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***Wagering thread***

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1 hour ago, BeenHereBefore said:

For tonight game I have

TB -8.5 under 51.5

TB -8.5 and ML doesn't pay good

Dak most passing yards  Thinking they will behind and throwing more

Amari Cooper O  5.5 Receps Same

Succup O 7.5 points

I sort of like Brady over 2.5 passing TDs at +135.  Not sure if I will play it or not.  

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16 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

I sort of like Brady over 2.5 passing TDs at +135.  Not sure if I will play it or not.  

I can see that but think Dak will beat him in yards for the reason I stated.

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23 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Whats the best SB for teasers?

I think all of them offer them. I posted a couple articles above and if you google “Wong Teasers” you will get more info. It involves pushing/teasing the line through key numbers and over time will turn a profit. 

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17 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I think all of them offer them. I posted a couple articles above and if you google “Wong Teasers” you will get more info. It involves pushing/teasing the line through key numbers and over time will turn a profit. 

Yeah read that yesterday.  I can't seem to find them on DK though.

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Just now, Fireballer said:

Yeah read that yesterday.  I can't seem to find them on DK though.

I deleted my DK sportsbook app awhile ago.  But from what I remember que thr spreads you want to tease into the betting box.  Go to the betting box and there should be a teaser button you can click.  It drops down and shows the different teasers you can apply

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5 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Yeah read that yesterday.  I can't seem to find them on DK though.

Most likely you will need to pick the spread number for each team. Then in your bet box you will have the option to single bet, parlay, or tease 

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The button was never at the top qith parlay single round robin option.  It was a smaller button down by the spreads.

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10 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

I deleted my DK sportsbook app awhile ago.  But from what I remember que thr spreads you want to tease into the betting box.  Go to the betting box and there should be a teaser button you can click.  It drops down and shows the different teasers you can apply

 

9 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Most likely you will need to pick the spread number for each team. Then in your bet box you will have the option to single bet, parlay, or tease 

Ahhh ok I found it.  There's a teaser tab that was grayed out.  Just didn't see it.  Thanks

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Dipping my toe into teasers again.  I've had decent luck teasing home dogs over the years

Det +17.5

Giants +13

Texans +13

 

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8 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Wonder how much $ is on the Bucs?  Books will take a bath if they cover.  

According to Action Network the movement has evened it out. 48% of bets and 50% of money is on Dallas as of this minute. 

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5 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

According to Action Network the movement has evened it out. 48% of bets and 50% of money is on Dallas as of this minute. 

Yep Dallas has a lot of fans who probably bet on them.

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On 9/7/2021 at 8:01 PM, bostonlager said:

Dallas - Tampa Bay 

 

Dalton Schultz u 20.5 receiving

Dak Prescott u 290.5 passing 

🤢🤢🤢

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4 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

🤢🤢🤢

Hoping for 2-2 in this one. 
 

We were due for a turd. I was on an absolute heater, hitting 21 of my last 26 plays prior to tonight. We will get em back on Saturday 

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4 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I had the under wrong.

 

6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Hoping for 2-2 in this one. 
 

We were due for a turd. I was on an absolute heater, hitting 21 of my last 26 plays prior to tonight. We will get em back on Saturday 

I'm a sucker for NFL week 1 so I got a bunch of cash in, especially tonite.  I haven't even looked at Sat.

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1 minute ago, Fireballer said:

 

I'm a sucker for NFL week 1 so I got a bunch of cash in, especially tonite.  I haven't even looked at Sat.

just a heads up. My NFL plays in past years have not been as profitable as my college plays. When I update my record for the season I will be keeping them separate. Then those that tail can decide if they want to do both or just my college plays. 

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5 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

I bet there's some big ML parlays sweating right now

Those that teased yesterday have it down to -2. If this holds it would be a ‘no-action’

not ideal, but better than a loss. 

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On 9/8/2021 at 1:04 PM, listen2me 23 said:

But I would rather ML parlay say TB this week than teasing them to 2.5.  But that is just me.  

Lol...prophetic. 👍🏻

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On 9/7/2021 at 8:01 PM, bostonlager said:

Dallas - Tampa Bay 

Bet Builder Card

Ezekiel Elliott u 3.5 receptions

Ezekiel Elliott u 21.5 receiving 

Dalton Schultz u 20.5 receiving

Dak Prescott u 290.5 passing 

Thursday: 2-2

Season: 35-18-2

 

College Season: 33-16-2

NFL season: 2-2

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7 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I hope you played it.

