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WhiteWonder

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Everything posted by WhiteWonder

  1. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    Or a flushed dollar bill
  2. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    2 plus total bases. the same parlay as just “to get a hit” would pay 560 dollars. you could also take a few lesser name hitters and likely get a similar pay out at only 15 legs for the 2+ total bases.
  3. WhiteWonder

    How to lose all credibility in 19 seconds

    I also assumed this was a Seafoam thread
  4. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    Soto, Vientos, Judge, Chisholm, Carroll, K.Marte, Seager, De La Cruz, Caminero, B.Lowe, Witt, India, Chourio, Tatis, Machado, Chapman, Rooker, Betts. $1 to win $664k
  5. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    I’m Assuming those are real stats, and again I realize the books know what they are doing… but how many of those hits come from lesser players, pinch hitters you wouldn’t wager on and what’s the spread among the 18 batters on each team? like of course there are more hits on average in an MLB game than there are TDs in an NFL game… but where is the equity coming from? so I guess my feeling and why I question it is because it seems far easier to pinpoint which NFL players will be accumulating the touchdowns. Or at the very least, closer than the odds suggest.
  6. WhiteWonder

    Morgan Wallen Exits SNL

    he threw a chair off a building i believe. he also was in hot water off using the N word a few times while being filmed drunk with friends. he did the standard fake apology stuff and his career took off even more.
  7. WhiteWonder

    Morgan Wallen Exits SNL

    I'm a morgan wallen fan. He does look fairly stupid as he walks off stage. If it was to send a message, I guess I get it but I don't think anyone really cares enough. also a fan of the girl who hosted
  8. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    I hit all three of my parlays last night (womens NCAA, MLB and NBA) all profit boosted so i'll probably throw a $1-2 lotto ticket on the "2+ total base" prop tonight for giggles.... Will post it here so we can laugh when 5/20 are correct . Again, the other shitty thing with baseball is that because of all the staggered starting times, I think ever being offered a cash out will be near impossible. You'd have to have a bunch of legs hit before the 10 PM window starts
  9. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    so you think it's easier for a top MLB hitter to get a hit in a game than it is for a top NFL star to score a TD? That was my original proposed question to guys in this thread. I just don't see it, let alone having it be 2-3x easier.... That's why I used the Judge vs. Barkley comparison. Barkley gets fed the ball, Judge gets 4-5 at bats before you factor in intentional walks and such. Also so many little things like pinch hitting / pinch running even for very good MLB players based on matchup analytics.
  10. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    agreed. but they price getting a hit as if it is 2-3x easier than scoring a touchdown
  11. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    I won’t do just to get a hit. 20 legs pays 5-10k only. Not worth it. I will ultimately do some 2+ total base ones since that is in line with the anytime TD odds. Will post when I make one. an additional draw back is that unlike NfL with an early window and late window, I don’t see ever being offered a cash out with baseball. My 2 NFL cash outs this year were when I had a majority of my 1pm picks correct and the 4pm games had not started and they wanted me out
  12. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    The closest match to anytime TD is 2+ total bases. 2 singles, double, etc all satisfy and it’s very similar odds to a touchdowns. not playing anything today although guys being off just voids a leg unless they pinch hit. was more curious what you guys thought was harder to predict. Anytime TDs vs hits. I think it’s easily anytime TDs. Maybe I am biased because of my FF background but I cashed out 2 of those during the NFL season for almost $200 profit after the $25 or so spent doing one per week (at $1-2 each) just seems to me that it’s not too tough to say Justin Jefferson will get fed, Jamar Chase will get fed, Henry, Barkley, Gibbs, Adams after the trade, high volume starting backs like Bijan. Backs getting increased workload because of injury. Hits is such a crapshoot when you factor in lefty vs righty, intentional walks, HBPs, on top of guys only batting like 250ish. but that’s not the way the books apparently see it
  13. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    theory discussion... as Biff knows, I usually do a weekly "lotto ticket parlay" during NFL season. Anytime TD scorers. I thought it might be possible to build similar for MLB "to get a hit". .. It is not. If you want similar you have to go with "2+ total bases". Now I am sure data analytics supports the odds on hit props vs TD props but i find it hard to believe that it is nearly twice as likely for a major league hitter to record a hit during his 4-5 at bats than it is for a star NFL player, who gets fed the ball, to score a TD at any point during his game. Take Aaron Judge and Saquon Barkley as examples. Judge is only getting up 4-5 times in a game. Even if he is batting .333, you have to factor in all the walks which don't lower his average. So even a great hitter like that is getting a hit less than once every three at bats. Barkley scored 15 times in 17 (really 16) regular season games. iirc, a usual line for Barkley anytime TD would have been -130ish?. Aaron Judge to get a hit is -220 today and that gets worse if the starter is a lefty. I have no intention on building "to get a hit" parlays. I'd be more likely to put $1 on 8 players to hit home runs if I am looking for a fun lotto ticket. Just curious what others thought about the ease of scoring touchdowns vs getting hits
  14. WhiteWonder

