phillybear 364 Posted October 21, 2010 NCAA Football: 40-29; +8.1 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units CFL: 2-3; -1.3 units Thursday NCAA Football UCLA (+25) LOSER Adding: UCLA 1st H (+14.5)@-115 LOSER Sure, Oregon gets lots of press and has won the hearts of the nation. I bet on them quite a few times early in the year, as would anybody that recognizes an undervalued team. Um, times have changed, and they are overrated now. Looking inside the number, Oregon beat Stanford by 21 points, but outstatted them by only 100 yards. Oregon beat Arizona St by 11, by got outplayed by 200 yards in that game. Let that sink in. They got beat by 200 total yard, yet won by 11. Lucky, lucky, lucky. They are getting gashed by 500+ total yards to decent PAC 10 teams lately. Then Oregon beat a really bad Wash St team, a team they were favored to beat by 36, by 20 points, outstatted them by 200 yards, and led by only 36-23 late in the game. Oregon's stats vs decent or any Pac 10 team at all doesn't warrant a ridiculous spread like +25 vs UCLA. I'd put this game closer to +17 or less. Sure, I'm not talking UCLA up, but they have beaten Texas in a blow out, beat the same Wash St team by 14 instead of 20 as did Oregon. but lost to California, Kansas St, and Stanford. I don't know what to tell you other than UCLA has been beat up by injuries and suspensions, and have played a schedule twice as hard as Oregon. UCLA has a very good pass defense, and this figures to force Oregon to run the ball to win. It's not easy to cover a big number like this by running the ball. Oregon might not lose this game, but they will be playing some very close games in very near future. The line is over adjusted for their reputation. EDIT: a bit of ramble after a few drinks, but I think I was somewhat coherent. Maybe. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
R.C.J.Hawk 0 Posted October 21, 2010 I came looking for an opinion similar to mine, and I'm glad to have found it. I was thinking of teasing UCLA with the under. This spread is treating UCLA like a team that is a cellar dwellar, not a team that just went into Texas 3 weeks ago and beat the Longhorns by 22. Oregon has dominated some not very good teams, and have gotten 17 of their 22 turnovers in 3 games, 5 in the other 3. Oregon has also turned the ball over 11 times in their last 4 games, so they can cough it up also. I'm reading UCLA's QB Prince is out for this game, that might be cause for such a huge spread. UCLA is a running team, 223 yards per game vs only 95 yards passing per game, leading to time consuming drives. UCLA has had only one game go over 53 pts scored. O/U for this game is 61.5 Looking at Oregon's scores, I would almost expect the o/u to be 65 or more. But, I'd still lean to running the ball (by both teams) taking its toll on the clock before 60 pts are scored. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bjsteel 34 Posted October 21, 2010 UCLA lost to a bad Cal team by 28, and Oregon beat a real good Stanford team by 21, Oregon can certainly cover the spread here, especially if the QB Prince is out. We'll see if Oregon can handle the #1 ranking and show everyone in prime time they are deserving. I kind of like the Under in this game as was mentioned. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 21, 2010 UCLA lost to a bad Cal team by 28, and Oregon beat a real good Stanford team by 21, Oregon can certainly cover the spread here, especially if the QB Prince is out. We'll see if Oregon can handle the #1 ranking and show everyone in prime time they are deserving. I kind of like the Under in this game as was mentioned. California is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road. Cal beat UCLA at home. Stanford vs Oregon was a close game, statistically. Oregon did not come close to outplaying Stanford by 21. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 21, 2010 YTD 49-52-2 +4.87 units Talk about line movement what did this open at 22? Wow it's just screaming take Oregon here, but I think UCLA is the play even if they are starting the 3rd string QB Under 60.5 looks good too, Oregon scores 54 a a game themselves seems fishy Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 21, 2010 Under 60.5 UCLA 26.5 (dropped half pt) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
