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kmbryant09

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Posts posted by kmbryant09

  1. Posted

    Their teams didn't win 11 games in a row.

     

    You guys can pick apart whatever but I'm just saying in todays NFL the QB position is by far the most important position in the game.

     

    Everyone knows it and Peyton had the best year of any QB and played on the best team...largely because of him.

     

     

    P.S. I'm fine with giving AP comeback player. What he did this year was amazing. He deserves something. Just not sure he will get it with Manning missing the entire season. He had just as many if not more question marks.

    Oh I agree with the points you're making, I just disagreed with how you said it. Can't simply give it to the player that is involved in the most points scored.

     

    In today's NFL, I'm giving my MVP vote to the best QB 99/100 times. This year, I believe Manning was the best QB, so he'd get my vote.

     

    I don't really care who gets the CPOY, but I would give A.P. Offensive Player of the Year.

  2. Posted

    I've heard this trying to be argued, and as great a year AP had..coming back from injury with no qb and no play makers going up against stacked boxes, he still only scored 13 tds.

     

    Manning scored 37 and his team won 11 in a row.

     

     

    I get the most valuable to team argument, Denver might have been a playoff team without Manning and Minn had no chance without AP, but for my vote MVP goes to the player that scored the most points, touched the ball on every play and dictated the entire offense.

    Then wouldn't you give the award to Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers?

  3. Posted

    QB's:

    1. Aaron Rodgers - No brainer. Argaubly the #1 QB in the game today, and still should play 5+ years at an elite level.

    2. Cam Newton - The best combination of production, youth, and upside.

    3. Drew Brees - Should be a top5 QB for the next 2-3 years, and a top10 QB for another 2-3 years after that.

    4. Andrew Luck - Should be a stud when the O-Line gets shored up.

    5. Matt Ryan - May not have the upside as a guy like Rodgers, Luck, or Newton, but should be a steady top7 QB who will be entering his prime.

    Honorable Mention: Robert Griffin III - Could arguably #1 on this list if healthy; but we are figuring out that is a big IF.

     

    RB's:

    1. Adrian Peterson - RB's have such a short life span that there will be TONS of turnover each year. Give me the #1 RB for the next few years.

    2. Jamaal Charles - I love his potential with Andy Reid. Was under utilized with the last coaching regime; that shouldn't be a problem under Reid.

    3. Doug Martin - I want to see more consistency out of him, but his O-Line will be even better next year.

    4. C.J. Spiller - Similar situation with Charles. Gotta love his potential as a true #1 RB. Put up 1,700 yards and 8 TD's in a limited role.

    5. Trent Richardson - I'll attribute his low ypc to a slew of injuries. One of the better bets for 350+ touches a season over the next 4-5 years.

    Honorable Mention: Alfred Morris - He's definitely more than a product of that system; but I always worry about Shanahan RB's. Plus, how much of his production is tied to a healthy RG3?

     

    WR's:

    1. Calvin Johnson - Enough said.

    2. Julio Jones - Not only will he continue to get better, but he'll become the focal point of that offense as Gonzo retires, and Turner/Roddy decline with age.

    3. Demaryius Thomas - Is an absolute beast with PM in Denver. Will continue to get better and will continue to sync up with one of the greatest QB's of all-time.

    4. A.J. Green - Some may have him higher, and it's hard to argue; but I just don't love his QB situation. Averaged only 1.5 points per target compared to 1.74 for both D.T. and Julio. I don't think he'll see another 164 targets next year with Marvin/Sanu/Dawkins and Gresham's development. Still a stud though.

    5. Randall Cobb - A bigger, more durable Percy Harvin. Averaged 1.87 ppt and his totals should benefit from Jenning's expected departure.

    Honorable Mention: Victor Cruz - Really tailed off at the end of the season, probably because of Nicks' injury and Eli's dead arm. I think the first half of 2012 (52/650/7) is more telling than the second half (34/442/3).

