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#1LionFan

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Posts posted by #1LionFan

  1. Posted

    I would by no means call Forte a lock....i would call AP and CJ locks...just too important to their teams...Assuming no injuries, the top 6 are locks....AP, CJ, McCoy, Rice, Charles, Foster....

     

    the other two I would add to have the best shot are S-Jax and Gore.

     

    the final two are tough...In addition to Turner, McFadden, Mendenhall & Hillis, ,I would throw the following sleepers in the mix....Ingram, DeAngelo, Ryan Williams & Bradshaw. I feel that Ingram will take the job and DeAngelo will go to Denver and both will be beasts.

     

    The players that i feel are most likely to be bounced from top 10 are Hillis (cuz i dont trust they will use him like they did) & McFadden (cuz you can fairly accurately predict he wont play all 16)

  3. Posted

    Top 5 is quite optimistic. I own him with Orton in a few dynasty leagues and am excited that one or both can finish in top 10, especially if Orton goes to Arizona!

  7. Posted

    putting together a patchwork WR corp this week, need to choose one:

     

    Mike Williams TB vs STL

    Patrick Crayton vs NE

     

    Only reason Crayton popped up on my radar is due to Floyd being out, Naanee not practicing, Gates being possibly a game time decision, and a good matchup vs Pats D. Lot of pros, am I missing any cons or stick with Williams?

     

    WHIR, Thanks

     

     

    I would keep Williams in your l/u every week

     

    see mine: http://www.fftodayforums.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=374589

  8. Posted

    I am a BIG underdog and need a win in a PPR league:

     

    Starting Rivers @ QB, Bradshaw & Ricky Williams @ RB, Colston & Smith (Car) @ WR, and Gates @ TE

     

    I need to start 2 more out of the list below. Since I am a big underdog do I swing for the fences with McCluster & Manningham for their big play potential?

     

    McCluster v JAX

    Manningham @ DAL

    Hartline v PIT

    Nelson, GB v MIN

    Shipley @ ATL

    Carlson (TE) v ARI

     

    Thanks!

  10. Posted

    You and me both (had a feeling Clark would get hurt this year). He "fell" to me at end of fourth rnd....my saving grace is that Zach Miller fell to me in the 9th. I usually do not carry 2 TEs but glad I did here. I was shopping Miller hard the past couple weeks too! Glad no one bit.

  12. Posted

    Dynasty league, passing TDs worth 4 pts, int's are -1, no penalty for fumbles or getting sacked. My current QBs are Palmer and Henne. While I also have needs at RB, I really need a QB upgrade.

     

    I have been offered Cutler for Palmer and my 2011 first rounder (rookie draft)?

     

    Since I am currently 5-0, this draft pick would likely be at the bottom of the first round. I like Cutler better than Palmer but is he that much of an upgrade? I also do not like Cutler's fantasy playoff schedule: Pats, Vikings, Jets

  14. Posted

    I choose my draft order 6th in a 12-team PPR redraft. The 1, 2, & 4 spots are taken. I am more than likely looking at either the 6th spot & choosing between either Andre or Gore OR selecting a slot at end of the 1st and going stud WR-WR.

     

    This is a "3RR" draft so if I chose 11 or 12 spot I would draft at the beginning of both the 2nd & 3rd rounds. QB is NOT an option in first two rounds!

  15. Posted

    OK, I took your suggestion, I looked at the no-names that he has helped get numbers, and suddenly this comp% does have more meaning. Here are Philly's leading receivers with McNabb as QB:

     

    2000-Philly leading receiver-Chad Lewis, TE, 69 rec, 735 yards

    2001-Philly leading receivers-Duce Staley, RB AND James Thrash, WR, 63 rec (each), 626 and 833 yards

    2002-Philly leading receiver-Todd Pinkston, WR, 60 rec, 798 yards

    2003-Philly leading receiver-James Thrash, WR, 49 rec, 558 yards

    2004-Philly leading receiver-TO, WR, 77 rec, 1200 yards

    2005-Philly leading receivers-Westbrook, RB AND LJ Smith, TE, 61 rec (each), 616 and 682 yards

    2006-Philly leading receiver-Westbrook, RB, 77 rec, 699 yards

    2007-Philly leading receiver, Kevin Curtis, WR, 77 rec, 1110 yards

    2008-Philly leading receiver, Desean Jackson, WR, 62 rec, 912 yards

    2009-Philly leading receiver, Desean Jackson, WR, 63 rec, 1167 yards

     

    7 out of 10 years he had a WR as his #1 receiver (with regards to yards). However, only 3 of those years did that WR break 1000 yards. One of those years was with TO, who is a likely Hall-of-Fame WR, so I don't think it's fair to say that McNabb "made" TO that season.

     

    In fact, McNabb's #1 WR has averaged 881 yards and 6.4 TDs.

     

    So, I ask you, are those the numbers of a QB who is a "great, accurate" deep-ball passer?

     

    BTW-Moss has averaged 1005 yards and 5.4 TDs in his Was career (886 yards and 4.5 TDs if you discount his first, best year in Washington).

     

    So can we expect the same amount of yards, but 2 more TDs from Moss with McNabb as his QB? Is that really that big of a jump? What does that make him, a low-end WR2 as opposed to a low-end WR3?