R.C.J.Hawk 0 Posted October 21, 2010 teasing UCLA +33 under 67 Unless UCLA comes out and gives up a kickoff return for a TD, an int. return for a TD, and a fumble return for a TD, in combination with the UCLA offense putting up 7 pts or less, I don't see how Oregon wins by 33 or more. But, I have been known to be wrong on more than one occasion. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 21, 2010 Dr Bob's post from today on tonight's game. OREGON (-26.0) 44 UCLA 20 Over/Under Total: 60.5 06:00 PM Pacific Time Thursday, 21-Oct-2010 Oregon is an explosive team that is certainly not a bad choice as the nation’s #1 team, but the Ducks have a weakness in stopping the run that could allow UCLA to keep this game somewhat competitive. Oregon has given up 4.7 yards per rushing play this season to teams that would combine to average just 4.5 yprp against an average team. UCLA is among the worst passing teams in the nation, but backup QB Richard Brehaut has actually been more effective than injured starter Kevin Prince, who is questionable with a bad knee. Brehaut has completed 50% of his passes for 4.6 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 5.9 yppp to an average QB) while Prince has completed a pathetic 45% of his passes for just 2.7 yppp (against teams that would allow 5.3 yppp). Regardless of which quarterback plays the Bruins will be happy to try to exploit Oregon’s only weakness with a rushing attack that has averaged 243 yards at 6.2 yprp this season (against teams that would allow 5.0 yprp to an average team). I’m sure Oregon will be watching the tape from UCLA’s game at Cal when the Bears held the Bruins to just 58 rushing yards and 144 total yards, but Oregon has to turn that knowledge into production and they have yet to stop a good running team from getting yards on the ground. My math model projects 261 rushing yards at 6.3 yprp for the Bruins I still get Oregon by 23 ½ points. The line has gone from -20 ½ points up to -26 points, so the value actually now favors a defensively solid UCLA team (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average team) with a strong rushing attack. Good running teams with a solid defense are usually pretty good plays as big underdogs, but Oregon will certainly be able to run the ball tonight. I’ll lean slightly with UCLA at the inflated line. (That's why I like this guy. He thinks like I do.) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 21, 2010 Adding: UCLA 1st H (+14.5)@-115 Oregon has all the pressure on them tonight to perform perfectly and beat up UCLA. Problem is that every time Oregon has faced a decent team this year, they've been a completely 2nd half team, falling way behind in games vs Tenn and Stanford, for example. Following the Jeff Fisher leak, ESPN wants the ratings to stay throughout the game, so why not have a convenient holding call here and there to keep it close, for a while? Damn. If UCLA completely sucks it up tonight, I will be very embarrassed. Good luck to all. Also, I'm glad that we have had a decent conversation on this game tonight. Hopefully the chatter continues and this thread starts to jump again. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 22, 2010 Dr Bob's post from today on tonight's game. OREGON (-26.0) 44 UCLA 20 Over/Under Total: 60.5 06:00 PM Pacific Time Thursday, 21-Oct-2010 Oregon is an explosive team that is certainly not a bad choice as the nation’s #1 team, but the Ducks have a weakness in stopping the run that could allow UCLA to keep this game somewhat competitive. Oregon has given up 4.7 yards per rushing play this season to teams that would combine to average just 4.5 yprp against an average team. UCLA is among the worst passing teams in the nation, but backup QB Richard Brehaut has actually been more effective than injured starter Kevin Prince, who is questionable with a bad knee. Brehaut has completed 50% of his passes for 4.6 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 5.9 yppp to an average QB) while Prince has completed a pathetic 45% of his passes for just 2.7 yppp (against teams that would allow 5.3 yppp). Regardless of which quarterback plays the Bruins will be happy to try to exploit Oregon’s only weakness with a rushing attack that has averaged 243 yards at 6.2 yprp this season (against teams that would allow 5.0 yprp to an average team). I’m sure Oregon will be watching the tape from UCLA’s game at Cal when the Bears held the Bruins to just 58 rushing yards and 144 total yards, but Oregon has to turn that knowledge into production and they have yet to stop a good running team from getting yards on the ground. My math model projects 261 rushing yards at 6.3 yprp for the Bruins I still get Oregon by 23 ½ points. The line has gone from -20 ½ points up to -26 points, so the value actually now favors a defensively solid UCLA team (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average team) with a strong rushing attack. Good running teams with a solid defense are usually pretty good plays as big underdogs, but Oregon will certainly be able to run the ball tonight. I’ll lean slightly with UCLA at the inflated line. (That's why I like this guy. He thinks like I do.) Best Bets Rotation #304 Cincinnati (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -11. Rotation #308 Louisville (-2) 2-Stars at -3 or less, 3-Stars at -1 or better. Rotation #322 Iowa (-5 1/2) 4-Stars at -7 or less, 3-Stars to -8, 2-Stars up to -9 1/2. Rotation #331 Syracuse (+14) 2-Stars at +13 or more. Rotation #334 Illinois (-13 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -17. Rotation #347 Texas A&M (-13 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -16. Rotation #352 SMU (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -11. Rotation #358 Northern Illinois (-10) 2-Stars at -10 or less. Rotation #360 Missouri (+3) 3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars to -1. Rotation #395 San Diego State (-23 1/2) 3-Stars at -24 or less, 2-Stars up to -27. Strong Opinions Rotation #318 East Carolina (-11 1/2) Strong Opinion at -13 1/2 or less. Rotation #330 Pittsburgh (-12 1/2) Strong Opinion at -14 or less. Rotation #373 Hawaii (-3) Strong Opinion at -4 or less. Rotation #380 Virginia (-23 1/2) Strong Opinion at -24 or less. 25-16-1 on Best Bets Best Bets based on the lines after they've moved is 23-14 Strong Opinions are 21-21-1 (19-15 on Sides and 2-7 on Totals) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
R.C.J.Hawk 0 Posted October 22, 2010 WOW. I should make it a point to watch some Oregon offensive drives before calling them a "running team" cuz they average ALOT of rushing yards. Holy jeezus balls, UCLA can't hold them to less than 10 yards per play. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 22, 2010 NCAA Football: 40-31; +5.85 units Preseason NBA: 18-12; +4.05 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units MLB Playoffs: 3-2; +1.2 units NHL: 11-9; -.75 units CFL: 2-3; -1.3 units As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly. Or at least not give up in the 1st quarter after the first three drives went into Oregon territory and all you get is a FG. I was dead wrong with my pick. Very, very wrong. Friday NCAA Football: Cincinnati (-8) LOSER Adding Cinc 2nd H (-7)@-105 LOSER CFL: Hamilton (+1.5) WINNER (Won 40-3) British Columbia (+9) WINNER (Won 36-31) Adding BC 2nd H (+7)@-105 WINNER (Won 2nd H 9-3) MLB Playoffs Texas (Even) WINNER (Won 40-3) NHL Columbus (-145) LOSER Atlanta (-130) LOSER Buffalo (-145) for 2 units LOSER Chicago (-105) LOSER Vancouver (-200) WINNER NBA Preseason NY Knicks (+2.5) LOSER Charlotte (-6.5) WINNER Memphis (-4) LOSER Orlando (-9.5) Postponed-No Play Minnesota (+6.5) WINNER Indiana (+7.5) LOSER Houston (+6) WINNER Utah (-9) WINNER Denver (+6) WINNER Golden St (+8) WINNER OVER NYK/TOR (208) for .5 units WINNER UNDER ORL/MIA (191.5) Postponed-No Play OVER IND/CHI (199) for .5 units LOSER UNDER HOU/DAL (198.5) for .5 units WINNER UNDER GST/LAL (208) for .5 units WINNER Cincinnati is putting up some gaudy numbers offensively for the last month or so. Looks like they have figured out their offensive rhythm and they impressed me with the comeback win over Louisville last week in hostile territory. The weakness of Cincy seems to be pass defense, something So Flor may not come close to exploiting with their disappointing QB play this year. South Florida seems to be regressing, and so I'll back the team playing better with the Big East championship to compete for vs a drifting South Florida team coming off a 2nd straight conference loss to West Virginia in a rather ugly game. Montreal wrapped up a #1 seed in their conference for the playoffs and have nothing to play for. Hamilton is in 2nd, and needs to stay ahead of Toronto to get a home field game in Round one of the playoffs. Since Hamilton hasn't beaten Montreal this year, they need to make a statement to themselves that they can defeat the Als to build confidence. Calvillo has had midseason injuries, so if the plays for Montreal, I'd wonder how long he would be in this game. Hamilton needs this game more. Calgary clinched a playoff spot in a come from behind win at Saskatchewan. Winnipeg lost a 2nd straight overtime game and is fighting for it's playoff life. Especially brutal was losing a 21 point lead to lose in OT two weeks ago. But it's still a capable team that plays good pressure defense and is getting solid QB play lately out of Lulay. I'll take the points. I know Calgary hasn't wrapped up the division yet, but they've been very inconsistent lately, winning just 2 of last 5 games overall, and this game feels like a close one. Good luck to all Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 22, 2010 Cincy -9 tonight, also apparently I bet the over last night Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 22, 2010 Iowa -6.5 (-105)Loser TexasA&M -14 (-105)Winner SanDiegoSt -24 (-105)Loser Oklahoma -3 (-105)Loser Nebraska OklahomaSt Over 60Winner MichiganSt Northwestern Over 54 Winner Illinois -13.5 (-105)Winner SMU -8.5 (-105)Loser FloridaAtl ArkansasSt Under 54 Winner Colorado +3Push Navy(N) +7Winner Idaho -24Loser LSU Auburn Under 52Winner Texas -21Loser Utah -30.5 Winner TCU -18.5 Winner Temple -8Winner NorthCarolina +6.5Loser Alabama -16.5Winner 2 props Dan Persa (Northwestern) Total Completions - Must Play Over 23.5 (-145)Loser Dan Persa (Northwestern) Total Passing Yards - Must Play Over 275.5 (-130)Loser Added NW MSU over 25.5 2nd half Winner Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bjsteel 34 Posted October 22, 2010 It looks like Cincy is the play, ever since the new head coach for So Fla decided to try and make BJ Daniels a throwing QB instead of a combo throwing/running QB, they have struggled...GL. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 23, 2010 Am I seeing things? That So Flor kicker missed a FG by at least 10 feet. It clearly passed the upright in front. And it was called good. And the announcers won't give us a replay. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 23, 2010 Adding Cinc 2nd H (-7)@-105 Explanation: Fock it. I guess that works. Also, Cincy looks like sh!t 1st H as compared to any part of last week. So Flor looks legit. So, a reversal of fortune is in order. Also, fock it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 23, 2010 Adding BC 2nd H (+7)@-105 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 23, 2010 NCAA Football: 40-31; +5.85 units Preseason NBA: 18-12; +4.05 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units MLB Playoffs: 3-2; +1.2 units NHL: 11-9; -.75 units CFL: 2-3; -1.3 units As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly. Or at least not give up in the 1st quarter