hey guys.
The july mock was a pleasure to participate in. the drafters are a knowledgeable group and I think there is definitely valuable information here if you want to break down this draft. (link below to see results)
https://www.fftoday.com/mock/23_july.html
I'm not going to do a deep analysis in terms of who did the better job but I will break down the draft in terms of the strategies used by various mockers. you can then look at how the team turned out and see how you feel about each strategy. please no judgements on the selection of certain players. this is meant to be a discussion on the strategy itself and now you should have an idea of what kind of team you are looking like if you go with each strategy.
The Strategies: I broke these down by two basic strategies:
1) based on who each Mocker took in their first 2 picks -Basic Strategies:
WR-WR
TE first round (also zero RB strategy)
Mixed
RB-RB
2) early QB taken (first 4 rounds) Lots of talk has been on this board surrounding the early drafting of a QB. so there is a breakdown here of who did this.
As lots are looking to go WR-WR this year lets start here:
Strategy 1: WR-WR- The general strategy in going WR-WR in a PPR draft is that you will dominate at the position that benefits from this scoring format.
Teams that used this strategy:
The Football Guru-WR-WR (Early QB)
White Wonder-WR-WR-No early QB
first 4 picks:
Jamar Chase-WR
Jaylan Waddle-WR
Mark Andrews-TE
Lamar Jackson-QB
Even though he went WR-WR this is really more of a mixed approach due to the early selections of TE and QB. he looks like he will have an advantage at the WR position with above average players at TE and QB. if we go deeper he does select RB in round 5 and 6 (furthering the argument this is more of a mixed approach)
White Wonder-
Diggs -WR
Garrett Wilson-WR
Gibbs-RB
Etienne-RB
Like Guru, he Took top WR in the first 2 rounds followed by RB in the next 2 rounds. he took a QB in round 5 followed by another RB. so once again, while this is classified as a WR-WR strategy, it really resembles more of a mixed strategy than a pure early WR strategy.
Strategy 2: TE first round-(early QB) also zero RB strategy
ICEMAN: as an alternative strategy this is a good one to pay attention to. Iceman started TE and then went WR-WR in the next 2 picks followed by a QB in round 4 then 4 straight RB selections after that. theoretically you could also call this a zero RB strategy as well. this is useful to look at from that perspective as well.
realistically this is more of a mixed strategy when looking at the whole body of work but I felt any strategy where TE is taken in the first round deserves its own category. for the record, I think he ended up with a decent team. I didnt think you could get good RB this late but he did a nice job. Kamara could be a nice steal and I do like Akers and Pacheco. both of these young RB have considerable upside. Between those 3 I dont know that he was really at a disadvantage running the zero RB strategy. That said, I think the talent at RB was shallow enough that if a second team tried to run the zero RB strategy it could have been a case where neither team would be able to get enough talent at the position late in the draft.
first 4 picks
Kelce(TE)
Devante Adams (WR)
Keenan Allen (WR)
Justin Herbert (QB)
Strategy 3: Mixed
all teams in this category took an RB and a WR in the first 2 rounds (not necessarily in that order. Robb took an early QB the rest did not but basically the strategy used appears to be a balanced strategy. The advantage of this is later in the draft it makes it easier to take the best player available regardless of position. if you take RB in 3 of the first 4 rounds like I did, it becomes tough to justify taking another RB over the next few rounds even if that is the best player on the board.
Mr Landry
Kupp WR
Stephenson RB
Olave WR
Miles Sanders RB
Ralphster
Chubb-RB
Lamb-WR
Mixon-RB
Metcalf-WR
Remote Controller
Tyreek Hill
Pollard
Higgins
Cooper
Robb-(early QB)
Bijan-RB
AJ Brown-WR
Hurts-QB
Ridley-WR
RB-RB
Ray_T- (early QB) This is my own draft. as I have first hand knowledge of what I was thinking I'm going to give a more detailed commentary of what I did and why. you wont get this analysis on the other mockers as I dont know why they did what they did and I dont want to speak on their behalf. with luck I will get them to come on, make their own posts about what they were thinking, and what worked and what didnt.
First 4 picks:
Henry-RB
Jacobs-RB
Allen-QB
Kenneth Walker-RB
I initially wanted to start with a WR and then go with 2 or 3 straight RB picks, but the majority of the early round picks were actually WR so I felt the value I thought would be here at WR wasnt there, so felt the need to pivot to a different strategy. I went RB in round 1 and 2. I also had no plans to take a RB in round 4 but I felt Walker was the best player available at that point in the draft and given that my 2nd RB (Jacobs) could hold out, I figured this was a viable strategy as he could be a top notch flex If Jacobs played and an RB2 if he doesnt. The flex spot in this league made this strategy a lot more viable as the pick isnt wasted if Jacobs plays. So this offered me the chance to get an advantage at the flex spot as the top scoring RB at that point in the draft was projected to get more fantasy points than the top rated WR in the draft at the time. By going RB heavy to start the draft, this gave me an immediate advantage at RB and the flex spot. taking the first QB off the board in round 3 gave me an advantage at QB as well. To this end I feel good about the way this draft played out for me.
after the first 4 picks, I took a whole lot of WR after this point in the draft. The good news is the draft is still flush with talent at WR at this point in the draft and I did some significant research on some of the players I took and feel I was able to get good value given how late I waited to take my first WR (Round 5)
Hawkeye- He also went RB-RB but flipped to WR earlier in the draft than I did. while this was a RB-RB start, in the end its almost more of a balanced approach as 2 of the first 4 picks were WR and 2 were RB.
first 4 picks:
CMC-RB
Breece Hall-RB
Devonta Smith-WR
Drake London-WR
Shovelheadt-(early QB) also started with 2 RB and ended up with one of the better RB group in the draft. He also got a nice QB late in round 3. it is worth noting that Burrow was injured partway through this draft leading him to draft a second QB earlier than he otherwise would(and triggering a run on QB that may not have normally happened). So I would argue he dealt with the most turmoil of anyone in this draft due to this situation.
first 4 picks:
Jonathan Taylor-RB
Sequon Barkley-RB
Joe Burrow-QB
DeAndre Swift-RB