Gepetto Posted January 6, 2022 Posted January 6, 2022 I expect a stock market crash soon, a slight rebound and then an even bigger crash. Two years ago I already moved all my mutual funds to bonds just before the crash when Covid started and oil went up, maybe a day late on that actually. So I had mostly bonds already but all mutual funds I was investing in for the last two years I set up late last night and moved all to bonds and all future investments to bonds. Then I just found this article when I googled "stock market bubble" https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-indicator-211-percent-stock-market-bubble-asset-crash-2022-1 4 Quote
Hardcore troubadour Posted January 6, 2022 Posted January 6, 2022 The fed was giving banks boatloads of money in 2019. The big boys, Goldman and Chase . Couple that with all the stimulus that got pumped in during Covid and it starts to look like your typical pump and dump bubble. Buy some more Tulips. Quote
JustinCharge Posted January 6, 2022 Posted January 6, 2022 World War 2 caused durable goods to be shifted to the war effort. American citizens went without a lot of basic goods. When the war ended, huge consumer demand appeared and pumped up inflation for a couple of years, and then in that inflation period was a big crash. Just replace WW2 with covid in that scenario. Quote
Gladiators Posted January 6, 2022 Posted January 6, 2022 I am sitting on cash right now in anticipation of a crash. Quote
Gepetto Posted January 6, 2022 Author Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, Gladiators said: I am sitting on cash right now in anticipation of a crash. Smart Quote
Bert Posted January 6, 2022 Posted January 6, 2022 13 hours ago, Gepetto said: I expect a stock market crash soon, a slight rebound and then an even bigger crash. Two years ago I already moved all my mutual funds to bonds just before the crash when Covid started and oil went up, maybe a day late on that actually. So I had mostly bonds already but all mutual funds I was investing in for the last two years I set up late last night and moved all to bonds and all future investments to bonds. Then I just found this article when I googled "stock market bubble" https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-indicator-211-percent-stock-market-bubble-asset-crash-2022-1 Better hope this doesn't turn out like the hyper inflation prediction from long ago. Good Luck. Especially given that the Dow has increased by 25% since February of 2020. You left a lot of money on the table moving to bonds at the beginning of COVID. 2 2 Quote
Gepetto Posted January 21, 2022 Author Posted January 21, 2022 This is just the beginning, the stock market can fall a long long way, and it's going to... Quote
vomit Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 You can't predict the future. There have been calls for a crash for many many years. also check your bonds as long duration will get crushed too. 1 Quote
lod001 Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 47 minutes ago, Gepetto said: This is just the beginning, the stock market can fall a long long way, and it's going to... Yep but there's a good chance we rally off this to S&P 5000+ before the real crash happens. It should bury biden for good. Quote
Big Guy Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 it's ALL gonna crash! that's what they want it's called the great reset it's called you're not important it's called fock them!!! Quote
lod001 Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 Good thing we let in millions of worker bees, on the southern border, to pick up the slack. Has the govt set up a website yet where I can get some delivered? Quote
lod001 Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 The guy to follow along with Mark Minervini. https://twitter.com/AdamMancini4 Bulls want no lower than 4425ish now which keeps 4480, 4540 in play direct. 4425 fails, we sell to 4380s which is last chance support for bulls We are teetering on the edge right now, ES=F, but it is opex today. Quote
Alias Detective Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Gepetto said: This is just the beginning, the stock market can fall a long long way, and it's going to... You are getting crushed more than growth investors. Who are you pretending to kid? Quote
Alias Detective Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 Btw, I moved 50% of cash in to large cap today. Quote
Cdub100 Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 Maybe, maybe not. I'm a long-term investor and rarely sell so these things dont effect me. I saw covid coming thanks to @Voltaire and took my money out, but that's a rare event. Right now all I see is the market warning the fed not to raise rates. Quote
edjr Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 THEY'RE ALL GONNA LAUGH AT YOU! Not sure if you guys remember when I took a 25 k loan from my 401k 2 years ago. Invested it all back. Was up 25% on it.. Just took out 50k (that is the max) cmon housing market, do your thing and crash! Quote
