karmarooster

I'm developing a major bromance for Kyle Orton this year in Denver with McDaniels. Let's take a look at Orton's stats last year for Chicago before he sprained his ankle in week 8 vs. Detroit. 7 games played 1669 yards 10 TDs 4 INTs 62.2% completions Prorated to 16 games, that's 3814 yards, 22.8 TDs, and 9.1 INTs. In WCOFF scoring (20 yards/point, 4pt TD, -1 INT) = 272 points. Without even considering rushing yardage, in 2008 that would've been good enough for 9th overall, just after Cassel (288) and ahead of Garrard (261). There's every reason to assume those numbers will increase because of Denver's O-Line, Marshall, Royal, Gaffney, Stokely, Scheffler, Moreno, Buckhalter, and McDaniels himself. Cassel threw for 3693 yards, 21 TDs, and 11 INTs, but his total points are boosted by 270 yards and 2 TDs rushing. Orton won't take off like Cassel, but he should still improve on those passing numbers. He won't be learning on the job like Cassel last year after Brady went down, but will have training camp and preseason to get adjusted to McDaniels complex system. Cassel had been learning the system for several years, but hadn't played a game since high school! He also had a tendency to get happy feet in the pocket, esp. in the first half of the season. Orton on the other hand is 26 years old and a seasoned veteran. Denver's O-Line is just as good if not better than New England's, and certainly much better than Chicago's. Like NE, Denver also has quality WRs. Here's how they stack up: Denver Offense total plays/avg = 1019/6.2 yards Rushing att/avg = 387/4.8 yards Passing att/avg = 620/7.3 yards Sacks = 26 Attempts/sack = 23.8 Passing att/TD = 24.8 New England Offense total plays/avg = 1095/5.3 yards Rushing att/avg = 513/4.4 yards Passing att/avg = 534/7.1 yards Sacks = 31 Attempts/sack = 17.2 Passing att/TD = 25.4 To come up with some projections for Orton, i think you have to consider Denver, Chicago, and New England. There's alot of variables here so it's certainly guesswork. In NE, McDaniels had a run/pass ratio of 49/51 last year... Denver's defense will prevent him from maintaining that. I'll adjust that to 45/55. We can just use an even 1000 offensive plays as a baseline, so that gives 550 pass attempts. Orton should be able to match Cassel's 7.1 yards/att but maybe not Cutler's 7.3 yards/att. Orton 1st 7 games Passing att/avg = 230/7.25 Passing att/TD = 23 550 x 7.25 = 3,987 yards passing. 550/23 = 23.9 TDs. For INTs, we can take the average from NE(11), Denver(18), and Orton's pro-rated season(9) = 12.6 INTs. Orton also rushed for 49 yards, but pro-rate his first 7 games and you get 85 yards... also had 3 rushing TDs. I'll give him just 1 rushing TD. Orton had 5 fumbles, Cassel had 4. Subtract 8 points... 3,987 yards passing, 23.9 TDs, 12.6 INTS, 85 yards rushing, 1 TD, 4 fumbles ===> 288.8 points. In 2008, that would've been #8 QB, after McNabb (290.7) and ahead of Cassel (288.6). Denver's defense will be atrocious once again, but that's a recipe for big points from QB, WRs, and a pass-catching RB. Orton's passing yardage could exceed 4,000, and his total points could push 300 putting him near Manning (302.6) and #6 QB last year. I only see two potential problems with Orton, but they are big ones. Let's say the Broncos start off 0-4, McDaniels could lose control of the team. Or if the Broncos are 3-9 or something and decide to give the QB job to Chris Simms for a few games to see if he's worth keeping around. On FantasyFootballCalculator, Orton's ADP is 115 overall, round 10.07, QB#16. This is the kind of value player that can help you to a title, like Warner, Rodgers, and Rivers last year. My goal is to find THIS YEAR'S Warner/Rodgers/Rivers. Can anyone convince me Orton WON'T be a top 10 QB in 2009?

1 year too soon, apparently. After 5 games, Orton is currently on pace for 5500 yards, 26 TDs, and 10 INTs. Obviously he won't maintain that pace, but 5000 yards isn't out of the question. He's going to blow up even my loftiest projections from July 2009: 3,987 yards passing, 23.9 TDs, 12.6 INTS.

