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The Football Guru

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  1. The Football Guru

    Instant Fantasy Analysis - RB James Cook, Bills

    While almost all of his carries came in garbage time, the Bills did not burn a second-round pick on him to be a mop-up back. It is helpful to look at the NFL season in quarters and I would expect defenses to overcompensate in hopes they can slow down Diggs and allow more short throws to guys like McKenzie and Cook. Yes, Singletary is still the main guy on early downs and I don't expect that to change, but what does that actually mean on a team that has no desire to establish the run?
  2. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    I really like Jordan. Hooper and Everett are insurance in case I am wrong about Jordan.
  3. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    I have since put Jameson Williams and Gus on IR and picked up Hooper and Everett. I think Jordan will be the real deal at TE, but one of the other two should give me a decent floor.
  4. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    Not exactly how I wanted to display it, but here were the results: SkolNation Skol PLAYER Winning Bid Austin Ekeler LAC, RB $53 Justin Jefferson Min, WR $54 Leonard Fournette TB, RB $37 Josh Allen Buf, QB $19 Cordarrelle Patterson Atl, RB $14 K.J. Osborn Min, WR $1 Melvin Gordon III Den, RB $8 Mike Gesicki Mia, TE $1 Daniel Carlson LV, K $1 Marvin Jones Jr. Jax, WR $2 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Ten, WR $1 Jamaal Williams Det, RB $2 KJ Hamler Den, WR $1 Donovan Peoples-Jones Cle, WR $2 Eagles D/ST Phi, D/ST $1 Cedrick Wilson Jr. Mia, WR $1 Kendrick Bourne NE, WR $1 Devin Duvernay Bal, WR $1 Miami Team Boss PLAYER Winning Bid Cam Akers LAR, RB $19 Buccaneers D/ST TB, D/ST $2 Josh Jacobs LV, RB $13 Tyler Bass Buf, K $2 Terry McLaurin Wsh, WR $17 David Montgomery Chi, RB $16 J.K. Dobbins Bal, RB $17 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC, WR $14 Justin Herbert LAC, QB $9 Gabriel Davis Buf, WR $15 Rashod Bateman Bal, WR $13 Chris Godwin TB, WR $24 Patrick Mahomes KC, QB $9 Elijah Moore NYJ, WR $12 Cole Kmet Chi, TE $4 DeVonta Smith Phi, WR $10 Kirk Cousins Min, QB $1 Justin Fields Chi, QB Marinelli Bros BMF PLAYER Winning Bid Cooper Kupp LAR, WR $51 Justin Tucker Bal, K $2 James Conner Ari, RB $26 Dalvin Cook Min, RB $52 Saints D/ST NO, D/ST $1 Breece Hall NYJ, RB $19 Darren Waller LV, TE $11 DeVante Parker NE, WR $4 Robert Woods Ten, WR $5 Tyler Lockett Sea, WR $3 Jarvis Landry NO, WR $2 Matthew Stafford LAR, QB $2 Dawson Knox Buf, TE $3 Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC, WR $5 George Pickens Pit, WR $7 Derek Carr LV, QB $1 Michael Gallup Dal, WR $2 Raheem Mostert Mia, RB $4 Team Cuttin Heads PLAYER Winning Bid Jonathan Taylor Ind, RB $67 Najee Harris Pit, RB $52 George Kittle SF, TE $18 Travis Kelce KC, TE $39 Patriots D/ST NE, D/ST $1 Matt Gay LAR, K $1 Tom Brady TB, QB $4 Aaron Rodgers GB, QB $4 Van Jefferson LAR, WR $1 Wan'Dale Robinson NYG, WR $2 DJ Chark Det, WR $2 Alec Pierce Ind, WR $1 Khalil Herbert Chi, RB $2 Sammy Watkins GB, WR $1 Darrel Williams Ari, RB $1 Corey Davis NYJ, WR $2 Boston Scott Phi, RB $1 Nelson Agholor NE, WR $1 American SATAN PLAYER Winning Bid Ja'Marr Chase Cin, WR $51 Miles Sanders Phi, RB $11 Mike Evans