***Wagering thread***

[Horseman 1,513]

On 3/25/2023 at 10:39 AM, Fireballer said:

@Horseman still dropping MMA picks?

I've been doing so good I'm afraid if I started posting again I'd jinx myself.

UFC 285 almost every fight seemed too obvious, went like 10-1 or something ridiculous.

Lost a good chunk on Usman, thought for sure he'd come out with more fire in his belly.

What I lost on Usman I made up on Holm.  No way she loses a controversial split decision, then signs a 6 fight contract and they put her in a position to lose again right away.  She might get one or two more fights she should easily win before they start pitting her up against contenders to make a final run for her career.

We have a week off from fight night this week so we'll see for UFC 287.

 

* and of course, the Holm fight was OTB for some reason in our wagering contest.

[bostonlager 2,463]

Strikeouts 3/31

Date	Player	Play	Juice	Risk	To Win	Net
3/30	Framber Valdez	o5.5	-110	1.1	1	-1.1
3/30	Shane McClanahan	u5.5	120	1	1.2	-1
3-30	Corey Kluber	u4.5	-130	1.3	1	1
3/30	Corbin Burnes	u6.5	115	1	1.15	1.15
3/30	Zac Gallen	o5.5	105	1	1.05	1.05
3/30	Sandy Alcantara	o4.5	-125	1.25	1	-1.25
3/31	David Peterson	u5.5	-110	1.1	1
3/31	Jesus Luzardo	o5.5	-105	1.05	1
3/31	Nick Martinez	u4.5	-130	1.3	1
3/31	Merrill Kelly	o4.5	105	1	1.05
						-0.15

[bostonlager 2,463]

First post was with DK odds. I may cash out with them and be done. Much better prices to be had at Bovada. 

Date	Player	Play	Juice	Risk	To Win	Net
3/30	Framber Valdez	o5.5	-110	1.1	1	-1.1
3/30	Shane McClanahan	u5.5	120	1	1.2	-1
3-30	Corey Kluber	u4.5	-130	1.3	1	1
3/30	Corbin Burnes	u6.5	115	1	1.15	1.15
3/30	Zac Gallen	o5.5	105	1	1.05	1.05
3/30	Sandy Alcantara	o4.5	-125	1.25	1	-1.25
3/31	David Peterson	u5.5	-110	1.1	1
3/31	Jesus Luzardo	o5.5	110	1	1.1`
3/31	Nick Martinez	u4.5	-120	1.2	1
3/31	Merrill Kelly	o4.5	130	1	1.3
						-0.15

[Fireballer 2,381]

2 hours ago, bostonlager said:

First post was with DK odds. I may cash out with them and be done. Much better prices to be had at Bovada. 

 

Date	Player	Play	Juice	Risk	To Win	Net
3/30	Framber Valdez	o5.5	-110	1.1	1	-1.1
3/30	Shane McClanahan	u5.5	120	1	1.2	-1
3-30	Corey Kluber	u4.5	-130	1.3	1	1
3/30	Corbin Burnes	u6.5	115	1	1.15	1.15
3/30	Zac Gallen	o5.5	105	1	1.05	1.05
3/30	Sandy Alcantara	o4.5	-125	1.25	1	-1.25
3/31	David Peterson	u5.5	-110	1.1	1
3/31	Jesus Luzardo	o5.5	110	1	1.1`
3/31	Nick Martinez	u4.5	-120	1.2	1
3/31	Merrill Kelly	o4.5	130	1	1.3
						-0.15

Potentially useful info for you???

 

[Fireballer 2,381]

I found this dude who is doing a  “Dodge the Dinger” challenge where he’s picking a player each day to not hit a homer and then recycling winnings into the next bet.  I guess he’s estimating $50 would make you 1k in a season.  Kinda cool I think. I missed first 2 days but gonna jump on now with a $10 bet, not $50.  He actually posts pretty decent logic it seems.
 

 

 

[bostonlager 2,463]

1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

I found this dude who is doing a  “Dodge the Dinger” challenge where he’s picking a player each day to not hit a homer and then recycling winnings into the next bet.  I guess he’s estimating $50 would make you 1k in a season.  Kinda cool I think. I missed first 2 days but gonna jump on now with a $10 bet, not $50.  He actually posts pretty decent logic it seems.
 