I did not.  Gambling can be a mindfock.  You swear the leans that you don't quite play are hitting at an 80% clip.  Of course that isn't true but it always feels that way.

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25 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

I did not.  Gambling can be a mindfock.  You swear the leans that you don't quite play are hitting at an 80% clip.  Of course that isn't true but it always feels that way.

I broke my rule last night that most prime time games in the NFL the underdog wins on the spread. I forgot that and usually holds true but months since and forgot that. To much money on the fav in Prime time when more are betting. I hit two props so didn't lose much but can't believe I forgot that!

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Some random thoughts....I tread lightly on NFL week 1s.  Teams can change a lot even if their roster looks the same.  Some QBs even good ones take a quarter or 2 to knock off rust.  Mpre drops as you saw last night with Lamb and Godwin.  

But my gut feelings on a few things and they seem sort of square...

Titans are just better than AZ.  They have a better QB, running game, and probably better WRs.  On defense both teams aren't great.  Titans did get Dupree and I think Autry is very underrated.  They are at home.  

The Broncos are just a better team than the Giants.  Better defense.  Better QB.  And probably just as good of weapons, probably better.  On the road however.  

These seem like 2 square sides.  But they are 2 teams I think are obviously better than their opponent with reasonable spreads.  

Haven't bet either yet.  I will probably make my bets tomorrow for Sunday.  Other than Iowa I am not betting college this week.  

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My card for Sunday

Arizona - Tennessee

Derrick Henry u 9.5 receiving

AJ Brown u 5.5 receptions

Chase Edmonds u 3 receptions

Derrick Henry u 1.5 receptions

Julio Jones u 5.5 receptions

Ryan Tannehill u 31.5 pass attempts

Ryan Tannehill u 21.5 completions

Ryan Tannehill u 254.5 passing

Kyler Murray o 22.5 completions

 

Jacksonville - Houston

Laviska Shenault o 4 receptions

James Robinson o 3 receptions

Tyrod Taylor o 18.5 completions

Tyrod Taylor o 210.5 passing

 

Chargers - Redskins

Logan Thomas u 46.5 receiving

Jared Cook u 3.5 receptions

Ryan Fitzpatrick u 260.5 passing

Antonio Gibson u 69.u rushing 

 

Minnesota - Cincinnati 

Joe Mixon u 25.5 receiving

Tyler Conklin u 28.5 receiving 

Tee Higgins u 5 receptions 

 

Carolina - NYJ

Christian McCaffrey o 5.5 receptions

Zach Wilson u 240.5 passing

 

Atlanta - Philadelphia 

Devonta Smith o 49.5 receiving 

Mike Davis o 2.5 receptions

Miles Sanders u 69.5 rushing

 

Buffalo - Pittsburgh

Chase Claypool u 54.5 receiving

Dionte Johnson u 62.5 receiving 

Eric Ebron u 30.5 receiving 

Stefon Diggs u 90.5 receiving

Chase Claypool u 4.5 receptions

Stefon Diggs u 7 receptions

Ben Roethlisberger u 270.5 passing

Josh Allen u 280.5 passing 

Josh Allen u 25.5 completions

Najee Harris u 64.5 rushing 

 

San Francisco - Detroit 

Amon-Ra St Brown u 3.5 receptions

Jared Goff u 230.5 passing 

Raheem Mostert u 69.5 rushing 

 

Seattle - Indianapolis 

Jack Doyle u 24.5 receiving

Nyheim Hines u 24.5 receiving 

Gerald Everett o 2.5 receptions

Carson Wentz u 245.5 passing 

Jonathan Taylor u 69.5 rushing

Chris Carson u 60.5 rushing 

 

Cleveland - Kansas City 

Austin Hooper u 35.5 receiving

Clyde Edwards Helaire u 24.5 receiving 

Jarvis Landry u 58.5 receiving 

Kareem Hunt u 17.5 receiving

Odell Beckham u 56.6 receiving

Jarvis Landry u 5.5 receptions

Odell Beckham u 4.5 receptions

Tyreek Hill u 6.5 receptions

Baker Mayfield u 265.5 passing 

 

Denver - NYG

Sterling Shepard u 49.5 receiving

Daniel Jones u 219.5 passing

 

Green Bay - New Orleans

Alvin Kamara u 47.5 receiving

Aaron Jones u 3.5 receptions

Marquez Callaway o 4 receptions

Robert Tonyan u 3.5 receptions

Jameis Winston u 256.5 passing

Aaron Rodgers u 9.5 rushing

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9 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

