Strike 4,730 Posted November 4 18 minutes ago, jerryskids said: Can somebody who speaks Rusty try to explain my point to him? I've tried twice but he doesn't get it. TIA. Wait. Do we have confirmation that this is Rusty? What happened to his PimpleD*ck account? Get banned? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jerryskids 6,135 Posted November 4 1 minute ago, Strike said: Wait. Do we have confirmation that this is Rusty? What happened to his PimpleD*ck account? Get banned? Confirmation? I guess he could confirm. To me, it seems pretty clear that it's him, and he hasn't refuted it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 3,360 Posted November 4 2 hours ago, OldMaid said: Thanks Max, but you might want to put on your oxygen mask, first. Why would I do that? Do you exude noxious odors? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gepetto 1,184 Posted November 4 Despite having less than 24 hours notice, a crowd of some 2,500 Trump supporters snaked through a long line outside the New England Sports Center in Derry, N.H. Sunday night to see vice presidential nominee U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance. https://nhjournal.com/vance-says-nh-campaign-stop-shows-were-expanding-the-map/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Real timschochet 5,164 Posted November 4 14 minutes ago, Gepetto said: Despite having less than 24 hours notice, a crowd of some 2,500 Trump supporters snaked through a long line outside the New England Sports Center in Derry, N.H. Sunday night to see vice presidential nominee U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance. https://nhjournal.com/vance-says-nh-campaign-stop-shows-were-expanding-the-map/ I’m a little surprised by the decision to campaign there. Is New Hampshire really in play? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gepetto 1,184 Posted November 4 12 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said: I’m a little surprised by the decision to campaign there. Is New Hampshire really in play? They video recorded the line while walking quickly past everyone and it took 1 minute 41 seconds to walk the entire distance the line was just to see JD Vance (on late notice), not Trump. I'd say that's impressive and something is happening in this country and it's that more and more people are turning away from the Democratic Party. 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
OldMaid 2,108 Posted November 4 34 minutes ago, EternalShinyAndChrome said: Why would I do that? Do you exude noxious odors? I am not surprised you don’t understand. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 7 hours ago, The Real timschochet said: Accusing the government of trying to assassinate Donald Trump is a serious charge which you have absolutely no foundation for. You’re getting very upset and there’s still a few days to go. You need to take some deep breaths and calm down. I don’t think this election is going to go the way you believe it will and you need to prepare mentally for that. No foundation for? You are so damn uninformed. - they put someone in charge of the team who was not even remotely qualified. - the team of agents were mostly DHS people who did not have SS experience. - all of the agents skipped the morning meeting with local police to organize the protection. Radios which would provide proper communications were not distributed. - there were insufficient number of sniper teams provided. - the perimeter had a cutout that left the sniper location unprotected. - sniper team had unusual orders only to fire after someone fired shots. - it was a local cop running on the grounf who disabled the killer. - it is outrageous that it took over 16 seconds for the sniper team to get off a shot. That shows intentional neglect. The people in charge did not give a crap about defending the 'garbage' of Trump and his supporters. There is no defending these bastards, but yet you constantly bootlick for them. It is them who are the NAZIs. Why do you bootlick for NAZIs? That is the real question. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 3 hours ago, The Real timschochet said: I’m a little surprised by the decision to campaign there. Is New Hampshire really in play? Absolutely is in play. The seven swing states are all going Trump and several other states could unexpectedly flip like NH, Minnesota, and Virgina. Trump will get one of those. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TimHauck 2,411 Posted November 4 6 hours ago, The Real timschochet said: I’m a little surprised by the decision to campaign there. Is New Hampshire really in play? Wtf is even the point of small rallies in swing states anyway? Is any undecided voter or someone that might not vote really going to be like “yeah let’s go to the Trump or Harris rally tonight!” Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TrailGuy 203 Posted November 4 Trump spent the weekend mumbling to empty venues, Liz Cheney getting shot, the press getting shot, mimicking oral sex on stage, forgetting what state he is in, protecting women whether they like it or not, claiming the Democrats are cheating, saying he should have never left in 2020, getting nasty with Michelle Obama and on and on. How we feeling this morning maga? Worried about you guys... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 5 hours ago, jonmx said: Absolutely is in play. The seven swing states are all going Trump and several other states could unexpectedly flip like NH, Minnesota, and Virgina. Trump will get one of those. Is this based on more of these polls that no one other than jonmx has seen? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 Some dude on Twitter- Joey Mannarino- said if Kamala wins Iowa he will castrate himself live on Twitter if it happens. He then backtracked to say "if it is legitimate." People get too invested in political fandom Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 37 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said: Is this based on more of these polls that no one other than jonmx has seen? My numbers are out there, they are not reported and are difficult to find via Google. POLL SHOCKER: Trump Leads Harris in New Hampshire My numbers are actually conservative. Response bias should make Trump's actual numbers even bigger....bloodbath. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 30 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said: Some dude on Twitter- Joey Mannarino- said if Kamala wins Iowa he will castrate himself live on Twitter if it happens. He then backtracked to say "if it is legitimate." People get too invested in political fandom Harris has zero chance in Iowa. Trump is up 8 in Iowa. