jonmx

It is actually easy to keep straight because it is the same all the time. As far as Ramussen showing a slight Harris lead in one data set, that is within his margin of error. The difference between Ramussen and the lying bastards is Ramussen will show errors in both directions. The lying bastards only ever have errors favoring Dems. A clear sign they are lying. Statistical errors should be evenly distributed in both directions.

In this year, that is true. But what makes polling honest is if they ensure their data correctly represents the electorate. If their sample severely under represents white voter and Republicans and they do not properly adjust for it, then they are just lying bastards. I am not calling BS because I don't like the results, I am calling BS because their adjustments are not correcting their known sampling error when they know it over represents Dems.

The polling data is real. The problem comes in with the interpretation of that data. If you want to be in the club where your polls are widely reported in the media and called 'high quality' by the big media owned websites like 538, you adjust your data to produce a result which is positive for the Dems. Most pollsters want to be in the big boy club where big tech and establishment media drives traffic to your website and provides funds for your polling. There are very few honest pollsters who can survive with being berated and shunned by the establishment. Censorship is real.

Does not even scratch the surface of the real election interference. Our government is in bed with the media, big tech, and Hollywood. Most every piece of information we get from 'reliable' sources has been put through the government propaganda filter. The 60-Minutes interview edits is just example one of a billion. If Trump was interviewed the edits would highlight every little stumble he made. Highly selective truth is not the real truth. You can make the ugliest creature in the world look like an angel with enough filtering.

I am not just guessing that these polls are BS, I know that these polls showing Harris tied or in the lead are BS. What these polls are doing is getting a sample size of voters who are 63% white when they know that whites have been 70 to 71 percent of the electorate in recent elections and are not correcting for their sampling error. What they are doing is correcting for a Dem +4 electorate when Gallup is showowing that this electorate is actually GOP +2 for the first time in decades. Gallup is the real gold standard for polling but got out of polling for candidates because it is too political. These pollsters know their polling is overstating Harris support by 4 to 6 points, but they give the media the talking points propaganda they want. Trump is up 2 points nationally which means he is winning 300+ electoral votes. That is not a guess, that is what the data actually shows when you dig beneath their fraudulant manipulations.

I am not just guessing that these polls are BS, I know that these polls showing Harris tied or in the lead are BS. What these polls are doing is getting a sample size of voters who are 63% white when they know that whites have been 70 to 71 percent of the electorate in recent elections and are not correcting for their sampling error. What they are doing is correcting for a Dem +4 electorate when Gallup is showowing that this electorate is actually GOP +2 for the first time in decades. Gallup is the real gold standard for polling but got out of polling for candidates because it is too political. These pollsters know their polling is overstating Harris support by 4 to 6 points, but they give the media the talking points propaganda they want. Trump is up 2 points nationally which means he is winning 300+ electoral votes. That is not a guess, that is what the data actually shows when you dig beneath their fraudulant manipulations.

And now blacks see up close how Dems are housing and protecting illegals while they get breadcrumbs and lipservice. Dems thought they could keep spreading fears of white supremacy and TDS to keep the black and Hispanic vote, but they are losing a lot of thst vote.

Not at all. Many are braindead idiots who are easily brainwashed by propaganda and groupthink.

Please do, and promise me you will bump it when it nails the outcome.

I am not accusing dems of supporting things they attempted, I am accuse those effing bastards of things thst are implemented and in wide usage. The FBI has issued hundreds of thousands of FISA warrants against American citizens not to stop terrorism, but for spying. Dozens of federal agencies have highlighted millions of social media posts for deletions. Dozens of independant media personalities have had their homes raided for frivolous reasons. There is a coordinated massive censorship alliance between government and big tech and there is not a single Democrats who gives a fuk. So yeah, you are either fuking ignorant or you support big brother fascism.

I think you meant '330 and above'.....To get to 330, Trump would have to sweep the Sunbelt and Rustbelt (probable) as well as pick off Minnesota and NH (unlikely). That is pushing the upper limits, but possible. The 300-329 is the most likely outcome.

I would take Trump over 310 EVs all day.

@Fnord is clueless on every word he uses. Only an effing moron thinks individual freedom is fascism. Meanwhile the left is stripping away every individual right we have on a daily basis. Spying on us 24/7. Controlling what information we have access to. Censoring our speech. Eliminating our right to self-defense. Political persecution to those who stand up to their corrupt authority. The only 'rights' they fight for are aborting as many babies as possible, castration of young children, assisted suicide and fighting meaningless wars. Why, because those bastards only care about population reduction. Elitists hate people and want to weed other people out and control the ones who are left. Those are the effing fascists.

That is how fascist dipshits defined fascism to cover up the fact they are the actual fascists. Your retarded description pushed by the fascist elitists does not even mention totalitarianism as a key tenant of fascism. Fascism is a corporate monopoly and authoritarian government alliance controlling the means of production and controlling the masses. Nationalism, populism and cultism are not fundamentally what fascism is about. You effing idiots bootlick for the real fascists who want to control everything you consume, all information you recieve, what you can say, and severely limit your reproduction. Effing leftist Democrat morons are marching as fast as they can towards turning America into a fascist state where individuals have no rights. You can stuff your fascist government up your butt.

Trump has already dodge every bullet (literally and figuratively) they could fire. Not sure what else they could have in the chamber, but unless they do something like sabbatage his plane, he will be sworn in on January 20, 2025.

You haven't even the slightest clue what fascism is. I will be laughing my arse off at the trail of tears as leftist bastards flee the country because they can't handle real freedom.

Trash polling which intentionally overcounts Democrats for the purpose of supporting a false narrative to produce propaganda for the elitist bastard's media. You are being lied to. Polymarkets have figured this all out and Trump has skyrocketed to a 13-point lead in the predictive markets. Trump will win PA by 4+ points. It is not really close.

Only cheaters would fight against independant poll watchers, voter identification, cleansing the voter rolls. Only cheaters would want to make it possible for illegals to vote or have unmanned dropboxes which are ripe for ballot stuffing. Oh I know those bastards cheat like hell, but i also know Harris is losing by a bigger margin than what they can cheat.

The elitist authoritarian state will be exposed and his worldview will be destroyed.

You are scared because you are a cultist who has been brainwashed into believing that elitist authoritarianism is what our Constitution stands for. Your frigging lawfare that you cheerleader for just got bitchslapped by the New York appeals court of all places. Maybe one day you will wake the fuk up but I doubt it.

You are delusional. Carville knows Harris has no chance. And Carville may be a leftist idiot but he knows what the real polling is saying and it looks terrible for Harris.

I am so sick of the lying bastards headline. No pollster thinks Harris is winning PA.

Every poll you quote from the 'high-quality' pollsters. That is the problem with the elitist media, they amplify the bullcrap and suppress the truth.

I can't wait to see the excuses for when a Harris +4 prediction ends in a Trump +2 win. Their own numbers show they are lying. Taking 20 piles of crap and averaging them still makes them total crap. Statistically, it should be 1000 to 1 these polls are all that far off. But yet they will be and the bootlicking idiots will continue to believe them.

Lottery is completely random. So no, for the lottery I can not help. Elections can be judged based on quality of data. It is influenced by external factors, but every indicator favors Trump. - Registration is favor Trump - Party Identification is favoring Trump. - Economic confidence is favoring Trump. - World uncertainty and who is viewed as better capable of handling it favors Trump. If you want to believe moronic polling which shows Kamala +16 with dependants, just to get an even race, good luck with that. The polling which shows the race is close or that Kamala is winning is complete trash which intentionally over samples Democrats.