BeenHereBefore 1,332 Posted September 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, bostonlager said: To put a cap on overreaction week, I'm taking Tennessee +10 Me too and majority will be for the Bills. Under sounds like a good bet as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 20, 2022 I think I said it in here or perhaps another thread....but I just wouldn't get in front of the Bills this year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 20, 2022 Bills now have 20 straight wins of double digits. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 20, 2022 21 hours ago, bostonlager said: Titans - Bills Derrick Henry u 11.5 receiving Robert Woods u 40.5 receiving Ryan Tannehill u 213.5 passing Josh Allen o 22.5 completions 19 hours ago, bostonlager said: Vikings - Eagles Adam Thielen u 50.5 receiving NFL Season - 41- 24 (.630) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 20, 2022 On 9/14/2022 at 9:25 AM, listen2me 23 said: NYG -2.5 Phil -2.5 2-0 YTD Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 Steelers - Browns Diontae Johnson o 5.5 receptions 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted September 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, bostonlager said: Steelers - Browns Diontae Johnson o 5.5 receptions 20% juice. Damn. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Alias Detective said: 20% juice. Damn. I got it at -120 I like Najee o 2.5 and Friermuth o 3.5 as well, but both of those are -180. -140 is the absolute max I will go on these props. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted September 21, 2022 55 minutes ago, bostonlager said: I got it at -120 I like Najee o 2.5 and Friermuth o 3.5 as well, but both of those are -180. -140 is the absolute max I will go on these props. It’s crazy they make the vig so high instead of adding a catch. Especially with Friermuth. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted September 21, 2022 57 minutes ago, bostonlager said: I got it at -120 I like Najee o 2.5 and Friermuth o 3.5 as well, but both of those are -180. -140 is the absolute max I will go on these props. I played Randall Cobb over last week and hit. I expect Rodgers will keep looking to the Vet in crucial situations. What say you? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Alias Detective said: I played Randall Cobb over last week and hit. I expect Rodgers will keep looking to the Vet in crucial situations. What say you? My book doesn't have props listed for that game yet. Over 2.5 receptions, I will probably be on board. 3.5 or higher and I will probably pass. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted September 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Alias Detective said: 20% juice. Damn. Just checked again. Got the play at -115 on DK. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted September 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, bostonlager said: My book doesn't have props listed for that game yet. Over 2.5 receptions, I will probably be on board. 3.5 or higher and I will probably pass. Over 2.5 +120 was the line last week. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Alias Detective said: Over 2.5 +120 was the line last week. It comes down to targets - he only had 3 in week 1 without Lazard in the lineup. The thing with GB this year I worry about, is them spreading it around too much. I don't think I have played a prop yet involving the Packers. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 Trubisky o 20.5 has hit the first two week and I am tempted to take it again, but haven't yet. Even though he is garbage, they dink and dunk for a ton of completions. The worry this week is Cleveland's reliance on the run game that could limit the number of possessions. I will likely lay off that this week in hopes he has 15-19 completions and lower his number to 19.5 for week 4. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Alias Detective said: I played Randall Cobb over last week and hit. I expect Rodgers will keep looking to the Vet in crucial situations. What say you? Hard to say. Yea he will lean on Cobb on like 3rd and 5s. But so many guys in the WR room who all play and thr backs catch a good amount of balls. The thing about Cobb is I see several games of 1 or 2 catches. And I see very few more than 3. Not sure on this TB game. In theory it should be a low scoring grind. So not sure how many times Rodgers throws it. But at thr same time they have a nice pass rush so I can see Rodgers getting the ball out fast. And he doesn't like to throw quick to the rookies. Lazard, sammy, watson, doubs may all out snap cobb most games. 