     

    TE's:

    1. Jimmy Graham - Led all TE's in production despite a down season. Look for a bounce-back season with Payton's return.

    2. Rob Gronkowski - Is averaging .88 TD's per game in his career which projects to 14 per season. Only question is durability.

    3. Aaron Hernandez - Is a matchup nightmare and Brady loves utilizing him.

     

    Honorable Mentions

    Jermaine Gresham - Seems to be Dalton's #2 option.

    Tyler Eifert (Notre Dame TE) - I've only watched limited tape of him, but he looks like he could be the next Gronk (at least catching the ball).

  4. Posted

    But that same team was in the playoffs how many years in a row? The pieces was there.

    Stat wise, he didn't do MORE compare to RG or Wilson.

    What same team?

     

    I believe Ryan Grigson turned over 37 of the 53 players from last year's roster.

     

    This offense was startimg a rookie QB, a rookie RB, 2 rookie TE,'s, 2/4 rookie WR's and had one of the worst offensive lines in the entire NFL. Their defense was horrific, and they had an entirely new coaching staff and front office. And their Head Coach missed most of the season because of cancer.

     

    I'd say Luck did a f*cking phenomenal job getting this team to 11 wins.

     

    All that being said, you really can't go wrong giving the award to any of these 3 guys (Luck, RG3, Wilson).

  5. Posted

    Only if they're hypocrites (which they are). If RG3 takes himself out everyone will call him a quitter and trash him like they did Cutler, saying if you can stand you should be playing in a playoff game. If Shanny makes that decision, and says it's his decision, people will still say RG3 should have talked him out of it (which is what happened actually).

     

    The worst thing that could have happened is for RG3 to be taken out. He would have lost the team most likely, and his toughness would then be questioned by the media and fans and it would constantly get brought up, effectively cutting his balls off.

     

    Right now he will take some momentary heat maybe, same with Shanahan. But they'll be back next year and it will all be forgotten. Shanahan knows this, and that's why he left him in. The Redskins were undermanned this year anyway, half their starters on defense were out after all, and even Garcon was injured this game, and Fred Davis has been out most of the year (as well as Garcon actually). Most people had the Seahawks as favorites too, so it's amazing seeing this complete turnaround with everyone essentially acting like simply starting Cousins from the 2nd quarter on would have ensured a win. This is the Seahawks D, probably Cousins would have struggled too, just like many other great QBs like Rodgers and Brady all year. RG3 isn't the first QB that will struggle against the Hawks D and he won't be the last, I wouldn't be surprised if Matt Ryan is awful next week.

     

    Also on a similar note, Luck struggling against the Ravens doesn't say too much either. It happens.

    I disagree.

     

    You could tell RGIII wanted to be out there with his teammates. He's downplayed all of his injuries this season and, by all accounts, has been an unbelievable leader this season. He played at far less than 100% last week, even though his play clearly suffered. On Sunday, 2 easy TD passes aside, it was clear that RGIII was going to be largely ineffective and playing through a GREAT deal of pain.

     

    Some people are comparing this to Cutler's situation a few years back, and I don't think its a fair comparison. RGII has been a great leader/teammate, and that's Cutler's biggest question mark. Cutler also just sat on the sidelines and pouted on the bench without trying to help his team at all - almost like he had quit. By contrast, RGIII has shown a willingness to do whatever it takes to help his team win. Can't fault the guy if he couldn't get it done on a still-healing LCL tear and a bulky knee brace that made it seem like he could barely walk. And he clearly re-injured something during the game, even before his knee buckled in the 4th quarter.

     

    And I'm not even an RGIII fan.

  6. Posted

    Here is lies the problem... Sure, cam was great down the stretch, but by then a lot of teams were already done in by his shotty start!

    No team should ever be "done in" by one player in fantasy football.

     

    You get to start 8-12 players in fantasy football, so 1 player is not consistently the only problem.

  7. Posted

    Cam really didn't slump that much at all this season. He just had a completely unsustainable 14 rushing TD's his rookie year.

