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bostonlager

***2022 PGA Tour***

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I will be taking a look at matchups here soon and post. I'm betting the farm this week based on one stat - strokes gained off the tee. I will be blind betting Matt Fitzpatrick and Corey Conners blind vs any matchup they have. I will also be fading Tyrrell Hatton vs any matchup he has. 

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Just now, bostonlager said:

I will be taking a look at matchups here soon and post. I'm betting the farm this week based on one stat - strokes gained off the tee. I will be blind betting Matt Fitzpatrick and Corey Conners blind vs any matchup they have. I will also be fading Tyrrell Hatton vs any matchup he has. 

Everyone is fading Cam Smith because of driving accuracy.    Watch him win the thing.  Going to be like 6% owned on DFS.  

It is the Players so it isn't quite US Open rough but Southern Hills played difficult.  Cam lost 5.2 strokes OTT and won the thing.  Of course his putter can go unconscious and ththaththat makesall the difference.

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1 minute ago, listen2me 23 said:

Everyone is fading Cam Smith because of driving accuracy.    Watch him win the thing.  Going to be like 6% owned on DFS.  

It is the Players so it isn't quite US Open rough but Southern Hills played difficult.  Cam lost 5.2 strokes OTT and won the thing.  Of course his putter can go unconscious and ththaththat makesall the difference.

Oh yeah, there is risk involved and if this approach fails, I will eat sh1t. Cam is not a guy I would ever fade, for the reasons you mention above. If he plays against one of the guys I'm blind betting, I will roll the dice with minimal skin in the game. 

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I know tee to green especially approach is the stat that everyone goes by since it SEEMS less hot or cold.  But I don't trust guys who suck at putting to survive at tough tracks.  The amount of up and downs you need to save par this week is a lot.  The guy who wins usually is rolling in those 6 to 10 footers all week long.

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5 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

I know tee to green especially approach is the stat that everyone goes by since it SEEMS less hot or cold.  But I don't trust guys who suck at putting to survive at tough tracks.  The amount of up and downs you need to save par this week is a lot.  The guy who wins usually is rolling in those 6 to 10 footers all week long.

An excellent reason to fade Hovland this week. Add him in with Hatton. 

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12 minutes ago, bostonlager said:


 

An excellent reason to fade Hovland this week. Add him in with Hatton. 

I am a big fan of the HOV.   But yeah not high on him here.  He can but will need a ton of birdies to contend.  He is prone to a big number once a round.  His close putting is actually really good but hr cant chip it to 7 feet.  

All depends how it plays.   US Open most times can bank on a tough scoring tourney.    But people have been wrong before.   There was a tourney this year that people said would play tough that didn't at all.  API? I dont remember.   

I am looking forward to this week and have fot a while.  I remember in maybe 2020 looking at thr future sites of the pga us and british and seeing this venue and being pretty excited about going to a different spot yet one with a bunch of history.  As it reads I will like this style course as well.  

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Viktor Hovland to miss the cut +195

 

The bolds are 1st round matchups - regular font is tournament matchups

Matt Fitzpatrick over Patrick Cantlay +100

Matt Fitzpatrick over Shane Lowry -110

Matt Fitzpatrick over Dustin Johnson -120

Justin Rose over Tyrrell Hatton -115

Cameron Young over Aaron Wise -115

Cameron Young over Billy Horschel -115

Sungjae Im over Viktor Hovland -130

Will Zalatoris over Dustin Johnson -145

Corey Conners over Webb Simpson -140

Adri Arnaus over Sam Horsfield -110

Jon Rahm over Collin Morikawa -140

 

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"Pretty playable off the tee" "There is some rough" "But if you just miss the fairway you can certainly get it to the green" -Rory

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What do the par 3s look like at this place?

Will there be a hole in one

Yes - 150

No +120

 

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19 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

What do the par 3s look like at this place?

Will there be a hole in one

Yes - 150

No +120

 

Well the one they are using for 1st time since 1913 is 130 yards .  Number 11.  Not sure on rest 

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DK Lineup

Will Zalatoris

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Corey Conners

Sungjae Im

Joaquin Niemann

Mito Pereira 

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1 hour ago, bostonlager said:

DK Lineup

Will Zalatoris

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Corey Conners

Sungjae Im

Joaquin Niemann

Mito Pereira 

Solid. 
 