2.5 per game for 17 games is 42 catches. There is little chance he catches it 42 times unless injuries give him more opportunities. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 21, 2022 Also in theory as the rookie get more experience they will gradually get more snaps. Perhaps play cobb now and back off him as the rookies get more involved. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 8 hours ago, listen2me 23 said: Hard to say. Yea he will lean on Cobb on like 3rd and 5s. But so many guys in the WR room who all play and thr backs catch a good amount of balls. The thing about Cobb is I see several games of 1 or 2 catches. And I see very few more than 3. Not sure on this TB game. In theory it should be a low scoring grind. So not sure how many times Rodgers throws it. But at thr same time they have a nice pass rush so I can see Rodgers getting the ball out fast. And he doesn't like to throw quick to the rookies. Lazard, sammy, watson, doubs may all out snap cobb most games. 2.5 per game for 17 games is 42 catches. There is little chance he catches it 42 times unless injuries give him more opportunities. This is good analysis. At this point in the season I don’t trust betting over or under on any Packer player props until they show us some consistency. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 21, 2022 10 hours ago, bostonlager said: I got it at -120 I like Najee o 2.5 and Friermuth o 3.5 as well, but both of those are -180. -140 is the absolute max I will go on these props. In regards to this. Not only are books not offering receptions for college props this year, the NFL receptions and completions are always a half number. In years past it was not uncommon to see Najee o/u 3 with regular juice. I don't mind it on the completions, but the receptions sucks. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 22, 2022 For what it is worth just passing it along since Cobb was discussed. He didn't practice yesterday due to illness. Not sure how sick. Imagine he plays. Sammy Lazard and Watson all showed up on the list as well with a limited tag. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fireballer 2,379 Posted September 23, 2022 I'm glad I didn't pay much attention to the NCAA slate tonight. Coastal -2??? I may have dropped some inappropriate funds on this game. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 23, 2022 On 9/21/2022 at 7:46 AM, bostonlager said: Steelers - Browns Diontae Johnson o 5.5 receptions NFL Season: 42-24 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
shorepatrol 1,737 Posted September 23, 2022 4 more yards from Hunt and no more scoring and I'll hit a +690 parlay Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 23, 2022 Friday Night College Virginia - Syracuse Brennan Armstrong o 241.5 passing Perris Jones u 47.5 rushing Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted September 23, 2022 10 hours ago, Fireballer said: I'm glad I didn't pay much attention to the NCAA slate tonight. Coastal -2??? I may have dropped some inappropriate funds on this game. Won by 17. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 1,852 Posted September 23, 2022 On 9/18/2022 at 12:21 AM, Hawkeye21 said: Nevada +23.5 Iowa/Nevada Under 38.5 Oklahoma -10.5 Purdue +1.5 California +11.5 Michigan St. +3.5 UTSA +12.5 Went 3-4 last Saturday. Couldn’t place any bets on Sunday since I was in Wisconsin all week. Just got back home a bit ago and need to look at tomorrow’s slate of games yet. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 1,852 Posted September 23, 2022 With the amount of bets on Syracuse tonight I’m leaning towards Virginia +9.5 Took Syracuse under 31.5 total points. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 24, 2022 Saturday - Early Baylor - Iowa State Xavier Hutchinson u 89.5 receiving Hunter Dekkers u 242.5 passing Bowling Green - Mississippi State Rufus Harvey u 62.5 receiving Clemson - Wake Forest DJ Ulagalelei o 225.5 passing Duke - Kansas Jordan Moore u 50.5 receiving Riley Leonard o 231.5 passing Daniel Hishaw u 63.5 rushing Devin Neal u 66.5 rushing Maryland - Michigan Rakim Jarrett u 61.5 receiving Ronnie Bell u 79.5 receiving Roman Hemby u 53.5 rushing Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 1,852 Posted September 24, 2022 14 hours ago, Hawkeye21 said: With the amount of bets on Syracuse tonight I’m leaning towards Virginia +9.5 Took Syracuse under 31.5 