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15 GoodAbout Vern357
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FF Geek
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Who Were The Most & Least Improved Players In The NFL Last Season?
Vern357 replied to the lone star's topic in FFToday Board
Will Dursely. Seattle TE. If he can come back from the injury will be a force to contend with. -
Who Were The Most & Least Improved Players In The NFL Last Season?
Vern357 replied to the lone star's topic in FFToday Board
If you want good feedback, give some examples and we can debate them. -
Pass Interference Calls are now Reviewable
Vern357 replied to Mike FF Today's topic in FFToday Board
Honestly, I dont think it should be coach's challenge. Should be called from new york either way. -
I would love to see seattle sign Weddle. The rest of the DB's are still so green that a veteran signal caller that can keep things in front of him and direct the troops would be fantastic.
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Your team is out -- which team are you rooting for?
Vern357 replied to DonS's topic in FFToday Board
Chargers and Eagles. Both because of the QB's :/ -
Oh man, poor guy, that some tough sledding
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Is D. Thomas even on the field?
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Huh. I guess the last part is a little hard to read...............
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Pro Football Reference put together a metric called “draft value” which attempts to rate the draft value of players at different positions to arrive at a measure of how well teams have drafted. It ranges from 0-160, with only 1% scoring 80 or higher. It weighs factors such as number of games started, individual stats, team performance and all-pro honors. It also does not include a player’s career after he was traded from the team that drafted him. So, for example, Jared Allen’s value to the Chiefs was much lower because it did not consider his career after he was traded to the Vikings. BREAKING DOWN NFL DRAFT SUCCESSBased on this metric, here is how all draft picks over the past 20 years (not including last year) have fared overall: 16.7% Didn’t Play for the Team that Drafted Them. Most of these are draft picks that didn’t make the team, however, there were a few draft picks that were immediately traded that were of great value- Eli Manning and Philip Rivers for example. But generally these were few and far between so it is safe to say that most in this category (let’s say 16% of the 16.7%) were busts. 37% Were Considered “Useless” Also known as busts. These are players that had a draft metric of between 0-4, and rarely or never saw the field. Guys like Ryan Leaf, Ryan Mallet and the Vikings’ 1999 1st round pick Dimitrius Underwood, to name a few. These are players that basically did nothing to help the team at all - and represent over a third of all draft picks over the past 20 years. 15.3% Were Considered “Poor” Still pretty clearly in bust territory. These are players that had underwhelming careers with a draft metric between 5-10, and include some pretty well known busts such as Jamarcus Russell (who scored a 6). So, if you add up these first three categories of bust (excluding a few draft pick trades that worked out), you come up with just over 68% of all draft picks over the past 20 years have been busts- over two-thirds of all draft picks. I would rate coop better than all of those. But to answer my own question: Round Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 1 99.7% 93.5% 83.9% 77.4% 71.0% 2 96.8% 96.1% 83.9% 74.2% 41.9% 3 96.9% 75.1% 62.5% 37.5% 18.8% 4 91.4% 74.3% 54.3% 34.3% 17.2% 5 81.1% 56.8% 37.8% 24.3% 16.2% 6 70.2% 57.5% 35.3% 20.9% 10.6% 7 58.3% 45.8% 31.3% 21.7% 16.7% Thanks to Joe Mahoney for creating this visual chart.
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Honestly I kind of like it. Whats the percentage of 1st round picks still on a team at the end the first season? Not that high. So they traded at best a 50/50 roll of the dice for a guy that could prove to be better odds than 50/50. I think dallas did alright.
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Yet.
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Seattle needs WR, and pots legal here too............
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Seattle lost Baldwin, and likes trading with GB, might be an option.
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In no great order: Dion Lewis Austin Eckler Jalen Richard
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No disagreement there.