    *** 2025 Draft and Season Discussion ***

    I was also wondering what happened when I saw the trade but I have no idea if Isbel is any good so I just assumed cmh and ZT worked a trade after cmh was looking for Canha. Canha could not have been freely added because he was drafted in round 12, I believe, by ZT with a placeholder. But now I understand what happened and I would say it makes sense to not hold anyone to that trade.
  15. WhiteWonder

    *** 2025 Draft and Season Discussion ***

    Not that it matters, because he is exclusive, but I find it interesting that Ohtani the pitcher can be listed as IL. He is one person. Just because he won't pitch for a while doesn't mean he is injured list eligible
  16. WhiteWonder

    *** 2025 Draft and Season Discussion ***

    Yes. Mark canha was drafted in round 12 by Detroit. His place holder was mark leiter jr. I forgot that somehow in the accounting post.
  17. WhiteWonder

    *** 2025 Draft and Season Discussion ***

    Didn’t someone draft him?
  18. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    I had 5 to win 50 (placed after round 3) on that choking MF’er JT. Thankfully I grabbed a cash out for $15 after his tee shot on 18
  19. WhiteWonder

    Hard boiled eggs: Whites or yolks?

    I do the same with my egg shells for my tomatoes, eggplants etc.
  20. WhiteWonder

    Hard boiled eggs: Whites or yolks?

    Meant companies selling egg whites. They generally use or sell the yolks to be used in mayo, ice cream dressings etc.
  21. WhiteWonder

    Hard boiled eggs: Whites or yolks?

    yes they are but if cholesterol is not an issue for you or you are not looking for JUST protein, then you're missing out on the best nutrients of the egg and that doesn't have anything to do with throwing away the yolks. companies that sell just egg whites are not tossing out the yolks.
  22. WhiteWonder

    Do you like espresso?

    because it's not just pouring milk in coffee, dumbass
  23. WhiteWonder

    *** 2025 Draft and Season Discussion ***

    As soon as I saw he pitched less than 3 innings i figured mcClanahan was down. shouldn't have renamed my team
  24. WhiteWonder

    Do you like espresso?

    Sorry, The topic was espresso so I was talking espresso only which is a shot of strong, high concentration coffee, obviously. cafe con leche is espresso with scalded milk, not foamed. Usually 50/50 or more milk. hence why I originally said if you want espresso a better version is cafe con leche. Perhaps I should have said “my favorite espresso drink is cafe con leche”. I figured that went without saying. I wasn’t comparing espresso based beverages BUT a latte for example is different than cafe con leche. Different milk ratios and foam vs no foam. Yes you are correct, a latte is going to be 2-1 milk or even more.
  25. WhiteWonder

    ***Wagering thread***

    This is for @Alias Detective i reallllly wanted to pick Arkansas as my dog of the day because St John’s is a bad 3 point and free throw shooting team and I have them losing this in my bracket. but I went Drake
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