 

 

I may jump in too, this sounds fun. Is he using any sort of bankroll management or just letting the total ride each day?

[Fireballer 2,381]

14 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I may jump in too, this sounds fun. Is he using any sort of bankroll management or just letting the total ride each day?

Hes rolling profits into the next days bet.  For example, Day 1 he started out risking $50 and he won $1.42.  Day 2 bet was risking $51.42 and he won $4.47.  Therefore Day 3 bet is risking $55.89 to win $4.86

[bostonlager 2,463]

1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

Hes rolling profits into the next days bet.  For example, Day 1 he started out risking $50 and he won $1.42.  Day 2 bet was risking $51.42 and he won $4.47.  Therefore Day 3 bet is risking $55.89 to win $4.86

I'm going to do $50 everyday and let the profits sit. Semi-hedge for the one or more days he doesn't dodge the dinger. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I'm going to do $50 everyday and let the profits sit. Semi-hedge for the one or more days he doesn't dodge the dinger. 

When do you pull the plug ?

[bostonlager 2,463]

3 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

When do you pull the plug ?

If I end up down $100 - We will pull the parachute. 

 

[bostonlager 2,463]

SDSU -2

SDSU u132

UConn -5.5

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

11 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

If I end up down $100 - We will pull the parachute. 

 

Haha but what if you are up $300 ? Do you keep risking and only time for one of those hitters to get lucky ?

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

I been doing alright betting the overs on the Penguins games. Pitts goalies suck and when they play a good scoring team over happens alot.

[bostonlager 2,463]

4 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Haha but what if you are up $300 ? Do you keep risking and only time for one of those hitters to get lucky ?

I'm going to do $50 each day and not let the profits ride. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

Just now, bostonlager said:

I'm going to do $50 each day and not let the profits ride. 

Ahh got ya and interesting.

[Fireballer 2,381]

32 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I'm going to do $50 everyday and let the profits sit. Semi-hedge for the one or more days he doesn't dodge the dinger. 

That’s actually a good idea

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

34 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

SDSU -2

SDSU u132

UConn -5.5

Hard not to take those points for Conn.

[bostonlager 2,463]

57 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Hard not to take those points for Conn.

I should have put a disclaimer on those picks. I play in a pool that I have tried to get going here for years now but no interest. My roster in that pool is the following which has influenced my plays today. 

 

Seed	Jason	1	2	3	4	5	6	Total
6	Kentucky	6						42
4	UConn	4	8	12	16			280
4	Tennessee	4	8					84
8	Arkansas	8	16					168
5	San Diego St	5	10	15	20			350
11	ASU/Nevada							0
11	Miss State/Pitt	11						77
16	TXCC/SEMO							0
	Wins							1001
	Losses							407
	Total							$148.50

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I should have put a disclaimer on those picks. I play in a pool that I have tried to get going here for years now but no interest. My roster in that pool is the following which has influenced my plays today. 

 

 

Seed	Jason	1	2	3	4	5	6	Total
6	Kentucky	6						42
4	UConn	4	8	12	16			280
4	Tennessee	4	8					84
8	Arkansas	8	16					168
5	San Diego St	5	10	15	20			350
11	ASU/Nevada							0
11	Miss State/Pitt	11						77
16	TXCC/SEMO							0
	Wins							1001
	Losses							407
	Total							$148.50

My bad and got ya and will take the points regardless what team it is. So I went Miami.

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

I'm giving the 6.5 and taking Conn.

[bostonlager 2,463]

8 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I'm giving the 6.5 and taking Conn.

I almost forgot the game was on tonight. Thanks for the reminder. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I almost forgot the game was on tonight. Thanks for the reminder. 

YW I'm hoping for a good game regardless of my bet.

[Alias Detective 1,179]

SDSU money line

SDSU win margin 3-6

[Horseman 1,513]

On 3/25/2023 at 10:39 AM, Fireballer said:

@Horseman still dropping MMA picks?

I dont have any big bets this week.  Took a look at the card and not sure I'm going to shell out for the PPV.  

Favorite fight is in the prelims: Nuerdanbieke -190 favored experienced wrestler against a boxer. 

