nobody

Here is what I mean when I say there isn't a lot of IDP info out there... Nate Landman is clearly going to be the best Rams LB. He's wearing the green dot, and he's going to play 90%+ of the defensive snaps. ESPN doesn't have him ranked... But has Troy Reeder ranked. Troy Reeder might not even make the 53. https://www.espn.com/fantasy/football/story/_/page/FFPreseasonRank25IDP/2025-fantasy-football-rankings-idp-defense-defensive-line-linebacker-defensive-back Draft sharks has him 60th - behind rookie Pooh Paul Jr who is obviously not even first string. https://www.draftsharks.com/rankings/lb Dynasty nerds to their credit at least has him as LB46... way too low for 2025, but at least he's the highest ranked rams LB and they're dynasty focused so this ranking makes more sense since Landman isn't a long term starter. https://www.dynastynerds.com/idp/idp-rankings-tiers/ Thank god for FFToday with the only reasonable ranking of Landman I can even find at mid-30s. https://fftoday.com/rankings/playerproj.php?PosID=60 But then look at all the rankings... they're all over the place. Obviously ESPN is in la la land with their rankings, so maybe we throw them out, but that takes some skill too right, to know their rankings are trash? So after week 4, when Landman puts up top 20 LB numbers even though he has bad matchups week 1, 2 and 4 against offenses that won't be able to run thus limiting his tackle opps we'll be made to believe that no one could've seen this coming. To me the skill of IDP comes in when you don't have spoon fed rankings like the traditional WR, RB, QB, etc that are crowdsourced and pretty decent. I'm going to draft Landman super late. I'm going to draft undervalued Jamien Sherwood kind of late-ish and I'm going to eke out a weekly 3-4 point advantage by doing it and it sure as sh¡t ain't because some fantasy analyst told me to because they sure as sh¡t ain't on top of it.

At first I read that tweet as Budda Baker was F1's agent. I did a triple take. Like that can't be right.

I forgot to mention that there are signs Ez is a head case beyond the fact that he's been injured a lot. Being a head case has murdered a lot of careers.

You should take my drafting 501 class. If you think you can get value in specific rounds of the draft, you can potentially take risks on injured/suspended players. In general, I think players get devalued too much for missing games. You shouldn't just straight pro-rate for missed games. There is a difference between knowing a player will be out and a player underperforming. Drafting a player and he just underperforms is much worse because you're taking up a valuable starting roster stop. If you know you someone isn't playing and you have the depth to backfill him, it's not as big of a deal. It's really more the murkiness of how many games the guy will miss. Maybe that evens out the foreknowledge he isn't playing.

The problem is for every person who can actually give you tips towards enlightenment, there are thousands and thousands that'll grift you or be just plain crazy. People probably think you're one of the thousands that are crazy. And you seem to be convinced the pyramids were built by aliens so they're probably not wrong.

I think they view malik as a gadget guy in miami. This will sound crazy, but I'd be more worried about one of my off-season favs a few years ago erik ezukanma. My opinion... He's better than malik, but he doesn't have the draft pedigree so he is viewed as useless trash.

You should rank players by what you think their projected points per game to be. Then if they don't have a good handcuff that you can get, make sure you focus on bolstering your bench. If you can't backfill them for the expected time out, that's when you lower them in the rankings. For instance when Rashee Rice's suspension got moved to mid season, that might become problematic since it'll be harder to backfill during bye weeks. We know who the injury risk players are. Gotta have a plan.

Too me, this is a zig when everyone is zagging situation. If your league is taking a lot of QBs early, wait. If everyone is waiting and you can get one of the high rushing upside QBs like lamar, allen, hurts without sacrificing rb1/wr1 or high-end wr2 value I'd go for it in late 3rd or 4th. My thought process is that if folks are taking QBs, high value rbs and wrs are getting artificially pushed down. If not, there probably isn't compelling value at rb/wr anyway.

Shouldn't let biological males play girls volleyball especially in high school or before. The net is shorter and males hit much harder. You can really fūck someone up if you hit him them in the face. And players at that age won't be used to that speed and won't be used to protecting themselves.

Other countries don't just let people go there without following due process, dummy.

If you think "whites are racist" that's pretty racist.

Also, either James conner or Trey bendon are undervalued. Conner shouldn't be going in the 4th and Benson in the 12th or whatever unless you think it's going to turn into a committee. Even then Benson should then be much higher since he becomes an RB1 if conner misses time.

I'm seeing this trickle of love for Keon Coleman. I suspect that's the "somebody's got a catch passes mentality," but I'd warn you off of that. Someone had to catch passes last year and khalil shakir led the team in targets with 100. Coleman can only run straight. Running go routes might make him a fun best ball play, but not a week to week starter. Shakir is the guy you want from that offense, but if you're looking for a dark horse try my old fav josh palmer. My read is that he didn't work well with Herbert in LA because Palmer improvises on his routes so he wasn't where herbert expected him to be when he was expecting, but Josh's game jives more with improv. Palmer is the guy to take a swing on for essentially free. With that said, Palmer is not a high ceiling guy so if you're looking for a season tilting later round lottery ticket Matthew Golden is undervalued. So is Pearsall.

Liam coen I'd guess.

Fantasyfootball calculator has it attached to their adp data. https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp/ppr They also have a cool little tool that'll estimate the chances of a player falling to you... https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/scenario-calculator?format=ppr&num_teams=12&draft_pick=20

Okay first things first. This is Fantasy Football Drafting 501 with a focus on snake drafts. Drafting 502 covers auction drafts. If you hold hard and fast rules that you can’t treat as generalities and also know when to break those rules like “never draft a QB before round 10,” this isn’t the class for you. You need to go to Drafting 401. If everything you read on this board is stupid and obvious, this class isn’t for you. Go start a Drafting 701 PhD class. If you quiver in fear at deviating from rankings and pre-draft lists, you don't need this class. You’re good. Just auto-draft.