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 15 minutes ago, jonmx said: My numbers are out there, they are not reported and are difficult to find via Google. POLL SHOCKER: Trump Leads Harris in New Hampshire My numbers are actually conservative. Response bias should make Trump's actual numbers even bigger....bloodbath. Did you actually look at the methodology of the poll? There are some problems with it: 1.) They talked to 622 "registered voters". Firstly, that is a smallish sample size even by traditionally small sample sizes in these things. Second- registered voters is the wrong way to approach the polls. Likely voters are the better way to go because they are obviously more inclined to vote. Doesn't mean there is nothing useful from registered voters but still. But look at the numbers of people polled on the other polls (numbers from RealClearPolitics): 2814, 2791, 901, 915, 600, 2104, 1695, 2241, 2108, etc 2.) The poll is heavily skewed towards white voters- and there is some belief they lumped "white/hispanic" together. Of the 622 people they polled 591 of them were white. They included 12 black people in the poll. 13 minutes ago, jonmx said: Harris has zero chance in Iowa. Trump is up 8 in Iowa. I wasn't saying she was going to win Iowa. I'm just saying it is stupid to say "I'll castrate myself if she does" and then walk it back like an idiot. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
squistion 1,636 Posted November 4 https://x.com/kylegriffin1/status/1853424501146427615 This weekend, the Harris campaign says it had more than 90,000 volunteers helping turn out voters — and knocked on more than 3 million doors across the battleground states. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 39 minutes ago, jonmx said: My numbers are out there, they are not reported and are difficult to find via Google. POLL SHOCKER: Trump Leads Harris in New Hampshire My numbers are actually conservative. Response bias should make Trump's actual numbers even bigger....bloodbath. I do love too that every poll in New Hampshire is in favor of Harris by like: +4, +5, +7, +9, +21, +11 and then you find one that says Trump is up 1% and your thought process is "OMG THAT SHOWS BLOODBATH!" and not "Hmm....that one seems like an outlier, much like that +21 in favor of Harris" 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MDC 6,701 Posted November 4 2 minutes ago, squistion said: https://x.com/kylegriffin1/status/1853424501146427615 This weekend, the Harris campaign says it had more than 90,000 volunteers helping turn out voters — and knocked on more than 3 million doors across the battleground states. I had three of them at my door this weekend (PA). 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jbycho 164 Posted November 4 3 minutes ago, MDC said: I had three of them at my door this weekend (PA). They do know how to target the weak. I'll give those idiots that much. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,421 Posted November 4 42 minutes ago, squistion said: https://x.com/kylegriffin1/status/1853424501146427615 This weekend, the Harris campaign says it had more than 90,000 volunteers helping turn out voters — and knocked on more than 3 million doors across the battleground states. Many volunteers aren’t from our country. SAD. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 20 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said: I do love too that every poll in New Hampshire is in favor of Harris by like: +4, +5, +7, +9, +21, +11 and then you find one that says Trump is up 1% and your thought process is "OMG THAT SHOWS BLOODBATH!" and not "Hmm....that one seems like an outlier, much like that +21 in favor of Harris" It will be really embarrassing when the results come in almost a tie at +/-2. Of course the lying pollsters have no shame. They are paid to produce the desired results not to be accurate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 4 minutes ago, jonmx said: It will be really embarrassing when the results come in almost a tie at +/-2. Of course the lying pollsters have no shame. They are paid to produce the desired results not to be accurate. You are calling a swing state sweep and one of NH, Minnesota, Virginia to flip... Care to make a friendly wager on that? Winner gets to select a new username for the loser until the end of 2024. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RLLD 3,917 Posted November 4 I think this election could be rather instrumental in potentially causing a kind of "reformation". Consider the expanse and specifics of the lies the media parroted, and in some cases created, with regard to Trump. After his election, when none of those things become true then the people are going to remember the lies and how the media behaved, and perhaps the Democrats as well. I can only hope that this really exposes them for the vile creatures they truly are. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fireballer 2,585 Posted November 4 1 hour ago, Sean Mooney said: Did you actually look at the methodology of the poll? There are some problems with it: 2.) The poll is heavily skewed towards white voters- and there is some belief they lumped "white/hispanic" together. Of the 622 people they polled 591 of them were white. They included 12 black people in the poll. 12 black people out of 622 pretty much nails the black population of New Hampshire. How many should they have included? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 1 minute ago, Fireballer said: 12 black people out of 622 pretty much nails the black population of New Hampshire. How many should they have included? There are about 21,000 black people in New Hampshire according to the 2022 census. The poll talked to 12, or .06%. That is not an accurate representation- especially when factored into the poll demographics Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 3,360 Posted November 4 10 hours ago, OldMaid said: I am not surprised you don’t understand. Help me, help you. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
