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The Football Guru

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About The Football Guru

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  1. The Football Guru

    Justin Fields is this year's Josh Rosen.

    Without question. The great unknown with Fields was whether his slow process was because OSU ran so many option routes or if he was a habitual wait-until-they-get-open passer. It is looking more like the latter at the moment. With that said, play-action helps every quarterback. And it really helps offensive lines. SO why wouldn't you run more play-action to help a young QB behind a bad o-line?
  2. The Football Guru

    Justin Fields is this year's Josh Rosen.

    https://twitter.com/MoveTheSticks/status/1452659559751839746
  3. The Football Guru

    C Patterson - I haven’t watched any Falcon games

    I have thought about this a lot lately, and the best comp I can think of is 2018 James White. Now I'm not predicting an RB6 finish, but I think this (minus the ridiculous TD rate) is sustainable. I would try to move Gibson personally. I don't like the sounds of him trying to play through a stress fracture in his shin.
  4. The Football Guru

    C Patterson - I haven’t watched any Falcon games

    Some C-Patt thoughts: https://fftoday.com/articles/orth/21_aob_184_patterson.html
  5. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    I won't update my projections until we get some definitive word about the timetable for Dobbins, but I tend to believe he'll end up right ahead of Josh Jacobs in about the mid-fourth round in the event Dobbins is done for the season. I think Ty'Son Williams is the guy we want to target later as the "new" Edwards.
  6. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    I'm kind of surprised he falls a bit (RB18, 30 overall) on my NPPR board (compared to my PPR board), although it does make some sense since I have him projected for 46 catches now.
  7. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    I can't punish Henry for an injury I think could happen given his recent usage. He doesn't absorb a lot of contact, so he could be an exception. I'm still not thrilled about taking him and haven't yet in any draft. (To be fair, I haven't typically had the chance or Zeke has been available.) He's still a risk in my mind, but his upside is 20 TDs in this offense. I can't assume 200-carry volume for Ekeler although I think he could get there. I'm strongly considering moving Aaron Jones up to No. 3. But let's be honest guys. Using my SSI, do you see how little separates 3-10 on my board?
  8. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    Hard to prove you can be good at something when you rarely get the chance to do it and have typically operated behind a poor o-line. Fourteen career carries (over four years) inside the 5. Benny Snell had 13 just last year. Kamara had 12. Wayne Gallman had 10.
  9. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    I try to avoid direct comps b/c people will inevitably say something like "you said he'd be the next Kamara." I could definitely see it in terms of carries/targets. The big difference is that Kamara is a proven stud in short-yardage and at the goal line too. I think Ekeler could be, but I doubt he'll get the chance to prove it.
  10. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    Likely Thursday. I just got back from a four-day trip to/from Ohio. Superflex coming tomorrow (Tues).
  11. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    I apologize for the non-PPR Big Board in advance. I didn't have enough time to iron out all the kinks, but I applied enough short-term fixes to get a board I'm OK with.
  12. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    Well, at least you completely explained your rationale.
  13. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    Guys, I'll try to answer some (maybe all) of the questions Sunday. I'll leave you with this for now. 1) History is not kind to 400-touch backs the following year. I think Henry can be an exception, but that is a "I'll believe it when I see it." I can't exactly predict an injury to Henry, but I think we have to consider it will happen sooner or later. 2) Todd Downing is not Arthur Smith. How much of a drop-off he will be is the question. Plus, I don't believe the Titans will rely so much on Henry now that they have Julio. 3) Henry is very TD-reliant. TDs are highly unpredictable. Can he get 20 in this offense? Sure. Do I want to bet on it? Not so much. If the Titans pass more like I think they will, more of those TDs could be going to Brown/Julio Firkser. 4) Darrynton Evans was drafted last year to take some of the load off Henry. He could not stay healthy. Getting him even five touches per game would hurt Henry. 5) I'd say I'm not viewing Ekeler as Kamara 2.0. There are definitely similarities though. I would say that when we look at the Chargers RB room, it's not unthinkable Ekeler pushes for 190-200 carries. I definitely see him getting 100+ targets. If he gets even half of the GL work (possible), look out. The o-line should be the best he's run behind in his career. In summary, I see Henry's relative volume decreasing and Ekeler's increasing. Throw in what should be about a 70-80 point difference in receptions, and that should start to explain how Ekeler has a shot at outperforming Henry.
  14. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    Probably Friday? I'll try to wrap it up tomorrow. I'll be away for the weekend defending my title at the King's Classic in Ohio.
  15. The Football Guru

    Updated: Big Boards - Top 225 for All the Formats

    Hope this pleases the masses
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