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***Wagering thread***

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4:00 

Falcons - Seahawks

Geno Smith u 22.5 completions

Noah Fant o 2.5 receptions

Tyler Lockett u 5.5 receptions

Packers - Bucs

Tom Brady o 22.5 completions

Aaron Jones o 3.5 receptions

Rams - Cardinals

Matt Stafford o 24.5 completions

Greg Dortch o 3.5 receptions

Tyler HIgbee u 4.5 receptions

Cooper Kupp o 8.5 receptions

Allen Robinson o 3.6 receptoins 

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13 hours ago, Hawkeye21 said:

My picks for today as of now.

Rutgers  +8  ❌

Iowa/Rutgers  u33.5  ❌

Baylor  +2.5  💰 

Arkansas  +2.5  💰 

UNLV  -2.5  💰 

Kansas St.  +13.5.  💰 

Not a bad Saturday. Hard to plan for two defensive TDs from Iowa. 

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19 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

I also don't mind Rutgers under 12.5 pts +100. Even as sort of a hedge for a 28-7 type blowout where Iowa finds a couple defensive/spts TDs.  

Good call 

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2 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Good call 

Thanks.  I managed to put some on Rutgers under but not quite enough to cover the under loss.  Ill count it as 0-1 here.  

Allen Lazard over 3.5 catches +115

I don't love much today.  I don't have the sac to play some of the ugly sides you have to play today.  Maybe after a few beers.

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I love love love the Chiefs moneyline -240.  I don’t get it, that’s shockingly low.  There has to be something I’m not seeing, this screams trap.

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8 minutes ago, Big Blue 06 said:

I love love love the Chiefs moneyline -240.  I don’t get it, that’s shockingly low.  There has to be something I’m not seeing, this screams trap.

That’s when I usually take the other side. 

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15 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

That’s when I usually take the other side. 

I do too.  Usually pretty easy to spot a trap…this feels like one.

 

but I’m playing it over from every angle in my head and don’t see how the colts can win thjs game 

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I don’t have much confidence in this one but it’s a free $10 bet. Lions/Vikings in game parlay.

Hockinson  o39.5

Swift  o49.5 rushing

St. Brown  anytime TD

Thielen  o49.5

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I thought about it this week but held off. If Justin Fields flops again this week, it’s auto under on all of his passing stats and under on all bears receiving stats until further notice. 

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4 hours ago, Big Blue 06 said:

I do too.  Usually pretty easy to spot a trap…this feels like one.

 

but I’m playing it over from every angle in my head and don’t see how the colts can win thjs game 

Vegas always seems to know. 

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Vegas always seems to know. 

 

5 hours ago, Big Blue 06 said:

I do too.  Usually pretty easy to spot a trap…this feels like one.

 

but I’m playing it over from every angle in my head and don’t see how the colts can win thjs game 

Your instincts were right. I wasn't touching it.  Line moved from -7 all the way to -5 with some books. Sharp money was moving the line. I'm sure there were tons of public teasers and ML parlays with KC as a leg. Typical NFL.  Every point you made in favor of the Chiefs was same scenario for Cincy last week.   

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Vegas always seems to know. 

Man, I don’t believe the NFL is rigged.  But sometimes it seems like the fix is in.

 

First drive, Colts go 3 and out becasue they are garbage.  They punt, chiefs try to field it and fumble at their own 4.  Td colts.  
 

saw that and said “and here we go”

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7 minutes ago, Big Blue 06 said:

Man, I don’t believe the NFL is rigged.  But sometimes it seems like the fix is in.

 

First drive, Colts go 3 and out becasue they are garbage.  They punt, chiefs try to field it and fumble at their own 4.  Td colts.  
 

saw that and said “and here we go”

That’s also what I love about sports. Nothing is guaranteed and you never know what is going to happen.

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1 hour ago, Big Blue 06 said:

Man, I don’t believe the NFL is rigged.  But sometimes it seems like the fix is in.

 

First drive, Colts go 3 and out becasue they are garbage.  They punt, chiefs try to field it and fumble at their own 4.  Td colts.  
 

saw that and said “and here we go”

Its not that.  The league is parity everyone knows.  But aftee 2 short weeks people want to anoint or bury teams.  People's own humanistic impressions work against them in the nfl.  Never go on a line that looks so good but is even dropping narrower yet public money in chiefs.  Every indicator said indy.  I don't have the sac to hit the ugly side there always so it at least turns into a no bet.  

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9 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Thanks.  I managed to put some on Rutgers under but not quite enough to cover the under loss.  Ill count it as 0-1 here.  

Allen Lazard over 3.5 catches +115

I don't love much today.  I don't have the sac to play some of the ugly sides you have to play today.  Maybe after a few beers.

NFL 3-0

NCAAF 0-1

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How are we leaning tonite? Just some food for thought...

The line moved from Denver -2 to +1.5.  All week, everyone has been talking about how Denver barely won Sunday and their coach is an idiot.  Also, SF is getting about 75% of the bets.  

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4 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

How are we leaning tonite? Just some food for thought...

The line moved from Denver -2 to +1.5.  All week, everyone has been talking about how Denver barely won Sunday and their coach is an idiot.  Also, SF is getting about 75% of the bets.  

I haven’t bet it but I would pick the Niners.

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22 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

How are we leaning tonite? Just some food for thought...

The line moved from Denver -2 to +1.5.  All week, everyone has been talking about how Denver barely won Sunday and their coach is an idiot.  Also, SF is getting about 75% of the bets.  