TB, WR $28 Javonte Williams Den, RB $38 Michael Thomas NO, WR $16 Diontae Johnson Pit, WR $17 Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC, RB $12 Allen Lazard GB, WR $7 Pat Freiermuth Pit, TE $3 James Robinson Jax, RB $8 Steelers D/ST Pit, D/ST $1 Mark Ingram II NO, RB $1 Mecole Hardman KC, WR $1 Romeo Doubs GB, WR $2 Trevor Lawrence Jax, QB $1 Mitch Trubisky Pit, QB $1 Kenny Pickett Pit, QB $1 Nick Folk NE, K $1 The Goat PLAYER Winning Bid Saquon Barkley NYG, RB $43 Christian McCaffrey Car, RB $73 Mark Andrews Bal, TE $36 Colts D/ST Ind, D/ST $1 Lamar Jackson Bal, QB $12 Brandon McManus Den, K $1 Jakobi Meyers NE, WR $4 DeAndre Hopkins Ari, WR $13 Nico Collins Hou, WR $2 Rondale Moore Ari, WR $7 Jalen Tolbert Dal, WR $1 Christian Watson GB, WR $1 Isaiah Spiller LAC, RB $1 Amari Rodgers GB, WR $1 Shi Smith Car, WR $1 Odell Beckham Jr. FA, WR $1 KaVontae Turpin Dal, WR $1 Devon Allen Phi, WR $1 Team 7 PLAYER Winning Bid Derrick Henry Ten, RB $47 Ezekiel Elliott Dal, RB $24 Tyreek Hill Mia, WR $30 Mike Williams LAC, WR $21 Elijah Mitchell SF, RB $18 Brandin Cooks Hou, WR $18 Tyler Boyd Cin, WR $3 Dak Prescott Dal, QB $3 Cowboys D/ST Dal, D/ST $1 Chris Olave NO, WR $6 Greg Joseph Min, K $1 Zach Ertz Ari, TE $5 Treylon Burks Ten, WR $3 Skyy Moore KC, WR $5 Irv Smith Jr. Min, TE $2 Michael Carter NYJ, RB $4 Kenneth Gainwell Phi, RB $3 Isaiah McKenzie Buf, WR $3 Team Orth PLAYER Winning Bid Aaron Jones GB, RB $38 D'Andre Swift Det, RB $44 Jalen Hurts Phi, QB $10 Michael Pittman Jr. Ind, WR $28 DK Metcalf Sea, WR $12 Adam Thielen Min, WR $9 Allen Robinson II LAR, WR $17 AJ Dillon GB, RB $21 Nyheim Hines Ind, RB $4 Jake Elliott Phi, K $1 49ers D/ST SF, D/ST $1 Damien Harris NE, RB $5 Julio Jones TB, WR $4 Gus Edwards Bal, RB $1 Russell Gage TB, WR $2 Tyler Allgeier Atl, RB $1 Brevin Jordan Hou, TE $1 Jameson Williams Det, WR $1 IBCNUL8R IBC PLAYER Winning Bid Drake London Atl, WR $9 Marquise Brown Ari, WR $13 Dallas Goedert Phi, TE $8 Tee Higgins Cin, WR $28 Dalton Schultz Dal, TE $8 Tony Pollard Dal, RB $9 Amari Cooper Cle, WR $5 Courtland Sutton Den, WR $19 Amon-Ra St. Brown Det, WR $18 Chase Edmonds Mia, RB $11 Dustin Hopkins LAC, K $1 Christian Kirk Jax, WR $13 Kyler Murray Ari, QB $8 Brandon Aiyuk SF, WR $13 Packers D/ST GB, D/ST $1 Rashaad Penny Sea, RB $12 Rhamondre Stevenson NE, RB $17 Darrell Henderson Jr. LAR, RB $7 Team 10 PLAYER Winning Bid Alvin Kamara NO, RB $44 Kyle Pitts Atl, TE $35 Stefon Diggs Buf, WR $44 Travis Etienne Jr. Jax, RB $24 DJ Moore Car, WR $25 Trey Lance SF, QB $3 James Cook Buf, RB $8 Isiah Pacheco KC, RB $3 Robbie Anderson Car, WR $3 Kenny Golladay NYG, WR $3 Albert Okwuegbunam Den, TE $1 Curtis Samuel Wsh, WR $1 Evan Engram Jax, TE $1 Randall Cobb GB, WR $1 Jerick McKinnon KC, RB $1 A.J. Green Ari, WR $1 Broncos D/ST Den, D/ST $1 Matt Prater Ari, K $1 Whodey 23 PLAYER Winning Bid Joe Mixon Cin, RB $45 Evan McPherson Cin, K $1 Nick Chubb Cle, RB $26 Deebo Samuel SF, WR $33 Hunter Renfrow LV, WR $11 A.J. Brown Phi, WR $28 Darnell Mooney Chi, WR $15 Devin Singletary Buf, RB $5 T.J. Hockenson Det, TE $7 Garrett Wilson NYJ, WR $2 Joe Burrow Cin, QB $5 Alexander Mattison Min, RB $2 Kadarius Toney NYG, WR $9 Ravens D/ST Bal, D/ST $1 Rachaad White TB, RB $3 Jahan Dotson Wsh, WR $3 Joshua Palmer LAC, WR $3 Zamir White LV, RB $1 4th And Forever PLAYER Winning Bid Bills D/ST Buf, D/ST $1 Antonio Gibson Wsh, RB $10 Davante Adams LV, WR $42 Harrison Butker KC, K $1 CeeDee Lamb Dal, WR $41 Keenan Allen LAC, WR $21 Jaylen Waddle Mia, WR $20 Dameon Pierce Hou, RB $11 Jerry Jeudy Den, WR $15 Tua Tagovailoa Mia, QB $1 Kenneth Walker III Sea, RB $1 Brian Robinson Wsh, RB $2 Kareem Hunt Cle, RB $14 David Njoku Cle, TE $3 Russell Wilson Den, QB $4 Hunter Henry NE, TE $2 Chase Claypool Pit, WR $8 J.D. McKissic Wsh, RB $3