I’ve got a few 

Zalatoris x3

 Xander x2

Homa

Fitzpatrick x4

Lowry x4

Young x4

Niemann

Conners

Keegan

Hoge

Clark (in a lineup where I needed one super cheap play)

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On 6/15/2022 at 9:09 AM, dain11279 said:

US OPEN BETS:

 

Zander Souffle 17-1

 

FRL: My boy Will 40-1, Bruce Cupcakes 50-1, Tom Fleetwood 50-1, Grace 100-1

 

Also took Koepka 50-1 and Fleetwood 50-1 low score any round

 

GL

Eat a d1ck Colon :mad:

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On 6/15/2022 at 10:12 PM, bostonlager said:

DK Lineup

Will Zalatoris

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Corey Conners

Sungjae Im

Joaquin Niemann

Mito Pereira 

I had 24 lineups (including the 4 free ones). If the cut is +4 virtually all of them except the ones with Louie  are 6-6 making the cut. Instead. I get zero.

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5 minutes ago, lod001 said:

I had 24 lineups (including the 4 free ones). If the cut is +4 virtually all of them except the ones with Louie  are 6-6 making the cut. Instead. I get zero.

yup. i had 4 lineups. all 4 had cam young and shane lowry at +4... one also had Clark +4 and two had Conners +4 

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8 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

yup. i had 4 lineups. all 4 had cam young and shane lowry at +4... one also had Clark +4 and two had Conners +4 

Im, Cam, Lowry, Pereria, Webb splattered across the lineups. Can't even outplay nobodies like bramlett, naegel, gotterup and stevens.

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42 minutes ago, lod001 said:

I had 24 lineups (including the 4 free ones). If the cut is +4 virtually all of them except the ones with Louie  are 6-6 making the cut. Instead. I get zero.

We got screwed by winds being high late Thurs/Early Friday. The other side of the draw had it much easier. 

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1 hour ago, bostonlager said:

We got screwed by winds being high late Thurs/Early Friday. The other side of the draw had it much easier. 

Tell that to Cameron young…. A fat faced fock 

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How far back is too far back? Possible or anyone +1 to catch a little fire and make a move? Woodland as won it before and is currently +15000 - I'm in

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On 6/15/2022 at 9:08 AM, listen2me 23 said:

Niemann 40-1

Zal 35-1

Berger +105 over DJ for tournament

Rats. 

Good tourny tho

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Damn Will is snake-bitten, getting beat by one guy in all these majors. He’ll knock one off eventually but his odds will blow from here on out though.

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the Fitzpatrick stack let me cash in all 4 of my DFS lineups despite having 3 missed cuts on every card.  turned $1 ($1 and three free entries) into a whopping $3.05! :lol:

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Strong field this week for the Travelers. 

DK

Justin Thomas

Joaquin Niemann

Kevin Streelman

Si Woo Kim

Adam Long

Brendan Steele

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Travelers Championship Bets:

 

Davis Riley (40-1)

 

FRL: HV3 (50-1), Straka (100-1)

 

GLGLGL

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Just a couple of stabs this week for action.

KH Lee 90-1

Theegala 125-1

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Brendan Steele +6000

 

 

  • Thanks 1

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22 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Strong field this week for the Travelers. 

DK

Justin Thomas

Joaquin Niemann

Kevin Streelman

Si Woo Kim

Adam Long

Brendan Steele

Justin Thomas withdrew due to back issues

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4 minutes ago, BufordT said:

Justin Thomas withdrew due to back issues

Good looking out. I changed it up and now going with 

Brendan Steele

Si Woo Kim

KH Lee

Joaquin Niemann

Mito Pereira 

Aaron Wise 

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Theegala up one and doubles 18 to lose. 

Lexi Thompson up 2 with 3 to play in the lady golf major championship and bogeys 16 and 17 to lose. 

Clutch did not have a good day. 

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51 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

I wouldn't be surprised if he goes LIV, but the explanation from McGirt makes sense. If you're not going to make the cut, there is no point in walking back and rehitting the shot. 

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Ryder Cup part II

Paddy wins a duel with Steve Stricker to the win the US Sr Open

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On 6/22/2022 at 7:59 AM, listen2me 23 said:

Just a couple of stabs this week for action.

KH Lee 90-1

Theegala 125-1

Rats again 

Easy hedge at the end qhen it was between he and Xander.   So was able to at least come away with some money.  

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7 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Rats again 

Easy hedge at the end qhen it was between he and Xander.   So was able to at least come away with some money.  

Nice you were able to get the hedge. That was a brutal 72nd hole. 

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