***Official NFL Wagering Thread***

[jmueller44 0]

Here are this weeks lines as of Thurs 9/28

 

10/01/06 401 Colts(Indianapolis) -480 -9 Over 46.5

13:05 ET 402 Jets(NewYork) +380 +9 Under 46.5

 

10/01/06 403 Chargers(SanDiego) -150 -2.5 Over 33.5

13:05 ET 404 Ravens(Baltimore) +130 +2.5 Under 33.5

 

10/01/06 405 Vikings(Minnesota) OFF +1 Over 34.5

13:05 ET 406 Bills(Buffalo) OFF -1 Under 34.5

 

10/01/06 407 Cowboys(Dallas) -500 -9.5 (-105) Over 37

13:05 ET 408 Titans(Tennessee) +400 +9.5 (-115) Under 37

 

10/01/06 409 49ers(SanFrancisco) +270 +7 Over 40.5

13:05 ET 410 Chiefs(KansasCity) -330 -7 Under 40.5

 

10/01/06 411 Saints(NewOrleans) +270 +7 Over 41.5

13:05 ET 412 Panthers(Carolina) -330 -7 Under 41.5

 

10/01/06 413 Cardinals(Arizona) +260 +7 Over 40.5

13:05 ET 414 Falcons(Atlanta) -320 -7 Under 40.5

 

10/01/06 415 Dolphins(Miami) -190 -3.5 Over 40.5

13:05 ET 416 Texans(Houston) +165 +3.5 Under 40.5

 

10/01/06 417 Lions(Detroit) +190 +5.5 Over 43.5

16:10 ET 418 Rams(StLouis) -230 -5.5 Under 43.5

 

10/01/06 419 Patriots(NewEngland) +220 +6 Over 46.5

16:20 ET 420 Bengals(Cincinnati) -260 -6 Under 46.5

 

10/01/06 421 Jaguars(Jacksonville) -155 -3 (Even) Over 34

16:20 ET 422 Redskins(Washington) +135 +3 (-120) Under 34

 

10/01/06 423 Browns(Cleveland) -145 -2.5 (-115) Over 33.5

16:20 ET 424 Raiders(Oakland) +125 +2.5 (-105) Under 33.5

 

10/01/06 425 Seahawks(Seattle) +170 +3.5 Over 34.5

20:20 ET 426 Bears(Chicago) -200 -3.5 Under 34.5

 

10/02/06 427 Packers(GreenBay) +500 +11 Over 48

20:35 ET 428 Eagles(Philadelphia) -700 -11 Under 48

 

 

I didn't see the "standard" ***Official NFL Wagering Thread*** for this week - Figured I would get it going.

Post your wagers and thoughts.

PLEASE STATE if you are actually betting on said game or if you are just posting OPINION on it.

[jmueller44 0]

Call me crazy but I am about to lay a 6.5 pt teaser - 9 team parlay......

 

10/01/06 Colts(Indianapolis) -2.5

10/01/06 Ravens(Baltimore) +9

10/01/06 Cowboys(Dallas) -3

10/01/06 Falcons(Atlanta) -1

10/01/06 Rams(StLouis) +1

10/01/06 Bengals(Cincinnati) +0.5

10/01/06 Jaguars(Jacksonville) +3.5

10/01/06 Bears(Chicago) +3

10/02/06 Eagles(Philadelphia) -4.5

 

1 Unit to Win 15 Units

[jmueller44 0]

Just layed down 2 teasers, 2 Team Parlay wagers...

 

6.5 Point Teaser (2 Teams)

Colts(Indianapolis) -2.5

Cowboys(Dallas) -3 (-105)

1 Unit to win 0.83 units

 

 

6 Point Teaser (2 Teams)

Rams(StLouis) +0.5 (-105)

Eagles(Philadelphia) -5 (-105)

1 Unit to win 0.909 units

[new-guru 0]

No one else betting NFL

 

I like Cincy Huge -6 4 units

at home

high octane offense

I am real supprised the line is not -7

 

I like Minny +1 2 units

great line both off and def

Qb that knows how to manage a game

 

Jacksonville -2.5 2 units

Parlayed

Indy ML

Dallas ML

Chiefs ML

Atl ML

Stl ML

Car ML

Cincy ML

 

risking 2 to get 10

 

for 1 unit

Seatle

Dallas -9

dallas 1st half -6

colts -9

1st half -6

cincy -3

 

 

 

[phillybear 366]

Got a whole college slate to worry about tomorrow. I'll see you guys Sunday morning.