     

    2011: 4051 pass yards, 21 TD's, 17 INT's, 706 rushing yards, 14 TD's = 366.6 fantasy points

    2012: 3869 pass yards, 19 TD's, 12 INT's, 741 rushing yards, 8 TD's= 328.86 fantasy points

     

    So the only difference was mainly the 6 extra rushing TD's that almost everyone said he wouldn't achieve again.

    Ha, beat me to it!

  8. Posted

    Cam slumped big-time in his softmore year... I expect the same of Griffin, especially if they don't upgrade those pathetic WRs.

    I think this is being blown way out of proportion.

     

    Did he live up to his 2012 hype by building on his phenomenal rookie season? Certainly not. But I'm not sure it's fair to say that he slumped:

    2011: 60.0% comp, 4051 pass yards (7.84 ypa), 21 TD's/19 INT's. 55.0 Total QBR and 85.5 QB Rating. 706 rushing yards 14 TD's.

    2012: 57.7% comp, 3869 pass yards (7.98 ypa), 19 TD's/12 INT's. 54.2 Total QBR and 86.2 QB Rating. 741 rushing yards 8 TD's.

     

    I think those are very similar #'s - especially his passing numbers, which I consider more consistent year-to-year than QB rushing stats. Granted his passing yards and TD's were both down, but his efficiency numbers were every bit as good in his sophomore year, he just threw the ball less in 2012.

     

    I don't think he'll ever repeat his 14 rushing TD's as a rookie, but Cam was as good as any fantasy QB for the last 6 games of the season. Plus his upside is huge - imagine if he does improve his accuracy while getting a legitimate #2 WR. Could easily see another season in which Cam throws for 3,800+ yards 20+ TD's and runs for 700+ yards and another 6-10 TD's.

  9. Posted

    I'm not as high on him as a lot of people are. I'm still not sure if he can withstand a season getting 25 touches per game. And I think that whoever the coach ends up being, he's going to want to have someone share the workload to better assure that CJ and his explosiveness will be around all season. Time will tell, I suppose.

    Spiller reminds me a lot of Jamaal Charles - both his on-the-field talents and situations. A few years ago, Jamaal Charles was an ultra-talented, lightning-quick, big-play RB that may be a little undersized to carry a full workload. He was grossly out-producing his RB counter-part, yet was never even given >50% of the touches because of an idiot Head Coach.

     

    Jamaal Charles has now produced 2 elite seasons as a feature RB (even though he was still under utilized this year). His ACL injury was an absolute freak, non-contact injury, so it's not like the guy can't hold up to 20+ carries in between the tackles.

     

    Fast forward to 2012, and C.J. Spiller fits that original description perfectly. I honestly don't know if Spiller would stay healthy if given 350 touches in 2013, but that's simply the nature of the RB position. But I know what kind of #'s he would produce if given the opportunity. And with Fred Jackson getting old and his inability to stay healthy, coupled with a completely new coaching staff that can't possibly f!ck up Spiller's role as badly as Gailey did, and you could make an argument for Spiller as the #2 RB.

     

    For what it's worth, below are the measurements for Spiller, Charles, and Chris Johnson. I know those aren't always 100% accurate, but I figured its worth noting.

     

    C.J. Spiller - 5'11 200 lbs

    Chris Jonson - 5'11 191 lbs

    Jamaal Charles - 5'11 199 lbs

  10. Posted

    I'd swap Spiller and Richardson.

     

    Spiller was the 7th best RB in my league this year, despite missing some time, sharing wayyyyyy too many touches with Fred Jackson, and dealing with one of the dumbest Head Coaches in the league.

     

    Fred Jackson is another year older, another injury tacked on, and Gailey is out as the HC. I think Spiller has as high of a ceiling as any RB in the league not named Adrian Freakerson.