total points. Virginia +9.5 Syracuse u31.5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 24, 2022 Sunday 1:00 Bills - Dolphins Tua Tagovailoa u 262.5 passing Josh Allen u 25.5 completions Bengals - Jets Joe Burrow o 23.5 completions Joe Mixon u 75.5 rushing Jamarr Chase o 5.5 receptions Joe Mixon o 3.5 receptions Tyler Boyd o 3.5 receptions Elijah Moore u 4.5 receptions Texans - Bears Brandon Cooks o 4.5 receptions Equa St. Brown u 2.5 receptions Chiefs - Colts Matt Ryan u 247.5 passing Marquez Scantling u 3.5 receptions JuJu Smith Schuster u 4.5 receptions Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 24, 2022 You know props, I do not. I guess I would have to look harder at the numbers but I like Allen to come out throwing and never stop. If they get uo they don't want to let mia backdoor them. If they get down they are slinging. Bills have a very banged up secondary. It seems like in their system they can plug anyone in and have solid results. But 3 starters are out with Poyer questionable. Unless Tua is a big fraud it should be a high paced race for points. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 24, 2022 I don't play a ton of college football especially this early in the season. But they can't seem to set Iowa totals low enough. Iowa Rutgers U 34 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 24, 2022 38 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said: You know props, I do not. I guess I would have to look harder at the numbers but I like Allen to come out throwing and never stop. If they get uo they don't want to let mia backdoor them. If they get down they are slinging. Bills have a very banged up secondary. It seems like in their system they can plug anyone in and have solid results. But 3 starters are out with Poyer questionable. Unless Tua is a big fraud it should be a high paced race for points. I’m struggling this year to find my footing. All books across the board have changed how they set the lines and juice compared to years past. I’m having to play some expensive juice that I normally wouldn’t and force some plays onto my card. Hopefully it pans out. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 1,852 Posted September 24, 2022 36 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said: I don't play a ton of college football especially this early in the season. But they can't seem to set Iowa totals low enough. Iowa Rutgers U 34 I bet the under Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye21 1,852 Posted September 24, 2022 My picks for today as of now. Rutgers +8 Iowa/Rutgers u33.5 Baylor +2.5 Arkansas +2.5 UNLV -2.5 Kansas St. +13.5. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 24, 2022 1 hour ago, bostonlager said: I’m struggling this year to find my footing. All books across the board have changed how they set the lines and juice compared to years past. I’m having to play some expensive juice that I normally wouldn’t and force some plays onto my card. Hopefully it pans out. Yea the access and popularity sportsbooks have seen over the last few years certainly changed the market in many ways across all sports. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,541 Posted September 24, 2022 1 hour ago, Hawkeye21 said: I bet the under I also don't mind Rutgers under 12.5 pts +100. Even as sort of a hedge for a 28-7 type blowout where Iowa finds a couple defensive/spts TDs. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 24, 2022 On 9/23/2022 at 7:37 AM, bostonlager said: Friday Night College Virginia - Syracuse Brennan Armstrong o 241.5 passing Perris Jones u 47.5 rushing 21 hours ago, bostonlager said: Saturday - Early Baylor - Iowa State Xavier Hutchinson u 89.5 receiving Hunter Dekkers u 242.5 passing Bowling Green - Mississippi State Rufus Harvey u 62.5 receiving Clemson - Wake Forest DJ Ulagalelei o 225.5 passing Duke - Kansas Jordan Moore u 50.5 receiving Riley Leonard o 231.5 passing Daniel Hishaw u 63.5 rushing Devin Neal u 66.5 rushing Maryland - Michigan Rakim Jarrett u 61.5 receiving Ronnie Bell u 79.5 receiving Roman Hemby u 53.5 rushing Friday: 0 - 2 Saturday: 9 - 2 College Season: 56 - 45 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,462 Posted September 24, 2022 The rest of 1:00 Raiders - Titans Derek Carr o 23.5 completions Austin Hooper o 2.5 receptions Derrick Henry u 7.5 receiving Darren Waller o 4.5 receptions Saints - Panthers Jameis Winston u 220.5 passing Alvin Kamara u 51.5 rushing Jarvis Landry o 3.5 receptions Share this post Link to post Share on other sites