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Skinny_Bastard

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Posts posted by Skinny_Bastard

  8. Posted

    After 3 weeks, his passing yards is ranked 8th at 857 yards.    The big plays are missing in this offense.  Only 2 40+ yarders.  Avg yards per completion is below the 8.  The years where he was a top 3 QB, he avg above 8+ per completion.  Still early but all signs are pointing to a 5-10 ranking finish.   

  12. Posted

    On 9/5/2022 at 2:07 PM, GEUH said:

    two words: jordan mason

    I took a late round flyer on Mason.  He looked great in preseason.   In many ways they let Sherman go for him.

  15. Posted

    On 8/16/2022 at 10:20 AM, TBayXXXVII said:

    In the thread discussing Hill being traded to the Dolphins, I posted a link to an article stating that after week 6 (when the Chiefs were 3-3), they altered the way they called plays and game planned.  It's why Tyreek Hill's numbers were down after that.  Through 6 weeks, Hill was WR2 averaging 23 fpg.  From Weeks 7 to 18, he was WR18 (for WR's playing at least 8 games), averaging 14.4 fpg.  In that same time frame, Weeks 7 through 18, Mahomes was QB8 averaging 19.3 fpg.   In the prior 6 weeks, he was QB1 averaging 26.9 fpg.

    I think it's pretty safe to say that with Hill being gone, regression is likely.  As someone said earlier, he'll still be great, but he won't be elite.  I was thinking he'd still be top 5, but thinking about it more, I can see him fall to the 7 to 10 range because I think guys who were behind Mahomes last year, like Burrow, Jackson, Stafford, Murray, and Hurts, all could pass him this year.

    A wild card though, could be that Mahomes' rushing yards & TD's go up.

    In the thread discussing Hill being traded to the Dolphins, I posted a link to an article stating that after week 6 (when the Chiefs were 3-3), they altered the way they called plays and game planned.  It's why Tyreek Hill's numbers were down after that.  Through 6 weeks, Hill was WR2 averaging 23 fpg.  From Weeks 7 to 18, he was WR18 (for WR's playing at least 8 games), averaging 14.4 fpg.  In that same time frame, Weeks 7 through 18, Mahomes was QB8 averaging 19.3 fpg.   In the prior 6 weeks, he was QB1 averaging 26.9 fpg.

    I think it's pretty safe to say that with Hill being gone, regression is likely.  As someone said earlier, he'll still be great, but he won't be elite.  I was thinking he'd still be top 5, but thinking about it more, I can see him fall to the 7 to 10 range because I think guys who were behind Mahomes last year, like Burrow, Jackson, Stafford, Murray, and Hurts, all could pass him this year.

    A wild card though, could be that Mahomes' rushing yards & TD's go up.  He's been around 300 & 2, but with Hill being gone, Mahomes may run more and post 450 & 5.  That increase of 33 points would make up for a drop of what... 425 passing yards and 4 TD's.  If he went from 4839 / 37 to 4400 / 33, but rushes for 150 more yards and 3 more TD's, it's a wash.

    Nice write up.  With the depth of the QB position, i can easily see Mahommes falling into the 5-10 range.  

  18. Posted

    On 8/9/2022 at 5:44 PM, jrokh said:

    I think you meant avoid at ADP, but I still disagree. Andy Reid is still there so is Mahomie. They likely won’t be as explosive as they were but still a top ten offense. I’m not avoiding a top ten offense in fantasy…

    At the right ADP, maybe.  Think most KC offensive players will be headaches this season.    I have Mahommes outside of top 8.

  21. Posted

    I'm BACK!

    If history is any guide, i would avoid the entire KC offense.  In Mahomes last 2 games without Hill, he threw for 636 yards and 1 TD.  This was against DET and the IND back in 2019.  Teams will no longer need to keep the safeties back to give the corners support against Hill.  Expect LOTS of blitz and Mahomes getting hit.

    Kelce also look a step slower last season. 

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