[donkeyboy22 0]

Call me crazy but I am about to lay a 6.5 pt teaser - 9 team parlay......

 

10/01/06 Colts(Indianapolis) -2.5

10/01/06 Ravens(Baltimore) +9

10/01/06 Cowboys(Dallas) -3

10/01/06 Falcons(Atlanta) -1

10/01/06 Rams(StLouis) +1

10/01/06 Bengals(Cincinnati) +0.5

10/01/06 Jaguars(Jacksonville) +3.5

10/01/06 Bears(Chicago) +3

10/02/06 Eagles(Philadelphia) -4.5

 

1 Unit to Win 15 Units

 

I like your plays but I would have Wash +9 and Seattle + 9.5......

 

I love this play...I may have to do something similar. I may do a 5 teamer with Indy, Balt, Atl, Wash, and Dallas (I dont like having a 3 on a parlay (Dallas)..you still get odds but not nearly what it would be.

[OGAR 0]

Yo!

 

 

Gents, good Sat a.m. to all. I'm trolling towards the college thread and thought I'd pop in.

 

I'm still working on a few NFL games but I'll drop a little hint:

 

Like sd/Balt under.

 

Cincy/NE over.

[MissionCoach 4]

Bet em or not...Good Luck

 

Ari Under 41 Best Bet

 

Sd-2 1/2

 

Jax -2 1/2

 

Mia -3 1/2

 

N.o. +7 1/2

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I am going with:

 

Indy -8

Indy/NYJ under 47

Chargers -2

Minny PK

Cowboys/Titans under 38

Jags -3

Bengals -6

Seahawks +3.5

 

Cowboys/Colts/Bengals ML Parlay

[jmueller44 0]

...here is my extreme long shot for the day....

 

Progressive Parlay (10 Teams)

1 unit to win 250 units

 

49ers(SanFrancisco) +7

Cardinals(Arizona) +7.5 (-115)

Ravens(Baltimore) +2.5 (-115)

Colts(Indianapolis) -8.5

Cowboys (Dallas) -9.5

Texans(Houston) +3.5

Jaguars(Jacksonville) -3 (Even)

Rams(StLouis) -5.5

Bears(Chicago) -3.5 (-105)

Vikings(Minnesota) +1

 

What was I thinking -- -- "bookie, here is my money, take it"

[GiantsRule 0]

After a fantastic week of college football, I'm hoping to translate that success over to NFL tomorrow. Taking more risks than usual and betting more than my standard unit plays:

 

How many rushing yards will Maurice Morris record against the Chicago Bears in week 4?

66 or More +180

 

New Orleans +7.5 (-120) - This line makes no sense. None whatsoever. Not only is NO 3-0 and Carolina 1-2, New Orleans won in Carolina last year and they were arguably the worst team in the league in 2005. Plus, their games tend to be competitive so I can see Carolina ending the winning streak, but not by more than a TD (at least I hope).

 

New Orleans ML (+270) - And in case they go 4-0, hard to pass up on nearly 3:1 odds!

 

San Diego -1 (-120)

 

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills - Chester Taylor vs Willis McGahee - most net rushing yards

Willis McGahee -12½ rushing yrds (+145)

 

Good luck to all! An easy Yom Kippur to my Jewish brothers!

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

Already bet a few:

 

Bengals -6

NE/Cincy OVER 46

Bengals score OVER 26

(Can you tell I expect a shootout?)

ATL/Zona OVER 40.5

 

 

Props:

 

Braylon Edwards to catch four passes

Chad Johnson to score a TD (banged up NE secondary and he seems due)

 

Leaning on Bills, Bears, STL

 

and CLE/OAK OVER is calling

(only 33.5...how incompetent can 2 teams be? I think Walter might be better than Brooks for Oakland)

 

Any Raider fans out there with an opinion as to how your offense will look today?