20.07 - Sebastian Janikowski

19.06 - Roosters select Matt Moore QB Carolina

18.07 - Roosters select Cincinnati defense

17.06 Roosters select Chicago Defense

Round 15 Rhinos Revenge - Nate Kaeding PK SD Mathemeatloaf - Correll Buckhalter RB Den Bryan Miller - Willis Mcgahee RB Bal Magic Man and El Diablo - Chris Chambers WR KC Mad Brad Bombers - Pittsburgh Defense Karma Roosters - Anthony dixon RB SF Attack Mode - Arian Foster RB Hou Attack Mode - San Fran Defense Devastation - Nate Burleson WR Det Titans - Torry Holt WR NE MT skibum - Miami Defense Horny Toads - Josh Morgan WR SF Round 16 1. Horny Toads - Javon Ringer, RB TEN 2. Mad Brad - Anthony Gonzalez WR Ind 3. Titans - Josh Freeman QB TB 4. Devastation - Kevin Walter WR Hou 5. Drunken Monkeys - Mike Williams WR TB 6. Attack Mode - Lynell Hamilton RB NO 7. Karma Roosters - Rashard Jennings RB Jax 8. Mad Brad Bombers - Matt Hasselbeck QB Sea 9. Magic Man and El Diablo - Alex Smith QB SF 10. Bryan Miller - Early Doucett WR ARZ 11. Mathemeatloaf - Stephe Gostkowski K NE 12. Rhinos Revenge - Glen Coffee RB SF

16.07 - Rashard Jennings RB Jax

pretty sure i did pick up sydney rice on waivers last summer.

he'll probably be on later tonight or early tomorrow morning.... no biggie

15.06 Roosters select Anthony Dixon RB SF

14.07 - Roosters select Jermaine Gresham TE Bengals

13.06 - Roosters select Vince Young QB TN

12.07 - Malcolm Floyd WR SD

12.07 Roosters select - Heath Miller TE PIT

Round 11 1. Rhinos Revenge - QB Mark Sanchez NYJ 2. Mathemeatloaf - Larry Johnson RB was 3. Bryan Miller - mohammed massaquoi WR Cle 4. Magic Man and El Diablo - Darren Sproles RB SD 5. Mad Brad Bombers - Johnny Knox WR Chi. 6. Karma Roosters - Julian Edelman WR NE 7. Attack Mode - Matthew Stafford QB Det 8. Devastation - Carson Palmer, QB Cin 9. Titans - Mike Thomas WR jax 10. Titans - justin forsett RB Sea 11. MTskibum - Chad Henne QB Mia 12. Miles Austin WR - DAL Round 12 1. Horny Toads - Donnie Avery WR Stl 2. Steve Smith – WR NYG 3. Titans - Darius Howard Bey WR Oak 4. Devastation - Ben Roethlisburger QB Pit 5. Drunken Monkeys - Roy Williams WR Dal 6. Drunken Monkeys - Bernard Berrian WR Min 7. Karma Roosters - Malcolm Floyd WR SD 8. MTSkibum - Dustin Keller TE NYJ 9. Magic Man and El Diablo - Austin Collie WR IND 10. Shonne Greene - RB NY Jets 11. Mathemeatloaf - David Garrard QB Jax 12. Rhinos Revenge - Baltimore defense Round 13 1. Rhinos Revenge - Golden Tate WR Sea 2. Mathemeatloaf - Dexter Mcluster WR KC 3. Bryan Miller - Greg Olsen TE Chi 4. Magic Man and El Diablo - Kevin Smith RB Det 5. Mad Brad Bombers - Jonathon Dwyer RB Pit 6. Karma Roosters - Vince Young QB Ten 7. Attack Mode - Laurent Robinson WR STL 8. Attack Mode - Arrelious Benn WR TB 9. Attack Mode - James Dvis RB Cle 10. Titans - Brian Westbrook RB 11. MTskibum - Jabar Gafney WR Den 12. Horny Toads - Davone Bess WR Mia

