Parlayed it with any Ty Montgomery touchdown.  👍
going for the home run.
 

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Ole Miss - Mississippi State

Dontario Drummond u 72.5 receiving

Dontario Drummond u 5.5 receptions

Jaden Walley u 57.5 receiving

Makai Polk u 85.5 receiving

Will Rogers u 354.5 passing

Matt Corral o 284.5 passing

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4 hours ago, Alias Detective said:

Also Parlayed it with any Ty Montgomery touchdown.  👍
going for the home run.
 

Bon Jovi says oh oh- we’re half way there 

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1 minute ago, Fireballer said:

Nice move👍🏻

Thank you. Got a little scary down the stretch 

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17 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Ole Miss - Mississippi State

Dontario Drummond u 72.5 receiving

Dontario Drummond u 5.5 receptions

Jaden Walley u 57.5 receiving

Makai Polk u 85.5 receiving

Will Rogers u 354.5 passing

Matt Corral o 284.5 passing

2-4 :angry:

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Iowa - Nebraska is a pick em. What am I missing?

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6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Iowa - Nebraska is a pick em. What am I missing?

Iowa stinks

  • Nebraska opened as a 4.5-point favorite over the ranked Iowa Hawkeyes, but significant betting volume pushed the point spread all the way to Iowa -1.5 before settling around a pick'em across the betting market.
  • Thanks 1

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9 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

How is PSU a 5.5 point road favorite at 12th ranked Michigan State?

Sparty has no chance of winning B1G and in position for a let down game is my guess. 

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Fukin Wynnbet blows.  They keep live betting locked more than its open.  Withdrawing after today.

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1 hour ago, Alias Detective said:

How is PSU a 5.5 point road favorite at 12th ranked Michigan State?

 

1 hour ago, bostonlager said:

Sparty has no chance of winning B1G and in position for a let down game is my guess. 

I took MSU ML, +198 on FD

Also Michigan +7.5 +108, Tot u 58.5 +200 (took lower under for higher odds).

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3 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

Ooooohhh that’s gold. 

Buckeye defense not cooperating 

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I think my experiment with pouring time into betting is over.  I'm up about $500 after making an initial $25 +deposit with DK  back in Sept.  I've withdrawn there a few times and made accounts other places that give you free bets or deposit matches. It's just alot of work and ups and downs.  I probably need to quit before I get really sucked into NCAA hoops.

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1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

I think my experiment with pouring time into betting is over.  I'm up about $500 after making an initial $25 +deposit with DK  back in Sept.  I've withdrawn there a few times and made accounts other places that give you free bets or deposit matches. It's just alot of work and ups and downs.  I probably need to quit before I get really sucked into NCAA hoops.

I mean this dude claims to put in 12-16 hours a day and charges over $300 a month for his picks that are hitting percentages in the mid 50s at best.

https://www.payneinsider.com/payneinsider-records/

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16 hours ago, Fireballer said:

I think my experiment with pouring time into betting is over.  I'm up about $500 after making an initial $25 +deposit with DK  back in Sept.  I've withdrawn there a few times and made accounts other places that give you free bets or deposit matches. It's just alot of work and ups and downs.  I probably need to quit before I get really sucked into NCAA hoops.

It’s a full time job, no doubt. 

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19 hours ago, Fireballer said:

I think my experiment with pouring time into betting is over.  I'm up about $500 after making an initial $25 +deposit with DK  back in Sept.  I've withdrawn there a few times and made accounts other places that give you free bets or deposit matches. It's just alot of work and ups and downs.  I probably need to quit before I get really sucked into NCAA hoops.

Here is the thing, though. If you ride out football to the Super Bowl, you’re in mid-February. 6 more weeks of college hoops and then it’s a 5 month vacation. With the exception of a few golf bets here and there, I’m idle from April through August. 

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40 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Here is the thing, though. If you ride out football to the Super Bowl, you’re in mid-February. 6 more weeks of college hoops and then it’s a 5 month vacation. With the exception of a few golf bets here and there, I’m idle from April through August. 

Yea but I started bet on MLB lol.

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Iowa/Mich o/u at 43.5.  Over is -115 and under is -105. The line is Mich -11.  Michigan is 55th in plays per game and Iowa is 101st.  Betting tix are 89% on the under.  These decisions are what frustrate the fuk out of me with betting. 

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On 11/27/2021 at 6:59 PM, Fireballer said:

I think my experiment with pouring time into betting is over.  I'm up about $500 after making an initial $25 +deposit with DK  back in Sept.  I've withdrawn there a few times and made accounts other places that give you free bets or deposit matches. It's just alot of work and ups and downs.  I probably need to quit before I get really sucked into NCAA hoops.

I gave up trying to make real bank a while back -- without college props it's just too hard.  But since I've turned my wife into a fellow degenerate gambler, we've found that we are really enjoying the bonding we get through the highs and lows of watching a game with a few shekels on it.

We've basically gone to mostly playing parlays at the various sites.  I mentioned MGM with the free bet if you hit 3 out of 4, with no odds limits.  So we build a Suns game parlay with easy to hit metrics and watch the game like we would have anyway, but root for players to score/rebound/hit a 3/etc.  Pretty high rate for winning or free bet if you keep the odds around +150-+200.

DK seems to have similar, they call it "close but no cigar" for the free bet.  Last week I used them instead of MGM because they added $10 win or lose for that particular Suns game.

My new favorite is FD NFL parlays though.  Only 3 legs vs. 4 above, but you need +400 or higher odds.  Basically you get $10 back for parlays of $20-49, $25 for 50-99, etc., and they can be spread over multiple single game parlays.  So I picked a game of interest in each of the early and late games, and the SNF and MNF games, and bet $10/10/10/20 to get to $50.  I'll get $25 in free bets win or lose (it so happened that I won 2, so I was up quite a bit).

Anyway, a long way of saying that I'm still betting, just in a different way that I am finding more fun.  If the Seahawks could have just contained Gibson to the under though...  :mad:  :D 

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