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Mark Davis

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Everything posted by Mark Davis

  1. Mark Davis

    Fantasy Baseball

    I've always been a fan of fading SP early. Every time I give in and feel one is too good to pass they have a bad year or get hurt.
  2. Mark Davis

    Fantasy Baseball

    Always pull for him because I saw his dad play a lot in AA ball. Makes me feel so old.
  3. Mark Davis

    Fantasy Baseball

    Who are you guys using for your leagues? I've always used Yahoo, not sure if there are any better free ones out there. I'll have to create a team for the year to keep the interest up for myself. Given up on doing football these days.
  4. Mark Davis

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    Man if I knew this answer I'd be worth 9 figures from trading options. I can just tell you from my experience, no matter when you try to do it, it tends to backfire. For every person who times it right, there are ten quietly sitting who did it at the wrong time and lost money. It's not just going cash at the right time, but buying back in at the right time. Long term, if you aren't in the market you are going to be behind so you need a re-entry strategy before you ever leave, and you need that strategy to be implemented win or lose and be prepared to have to buy back in higher if the lower days don't come. It's like betting on something that's right 45% of the time, short term you may pull it off, but long term the market moves higher so you have to have an end game in mind. Volatility makes it seem like every day is going to be down. But for all the sales occurring, there are people making the opposite bet.
  5. Mark Davis

    Murderer to be executed by firing squad tomorrow

    I think the concern would be diseases that are pretty rampant in inmate populations.
  6. They won’t end up in NATO. Nobody is going to give Ukraine a boots on the ground guarantee. Especially not with an active conflict going on. That’s why I think peace has to come first.
  7. Can someone explain why the pay your fair share folks are anti-tariff other than it’s Trump? And for the record, I don’t think tariffs are preferable. However, I don’t have a problem using them as incentives to get policy/trade concessions from other nations. We need to be honest that having lower tariffs here than other countries may lead to lower prices but it does drive production out of the U.S. One must balance those two things when evaluating their merits. They are in essence a tax collected by our government on foreign made goods. They would be inflationary to the point of either increasing foreign production costs or shifting those costs so that there is a cheaper domestic alternative, bringing jobs onshore to mitigate some of the inflation on the shelves. At the end of the day they are mostly equivalent to a consumption tax paid by the end user.
  8. Mark Davis

    Trump's congressional address

    I have a timber stand on some rural land. Teaching my daughters about it as they get older so they know how to manage it and use it for income over time. Rough land not good for much other than meth labs and running into rattlesnakes or water mocs along the stream that runs on it.
  9. Mark Davis

    Trump's congressional address

    I think the whole hot/crazy scale was make for Kristi Noem. She's 53 and looks like that.
  10. Sure, that's how he stays in power. But it's those very traits that make me believe he's willing to just grind Ukraine all the way down over time. He's years into this now and he has many more troops than Ukraine does to just make this an inevitable end.
  11. Mark Davis

    Trump's congressional address

    There he goes. That Trump wants to make people show up to work.
  12. The history of Russia tells us when weakness is shown, a replacement comes. It's not in his background or what he's ever been.
  13. Mark Davis

    Trump's congressional address

    That was a little more than a "you lie" moment.
  14. We will see what the deal is. I doubt Putin could survive long term in Russia if he agreed to the Ukraine in NATO. I have zero doubt he's willing to sacrifice millions of lives to stay in power. But Ukraine in NATO is not in the cards, it wouldn't have been under Harris either. That deal just isn't there to be made because Putin's a creature of survival as well.
  15. I read it, I think it's wishful thinking at best. There's no reason to think Putin would stop of his own accord. He's never governed and certainly hasn't stayed in power by backing down. He went on for years under Biden/Harris but now magically would be the time he would stop? I don't buy it.
  16. The conflict can't end without starting the process, which Trump has done. The war is grinding in terms of both costs and lives. A war that only Russia can win long term by throwing endless bodies at it.
  17. He's not just trying, he is taking action. Under Biden all we were doing was arming Ukraine at our expense with no end in sight. We both know defeating Russia outright isn't a possibility. I think people see that he's making a change to end this conflict if he can. It's way more than we were doing. What we were doing had no end game.
  18. It's funny how the shades of the debate are now how we are going about finding a deal to end this war. This war was never going to end under Biden. Succeed or fail I give Trump credit for getting the process started. Ukraine is incapable of maintaining this stalemate long term strictly from a manpower standpoint alone. A deal is the only long term answer for Ukraine. If you're on the side of Ukraine, it's the same as it ever was, the best possible outcome is ending the war under the best possible deal. Defeating the Russian military was never a possibility.
  19. Mark Davis

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    I'm not sure given where we are on inflation that the fed can take action to lower rates such as in a QE. Like you mentioned, that would ramp up inflation.
  20. I understand the difference. I don't understand why it's necessary. How many other Boston residents died that day whether they were wielding a knife or not and did the mayor offer her condolences as well? If she didn't, why does this case merit it and the others not? Again, I understand your general meaning. But the fact she came out and made this statement infers some level of need, if not responsibility from the city. To a lot of people who hear it, they hear that something was done wrong. You're correct in by the definition that it doesn't, but putting the statement out at all infers something to many who will see/hear it.
  21. Bizarre to issue a public statement if nothing is to be apologized for. You can feel empathy for the family but not be sorry that the officer acted to save the lives of innocent citizens. I think making a public statement such as the mayor did comes pretty close to a tacit apology for the lethal use of force, which appears warranted in this case.
  22. Mark Davis

    Trump and Vance Own Ungrateful Femboy Zelensky

    He's got a better chance of the media rumor from years ago of Putin having advanced cancer is true and it's somehow taking him a record breaking amount of time to succomb.
  23. Mark Davis

    Trump and Vance Own Ungrateful Femboy Zelensky

    Are you saying you expect Zelensky might be willing to put his fate in the military might and fortitude of the EU? I give him more credit than that. Honestly it would be nice if they had that backbone and power, and maybe we can help them get there, but for right now it's a fantasy.
  24. Mark Davis

    Trump and Vance Own Ungrateful Femboy Zelensky

    Unless that alternate deal is with China, it's worthless. I do know there are only two militaries in the world that would give Putin pause. This has always been the best possible outcome for Ukraine. They've done an amazing job to stall the Russians as long as they have. But on manpower alone, they cannot prevail in a war of attrition against Russia. It's simple math. At some point, there has to be a deal. If they fight to the last man, Ukraine will be ground down to nothing.
  25. Mark Davis

    Trump and Vance Own Ungrateful Femboy Zelensky

    I actually agree with you. I think Zelensky made a mistake today though. Some people like the prickly edge Trump has, others like you despise it. But we should both acknowledge it exists. Zelensky had to know that as well. While it may or may not be a bad look for Trump and the U.S. depending on who you ask, it's not a make or break event for Trump or the U.S. Zelensky has the future of his country in the balance. He's not in a position to take on Trump in a combative way because he needs a security guarantee, which Trump is tacitly implying by a minerals deal. He made a mistake today that was unforced. Likely I think this gets fixed behind closed doors but someone is going to have to swallow their pride to make it happen. Given what Ukraine has to lose and President Trump's personality, I think we both know who that is going to be. That's just the reality regardless of the side of the political aisle.
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