after the first three drives went into Oregon territory and all you get is a FG. I was dead wrong with my pick. Very, very wrong. Friday NCAA Football: Cincinnati (-8) LOSER Adding Cinc 2nd H (-7)@-105 LOSER CFL: Hamilton (+1.5) WINNER (Won 40-3) British Columbia (+9) WINNER (Won 36-31) Adding BC 2nd H (+7)@-105 WINNER (Won 2nd H 9-3) MLB Playoffs Texas (Even) WINNER (Won 40-3) NHL Columbus (-145) LOSER Atlanta (-130) LOSER Buffalo (-145) for 2 units LOSER Chicago (-105) LOSER Vancouver (-200) WINNER NBA Preseason NY Knicks (+2.5) LOSER Charlotte (-6.5) WINNER Memphis (-4) LOSER Orlando (-9.5) Postponed-No Play Minnesota (+6.5) WINNER Indiana (+7.5) LOSER Houston (+6) WINNER Utah (-9) WINNER Denver (+6) WINNER Golden St (+8) WINNER OVER NYK/TOR (208) for .5 units WINNER UNDER ORL/MIA (191.5) Postponed-No Play OVER IND/CHI (199) for .5 units LOSER UNDER HOU/DAL (198.5) for .5 units WINNER UNDER GST/LAL (208) for .5 units WINNER Cincinnati is putting up some gaudy numbers offensively for the last month or so. Looks like they have figured out their offensive rhythm and they impressed me with the comeback win over Louisville last week in hostile territory. The weakness of Cincy seems to be pass defense, something So Flor may not come close to exploiting with their disappointing QB play this year. South Florida seems to be regressing, and so I'll back the team playing better with the Big East championship to compete for vs a drifting South Florida team coming off a 2nd straight conference loss to West Virginia in a rather ugly game. Montreal wrapped up a #1 seed in their conference for the playoffs and have nothing to play for. Hamilton is in 2nd, and needs to stay ahead of Toronto to get a home field game in Round one of the playoffs. Since Hamilton hasn't beaten Montreal this year, they need to make a statement to themselves that they can defeat the Als to build confidence. Calvillo has had midseason injuries, so if the plays for Montreal, I'd wonder how long he would be in this game. Hamilton needs this game more. Calgary clinched a playoff spot in a come from behind win at Saskatchewan. Winnipeg lost a 2nd straight overtime game and is fighting for it's playoff life. Especially brutal was losing a 21 point lead to lose in OT two weeks ago. But it's still a capable team that plays good pressure defense and is getting solid QB play lately out of Lulay. I'll take the points. I know Calgary hasn't wrapped up the division yet, but they've been very inconsistent lately, winning just 2 of last 5 games overall, and this game feels like a close one. Good luck to all Preseason NBA: 27-16; +7.7 units NCAA Football: 40-33; +3.7 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units MLB Playoffs: 4-2; +2.2 units CFL: 5-3; +1.7 units NHL: 12-13; -6.45 units Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 23, 2010 Preseason NBA: 27-16; +7.7 units NCAA Football: 40-33; +3.7 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units MLB Playoffs: 4-2; +2.2 units CFL: 5-3; +1.7 units NHL: 12-13; -6.45 units Saturday, in time order, 1 unit each. Will keep an edit section at bottom for any additions for football. NCAA Football Early Virginia Tech (-27) WINNER Temple (-7.5) WINNER Michigan St (-6) WINNER Pittsburgh (-13) WINNER Syracuse (+13.5) WINNER Illinois (-13.5) WINNER Iowa St (+20.5) WINNER Mississippi (+10) LOSER Maryland (+4) WINNER Ohio U (-2.5) WINNER OVER OHI/MOH (49.5) LOSER Arkansas St (-7.5) WINNER Wyoming (+10.5) WINNER Louisville (+3)@-115 WINNER Iowa (-6) LOSER Baylor (-6.5) LOSER UNDER KST/BAY (56.5) LOSER SMU (-9) LOSER Bowling Green (+2.5) LOSER Western Michigan (-7.5) WINNER Oklahoma St (+6) LOSER California (-3)@-115 WINNER Central Florida (-21.5) WINNER Colorado (+3)@-115 PUSH Northern Illinois (-10) WINNER East Carolina (-12.5) WINNER Middle Tenn St (-12) WINNER OVER ULM/MTS (55) LOSER Idaho (-24) LOSER Hawaii (-3.5) WINNER Virginia (-24) WINNER Utah (-30) WINNER Early Summary, including Added plays... 