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Since 2003 when a playoff toral has dropped 3 or more points thr under is 8-1-1. 

This lines up with the Bucs game where the total has dropped mostly due to weather concerns.

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Since 2002, quarterbacks making their first NFL Playoff start have gone 17-33 SU and 16-33-1 ATS

. *Excludes games where both QBs were making 1st start.

QBs making first start in Wild Card Weekend:

Joe Burrow

Derek Carr

Mac Jones

Jalen Hurts

Kyler Murray

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If you have DK, they're doing the Hammer the Over promo for Pats/Bills.  For every 2k bets, it goes down .5 pts and everyone that bets gets the lowest final total.  It's at 16 right now. Bets $$ are limited, and I don't know the rhyme or reason.  I tried $100 and it said my limit was $25.27. @jerryskids

 

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33 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

If you have DK, they're doing the Hammer the Over promo for Pats/Bills.  For every 2k bets, it goes down .5 pts and everyone that bets gets the lowest final total.  It's at 16 right now. Bets $$ are limited, and I don't know the rhyme or reason.  I tried $100 and it said my limit was $25.27. @jerryskids

 

Thanks for the heads up; I just did it and got the exact same limit.  But hey, a free $25 doesn't suck!  :thumbsup:  

I actually already had this thread open; I'll be betting some this weekend but haven't decided.  Going out for a hike now and will do some when I come back.  I may draft @bostonlager's props, and see whatever promos/boosts the sites have going.  :cheers: 

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Derek Carr - most passing yards of all QBs in wildcard round +900

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55 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

Thanks for the heads up; I just did it and got the exact same limit.  But hey, a free $25 doesn't suck!  :thumbsup:  

I actually already had this thread open; I'll be betting some this weekend but haven't decided.  Going out for a hike now and will do some when I come back.  I may draft @bostonlager's props, and see whatever promos/boosts the sites have going.  :cheers: 

Proceed with caution. You know my NFL can be a roller coaster. 
 

I meant to jump in your thread earlier this week and got sidetracked. Glad for the good news. :thumbsup:

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30 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Proceed with caution. You know my NFL can be a roller coaster. 
 

I meant to jump in your thread earlier this week and got sidetracked. Glad for the good news. :thumbsup:

Thanks, and no worries on the roller coaster.  Bengals/Raiders seems like an over game, and Bills/Pats an under game (not under the DK 15 promotion, but under the real line :D ).  So I like the premise of your prop picks.  :thumbsup: 

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4 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Are you playing each fight? Is that your style on MMA?

I haven't looked at anything since it is NFL playoffs and won't be watching.  I may play the ppv card next week.

I bet every single fight and then double or tripple up in the ones I really like. 

Right now I'm doubling up on Chookagain. Looks like the first woman's fight is a scratch - got moved to next weeks early prelims. 

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50 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Derek Carr - most passing yards of all QBs in wildcard round +900

Got him O 253 today

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Just now, Fireballer said:

Got him O 253 today

Its cold here, but no wind or rain/snow. I look for this to be a track meet. 

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Bengals/Bill's ML parlay.  Pays better than the teaser 

Allen u22.5 comp

Singletary u14.5c

Mixon u19.5c

Jacobs u21.5 rec yds

Sanders u24.5 rec yds 

Uzonah o2.5r -170

Edward's u2.5r -180

Mixon u3.5r -160

Diggs u6.5r -160 x2

 

 

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NBC did a fly over view and the infield grass is looking nice and green at Great American Ballpark. 

 

Reds to win the World Series +25000000

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The Autumn Wind is a Pirate!

Go Raiders!!!!  Or at least don't lose by more than 5.5    :ninja:

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I need Carr completions. Deadpan Jackson can eat a satchel of d1cks 

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1 hour ago, GobbleDog said:

The Autumn Wind is a Pirate!

Go Raiders!!!!  Or at least don't lose by more than 5.5    :ninja:

Lol… I’m in on that same bet. Not looking great naturally.

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Both the Brown and Kelleher fight changed opponents.  Both became large favorites instead of dogs.  I bet them anyways.  