[santa*69 0]

Taking all logic out of it and just taking the points this week. We shall see how it works.

 

or

 

I have my money on the

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Noon Picks:

 

Indy -8 It's on the road, but Indy withstood the tough Jacksonville defense last week, and barely won. I think Indy will be out to show they have things working on all cylinders once again.

Chargers -2 Good game. I like the Chargers defense and running game to win a conservative battle.

Bills -1 Buffalo has played some good games and being at home should be enough to destroy the 1st year coach of Minnesota.

Titans+9.5 The Owens distraction will filter itself indirectly to the field, whether Parcells is aware or not.

KC -7 Larry Johnson should go off today and San Fran played over their collective heads last week to win.

Carolina -7 I like the fact that Steve Smith is back and that the offense should be working again.

Atlanta -7.5 The Falcons need to get the bad taste out of their mouth from Monday night.

Miami -3.5 The Dolphins aren't ready to let up after squeaking out their 1st win. This should be a blowout.

[Tarheel Boy 0]

I'll take a shot at it:

 

Ravens/Chargers Under 33.5

Rams -3 1H

Jets to score more than the Texans

Carolina -.5 1Q

 

7 Point Teaser

Colts -1.5

Cowboys -2.5

Panthers PK

 

Maybe more later depending on how suck ass I do in the early games.

 

 

Noon Picks:

 

Indy -8 It's on the road, but Indy withstood the tough Jacksonville defense last week, and barely won. I think Indy will be out to show they have things working on all cylinders once again.

Chargers -2 Good game. I like the Chargers defense and running game to win a conservative battle.

Bills -1 Buffalo has played some good games and being at home should be enough to destroy the 1st year coach of Minnesota.

Titans+9.5 The Owens distraction will filter itself indirectly to the field, whether Parcells is aware or not.

KC -7 Larry Johnson should go off today and San Fran played over their collective heads last week to win.

Carolina -7 I like the fact that Steve Smith is back and that the offense should be working again.

Atlanta -7.5 The Falcons need to get the bad taste out of their mouth from Monday night.

Miami -3.5 The Dolphins aren't ready to let up after squeaking out their 1st win. This should be a blowout.

 

I'm leaning towards Miami as well, but haven't pulled the trigger yet.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

Pulled the trigger on a 2team teaser:

 

Rams +1/Bengals +.5

[phillybear 366]

NFL YTD: 24-25; -1.65 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 4-3; +2 units

 

All for .5 units. Still staying conservative. Subject to change. Will probably add something or other.

 

Sunday Early

 

NY Jets (+8) WINNER

Baltimore (Moneyline@+105) WINNER

Minnesota (+1) LOSER

Tennessee (+9.5) LOSER

San Francisco (+7) LOSER

New Orleans (+7) WINNER

Atlanta (-7) WINNER

Houston (+3.5) WINNER

Over Ind/NYJ (46.5) for 1 unit WINNER

Under KC/SF (39) LOSER

Over Atl/Ari (40.5) for 1 unit WINNER

 

Parlay.25 units to win 4.7355 units all 1st H plays: LOSER

Balt (+.5), Minn (+.5), Tenn (+6.5), San Fran (+4), New Orleans (+4)

 

Parlay .3 units to win 1.8 units: LOSER

Over Minn/Buff (34.5), Over Dall/Tenn (37), Over Miam/Hou (40.5)

 

Early Summary: 7-6; +1.78 units

 

Sunday Later

 

Detroit (+5.5) LOSER

New England (+5.5) WINNER

Washington (Moneyline@+125) WINNER

Oakland (Moneyline@+125) LOSER

Over Cinc/NE (45.5) for 1 unit WINNER

Under Jax/Wash (34) LOSER

Over Clev/Oak (33.5) WINNER

Under 2nd H Jax/Wash (17.5)@-115 LOSER

 

Late Summary: 4-4; +.45 units

 

Seattle (+3.5)@-115 for 3 units

Seattle 2nd H (Pk)@-115 for 3 units

 

 

 

 

Good luck to all.

[phillybear 366]

Where the action is going, based on averages from a number of offshore sports books...