     

    Seriously, the guy had 1,703 total yards and 8 TD's on just 250 touches. 250 touches! :shocking:

  11. Posted

    I didn't say that he was, is, or ever will be. I was commenting on the trajectory of their careers as it relates to their WRs' stats this year. Thomas has a vastly superior QB throwing to him and still has slightly worse stats. My point is that while Peyton is far superior to Dalton, he is also in the latter stages of his career and his skills / stats will start to diminish. Ultimately this means that Thomas' stats will go down and Green's will go up as he and Dalton improve, as I think it's safe to say they will. That, to me, means the gap will widen between the two in favor of AJ Green.

     

    That may be oversimplifying it a bit because it's always possible that Thomas could improve at a faster rate than Green, thus compensating for Manning's inevitable decline, but nothing (IMO) I've seen from Green or Thomas would suggest that. I do think Thomas is a very talented player, but skills and situation for each of these WRs makes me think Green is the better choice in redrafts and keeper leagues.

    Fair enough, but I have 3 points:

     

    1 - Considering Manning was coming off of 4 neck surgeries, with a new team, new coaching staff, new players, and playing his first football in 20+ months, AND he's putting up his 2nd best season ever - I'd say his noticeable decline is still a couple years away :thumbsup:

     

    2 - A.J. Green has 162 targets, Demaryius Thomas has 133. That means Green catches 58% of his targets while Thomas caught 65% of his targets. For comparison's sake, Green was targeted on 32% of Dalton's throws while Thomas was only targeted on 24% of Manning's throws. Now certainly you want a WR that gets targeted often, but a young QB tends to lock on to his #1 WR. With young, talented players like A. Hawkins, J. Gresham, and M. Jones coming on strong in 2012, I wouldn't be shocked to see Green's targets settle around 140-150 in 2013 and beyond.

     

    3 - I understand that Green is younger than D. Thomas, but Green is pretty much a complete receiver. Thomas came into the NFL as a very raw talent - running a very basic route tree at Georgia Tech and is only now adjusting to the NFL game. I don't doubt that Green will continue to improve, but I've gotta believe that Thomas still has much more room to grow than a complete WR like A.J. Green.

     

    Regardless, we are talking about 2 of the very best WR's in the NFL, both under the age of 25. You really can't go wrong either way. But I'll take the more efficient WR in the better offense with more room to grow :cheers:

  12. Posted

    We do a hybrid, Total Points/Head-to-Head league.

     

    Total Points runs through week 17. Also sets the draft order for next year (1st place gets first choice, etc.)

     

    Head-to-Head playoffs are weeks 15 and 16.

     

    I think it evens out some bad luck of the head-to-head playoff format. I had the most dominating team that our league has ever seen (will win the Total Points portion by roughly 350 points!), but I just lost in the championship to a team that put up a career-week (Aaron Rodgers, Dez Bryant, Shonn Greene, CHI DEF). In a normal, head-to-head league, I'd be getting roughly x2 my buy-in for what was an (almost) unstoppable team. And I'd spend the next 6 months cursing fantasy football and claiming how much luck factors into this game. Instead, I'll walk away with nearly x5 my buy-in thanks to the Total Points league.

     

    I really don't understand why more leagues don't do this. We still get the weekly thrill of winning or losing a matchup. But we also still feel rewarded for having a monster week and losing.

  13. Posted

    Ranking Thomas over Green is a tough one for me to understand. His stats, while comparable, are not as good as Green's even considering that he has an extra year of experience on him. Factor in that he has a HOF quarterback throwing to him while Green has Andy Dalton and I don't get the argument that he's more talented, or a better pick, than Green. While Manning is certainly a better QB than Dalton at this stage of their careers, the trajectory of each is, or will be very shortly, going in opposite directions, as Peyton's age is going to catch up to him eventually. And when it does it will affect Thomas' stats. This fact makes the choice of Green over Thomas even more obvious in keeper and dynasty leagues. Green is going into his third year which has widely been known as the year in which WRs make big strides, and Andy Dalton will definitely be improved with another year under his belt.

     

    All of the above information is related to stats and situation, but speaking from a pure talent perspective I don't see Thomas as superior to Green, either.

    Andy Dalton at his best stage of his career will never be as good as Peyton at his worst stage of his career.

