DrG

A great frat joke many years ago was to have a pledge stand outside a busy McDonald’s in tightie whitis passing out leaflets. And there are ways to top that and stay within the law

I ordinarily would too but this league weights to qb scoring A homer will likely take Lance and if Williams is taken before me and he might be, both Fields and Jones might still be on the board.

Expecting similar choice in my 2 qb dynasty league. Najee, Etienne, Chase, and at least 3 maybe 4 of the qbs will be off the board. I pick 8th and the choice may be between Mac Jones, Pitts, Waddle and/or Javonte Williams. If Pitts is there he might be hard to pass up but Jones could be the best call there.

do you typically keep a backup qb rostered? Do you think 2nd or 3rd tier rookie wrs will be first year usable? Will you have and want Rodgers next year? if you can get the draft #1 qb practically free, that would seem hard to pass on unless you don’t think he’ll be special. My dynasty league starts 2 qbs 3 wrs with 23 player roster not including IR. I usually overweight qb rb, usually able to get flexworthy wrs

Flex worthy with upside

https://www.nfl.com/prospects/sam-ehlinger/32004548-4c42-6541-a2ef-ab82d9f8abe9

There is some year to year consistency for run defenses. If defense scoring averages 20-25% of the weekly score, you know where to overweight your roster and I’d second what AE said about hoarding that position.

Stacking can be a great strategy for any one game and maybe especially strong in underdog matchups. Over the long run though risk is negatively asymmetrical unless you have an equal replacement for one of those players. Too many eggs in one basket for too long. So a qb WR3 can be a good stack. But risk of a Rodgers Adams etc. obvious if one gets hurt.

I grabbed Gaskin on my dynasty team and he produced when he started. He does his job in all phases. He only started part of the year. Brown looks to have the Howard role. If Brown succeeds, he will vulture TDS. Gaskin has yet to show he can start a full season but the opportunity is there. I read somewhere that the Dolphins didn’t think he was built to be a bell cow but maybe he adds some muscle this year. Henderson is not flashy but the opportunity is there for him also with no vultures overhead. I like Gaskin but I see why some would say Henderson is a better pick. 6 pts for a rushing TD counts the same as 6 points from 60 rushing yards.

I’d say this moves Adams back up into mid first round and maybe the first wr off the board

CJ U will be waiting for you. Whether it is Newton or Jones I think Wild Bill is going to run the snot out of the ball in 2021

WP it’s a 17 game season 37 attempts a game would be 629. 39 and a little change would be 670.

It seems every year there is a substantial drop off after the first 16-18 players. Justin Jefferson might be a steal at that adp.

Goff averaged 37 passes a game last year. The year before, 39 without Akers. With new arm talent and less running talent with Akers gone, I think there is a great chance passes per game in the Ram offense do not lessen. 35.3 attempts a game is 600 for the year. 38 attempts a game would be 646 in a 17 game season.

My point was the need is more important. A hit in the first round is great but doesn’t usually win titles without more. A miss, however, means you’ll most likely not win.

Goff didn’t have the arm Stafford does. Good chance Rams crack 650 passes this 17 game season.

Tried this once before. Good luck if you do.

With your high picks you want a ‘dominant’ performance, but what you need are some players with consistent high floors with their position

Sean McVay is pretty creative working around limitations and he has a new gunslinger as a toy. Goff often liked to me like he only saw part of the field. I just think the Rams are going to throw a lot more.

The hope with a first round pick is some consistency and that the player finishes reasonably near his adp. If any player can replicate a top 5ish finish one would think it would be Henry. I liken him to Jim Brown 2.0. So a top7 finish is really within the reasonably successful range for any of the Tier 1 rbs.

Stafford and Rams WRS will get an ADP boost

Probably about as much if Sean McVay bolted the Rams to join SF

per the ff consistency he was the 14th most consistent back in 2018 and 16th in 2019. Last year you can throw out so maybe he has a bounce back year.

I would not take two wrs to start my draft.