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The Football Guru

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About The Football Guru

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    https://twitter.com/DougOrth
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  1. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    I'm the guy you need to ask about that Shoot me an email. It's at the top of any of my articles. First name's Doug.
  2. The Football Guru

    Instant Fantasy Analysis - TE T.J. Hockenson, Lions

    Depending on what Big Board I'm using, Waller is either my TE8 or TE9.
  3. The Football Guru

    Instant Fantasy Analysis - TE T.J. Hockenson, Lions

    Was Darren Waller available?
  4. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    Glad to hear it
  5. The Football Guru

    Sleeper defenses this year

    My favorite one so far is Denver. I do like most of your other choices though.
  6. The Football Guru

    Darwin Thompson, RB Chiefs

    I want to be clear that I think Damien Williams is a more than capable back. He made more plays in December and January than I thought he could and showed more quickness when he got his chance than I thought he had. With that said, I don't think he has Thompson's ability to break tackles and play through contact. Those backs tend to find their way into a starting role sooner than later.
  7. The Football Guru

    FFToday Staff League Draft

    I probably should be arrested anyway I'm not exactly sure I want to get into the business of handcuffing my flex, although I recognize the kind of huge upside Penny has. Had he lasted another round (and got to me with my eighth pick), I probably would've taken him. As it was, it was more important to me at the time to get my every-week starters at WR3 and TE1.
  8. The Football Guru

    Darwin Thompson, RB Chiefs

    I think it's only a matter of time before he is the starter. My opinion of him changed shortly after the draft and I am getting him in as many teams as possible. I think the Chiefs will give Wiliams the first four weeks to lead the backfield, but I agree he's probably the clear starter in 2019 - at the latest.
  9. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

  10. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    If I had to pick one, probably Keenum. He has shown a tendency to lean on the slot, plus Gruden's offense has proven to be slot-friendly. Then again, Haskins had Parris Campbell coming out of the slot a lot at OSU, so it may not make a huge difference. I don't think we're talking league-winning stuff from him either way, although I do think he has Crowder-like upside. Again, health will be key with him.
  11. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    I have him projected for 61-704-4, so no typo. The real question in my mind is whether or not last year's inability to stay healthy will be a consistent theme.
  12. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    Hey Brutus, I think I covered both players in my column last week. I'm definitely hitting them again this week. Let me know if you have any more questions after tomorrow.
  13. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    Hear you on DJ. I made the argument on Twitter during Scott Fish Bowl in July about my surprise that DJ wasn't being discussed at No.1 along with the other top four backs. I agree Kyler will probably vulture a few shorties, and I wonder just how many carries DJ will see in general. (I have him at 226 at the moment and Kyler at 114.) Even with minimal contributions from other players, the team carry total gets to 425 pretty quickly. My other concern is just how much drop-off DJ will experience if Kyler gets hurt. With as much as I expect the rookie to run and at his size, I do expect him to miss at least a game or two.
  14. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    Again, if someone (anyone) can convince me CMC is going to get the work at the goal line, I'd go with him regardless of format. Payton has already said he's fine with Kamara's workload, so it is likely 370 touches for Barkley versus 300-ish for CMC and 275-ish for Kamara. Especially in non-PPR, volume wins. In a vacuum, I'll take 350-plus touches from Barkley and hope he makes something out of nothing once every 20 touches rather than hope Kamara or CMC's efficiency saves my day (again, especially in non-PPR).
  15. The Football Guru

    UPDATED: Doug Orth's Big Boards - Top 200

    Will address this at a later time. I am being intentionally vague on SSI for a multitude of reasons. However, I assure there is nothing makeshift about the process or the Big Board. For example, it appears you are assuming that I'm assuming JW will play all 16 games and/or hit all of his last year's efficiency marks. Ditto for Wentz. I am basing almost everything off my target/carry/efficiency projections. I think with a restocked shelf of weapons, Wentz will play at an MVP level this season. I also think Tampa averages at least 1-2 more run plays this season and won't jack it up 625 times again. SSI is a value metric that helps me compare apples and oranges. Don't read into it much more than that.
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