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Ray_T

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Ray_T last won the day on May 31 2016

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    Thou shalt be amused rather than angered by the words and deeds of idiots; for i am thy noodly lord and I have created idiots solely for entertainment purposes, mine first and thine likewise. -The Pastafarian Bible-Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster.

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  1. generally if someone is ranked in your top 10, they should be a round 2 selection. either way, hes not without risk. (which is why hes not a first round pick) but hes a player who has significant potential for a good year.
  2. hes falling to round 3? interesting. well it would be worth watching to see how his ADP moves as we get closer to the start of the season. My guess is the ADP creeps into round 2. I'd love to get him in round 3. but I suspect by the time we get to drafting his ADP will be in the 2nd round.
  3. Fannin and Kraft are both very good picks in Dynasty. I like Krafts upside a bit more because Green bay has a better QB at the helm and Green Bay isnt the Dumpster fire that Cleveland is. for Kraft its all about his health and coming off an ACL in November that is far from being resolved. Hes a far better pickup in keeper/dynasty than he is in a redraft league. (for whatever that is worth) due to the injury I'd project him to get 600-700 yards with likely a bit less than his average number of TDs. (so 5-6) next year I'd project a fair bit more. but you are asking about this year. despite the dumpster fire in Cleveland, I'd bet Fanin puts up better numbers this year than Kraft. this is solely based on Kraft's ACL injury. you can come back to play in less than 12 months with an ACL but you wont likely be 100% until 18-24 months has passed and historically the year after an ACL surgery, stats are down for WR by about 20-30%. I'd assume roughly the same discount for TE coming back from the same surgery. in his case because he got injured late in the year, there is a very real possibility he misses a handful of games to start the year. once you adjust further for that risk, hes not a great pick for redraft this year. (despite how much I love the guy as a player) but. (there always is a but) you may wish to keep an eye on the medical reports for the guy. if it truly looks like he will play week 1 it may be worth your while to grab him. Just dont overpay for him. because of the injury, he should be a late round pick. dont let anyone else tell you otherwise.
  4. honestly his health has been his greatest issue the last couple of years. I dont think hes likely top 3 but top 6 to 10 is more likely. his huge numbers earlier in his career were when every other team in the division was terrible and he got 2 games against each of those. I dont know that he was ever truly a top 3 QB. he was a top 8-10 QB that put up top 3 stats due to soft schedules those years. if healthy, with the talent around him I can see top 6. but if you look, lately it seems like he misses significant time every second year, so realistically hes a coin flip. draft him to be a low end QB1 or high end QB2 and if hes healthy he will pay dividends. if hes not, you better have a solid backup behind him.
  5. take any policy too far and it can be a bad thing. that is the real problem in our society is that we continuously take things too far and overreact to everything. Diversity is one of those things that only helps in situations where all people are considered equals. if one or more groups are subjugated by another group, the diversity does not help you. or if the groups break into factions who fight constantly, then the diversity does not help you. but if the groups get along and respect each other then you get into the benefits of diversity. everyone has strengths and weaknesses. there are no exceptions to this rule. in the case of diversity you can sometimes take the strengths of both groups and be stronger in the aggregate if you work together. but this only works if the different groups/factions get along.
  6. I think its crazy that anybody thinks this could possibly be true. and EV's dont actually save the environment. sure it is emission free, because the emissions are in the plant where they generate the electricity. in the end whether this helps the environment (or not) depends on what jurisdiction you live in. if you live in a jurisdiction where the electricity is generated by burning coal, you are not actually lowering emissions overall. you are better off burning gas. if you live in a jurisdiction where the electricity is generated by burning natural gas, emissions are lower but not by a lot. if you live in a jurisdiction where the electricity is generated by hydro electric dams, then the difference is large. but most people dont get all their power via hydro elecric dams. so its not as clear cut as you would think. either way this technology is advancing fairly quickly, so I suspect in about 5-10 years all this solar power stuff we are using now will be obsolete and worthless. but that is just my opinion. I'm not investing in an electric car because the technology isnt good enough. not yet. but we are not that far away.
  7. Lets not blame liberals for everything. On this issue, Its the Environmentalists. there are liberals I know who dont care overly much for the envirionment but they do care about social programs and such. you need to make that distinction. because in the US you have a two party system, the environmentalists tend to vote for the party that cares about more social issues (this being just one issue). so maybe in your case it ends up becoming a general liberal issue. That said Sticking your head in the sand and pretending this isnt happening wont fix things either. There are coastal cities in the US that are gonna have major problems likely be the end of our lifetime to due sea level rise associated with global warming. thing is the science on this isnt complete. we do not know all of the facts yet and Nature does have ways of compensating for environmental changes in ways we dont even understand yet. but Nature doesnt care where we build our cities. I guarantee you of that. One way or another we do need to adapt. there is no one magic pill with a solution but we probably need our govt to provide funds to make larger levees to protect the affected cities from when this happens. maybe restrict people from building in low lying areas by the coast. it starts there but likely does not end there. things like this are a start. I know its not much, but those levees arent cheap. (just ask the govt of New Orleans.... they have plenty of them already) Chage is coming and there is only so much time to prepare for it.
  8. here is the thing. Nature always finds ways to bring things into balance. it is only a matter of time. That said, the earth has been heating and cooling for longer than we can measure things. and we are coming out of an ice age. how do we know we arent returning to the natural state of the planet? history has shown that we have actually been substantially warmer in the past. the constant changing climate is likely one of the factors that drives evolution. each time the world changes, those that live in it need to adapt. that is the way of things. some in politics (and some environmentalists) want to turn back the clock. this is not realistic. the rule of evolution is adapt or die. we need to adapt to the new realities. not try to stop it from happening. sure, you can argue that fossil fuels contribute to this and to some degree maybe they do. but this is the direction we have already been headed. maybe this sped up the process a little. but we will at one point run out of fossil fuels and will be using other methods to generate power. the smarter move is to not try to defy nature on a global scale. I suspect that is a battle we cannot win. this doesnt make me anti pollution. there is nothing wrong with wanting to breathe clean air. but the goals we set should be easily achievable. and instead of pumping a lot of money into existing technology, we need to pump money into R&D. I am convinced that the solution is in better technology. not solar panels. (at least not the ones we use today) as this technology gets better I suspect we will be able to minimize how much we affect the climate change. but we need to be patient. Rome wasnt built in a day and neither was the Earth.
  9. its certainly close. but you are right that when everything flexes out, position doesnt matter as much. if you think McBride outscores Javonte, then you should keep him. with Mcbride (as I mentioned earlier) I am worried about the TD regression that may or may not be coming. and that really is what likely tips the scales. if he gets double digit TD this year, he likely outscores Javonte. if he doesnt, then I think Javonte is the man. thus why I chose Javonte. and believe me I take no pride in saying that because I do LOVE McBride and the skillset he brings. but the rules of this league are such that I take Javonte by a hair. though admittedly its close enough that you could even argue the difference between these two players is mostly personal preference. I'd buy that if you made that argument.
  10. while there is a chance Blue has a breakout of sorts in year 2 Most RB are more productive in year 2 and get an expanded workload of sorts. But...... Williams has seized the job. so barring injury or ineffectiveness, I dont think Blue will get a big enough bump in his numbers to threaten him. Blue needs to hone his craft and be ready if the opportunity comes.
  11. yeah that tips the scale in favor of the RB's for sure. forgot to mention that part. even so, if you were required to start a TE, I'd be keeping McBride regardless just because if you have a TE that produces like a WR that gives you an advantage you cant make up for in the aggregate by keeping a RB who isnt in the top 5. but that is not the format we are looking at here.
  12. Ray_T