My card for Sunday

Arizona - Tennessee

Derrick Henry u 9.5 receiving

AJ Brown u 5.5 receptions

Chase Edmonds u 3 receptions

Derrick Henry u 1.5 receptions

Julio Jones u 5.5 receptions

Ryan Tannehill u 31.5 pass attempts

Ryan Tannehill u 21.5 completions

Ryan Tannehill u 254.5 passing

Kyler Murray o 22.5 completions

 

Jacksonville - Houston

Laviska Shenault o 4 receptions

James Robinson o 3 receptions

Tyrod Taylor o 18.5 completions

Tyrod Taylor o 210.5 passing

 

Chargers - Redskins

Logan Thomas u 46.5 receiving

Jared Cook u 3.5 receptions

Ryan Fitzpatrick u 260.5 passing

Antonio Gibson u 69.u rushing 

 

Minnesota - Cincinnati 

Joe Mixon u 25.5 receiving

Tyler Conklin u 28.5 receiving 

Tee Higgins u 5 receptions 

 

Carolina - NYJ

Christian McCaffrey o 5.5 receptions

Zach Wilson u 240.5 passing

 

Atlanta - Philadelphia 

Devonta Smith o 49.5 receiving 

Mike Davis o 2.5 receptions

Miles Sanders u 69.5 rushing

 

Buffalo - Pittsburgh

Chase Claypool u 54.5 receiving

Dionte Johnson u 62.5 receiving 

Eric Ebron u 30.5 receiving 

Stefon Diggs u 90.5 receiving

Chase Claypool u 4.5 receptions

Stefon Diggs u 7 receptions

Ben Roethlisberger u 270.5 passing

Josh Allen u 280.5 passing 

Josh Allen u 25.5 completions

Najee Harris u 64.5 rushing 

 

San Francisco - Detroit 

Amon-Ra St Brown u 3.5 receptions

Jared Goff u 230.5 passing 

Raheem Mostert u 69.5 rushing 

 

Seattle - Indianapolis 

Jack Doyle u 24.5 receiving

Nyheim Hines u 24.5 receiving 

Gerald Everett o 2.5 receptions

Carson Wentz u 245.5 passing 

Jonathan Taylor u 69.5 rushing

Chris Carson u 60.5 rushing 

 

Cleveland - Kansas City 

Austin Hooper u 35.5 receiving

Clyde Edwards Helaire u 24.5 receiving 

Jarvis Landry u 58.5 receiving 

Kareem Hunt u 17.5 receiving

Odell Beckham u 56.6 receiving

Jarvis Landry u 5.5 receptions

Odell Beckham u 4.5 receptions

Tyreek Hill u 6.5 receptions

Baker Mayfield u 265.5 passing 

 

Denver - NYG

Sterling Shepard u 49.5 receiving

Daniel Jones u 219.5 passing

 

Green Bay - New Orleans

Alvin Kamara u 47.5 receiving

Aaron Jones u 3.5 receptions

Marquez Callaway o 4 receptions

Robert Tonyan u 3.5 receptions

Jameis Winston u 256.5 passing

Aaron Rodgers u 9.5 rushing

Damn.  That's alot!

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Just now, Fireballer said:

Damn.  That's alot!

More to come when they add props to MIA/NE and the night game. 

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7 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

More to come when they add props to MIA/NE and the night game. 

You do this many for college?

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5 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

You do this many for college?

When they start offering them I will. We are in that part of the season with a lot of non-conf mismatches and they typically don’t offer props on those games. Once conference plays gets into full swing, Saturdays will look just like this. 

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6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

When they start offering them I will. We are in that part of the season with a lot of non-conf mismatches and they typically don’t offer props on those games. Once conference plays gets into full swing, Saturdays will look just like this. 

You just run all your props solo, no parlays?

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3 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

You just run all your props solo, no parlays?

Outside of what qualifies for a Wong Teaser, I do not parlay anything. Between college and NFL,  I am confident I can hit between 60-65% of these. That said, I don’t have any more confidence in one oover the others. In order for me to have success with that, I would have to know exactly which ones will hit. 

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3 hours ago, Fireballer said:

What the fuk am I missing with Cards@Titans?  Line just dropped to -2.5.  

I am in agreement with you on this. Just logged into the action network and they are saying a ton of sharp money has started coming in on ARZ. 

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