 

Indianapolis 74% over NY Jets

San Diego 52% over Baltimore

Minnesota 67% over Buffalo

Dallas 69% over Tennessee

Kansas City 56% over San Francisco

New Orleand 62% over Carolina

Atlanta 74% over Arizona

Miami 65% over Houston

 

St Louis 69% over Detroit

Cincinnati 72% over New England

Jacksonville 80% over Washington

Cleveland 70% over Oakland

 

Chicago 51% over Seattle

 

Philadelphia 53% over Green Bay

[Fred Sanford 0]

10pt teaser (3 teams)

Bal +11 1/2

Dal +1/2

Cin +4 1/2

 

 

Dal -9 1/2

[JT 137]

Only a few I really like. I'm on:

 

Bills -1

Atl -7

Oak +2.5

Balt +2.5

Hou +3.5

 

Oakland wins outright, Houston has their best chance to date. Atlanta stomps Arizona. Baltimore D too much for Rivers, though Reed's status plays a big part in that. Bills are solid, as are Vikes; simply a home field pick.

 

 

Looking hard at the Jets +8 and SF +. Probably avoid the Niners due to injuries.

[chiz3 1]

My Sunday stuff has been so-so this year, so Im going with a little slate today.

 

ATL -7( AZ has a qb controversy mounting, running game is ? look for Atl to run,run,run at home)

KC- -7(for all the same reasons:LJ hasnt scored yet..yet. at home should be a blow out)

 

Like but not betting:

Car-7 (N.O got their gift on Mon-yes I think the game was waaay fixed let down week for them)

SD-2 1/2(SD homer.They are for real. Their D will shut down Balt weak O. SD O will suprise today!)

Jax-3 Wash is poop. Portis will have tought time running, Brunell shot his load for the year lw.

[EAwer 1]

grr stupid WCOOP i stayed up till 4 am watching that ###### then didnt wake up in time to bet 1 o clock. bleh

 

but philly why do you like wash? how do you their offense moving the ball at all vs Jax?

[Tarheel Boy 0]

Had to sweat out the Carolina 1Q bet, but hit that one. Also took Atlanta in the first quarter as well.

 

Jets better get their shiot in gear.

[phillybear 366]

but philly why do you like wash? how do you their offense moving the ball at all vs Jax?

 

Let down for Jacksonville coming off game vs rival Colts, Wash got some confidence back by blowing out Houston last week. I think it will be a low scoring game, and I'll take a shot on Wash at home in a game that is kind of a toss up.

[Tarheel Boy 0]

Forgot about my 2 team parlay:

 

Balt +.5 1H

Atlanta -4 IH

 

$10 4 Team Parlay for $123

 

Oak +2

Atl -7.5

Indy -8

Miami -3.5

 

Don't know about that one, but we'll see...

[EAwer 1]

just bet 2nd half games 1 unit:

ATl -4.5, -120( 5 red zone trips=4 FGs and a pick 6 wtf?)

Min Pk

 

least i got somea ction for 1 PM games

[Tarheel Boy 0]

just bet 2nd half games 1 unit:

ATl -4.5, -120( 5 red zone trips=4 FGs and a pick 6 wtf?)

Min Pk

 

least i got somea ction for 1 PM games

 

I took the Miami/Houston Under 19.5

[EAwer 1]

YOU WANT A DAMN DOLLAR! HERE TAKE IT

 

Parlay (12 Teams) 10/01/06 14:47 ET

1.00/32731.50 Result: Pending

Browns(Cleveland)

Raiders(Oakland) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Browns(Cleveland) -2 (Even)

 

Browns(Cleveland)

Raiders(Oakland) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Under 33.5

 

Browns(Cleveland)

Raiders(Oakland) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Raiders(Oakland) -105

 

Jaguars(Jacksonville)

Redskins(Washington) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Jaguars(Jacksonville) -3 (+110)

 

Jaguars(Jacksonville)

Redskins(Washington) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Under 34

 

Jaguars(Jacksonville)

Redskins(Washington) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Redskins(Washington) +125

 

Lions(Detroit)

Rams(StLouis) 10/01/06 (16:10 ET)

Under 42.5

 

Lions(Detroit)

