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Hurts or Carr?

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All rankings on multiple sites have Hurts over Carr. Carr gets Cincinnati at home while Hurts gets NO at home. 

Hurts makes me nervous; lack of throwing and while he runs, he’s not rushing for TDs- 50-60 yards is only 5-6 points. Our league is 4 pp td pass and 6 for rushing.  Carr hasn’t been spectacular since their bye, but obv throw much more.  

should I trust all the rankings/experts and go hurts? My opponent also has Devonta smith, but most say that’s a myth And shouldn’t affect your choice. 

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