  5. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    Thanks! I find the ESPN auctions tend to bring out the crazies when it comes to pricing the high-end guys. You can't drop $65-70 on one player and believe you will come away with enough $1-2 players to compete against a team with a bunch of $10-15 starters complementing a pair of $30-40 foundation pieces.
  6. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    Thanks. I've been doing auctions for 13 years. I'm not saying they are useless; flexibility is vital. I think I say that in so many words. You definitely need to have a plan, I don't think I say otherwise. What I don't think is helpful is saying I'm going to spend 45% of my budget (or $90 of my $200 cap) at RB before the draft only to quickly realize that your league is willing to go crazy at the position. Ninety dollars should be more than enough to have a competitive RB room, but it may not be if every other manager is willing to spend more. There aren't 24 RBs worthy of starting consideration every week. I think it is more important to have "my guys" (especially at the lower and middle levels) and get a sense of what players in certain tiers are going for.
  7. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    https://fantasy.espn.com/football/league/draftrecap?leagueId=1101700738 Ignore the commish team (obviously). I am Team Orth ... shocking, I know. Quick initial thoughts: I want McCaffrey in a big way this year (again), but I can't (and do not think I ever will be able to) justify spending more than $60 on one player with a $200 cap. The prices seem to be influenced greatly by the default prizes on ESPN, so don't hesitate to shop at the low-end RB1/WR1 store if it happens. Metcalf for $12 and Robinson for $17 are ridiculous values IMO.
  8. The Football Guru

    If you're doing an Auction...

    Doing my first high stakes auction tonight (Sunday, Aug. 28). Will be happy to share a link and my thoughts if anyone wants to hear them.
  9. The Football Guru

    ** Updated: Superflex - Doug Orth's Big Boards - 2022

    This hurts me at my core ...
  10. The Football Guru

    ** Updated: Superflex - Doug Orth's Big Boards - 2022

    I guess it depends on if you believe in "injury-proneness." I personally think the Giants will run him less often than they did during his healthy years and throw him the ball about as often as they did during his rookie season.
  11. The Football Guru

    ** Round 16 Selections - July Mock 2022 **

    16.04 - D/ST Denver
  12. The Football Guru

    Round Eleven - Sixteen Commentary - July Mock 2022

    Back to WW ...
  13. The Football Guru

    ** Round 14 Selections - July Mock 2022 **

    14.04 TE David Njoku, CLE
  14. The Football Guru

    Round Eleven - Sixteen Commentary - July Mock 2022

    Pick made. It was worth waiting for ...
  15. The Football Guru

    ** Round 13 Selections - July Mock 2022 **

    13.09 - Deshaun Watson, CLE