Rams(StLouis) 10/01/06 (16:10 ET)

Lions(Detroit) +180

 

Packers(GreenBay)

Eagles(Philadelphia) 10/02/06 (20:35 ET)

Packers(GreenBay) +500

 

Patriots(NewEngland)

Bengals(Cincinnati) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Bengals(Cincinnati) -6

 

Patriots(NewEngland)

Bengals(Cincinnati) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Patriots(NewEngland) +200

 

Seahawks(Seattle)

Bears(Chicago) 10/01/06 (20:20 ET)

Seahawks(Seattle) +165

 

2) BET ID=176852602

Parlay (5 Teams) 10/01/06 14:45 ET

10.00/276.18 Result: Pending

Browns(Cleveland)

Raiders(Oakland) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Browns(Cleveland) -2 (Even)

 

Jaguars(Jacksonville)

Redskins(Washington) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Jaguars(Jacksonville) -3 (+110)

 

Lions(Detroit)

Rams(StLouis) 10/01/06 (16:10 ET)

Lions(Detroit) +5

 

Patriots(NewEngland)

Bengals(Cincinnati) 10/01/06 (16:20 ET)

Bengals(Cincinnati) -6

 

Seahawks(Seattle)

Bears(Chicago) 10/01/06 (20:20 ET)

Seahawks(Seattle) +3.5 (-115)

[GiantsRule 0]

After a fantastic week of college football, I'm hoping to translate that success over to NFL tomorrow. Taking more risks than usual and betting more than my standard unit plays:

 

How many rushing yards will Maurice Morris record against the Chicago Bears in week 4?

66 or More +180

 

New Orleans +7.5 (-120) - This line makes no sense. None whatsoever. Not only is NO 3-0 and Carolina 1-2, New Orleans won in Carolina last year and they were arguably the worst team in the league in 2005. Plus, their games tend to be competitive so I can see Carolina ending the winning streak, but not by more than a TD (at least I hope).

 

New Orleans ML (+270) - And in case they go 4-0, hard to pass up on nearly 3:1 odds!

 

San Diego -1 (-120)

 

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills - Chester Taylor vs Willis McGahee - most net rushing yards

Willis McGahee -12½ rushing yrds (+145)

 

Good luck to all! An easy Yom Kippur to my Jewish brothers!

 

Hey, the site was down on football Sunday. I never would have guessed!

 

Ecch...all those damn unders in the first half, and I choose the one game that goes over! (SD-Bal)

 

Doubled up on the McGahee bet when the odds dropped to +180.

 

Went for the middle in the San Diego game with Balt -1/2 (+110). Now need the Chargers to win by 2, 3, 4, or 5 points, or Baltimore to cover; a SD whomping will leave me with a limited loss but it's worth it.

 

That might be it for the day as I get ready for the holiday. Good luck to the rest of you!

[EAwer 1]

what holiday GR? dare i say have an easy fast or is their another holiday i am forgetting?

[Tarheel Boy 0]

I pussed out of taking the Cowboys -3.5 for the second half.

[GiantsRule 0]

what holiday GR? dare i say have an easy fast or is their another holiday i am forgetting?

 

Yom Kippur. You have it right! Thanks.

 

And I too am a Colston fan today. Not because of fantasy (I actually missed out on him on blind bidding), but because he helped me cash the nice New Orleans +7.5 ticket. It was especially sweet because I was so depressed after the Saints' defense threw in the towel and let Foster run in that huge TD.

 

McGahee comes in a nice 2nd for cashing that underdog prop by outplaying Chester Taylor with some timely long runs in the 4th quarter.

 

 

The greed monster in me is pissed that San Diego allowed Baltimore to score a TD after the safety. The two points made it the perfect middle. All SD needed to do was hold on against a struggling offense. But no dice. But I'll take a push over a loss anyday!

[Tarheel Boy 0]

I pussed out of taking the Cowboys -3.5 for the second half.

 

Still pissed at myself for not doing this bet. I had a good first half of the day though, but I had to sweat out the Carolina and Indy games.

 

I took the under on the New England/Cincy game, but I'm not sure on that one. Both teams now starting to move the ball. I took a 10 point teaser on

 

New England +16

Raiders +12

Redskins +13

 

That one will go down to the wire too.