There are a lot of newcomers.  Rosas Jr out of contender series season 6 quietly took a backseat to Bo Nickal, who came out as a big favorite and lived up to it, Rosas at a betable number -250 should shine too.  Not everyone out of season 6 should win so I'd take the experience in Meerschaert +170 to beat Pyfer.  Amorim is 6-0 with 5 submissions and no fight getting out of the first round so I'd bet her to win by sub (havent seen a number yet) and under 2.5 rounds.  

For the main card they are all closely matched so you could come out ahead by betting the dogs, Masvidal, Font. And if I do bet the main event I like Pereira +115 to keep the title. Hes got Israel's number and I knew he was the real deal when he put Strickland to sleep.  This feels the opposite of UFC 285 where it seemed obvious and turned out that almost every favorite won, should have several dogs come out ahead.  

[Fireballer 2,381]

On 4/1/2023 at 1:45 PM, Fireballer said:

I found this dude who is doing a  “Dodge the Dinger” challenge where he’s picking a player each day to not hit a homer and then recycling winnings into the next bet.  I guess he’s estimating $50 would make you 1k in a season.  Kinda cool I think. I missed first 2 days but gonna jump on now with a $10 bet, not $50.  He actually posts pretty decent logic it seems.
 

 

 

Doubled his money in two weeks

 

[Mookz 1,287]

On 4/12/2023 at 3:27 PM, Fireballer said:

Doubled his money in two weeks

 

Dude out of town and probably not dodging any dingers through Sunday. 

Transgenderism.

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

I been doing okay of late taking the 9.5 over games in baseball and usually they hit on the over. There are none that high today so doing the opposite and taking the lowest o/u today at 7 and taking the under. Which is the Rays and White Soxs game.

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

Does Fan Duel let you bet on the draft ? If so where at on the site ?

 

TIA.

[bostonlager 2,463]

3 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Does Fan Duel let you bet on the draft ? If so where at on the site ?

 

TIA.

The app has an NFL draft option where all the sports leagues are listed. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

Just now, bostonlager said:

The app has an NFL draft option where all the sports leagues are listed. 

Thanks bro. and can't find it on the reg site. I don't have time to bet now cause of pool league. Maybe I can figure it out before tomorrow night. Thanks again.

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

15 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

The app has an NFL draft option where all the sports leagues are listed. 

Sh!tty PA. won't let me so that was the problem and thanks for the help again Boston.

[bostonlager 2,463]

50 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Sh!tty PA. won't let me so that was the problem and thanks for the help again Boston.

You can’t bet on college props? 

[Fireballer 2,381]

No dinger guy has tripled his $50

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

7 hours ago, bostonlager said:

You can’t bet on college props? 

I never tried but don't ever remember seeing them, So I would say you can't in PA.

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

I bet on a few horse races today on FD just to see how it works on there. Lost the first two but broke even with the 3rd race since my horse showed. Getting ready for the Derby and any horses you guys like in it ?

[RogerDodger 797]

Feels like a more predictable card this week. 

Gorimbo -120

Hooper +100

Nascimento -190

Urbina  +100

Borshchev -160

Ferreira -150

Buckley -225

Godinez -160

Hernandez -200

Dern -165

 

[RogerDodger 797]

On 3/25/2023 at 10:39 AM, Fireballer said:

@Horseman still dropping MMA picks?

Let's go get it this week.

[RogerDodger 797]

21 hours ago, RogerDodger said:

Feels like a more predictable card this week. 

Gorimbo -120

Hooper +100

Nascimento -190

Urbina  +100

Borshchev -160

Ferreira -150

Buckley -225

Godinez -160

Hernandez -200

Dern -165

 

!Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeep! 

@Fireballer hope you got some.  

Let's go!

10 - 0

3 - 0 multi unti bets

Who does that?  

 

$$$$$$$$

 

[Fireballer 2,381]

11 minutes ago, RogerDodger said:

!Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeep! 

@Fireballer hope you got some.  

Let's go!

10 - 0

3 - 0 multi unti bets

Who does that?  

 

$$$$$$$$

 

[BeenHereBefore 1,332]

I mentioned this a few weeks back and still been doing good at the overs in Baseball. I only take the 9.5  or over 10. Today I like the Reds & Red Sox game and won on the over 9.5 yesterday, today is 10.5. These games have been giving me extra money to lose on the horse races lol.