23-12; +9.8 units Later Vanderbilt (+12.5) LOSER Texas A&M (-14) WINNER UAB (+20) WINNER Tennessee (+16.5) LOSER Toledo (-11.5) LOSER UNDER BAL/TOL (48.5) LOSER North Carolina (+6.5) LOSER Georgia (-4) WINNER Missouri (+3)@-115 WINNER Fresno St (-19) LOSER Air Force (+18.5) LOSER UTEP (-10) LOSER San Diego St (-23.5) LOSER Arizona (-6.5) WINNER Late Summary, including Added plays... 6-12; -7.2 units Edit: Additional plays Navy (+7) WINNER Clemson (-4) WINNER LSU (+5) LOSER Stanford (-36) LOSER Air Force 2nd H (+7.5) LOSER UTEP 2nd H (-6.5)@-115 LOSER San Diego St 2nd h (-10)@-115 LOSER Arizona 2nd H (-1)@-115 WINNER CFL Winnipeg (-6) LOSER Saskatchewan (-3) LOSER MLB Philadelphia (-156) LOSER Philadelphia Series (-250) LOSER NHL Florida (-135) WINNER New York Rangers (+140) WINNER Montreal (+110) WINNER Washington (-270) WINNER Buffalo (+135) WINNER Philadelphia (-160) WINNER Detroit (-215) WINNER Pittsburgh (-120) LOSER Dallas (-150) LOSER Chicago (-210) LOSER Carolina (+130) WINNER Colorado (-130) LOSER San Jose (-150) WINNER Good luck to all Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bjsteel 34 Posted October 23, 2010 I'm going to the Northwestern/Mich St game and the weather looks pretty nasty, heavy rain and thunder...might take the under 54. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 23, 2010 I'm going to the Northwestern/Mich St game and the weather looks pretty nasty, heavy rain and thunder...might take the under 54. Not going to stop Michigan State running the ball, or Northwesterns 3 yard passes Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bjsteel 34 Posted October 23, 2010 I liked NW to cover initially, now I kind of like Mich St with there ability to run...I liked the under even before this weather stuff! *Just dropped to 53.5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 24, 2010 Wow just a focking brutal loss on the Idaho game. UP 37-7 just got a stop with 50 seconds left, and Idaho fumbles the ball on 1st down. 3 plays later N.Mexico scores a 28 yard TD Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 24, 2010 Wow just a focking brutal loss on the Idaho game. UP 37-7 just got a stop with 50 seconds left, and Idaho fumbles the ball on 1st down. 3 plays later N.Mexico scores a 28 yard TD Not really pissed since having a decent day, but wow this has to be one of the worst beats ever. To lose on a kneel down fumble.. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 24, 2010 Not really pissed since having a decent day, but wow this has to be one of the worst beats ever. To lose on a kneel down fumble.. I had to suffer through Idaho AND Baylor getting backdoored at the same time. But things tend to even out. I lucked out with Michigan St, so I'm trying to keep sane while I resist the urge to smash my remote against my forehed until I pass out or I'm holding a handful of bloody plastic. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 24, 2010 I had to suffer through Idaho AND Baylor getting backdoored at the same time. But things tend to even out. I lucked out with Michigan St, so I'm trying to keep sane while I resist the urge to smash my remote against my forehed until I pass out or I'm holding a handful of bloody plastic. Yep people are pissed about all 3 of those, although MSU wasn't as bad as the other two Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 24, 2010 Yep people are pissed about all 3 of those, although MSU wasn't as bad as the other two I'm not happy because Baylor nearly doubled up Kansas St in total yards and didn't cover, but things even. No way could I expect Virginia to cover -24 at the half, yet they kick a FG very late and cover. Sh!t is sh!t. I'm interested to read further into the Idaho game, a game completely off the radar. Could they have intentionally fumbled to allow New Mex St a chance to cover? That game wasn't on any TV channel that I have, and I have 80% or higher of the games I bet on somewhere on a channel that I get. Of course, I'm talking about a fix. I fixed a college basketball game once, so I can tell everybody for sure that some sporting events are fixed. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