It's like talking to a wall. The guy posts that 20 unarmed black people were killed by police in 2024 and your response implies criminals are being gunned down in the streets by racist police. 20 people... That's not systemic. That's barely a blip in a nation of 330 million people and 40 million black people. You have a better chance of being struck by lightening than being killed by a cop. Is lightening racist too? This is madness.

And most important lesson... Unless you are new to the hobby, don't listen to weepaws advice.

I don't even know why anyone would plan to work until they are 67. I don't even want to be alive at 67.

To summarize, use your tiers married with ADP to anchor your draft to certain players in certain rounds and plan the picks in the surrounding rounds around that. It will help you optimize your team. What this means is, if you can find value and anchor to a specific position in a specific round, you can perhaps fit a QB or TE in those early rounds where you've been taught to never draft those positions. Think about it.

And now is when we make our team. We’ll assume PPR and 12 teams. Standard starting lineup. Starting with our tiers, we should identify folks in those tiers that have outlying ADPs that are much later than the other players in that tier. Example. Tier may include Jeanty, Achane, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, and let’s say you are high on Hampton since Najee shot his eye out, or James Conner since all he ever does is put up top 10 numbers. And this is just an example. I’m not expecting you to necessarily agree, but I am expecting you to have your own opinions that may differ from established rankings, otherwise, like I said, you can auto-draft. Well let’s look at the ADPs of the players in this tier: ADP Std Dev Ashton Jeanty 10.9 2.5 De'Von Achane 8.8 1.9 Joanthan Taylor 18.7 2.8 Derrick Henry 11.3 2.7 Omarion Hampton 41.6 5.7 James Conner 40.2 4.8 Well, I’ll be damned. I can get two guys in this tier at pick 35 easily. These guys now should become your pivot point players or anchor players. We’re going to build a team now around our ability to get one of these guys at this value. So, now we know in the 3rd round we are getting a low end RB1. Well now we can shape our team in rounds 1 and 2 (and potentially rounds 4 and 5) to complement the fact that we got what we think is a low end RB1 in the 3rd. What that means is we can favor wide receiver or maybe even other positions in the surrounding rounds if it is advantageous to do so. For example, in the 1st round if we have a toss up between Amon-Ra and we’ll say Jeanty. Well, we know we can get Omarion or Conner in the 3rd so why not take Amon-Ra? Then we can look at guys like Jonathan Taylor or Ladd McConkey in the 2nd assuming we have those players ranked similarly. We may already do this intuitively using tiering, but what I’m advocating is that we marry tiers to ADP and not just say "well there’s still a few guys left in this tier so I’ll do X.” We're getting away from intuition and applying rigor to our process to use the combination of tiering and ADP to inform positional value in the rounds surrounding your anchor player. In this way, we are looking at the draft as a whole as opposed to just round by round which may lead to a pick of Jeanty or Henry or Achane in the 1st, Taylor in the 2nd assuming no WR tiered similarly, and then we get to round 3 and we take a 3rd RB or pass up amazing value? Instead, we should anticipate getting the amazing value in round 3 and lean our picks in rounds 1 and 2 knowing that. You would do this exercise for every tier. In this way, you may identify two, three, maybe even 4 undervalued players in which you can build around.

Okay, so now let’s get into the real meat of our class. In this class, we’re going to discuss how to use the above tools we learned to build a team. That means we want to maximize not just the points produced by one pick, but we are going to endeavor to identify key players that are undervalued to optimize the number of points we produce from the team as a whole. To do that, we are going to shift our focus from looking at drafts round by round, and we must look at the draft wholistically. Now it’s critical that we know our rules and our lineup requirements to do this like we learned in Drafting 101. It’s critical that we make our tiers like we learned in Drafting 201 to identify players that we think are likely to perform similarly.

I’m going to pause here and review a key concept from Drafting 301. Use Average Draft Position. In this class, we need to understand where players are going to go, but to use ADP properly, an elite drafter needs to understand the concept of standard deviation. If you’re looking at ADP numbers that don’t have standard deviation, you’re only getting half the story. Standard Deviation is essentially a measure of variance or in other words how volatile something is. In the case of ADP, it tells you how close to the ADP number you can expect a player to go. If the standard deviation is low, that means a player is less likely to stray from his ADP. If standard deviation is high, it is more likely that a player can go either much earlier or much later than his ADP. For our purposes, we need to understand three concepts around Standard Deviation 1. A player has a 68% chance of going at their ADP +/- the standard deviation, so if a player has an ADP of 100 with a standard deviation of 6, there is a 68% chance the player will go between 94 and 106. 2. A player has a 95% chance of going at their ADP +/- twice the standard deviation, so in our example above, the player has a 95% chance of going between 88 and 112. 3. In a uniform distribution which we will assume, there is a 50% chance the player goes right on his ADP or before. We assume there is an equal chance the player will go later or earlier.

Now with that, let’s review some basics that we are going to build on: Drafting 101 – Have fun. Know your rules. Know your starting lineup requirements. Drafting 201 – Make Tiers. Drafting 301 – Use Average Draft Position to help target players. Understand when ADP is stale given recent news, so you can get value. Drafting 302 – Understand positional scarcity. Drafting 401 - This is the Fundamental Theorem of Drafting – Draft the best player for your team that won’t be available on your next pick. In other words – F dem rankings.