     

    Well illustrated points and there is a lot of merit to them. ("He made TO" are strong words and of course not accurate, but I do believe he extremely helped D-Jax's quick development.) However, TO and Jackson are the only two WRs that McNabb has ever had that actually deserve legit #1 WR status. In the other years he had arguably the worst WR corps in the league. He distributed the ball to Brown, Pinkston, and others depending on the cast of characters very equally. So looking at ONLY his #1 WR each year is not a fair or accurate gauge on how accurate a downfield passer he has been.

     

    The only fair way to do this is to look at his stats on passing plays of 20+ yards or so and compare this to other passers. I am sure this can be done but I do not have the time to partake in this, or do i know exactly what the numbers will tell us. One thing I do know - I have watched him a lot throughout the years and he definately passes the so-called "eye test" in this category. More than simply being accurate, I believe his success can be attributed to his ability to keep plays alive and wait for WRs to get open downfield. This is how certain players put up respectable numbers while playing with him, but not before or after (ie Brown, Pinkston, etc.)

  16. Posted

    In a ppr league my current WRs are:

     

    1-S. Rice

    2-H. Nicks

    3-S. Moss

    4-D. Hester

     

    So with question marks at both my #1 & #2 (but also some obvious upside) I am counting on Moss to become a top-end #3 WR. Hoping for 75 rec, 1000 yds, 6 tds. I feel these numbers are within reach.

  17. Posted

    I just remembered I still need a draft board for my league, anyone know of any cheap ones? (Draft board + stickers)

     

    You get what you pay for...go real cheap and that is what you get. just go w/ a reputable name and pay $20-30

  20. Posted

    I love carrying two D/ST and playing the matchups unless the scoring system really undervalues D/STs. People put too much weight into keeping two Ds on a roster. Big deal. Would you rather get 10 pts out of your D or have a 6th RB or WR wasting on your bench? You will need to have an "open spot" for a bye week TE, K and/or possibly a QB anyway.

     

    In a 16-round draft, draft 2 QBs, 5 RBs, 5 WRs, & 1 TE (assuming you start something like 1QB, 2 RB, 2WR, 1 flex, 1 TE, K, D) in the first 13 rounds. In rounds 14-16 get two Ds and a K. When you need a bye week fill-in for your TE or K, drop your second D. After this is done pick up the best available D to continue playing the matchups.

     

    This is a fluid process...if you draft two Ds thinking you can just keep them all year and play matchups...good luck! Bye weeks can be planned for, but injuries and underperformers on your roster cannot be.

  21. Posted

    Let's just go by FFToday rankings to simplify this a little bit. I'm leaving Rivers out, as did FFToday. All 6 of these guys are projected to have 4,000+ yards and 26+ PaTDs.

     

    Aaron Rodgers ..GB 10 368 604 4,226 31 12 51 211 3 374.4

    Drew Brees .......NO 10 413 645 4,580 33 13 18 44. 0 365.4

    Tom Brady ........NE 5. 356 556 4,278 30 14 33 66. 1 346.5

    Peyton Manning .IND 7 352 542 4,279 30 13 20 22. 1 342.2

    Tony Romo ........DAL 4 343 545 4,089 27 12 24 99. 1 328.4

    Matt Schaub ......HOU 7 343 545 4,140 26 17 17 66. 1 323.6

     

    Thoughts?

     

    I would easily add Rivers and probably Favre to this list. Rivers lost a weapon in V-Jax but others will step up. As far as Favre, he is ageless and will play another 16 gms. You know he will!

     

     

    Here is how I rank my "BIG 8" QBs:

     

    1. Rogers (1a or 1b)

    2. Brees (see "Rogers")

    3. P. Manning (will not finish #1 but probably the safest QB of the bunch)

    4. Romo (could wind up top overall)

    5. Schaub (if you could guarentee he would play all 16 he would be higher)

    6. Brady (weather at end of year ALWAYS an issue)

    7. Rivers (unknown weapons are anly concern-great potential and system)

    8. Favre (age and return are possible concerns-great supporting cast and system)

     

    After this I see a hodge-podge of possibilities but the four I like are Eli Manning, Cutler, Kolb & Flacco.

     

    Don't buy into the hype: McNabb, Palmer, Ryan

    Possible top 10 by year's end: Henne, Stafford

  23. Posted

    My thought is that the difference between a QB with a 60% career completion percentage and a QB with a 61% career completion percentage isn't going to make that much of a difference.

     

    BTW-McNabb's career completion percentage is the lower one (60%). Campbell is actually the more accurate passer, based on stats. One of the biggest flaws in McNabb's game has always been his accuracy.

     

    Ya, cuz Campell has always dinked and dunked. Do you think it is simply a coincidence that his TEs have always had a lot of receptions? Cooley & Davis come to mind. On the other hand, McNabb has thrown the ball downfield throughout his career. Look at TO, DeSean and sone other no names that he has helped get numbers...Reggie Brown, Pinkston come to mind. All of a sudden this comp% means not too much.

     

    With this in mind, Zach Miller should explode this year. In Washington, look for the TEs not to be quite as productive and also look for Moss and EITHER Kelly or Thomas. Both are great late round flyers in redrafts and great bench guys that may turn out to be something in dynasty/keeper formats. Both are 3rd year WRs with a great deal of potential and their development very well could have been slowed by Campell. You just know one of them will be good this year.

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