    Iran

    20% of all the cargo thats not going through the strait. it will be a huge money maker! or not. this has gotten goofy. what I cant believe is that WTI spot price as of today is only $75. at some point the oil prices will balloon again and we will be where we were when all this nonsense began.
  13. agreed. if it was manditory to start a TE then McBride is the hands down pick. anytime in a format like this if you can keep a TE that produces like a WR that's a win. in this format where TE is considered a flex, its a lot more Hazy. at this point hes just a regular WR and doesnt give the positional advantage. yardage wise its close last year. and TD wise was also close. the problem wity McBride is that last year he put up 11 TD. year prior 2. Some people avoided him last year in some formats because they didnt like the TD production. and I dont blame them. but In looking at his game, I thought he should have done better than the 2 TD. I felt like he was extremely unlucky. at the same time now I'm looking at the 11 TD from last year and wondering if there is likely a regression coming on this. I wouldnt bet on the 2 TD from the year prior, but 8 or 9 seems more likely. To that end I think Javonte wins the TD battle and becomes your keeper of choice even though I think McBride is the better player overall.
  14. yeah from what I can tell, after the first year or two Biden was a do nothing presidency. and that likely coincided with his mental decline. but if youre an idiot its better to do nothing. so Biden at least didnt go trying to do wholesale changes. while Trump is changing everything to put his mark on it and I'd say more than 50% of the changes are not for the better.
  15. thats fair. but the one that could get him impeached is the Epstien thing (if some more damaging info comes out) probably a better place to focus your efforts. From my perspective.....the pool thing, while dumb(and a bit goofy), probably wont result in anything significant at the end of the day no matter how hard you beat the drum. sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but it just wont.
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