purdygood 302 Posted November 4 Just now, Sean Mooney said: There are about 21,000 black people in New Hampshire according to the 2022 census. The poll talked to 12, or .06%. That is not an accurate representation- especially when factored into the poll demographics Everyone loves polls they agree with. Like I have said previously... who are these people being polled? I've literally never been polled and I've voted for 20+ years. They don't even call me to poll all my dead relatives who I vote for !? (kidding) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 Several people who served as fake electors in the scheme to overturn the 2020 election may be electors in the 2024 election, despite the fact that they’re facing felony charges. Politico reported on Monday that across seven battleground states, eight of the 93 prospective Republican electors are facing criminal charges for their role in the scheme orchestrated by former President Donald Trump’s campaign. Some of them continue to push the lie that Trump won the 2020 election that he lost to President Joe Biden. Politico wrote this article on it: https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/04/trump-fake-electors-return-election-denial-00186977- Quote essentially 1 in 5 of the prospective Trump electors from battleground states this year had some connection to the plan to overturn the 2020 election. Six of the returning fake electors hail from Michigan. John Haggard, Hank Choate, Timothy King, Meshawn Maddock, Amy Facchinello and Marian Sheridan were among the group of Michiganders who signed a document in 2020 purporting to be official electoral certificates claiming the state’s electoral votes went to Donald Trump, despite Biden winning Michigan by more than 150,000 votes. Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel, a Democrat, brought felony charges against them, including forgery-related crimes punishable by up to 14 years. Those cases are ongoing and all have pleaded not guilty. An attorney for Choate, David Kallman, said he didn’t see a problem with him serving as an elector again, given that he was chosen at the state party convention. In legal proceedings, Choate has said that in 2020 he was acting under the direction of Trump campaign officials when he signed the alternate elector paperwork and did not intend to commit fraud. Many others involved in the false elector scheme have said the same — they thought their votes were placeholders in the event Trump prevailed in one of his many post-election lawsuits to reverse the outcome, not pawns for a controversy involving Pence. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 2 minutes ago, purdygood said: Everyone loves polls they agree with. Like I have said previously... who are these people being polled? I've literally never been polled and I've voted for 20+ years. They don't even call me to poll all my dead relatives who I vote for !? (kidding) To me it isn't so much about agreeing or disagreeing with a poll although I understand there are individual biases that are in play. But looking at the methodology of a study shows how reliable it is or is not....the methodology and sample size here should make one take pause. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HellToupee 1,242 Posted November 4 1 hour ago, jonmx said: My numbers are out there, they are not reported and are difficult to find via Google. POLL SHOCKER: Trump Leads Harris in New Hampshire My numbers are actually conservative. Response bias should make Trump's actual numbers even bigger....bloodbath. They’ve had the MA governor and both MA senators campaigning in NH. That’s very telling Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
purdygood 302 Posted November 4 Just now, Sean Mooney said: To me it isn't so much about agreeing or disagreeing with a poll although I understand there are individual biases that are in play. But looking at the methodology of a study shows how reliable it is or is not....the methodology and sample size here should make one take pause. Agreed. "All my neighbors have Trump signs, I don't see any Harris signs. So He's totally going to win. Duh Or it's rigged!" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
thegeneral 2,453 Posted November 4 This one poll is the accurate one…all the others are bad. Except in Iowa where that one is the bad one and all the others are the good ones. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 3 minutes ago, HellToupee said: They’ve had the MA governor and both MA senators campaigning in NH. That’s very telling Harris has moved money from VA to NH....this race is so over. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean Mooney 1,792 Posted November 4 1 minute ago, jonmx said: Harris has moved money from VA to NH....this race is so over. You are calling a swing state sweep and one of NH, Minnesota, Virginia to flip... Care to make a friendly wager on that? Winner gets to select a new username for the loser until the end of 2024. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
purdygood 302 Posted November 4 Just now, Sean Mooney said: You are calling a swing state sweep and one of NH, Minnesota, Virginia to flip... Care to make a friendly wager on that? Winner gets to select a new username for the loser until the end of 2024. If he doesn't accept, can we at least get some of your ideas.... ? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
thegeneral 2,453 Posted November 4 7 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said: You are calling a swing state sweep and one of NH, Minnesota, Virginia to flip... Care to make a friendly wager on that? Winner gets to select a new username for the loser until the end of 2024. this is pretty good. I’ll take the same for winner of the popular vote. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 1 minute ago, Sean Mooney said: You are calling a swing state sweep and one of NH, Minnesota, Virginia to flip... Care to make a friendly wager on that? Winner gets to select a new username for the loser until the end of 2024. I would take the bet if the terms were who wins the election. Harris could still pull off a narrow win in MI and win those three states. But that is still a losing hand. I would give you Harris +10 EVs. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
thegeneral 2,453 Posted November 4 4 minutes ago, jonmx said: I would take the bet if the terms were who wins the election. Harris could still pull off a narrow win in MI and win those three states. But that is still a losing hand. I would give you Harris +10 EVs. Are you the one who was guaranteeing a Trump popular vote win? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jonmx 2,118 Posted November 4 Just now, thegeneral said: Are you the one who was guaranteeing a Trump popular vote win? I expect Trump to win the popular vote. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites