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The Football Guru

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About The Football Guru

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  1. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - WR Rome Odunze

    Definitely. I believe I watched every one of his targets from this past season. It's been a bit since I did his write-up, but I don't recall him running by too many folks. In short, it would be silly for me to assume he can separate consistently when I haven't seen it, so it surprises me some believe he was tempo-ing his routes and purposely not trying to separate very often. I'm of the mind if you can blow by your defender, you do it whenever possible.
  2. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - WR Rome Odunze

    The guy is an absolute grinder, so I see how teams are falling in love with him. I also have heard comments about how he heard criticism about his contested-catch ability last year, so he went out of his way this year to prove it wasn't an issue. I am not sure I am buying that. But I do see where people are making comps to Davante Adams and Keenan Allen. He says he studies them as much as any receiver, and you can see it with some of the things he does with his footwork. I think Odunze will be a very good NFL receiver, but I am not on board with the people who say it is difficult to find a hole in his game. We are not talking about Calvin Johnson here.
  3. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - WR Rome Odunze

    Correct. Penix trusted him (and all of his WRs, for that matter) and Odunze made contested catch after contested catch. Odunze caught a FBS-best 21 of his 28 contested catch targets. I don't have a yardage total to give you, but a lot of his deep catches were contested catches. Nine of his 23 deep catches were contested, per PFF. It sure seemed like it was more watching every one of his targets, so I wonder how PFF determines what makes for a contested catch.
  4. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - RB Braelon Allen

    I thought for sure he was going to be my RB1 when I started these profiles, but the bulk of what I had seen of him before this month was from 2021. Needless to say, he doesn't look the same player.
  5. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - RB Trey Benson

    I won't get around to Wright for another week or so, but Brooks and Benson are my top two backs so far.
  6. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Bo Nix

    Kind of a mixture between the teams that need a QB and the style of offense I think the prospect fits best in ... with more of a lean toward the latter. I am listing the teams in the order I think would be his best fit.
  7. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Bo Nix

    No first-round chance. No QB profile. I have to make the cut off somewhere. I will get to Rattler when I do my "Best of the Rest" over the final two or so weeks before the draft.
  8. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Drake Maye

    It definitely crossed my mind to add his hand size to the negatives, but I won't sweat it with Maye any more than I did with Burrow (which was not at all). It could hurt him in cold/rainy games, but I think there is enough of a gap between Williams/Daniels and everyone else in this class that I won't judge him too harshly based just on that.
  9. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Jayden Daniels

    Honestly, that is probably my top concern. He's also about 30 pounds lighter than AR too. I think he will learn (as AR will) to get what he can and get down/out, but it might be frustrating to own him in fantasy for the first year or two if he doesn't protect himself better.
  10. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Jayden Daniels

    Another great point, although you're going to find every quarterback sail a throw or three when you review 200-300 of them. Lamar was more of a pocket passer than he was given credit for out of college (I remember saying almost exactly that in my profile of him), but Daniels is truly a precision passer IMO inside of 20 yards. Caleb Williams is the more gifted passer per se, but he does improvise a lot (2022 was not much different than 2023 in that regard).
  11. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Jayden Daniels

    First point: you are absolutely correct about it being coachable. Second point: you made a great point, so I went through just his 2023 season to look at his four interceptions. Here they are: https://youtu.be/8GPmGrpW6rY?t=518 (WR fell down) https://youtu.be/cTPN8OurkAY?t=61 (trap) https://youtu.be/mmKtr4B9u0M?t=375 (tip) https://youtu.be/Tk-gQlHRdG0?t=733 (tip) The "trap" is the only one I would consider a semi-bad decision, although college QBs don't see a lot of Cover 2 trap coverage, which is what this was. I didn't review this game when I was putting the profile together, but I don't think I would have added it to the piece even if I did see it.
  12. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Caleb Williams

    Without giving it too much thought, I think low-end QB1 is where I would start with him. He's not as gifted of a runner as Jayden Daniels (and he's not the passer Daniels is yet either), but the talent is undeniable and the supporting cast may be top-five all-time for a No. 1 overall pick.
  13. The Football Guru

    2024 NFL Draft Profile - QB Caleb Williams

    I have the 1.03 in a one-quarterback dynasty league and will strongly consider him there, especially if he lands in Chicago. (I am in great shape at every other position besides QB.) Harrison/Nabers/Odunze would likely begin 2024 as my WR5 at best. With DJ Moore and Keenan Allen as his top WRs, I don't see how he fails. But I like him a lot less if he goes just about anywhere else.
  14. The Football Guru

    Instant Analysis - Travis Kelce

    Holy crap ... a 10+ year-old take
  15. The Football Guru

    Time to pat myself on the back ...

    Seth?
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