[phillybear 366]

Adding: Seattle (+3.5)@-115 for 3 units

 

This line opened with Seattle as the favorite. When Alexander was ruled out, the line jumped. And I think it moved too much, and over reaction. Maurice Morris has quite a bit of ability, especially catching the ball. And he will likely have opportunities to catch dump offs, as the Bears will blitz, and blitz often. Chicago is allowing 66% of passes to be completed against them, and the only way they will slow down Seattle's new potent passing game featuring 4 WRs is to pressure Hasselbeck. Seattle is clicking on offense, converting 55% of third down chances over the last two games. Chicago is strong against the run, but has shown weakness in the secondary, so the loss of Alexander isn't as big of a loss for this particular matchup. Chicago's offense has seemingly improved this year, but they did so against Green Bay, Detroit, and Minnesota. Seattle's defense is very solid, and Chicago will not enjoy the same success scoring points.

 

Maybe this is a bit of a homer pick. But I have done decently with Seattle this year, taking the Lions with the points and going with Seattle vs Arizona. Granted, I had the under in the Seattle/NY Giant game last week, but I didn't expect that kind of production by Seattle's offense. I'd like to think that I have a feel for the Seattle games this year, and I am having trouble seeing a scenario where Seattle loses by more than 3, and I think they win the game.

[EAwer 1]

Yom Kippur. You have it right! Thanks.

 

and i thought i was the only degenerate jewish gambler to post in fftoday forums

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Sunday night football game:

 

There is no Shawn Alexander tonight. Alexander gives Seattle the ground game that Holgrem is so comfortable with. It seems the Seattle team is going through an offensive change. They are passing more. It's not what they have been as a team. It's not Holgrem's preferred style. Morris might be able to do more out of the passing downs than Alexander but he can't pick up the tough yards like Shawn Alexander can when you need them. Seattle needs to have two backs ready to go now that Alexander is out. Not only Mo Morris, but Strong too. Strong is the goal-line back. So both have to be on their game as opposed to only one guy usually. The Chicago defense is psyched. In fact one or two of them have said this is their superbowl. When players are jacked to play, it makes a big difference, even in the pros to some extent. I'm not 100% confident in Chicago's offense, but I think they'll be ok on their home field. So far Grossman has done alright, so I"m assuming that will continue. Also, Seattle will miss the lineman nicknamed "Porkchop". THis is a power offensive lineman that really will be missed. Also, Jeremy Stevens, the starting tight end is out. Maybe that won't mean much, but it should be mentioned. Chicago is looking to win, so they can believe they are the best in the NFC. I personally don't think it means that, but many of them believe that. The Bears really want this game.

 

My play for tonight is

 

Chicago -3.5

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

It's a good thing I play real money on college betting. I got it handed to me today in the NFL.

 

Next week I may just take every dog. You know you will hit on half of them every week!!!!!

[JT 137]

Only a few I really like. I'm on:

 

Bills -1

Atl -7

Oak +2.5

Balt +2.5

Hou +3.5

 

Oakland wins outright, Houston has their best chance to date. Atlanta stomps Arizona. Baltimore D too much for Rivers, though Reed's status plays a big part in that. Bills are solid, as are Vikes; simply a home field pick.

Looking hard at the Jets +8 and SF +. Probably avoid the Niners due to injuries.

 

Raiders collapse the only thing keeping me from a perfect day. Ended up taking the Jets +8 and finishing 5-1. Good weekend.

 

Now I can sit back and get ready for my Eagles tomorrow night. Fly, Eagles, fly...

[chiz3 1]

Where is everyone? im on the fence tonight, I cant stay away either. I like Sea, but everything I read is Chicago. AHHHHHHHH. Oh well too Seattle +3 1/2.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Now I can sit back and get ready for my Eagles tomorrow night. Fly, Eagles, fly...

 

 

How many points would the Packers have to get? I'm actually considering the 1st half spread on tomorrow's game because I think Philly gives up alot of points in garbage time. And I don't want to be hangin' on the chalk side when Green Bay gets a backdoor cover. Still not sure...