That didn't take long and after the first series Denver is now -1.5.

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Idk if they will show it and Hackett has looked bad. But give him time i bet it works.  9ers are a good team. 

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3 hours ago, Fireballer said:

How are we leaning tonite? Just some food for thought...

The line moved from Denver -2 to +1.5.  All week, everyone has been talking about how Denver barely won Sunday and their coach is an idiot.  Also, SF is getting about 75% of the bets.  

Well, well, well...

 

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I hit 13/20 player props in a parlay 😂 would have paid out 319k on a $5 bet

so close 🤣

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24 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I hit 13/20 player props in a parlay 😂 would have paid out 319k on a $5 bet

so close 🤣

What book was that with?  You ever try FanDuels alternate props into parlays?

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59 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

What book was that with?  You ever try FanDuels alternate props into parlays?

It was FanDuel samegame +. I built it with over props I liked for yardages, a few anytime TD scorers and a few teams to win moneyline. I believe I had an alternate passing yardage prop in there for Cousins 

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10 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

It was FanDuel samegame +. I built it with over props I liked for yardages, a few anytime TD scorers and a few teams to win moneyline. I believe I had an alternate passing yardage prop in there for Cousins 

If you are a prop guy, make sure to check out pinesports.com if you haven t.  It's free.

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Put MDC down as betting the farm on the Chargers to win the Super Bowl.  His reasoning is Foles won a ring.  He was mocking me for being down on the Chargers chances.

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10 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

If you are a prop guy, make sure to check out pinesports.com if you haven t.  It's free.

Thanks. I do like prop bets because I’m an FF guy… but Havnt really been doing many individual ones. I just don’t seem to be into wagering like I was in past years. 
 

but I definitely plan on doing one or two huge parlays each week just for the hell of it. I’d rather throw down $5 on a chance to hit all 20 and make a ton than going 13-7 and coming out like $15 ahead. 

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On 9/24/2022 at 7:35 AM, bostonlager said:

Sunday 1:00

Bills - Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa u 262.5 passing 

Josh Allen u 25.5 completions

Bengals - Jets

Joe Burrow o 23.5 completions

Joe Mixon u 75.5 rushing

Jamarr Chase o 5.5 receptions

Joe Mixon o 3.5 receptions

Tyler Boyd o 3.5 receptions

Elijah Moore u 4.5 receptions

Texans - Bears 

Brandon Cooks o 4.5 receptions

Equa St. Brown u 2.5 receptions

Chiefs - Colts

Matt Ryan u 247.5 passing 

Marquez Scantling u 3.5 receptions

JuJu Smith Schuster u 4.5 receptions

 

On 9/24/2022 at 7:19 PM, bostonlager said:

The rest of 1:00

Raiders - Titans

Derek Carr o 23.5 completions

Austin Hooper o 2.5 receptions

Derrick Henry u 7.5 receiving

Darren Waller o 4.5 receptions

Saints - Panthers

Jameis Winston u 220.5 passing

Alvin Kamara u 51.5 rushing

Jarvis Landry o 3.5 receptions

 

On 9/24/2022 at 8:22 PM, bostonlager said:

4:00 

Falcons - Seahawks

Geno Smith u 22.5 completions

Noah Fant o 2.5 receptions

Tyler Lockett u 5.5 receptions

Packers - Bucs

Tom Brady o 22.5 completions

Aaron Jones o 3.5 receptions

Rams - Cardinals

Matt Stafford o 24.5 completions

Greg Dortch o 3.5 receptions

Tyler HIgbee u 4.5 receptions

Cooper Kupp o 8.5 receptions

Allen Robinson o 3.6 receptoins 

U2 would be proud of this Bloody Sunday 

11 - 19

NFL Season 53 - 43 :cry:

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Same Game Parlay TNF Dolphins/Bengals

Over 47.5 Total

Waddle Any Time TD

Boyd  o40.5 Rec Yds

Edmonds  u32.5 Rush Yds

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Joe Burrow u 24.5 completions

 

I kinda like Mixon under 65.5 but he is due to break out so I'm laying off. 

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46 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

Took the Bungles -4 for more than I should.  I think they pound the Fish.

I got them at -3.5 before the game and then jump on Miami +7.5 during the game.

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I couldn’t decide on a side so I took the over 48.5. It’s not looking good. Really thought this would be a high scoring game. 

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2 hours ago, Alias Detective said:

Took the Bungles -4 for more than I should.  I think they pound the Fish.

Should have been a no brainer, pun intended, given the Tua scandal and the possibility of something happening like what happened.  It should hit and I missed it.  

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10 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I got them at -3.5 before the game and then jump on Miami +7.5 during the game.

I would like to mess around more with in game betting and possibly middling or grabbing both sides at plus money.  I drink too many beers on Sundays to really feel confident in any process but I think there is money to be made if you pay attention and don't get carried away.  

When I have no good ideas of what to bet I like the idea of taking a short dogs ML then waiting in game hoping they go up earky and grab thr other side at pkus money.  

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There was an error on my local book last night and it had Mixon going off at 20-1 for first TD scorer, boom babyyy :banana:

 

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12 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Only half of my 4 leg parlay won but it was a free bet, so no loss there.

Dolphins/Bengals  o48.5 total  ❌

I used the risk free 10 dollar tnf same game parlay.  I hit 6 legs.  The one I didnt hit was Mixon 15+ rec yards.  He had 15 then caught another ball for -2 yards.  Ending with 13.  

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