swirvenirvin 25 Posted October 24, 2010 I'm not happy because Baylor nearly doubled up Kansas St in total yards and didn't cover, but things even. No way could I expect Virginia to cover -24 at the half, yet they kick a FG very late and cover. Sh!t is sh!t. I'm interested to read further into the Idaho game, a game completely off the radar. Could they have intentionally fumbled to allow New Mex St a chance to cover? That game wasn't on any TV channel that I have, and I have 80% or higher of the games I bet on somewhere on a channel that I get. Of course, I'm talking about a fix. I fixed a college basketball game once, so I can tell everybody for sure that some sporting events are fixed. I misread the play by play, the guy muffed the punt so not as bad... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 24, 2010 I misread the play by play, the guy muffed the punt so not as bad... Off the top of my head, I got backdoored in Idaho Baylor Toledo Toledo UNDER Iowa Mississippi LSU Vanderbilt Basically, games I was covering (Iowa pushing) in the final moments of the 4th quarter, with bad results. I guess if you bet enough games, it's bound to happen. Doesn't ever seem to even out. I can't find enough games where I had good fortune to equal half of the bad beats. And the night isn't over yet. Good luck. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 364 Posted October 24, 2010 Preseason NBA: 27-16; +7.7 units NCAA Football: 40-33; +3.7 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units MLB Playoffs: 4-2; +2.2 units CFL: 5-3; +1.7 units NHL: 12-13; -6.45 units Saturday, in time order, 1 unit each. Will keep an edit section at bottom for any additions for football. NCAA Football Early Virginia Tech (-27) WINNER Temple (-7.5) WINNER Michigan St (-6) WINNER Pittsburgh (-13) WINNER Syracuse (+13.5) WINNER Illinois (-13.5) WINNER Iowa St (+20.5) WINNER Mississippi (+10) LOSER Maryland (+4) WINNER Ohio U (-2.5) WINNER OVER OHI/MOH (49.5) LOSER Arkansas St (-7.5) WINNER Wyoming (+10.5) WINNER Louisville (+3)@-115 WINNER Iowa (-6) LOSER Baylor (-6.5) LOSER UNDER KST/BAY (56.5) LOSER SMU (-9) LOSER Bowling Green (+2.5) LOSER Western Michigan (-7.5) WINNER Oklahoma St (+6) LOSER California (-3)@-115 WINNER Central Florida (-21.5) WINNER Colorado (+3)@-115 PUSH Northern Illinois (-10) WINNER East Carolina (-12.5) WINNER Middle Tenn St (-12) WINNER OVER ULM/MTS (55) LOSER Idaho (-24) LOSER Hawaii (-3.5) WINNER Virginia (-24) WINNER Utah (-30) WINNER Early Summary, including Added plays... 23-12; +9.8 units Later Vanderbilt (+12.5) LOSER Texas A&M (-14) WINNER UAB (+20) WINNER Tennessee (+16.5) LOSER Toledo (-11.5) LOSER UNDER BAL/TOL (48.5) LOSER North Carolina (+6.5) LOSER Georgia (-4) WINNER Missouri (+3)@-115 WINNER Fresno St (-19) LOSER Air Force (+18.5) LOSER UTEP (-10) LOSER San Diego St (-23.5) LOSER Arizona (-6.5) WINNER Late Summary, including Added plays... 6-12; -7.2 units Edit: Additional plays Navy (+7) WINNER Clemson (-4) WINNER LSU (+5) LOSER Stanford (-36) LOSER Air Force 2nd H (+7.5) LOSER UTEP 2nd H (-6.5)@-115 LOSER San Diego St 2nd h (-10)@-115 LOSER Arizona 2nd H (-1)@-115 WINNER CFL Winnipeg (-6) LOSER Saskatchewan (-3) LOSER MLB Philadelphia (-156) LOSER Philadelphia Series (-250) LOSER NHL Florida (-135) WINNER New York Rangers (+140) WINNER Montreal (+110) WINNER Washington (-270) WINNER Buffalo (+135) WINNER Philadelphia (-160) WINNER Detroit (-215) WINNER Pittsburgh (-120) LOSER Dallas (-150) LOSER Chicago (-210) LOSER Carolina (+130) WINNER Colorado (-130) LOSER San Jose (-150) WINNER Good luck to all For the day NCAA Football 29-24; +2.6 units CFL 0-2; -2.2 units MLB: 0-2; -4.06 units NHL: 9-4; +4.05 units Overall Preseason NBA: 27-16; +7.7 units NCAA Football: 69-57; +6.3 units NFL: 8-4-3; +3.6 units MLB Playoffs: 4-4; -1.86 units CFL: 5-5; -.5 units NHL: 21-17; -2.4 units Share this post Link to post Share on other sites