  15. Posted

    OT but I'm a Gators fan and really proud of Haden being a NFL lockdown CB now.

     

    He came to UF as a QB/WR from high school and had never played CB in his life.

    He started as a true freshman at CB, had a great career, went on to be a first rd pick and is now a lockdown CB.

     

    Amazing.

     

    Also, on the opposite side of Haden at UF was Janoris Jenkins (Rams), who started as a true frosh too and I believe was the best cover corner to come out of the draft last year over Claiborne from LSU.

     

    I expect Jenkins to be a true lockdown CB too sooner than later.

    Thanks for your fantasy football insight :thumbsup:

  16. Posted

    I think this has been more of the "Year of the Solid, Bargain QB".

     

    There's no doubt that Rodgers/Brees/Brady have put up great fantasy numbers this season. They just haven't distanced themselves from the pack like they were supposed to. That's why people paid a premium for them. That's why they were 1st-round draft picks (or early 2nd).

     

    But it's not like they are having bad seasons (Brees' INT's aside). Let's just give some due credit to the "Bargain QB's" this year:

     

    -Peyton Manning

    -Robert Griffin III

    -Andrew Luck

    -Matt Ryan (depending on when you drafted).

     

    Thes 4 QB's are competing, week-in and week-out, with Rodgers/Brady/Brees/Cam/Stafford as the top QB's.

  17. Posted

    You (wrongfully) bought into the hype of some bad players.

     

    Every year we see players, often the same players, get hyped up in the offseason without any real reason. Sure, McFadden is explosive, but he can't stay healthy. People have been calling for Flacco & Cutler to take the next step as an elite QB, but they never will.

     

    I don't really blame you for buying into the hype of Julio Jones or Aaron Hernandez though. Those are 2 very young, very talented players who didn't really have any red flags surrounding them.

     

    That combined with some bad luck (injuries to Hernandez/McFadden/McGahee/Witten) and what appears to be no WW additions, and you have yourself a nightmare football season.

  18. Posted

    Perhaps. He's a small guy. They list him at 5'11" 200 lbs, but I bet he's more like 185 or 190. There's a reason small guys like Eric Metcalf (for you old-timers) and Darren Sproles aren't given the full workload. They wouldn't hold up to that beating. That's what these guys who post his yards-per-carry average and cry that Fred Jackson should be benched just don't understand.

    That's approximately the same size as Chris Johnson & Jamaal Charles.

     

    Another thing to consider is the size of defenders. In the last few years, lineman and linebackers are, for the most part, getting smaller and faster to keep up with these spread-out offenses. It probably allows for some of these "smaller" RB's to take less punishment.

     

    And the ultra-fast/quick guys like Charles/Johnson/Spiller are able to avoid many big, straight-on hits.

  21. Posted

    I'm gonna hafta call bullsh!t.

     

    I was a little suspicious when he mentioned Jeremy Kerley as a target for Mark Sanchez - Correct me if I'm wrong, but Kerley was like a 4th or 5th stringer this preseason, wasn't he?

     

    But this is what got me:

     

    The date of the article is August 20th.

     

    Yet he references the Colts/Redskins preseason game that was played on August 25th. (Check the Alfred Morris write-up)

  23. Posted

    I have watched Jacksonville exactly none until last night. In that game they looked completely incapable of running the ball. If you take away Gabberts 10 yard scramble, they averaged 2.5 yards per carry on 12 carries, with a long run of 4 yards. Thats awful. And when they passed the ball, if Gabbert got even minimal pressure he folded like a lawn chair. I think the term "pocket presence" is overused, but Gabbert clearly has none. The offense really seemed more effective with Chad Henne in there.

    So you're claiming to have predicted this absolute bust of a game from Rashad Jennings, yet you hadn't watched a single snap of the player or the team all season?

     

    :rolleyes:

  25. Posted

    A FU at the officiating. They were giving almost all of the crucial calls to Indy. Luck didn't get in on that 2nd td near the goalline!

    You should buy a bigger TV - the ball definitely crossed the goal line.

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