my bad! thanks for the catch

11.06 Roosters selects Julian Edelman WR NE

singman then takes 11.04 - Darren Sproles RB SD

Round 6 1. Devastation - Tony Gonzalez TE 2. MT Skibum - Darren McFadden RB Oak 3. Titans - Percy Harvin WR Min 4. Titans - Ben Tate RB NE 5. Drunken Monkeys - Devin Aromashodu WR CHI 6. Attack Mode - Kenny Britt WR Ten 7. Karma Roosters Jericho Cotchery WR NYJ 8. Mad Brad Bombers - Donald Driver WR GB 9. Magic Man - Desean Jackson – WR PHI 10. Bryan Miller - TH Houshmanzadeh WR Sea 11. Mathemeatloaf - Eddie Royal WR Den 12. Vincent Jackson – WR SD Round 7 1. Magic Man and El Diablo - Donovan Mcnabb QB WAS 2. Mathemeatloaf - Clinton Portis RB WAS 3. Bryan Miller - Jets Defense 4. Rhinos Revenge - Fred Jackson RB Buf 5. Mad Brad Bombers - Santana Moss WR Wash 6. Karma Roosters - Steve Breaston WR Arizona 7. Attack Mode - Montario Hardesty RB Cle 8. Drunken Monkeys - Ricky Williams RB MIA 9. MTSkibum - Micheal Bush RB Oak 10. Devastation - Ahmad Bradshaw RB NYG 11. MTSkibum - Donald Brown Ind RB 12. Horny Toads - LaDainian Tomlinson, RB NYJ Round 8 1. Rashard Mendenhall – RB PIT 2. MT Skibum - John Carleson TE Seattle 3. Devastation - Joe Flacco QB, Baltimore 4. Cedric Benson – RB CIN 5. Drunken Monkeys - Antonio Bryant WR CIN 6. Attack Mode - Lendale White RB Ten 7. Karma Roosters - Kellen Winslow TE Tampa Bay 8. Mad Brad Bombers - Marion Barber RB Dallas 9. Magic Man and El Diablo - Lee Evans WR Buf 10. Bryan Miller - Terrell Owens WR No Team 11. Mathemeatloaf - Louis Murphy WR Oak 12. Rhinos Revenge - Lawrence Maroney RB NE Round 9 1. Rhinos Revenge - Chris Cooley TE Was 2. Mathemeatloaf - Devin Hester WR Chi 3. Bryan Miller Thomas Jones RB KC 4. Horny Toads - Cadillac Williams RB TB 5. Mad Brad Bombers - Marshawn Lynch RB Buf 6. Karma Roosters - Chaz Schilens WR Oak 7. Attack Mode - Tashard Choice RB Dal 8. Matt Schaub – QB HOU 9. Drunk Monkeys - Brett Favre QB Min 10. Titans - Leon Washington RB Sea 11. MTskibum - Santonio Holmes WR NYJ 12. Horny Toads - Owen Daniels TE Hou Round 10 1. Horny Toads - Matt Ryan QB Atl 2. Mad Brad Bombers - Visanthe Shiancoe TE Minny 3. Titans - Steve Slaton RB Hou 4. Horny Toads - Derrick Mason WR Bal 5. Devastation - Demaryius Thomas, WR 6. Attack Mode - Zach Miller TE Oak 7. Karma Roosters - Tim Hightower RB Arizona 8. MT Skibum - Jacoby Jones WR Hou 9. Magic Man and El Diablo - Heath Miller TE Pit 10. Ray Rice - RB BAL 11. Jamal Charles – RB KC 12. Rhinos Revenge - RB Chester Taylor Chi

10.7 Roosters select Tim Hightower RB Arizona

Your WRs could be dirty... I was esp. pissed that you sniped Aromashadu as a WR3. a little odd that you double up on QBs and TEs with a weak RB3 and WR4. and damn you've got 11 players to my 9! also looks like a prime trade target to move one of those TEs for a RB....

yes watching Rodgers when he's on your team is fairly awesome.... because he just about throws for 300 yards, 2 TDs, and then runs for another 40 and another touch ANY time. he was devastating for me last year in a $200 PPR league i'm in.... Week 15 - 383 yards passing, 3 TDs, 22 yards rushing, 1 TD

2010 Roosters QB - Rodgers, Young RB - MJD, P.Thomas, Beanie Wells, Hightower WR - Nicks, Breaston, Cotchery, Schilens, Edelman, Floyd TE - Winslow If I can get some consistent WR play I think I'll be solid with the QB/RBs combo i've got. Is Nicks going to breakout as a true WR1?

GL with the suspension, run-heavy offense, and turnover prone QB. I will however, start Cotchery with confidence until Holmes comes back.