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That a boy Pickett!  I needed that after whiffing on McGee/Brahimij. Main card! Let's go!  

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10 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Let's try some NFL props again. 

Bengals - Raiders

Darren Waller o 5 receptions

Hunter Renfrow o 5.5 receptions

Tyler Boyd o 4 receptions

Derek Carr o 23.5 completions

Derek Carr o 252.5 passing

Boom goes the dynamite. We will take 4-0-1

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Wow that Royval/Bontorin fight was close.  I'll take a split decision. Sweeping the main card so far. Let's go Sherman!  

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Just now, Horseman said:

Wow that Royval/Bontorin fight was close.  I'll take a split decision. Sweeping the main card so far. Let's go Sherman!  

I didn’t get in on this event, but if next week is a PPV - I’m tailing. 

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Fat ass Collier smashes and submits Sherman. :mellow:  How does a fatty do that? :lol:

Chikadze number actually came down.  Doubling up on him. -225.  

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43 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Fat ass Collier smashes and submits Sherman. :mellow:  How does a fatty do that? :lol:

Chikadze number actually came down.  Doubling up on him. -225.  

Nope. Was having a good night until these last two fights.  Need to do better homework. Didnt realize Chikadez never went past 3 rounds.  He didnt have it in him. 

3-1 undercard 

4-2 main card. 

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7 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Chikadzes face is hamburger

Kattar's elbows are hamburger.  🤣 Wow. 

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Favs came through yesterday and like San Fran with 3.5 spread, Steelers will be good on the points as well I believe. Today the underdogs win on the spread at least.I played the favs yesterday and work out and today is for the underdogs. Accept think Tampa covers.

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22 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Let's try some NFL props again. 

Bengals - Raiders

Darren Waller o 5 receptions

Hunter Renfrow o 5.5 receptions

Tyler Boyd o 4 receptions

Derek Carr o 23.5 completions

Derek Carr o 252.5 passing

Bills - Patriots

Hunter Henry u 32.5 receiving

Jakobi Meyers u 47.5 receiving

Mac Jones u 205.5 passing

Josh Allen u 245.5 passing

Stefon Diggs u 6.5 receptions

7-2-1

I will take that. 

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Sony Open to win:

Russ Henley +105

Hideki Matsuyama +200

 

bet both and should be free money. I don't see anyone else making a push to overtake those guys. 

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Philadelphia - Tampa Bay

Dallas Goedert u 4.5 receptions

Devonta Smith u 4 receptions

Jalen Hurts u 195.5 passing

Miles Sanders o 44.5 rushing 

KeShawn Vaughn u 49.5 rushing

Rob Gronkowski u 5.5 receptions

San Francisco - Dallas 

Dalton Schultz o 4 receptions

Elijah Mitchell o 82.5 rushing 

Juan Jennings u 28.5 receiving

Dak Prescott u 285.5 passing

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23 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

6 pt teaser

Cincy to even and Pats to +10.5 (-104)

Then have the Gabe Davis over 27.5 yards (+105)

That is probably it for today.   More tomorrow. 

1-1 thinnest of profit.  Nice to watch the Pats get beat up anyway.  

 

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Dallas has 3 wins vs playoff teams.

Eagles

Patriots

Eagles

 

San Francisco +3 -105

 

Editing to add - San Francisco ML +141

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Pittsburgh - Kansas City 

Najee Harris o 3.5 receptions

Darrell Williams u 56.5 rushing 

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On 1/15/2022 at 8:55 AM, Hawkeye21 said:

It's suppose to rain all morning and then have 20 to 30 mph winds during the game in Tampa.  I'm going with the under 46.

Moving the wrong way on you. Its 47 now

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Najee Harris ov

2 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Pittsburgh - Kansas City 

Najee Harris o 3.5 receptions

Darrell Williams u 56.5 rushing 

Tailing on Harris over 3.5. I like that.  I got it at -120 tho.  

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1 hour ago, bostonlager said:

Moving the wrong way on you. Its 47 now

I think this storm thing is just a band moving through and it looks like the timing isn't leaning the under bettors way anymore

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