The Football Guru

Thanks. I'll make sure I talk to my agent and have him reach out to Mike

FWIW, I had not started my stat projections (only target and carry projections) when this draft started. I have since added Christian Watson and DeAndre Hopkins.

16.05 - D/ST Lions

13.08 - WR Josh Downs, IND

I am firmly in the camp that Odunze is the clear No. 3. I completely disagree Kmet is a major consideration. I expect him to split time with Everett (not that I agree with that, just that I expect Waldron to lean that way).

I completely agree. He is still top five IMO, but he falls behind Hurts and Mahomes at the very least.

Time will tell obviously, but I think he will end up being worth at least an eighth-round pick.

I will not pretend to understand why Odunze is still available in the 12th round. I understand he may be third in the pecking order for targets, but what if he is considered something more than a deep threat in this offense? Or what is his upside if/when Keenan Allen gets hurt? His upside alone is worth the investment.

12.05 WR Rome Odunze, CHI

I think Herbert is an easy pick here. I get why he has fallen out of QB1 territory, but I think the majority of people forget (or never knew) how good of an athlete he is. I expect Herbert to run more than he ever has and top 400 yards rushing for the first time. Hopefully, he will also become a bigger part of the red zone package and run in a few more this year.

11.08 - QB Justin Herbert, LAC

10.05 - RB Trey Benson, ARI

9.08 - QB Kyler Murray, ARI

8.05 - RB Brian Robinson Jr., WAS

You can feel free to change your Brooks pick

Even with Dell still available, Montgomery would have been my pick at 7.08 if he was still available. I was originally going to take Montgomery in the sixth round, but I'm afraid I will have Pitts ranked as a fourth-rounder when I finish my projections.

I had no intention of drafting Dell (nor did I expect him to be available anywhere close to this spot), but I am happy to scoop up all the value I can in these rounds.

7.08 - WR Tank Dell, HOU

6.05 - TE Kyle Pitts, ATL

Fair point, especially in a BB format. While I doubt Conner will make it through the season w/o missing a game, I still want his upside in the 12 or so games he plays. If I do my job as a drafter, I should be able to minimize the impact of the games he misses.

I will be heavy on Diontae this year without a doubt. I have seen his ADP at WR40 (???), which is ridiculous. I'm sure he will be a top 20 WR for me when I finish my projections.

I think it is possible, although I tend to believe Conner will be more productive on a PPG basis. I can't afford to part with the one FFT shirt I have and I don't want any more cups

I know there is a good chance that Conner would have made it back to me in the sixth or even seventh, but it wasn't worth the risk for a player I love in the "RB dead zone." Conner was the last RB left who I believe has a chance to be a regular RB1 for the 12 or so games he plays.

5.08 - RB James Conner, ARI

4.05 - WR DeVonta Smith, PHI