RaiderHaters Revenge Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, lod001 said: Good thing we let in millions of worker bees, on the southern border, to pick up the slack. Has the govt set up a website yet where I can get some delivered? its more good thing we tell people you dont have to work the govt will give you free money 1 Quote
lod001 Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 I think Monday is gonna be big, one way or the other or maybe even both. Quote
Gladiators Posted January 21, 2022 Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Alias Detective said: Btw, I moved 50% of cash in to large cap today. I'm about ready to do the same... Quote
porkbutt Posted January 22, 2022 Posted January 22, 2022 dont mean to go all geek on ya but ive lost over 30k in market in last week. getting real fockin scared. empty focking shelves, gas prices..if market goes….fockin biden Quote
5-Points Posted January 22, 2022 Posted January 22, 2022 It always does. Don't get in if you can't afford the dips. Move it somewhere else in the meantime but be ready to buy back in come December. Buy low and hold long. Quote
HTH Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 I just went all cash this morning. Am I dumb? Quote
lod001 Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, HTH said: I just went all cash this morning. Am I dumb? We will see but yeah, I'd say so unless this goes down more then you would be wise to get right back in. If it goes down another 3-5% and you were out for that, you just beat the market for the year by 3-5% if you redeploy that $. I'm already in that boat. Quote
Cdub100 Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 15 minutes ago, HTH said: I just went all cash this morning. Am I dumb? Maybe. I haven't sold Quote
Baker Boy Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 On 1/21/2022 at 12:50 PM, RaiderHaters Revenge said: its more good thing we tell people you dont have to work the govt will give you free money There are 1.5 million fewer people working today than there were 2 years ago. Quote
Alias Detective Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 22 minutes ago, HTH said: I just went all cash this morning. Am I dumb? Depends if you pull the trigger to buy at a lower level. When the markets drops to lower levels, will you buy or be even more spooked than you are now. Also, your timeframe is very important. Quote
Alias Detective Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Baker Boy said: There are 1.5 million fewer people working today than there were 2 years ago. Yeah, and those not working today who were 2 years ago are going to suck social security dry. Thanks! Quote
lod001 Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Alias Detective said: Yeah, and those not working today who were 2 years ago are going to suck social security dry. Thanks! Not if the jab juice works out as planned and they all drop dead before 65. Quote
wiffleball Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 On 1/21/2022 at 12:53 PM, lod001 said: I think Monday is gonna be big, one way or the other or maybe even both. 1,000 points Quote
lod001 Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, wiffleball said: 1,000 points Wish I had the balls to load in on my gambling account today. I bought a scrawny amount. Quote
vomit Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 1 hour ago, HTH said: I just went all cash this morning. Am I dumb? Yes, unless you need it. You can't time the market. Quote
Bert Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 17 minutes ago, vomit said: Yes, unless you need it. You can't time the market. Amen. The market closed up today. Quote
Baker Boy Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 45 minutes ago, vomit said: Yes, unless you need it. You can't time the market. And cash lost 6.8% last year Quote
JustinCharge Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 Today was a super heavy volume day on SPY. Biggest volume since the pandemic crash in spring 2020. Quote
vomit Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, JustinCharge said: Today was a super heavy volume day on SPY. Biggest volume since the pandemic crash in spring 2020. Not as much volume as your mom's bedroom on a Friday Night Quote
JustinCharge Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, vomit said: Not as much volume as your mom's bedroom on a Friday Night youre just sour that she has a "no vomit" policy. Quote
shorepatrol Posted January 24, 2022 Posted January 24, 2022 12 minutes ago, JustinCharge said: youre just sour that she has a "no vomit" policy. Quote
lod001 Posted January 25, 2022 Posted January 25, 2022 MSFT beats and then proceeds to get taken out behind the woodshed and really beat. Down 5% afterhours today, down 18% from its high. Quote
lod001 Posted January 25, 2022 Posted January 25, 2022 2 hours ago, lod001 said: MSFT beats and then proceeds to get taken out behind the woodshed and really beat. Down 5% afterhours today, down 18% from its high. And the saps who sold see it rise 7.5% from the low without them. That one is gonna sting. Quote
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